Chargers vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - October 22, 2024

Chargers at Cardinals

1:00 am • ESPN+

Los Angeles Chargers

7-3

15 - 17

Arizona Cardinals

6-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Chargers 7-3	+1	-1-115	o44.5-110	-122
Cardinals 6-4	u45	+1-105	u44.5-108	+102

Tuesday 1:00 a.m.

October 22, 2024

State Farm StadiumGlendale

Over 31.5 (Live)-112

2.5u

ARI +100 (Live)

W.Dissly Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+700

0.25u

M.Wilson Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+900

0.25u

T.McBride Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+650

0.5u

T.McBride o60.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110

M.Wilson o11.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110

0.91u

J.Dobbins o51.5 Rush Yds (Live)-110

J.Dobbins Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+180

ARI +140 (Live)

1.4u

Over 35.5 (Live)-110

1.1u

LAC -116 (Live)

1.16u

Over 37.5 (Live)+100

Little value here little bit there

Over 39.5 (Live)-110

1.1u

J.Herbert o1.5 Pass TDs+160

0.5u

3.56% ev

L.McConkey Anytime TD Scorer Yes+225

0.4u

3.65% ev value at this number

Over 21.5 (1H)-115

0.5u

MNF preview: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/los-angeles-chargers-vs-arizona-cardinals-prediction-pick-odds-nfl-monday-night-football-october-21?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=brandonanderson

J.Palmer o35.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

T.McBride o51.5 Rec Yds-120

K.Vidal o26.5 Rush + Rec Yds-119

1.19u

Dobbins is going to get a ton of work, but I expect Vidal (24% snap share last week) to keep mixing in, if not a bit more. He ran 10 routes to Dobbins’ 14 last week, and impressed with a first read wheel route TD catch. Dobbins got 27 touches last week, unsustainable for him with his injury history. I’m not saying Vidal will get the Gus Edwards workload, but he’s definitely earned more touches this week. And it’s a prime spot against the Cards who are allowing the fourth most RB rush yards per game and rank 22nd in DVOA vs RBs in the pass game. Not expecting a wheel route, but do expect 7-8 touches and 35+ yards. He’s dynamic.

T.McBride Anytime TD Scorer Yes+230

0.5u

T.McBride o51.5 Rec Yds-120

1.2u

L.McConkey Anytime TD Scorer Yes+185

0.5u

ARI +1-105

1.9u

G.Dortch Anytime TD Scorer Yes+600

1.8u

7.24% ev and projection shows value

G.Dortch o21.5 Rec Yds-118

G. Dortch ⬆️ 22.5 RecY (-120 @ MGM)(+100 w/ 20% Boost) THE BLITZ 📽️: 32.63 RecY We've seen Dortch clear this line in 4 of 6 games this season and in games with at least a 60% snap share, he's cleared it in 4 or 4 games, averaging 39 receiving yards per game. There is no reason he shouldn't see 60%+ again tonight. We've seen money come in on the over here as this line opened at 20.5. Dortch remains 2nd on this team in route % and runs primarily out of the slot. He's owning a 15.3% target share, which is up from his 9.2% last season. As with most slot WR's, he owns a smaller aDOT at 5.7. However, he's been really solid after the catch with a 6.53 yards after the catch per reception. That not only ranks him first on the Cardinals, but top 20 in the NFL of pass catchers that have at least 100 routes run. The Chargers present as a solid matchup for him, ranking 5th in completion percentage allowed and 11th in yards after contact allowed per reception. Here are the slot WR's to face LAC so far this season: DEN D. Vele: 4 catches for 78 yards KC T. Kelce: 7 for 89 KC X. Worthy: 3 for 73, TD _Both Kelce and Worthy ran out of the slot the most_ PIT C. Austin: 4 for 94, TD CAR A. Thielen: 2 for 20 LV J. Meyers: 3 for 61 Now, we can throw out the CAR game since their leading receiver had 23 yards and it was a TE. For every other game, the slot has been very exploitable this season.

J.Herbert u3.5 Rush Att-130

0.77u

J. Herbert ⬇️ 3.5 Rushing Attempts (-115 @ MGM) THE BLITZ 📽️: 2.76 RA's If you strictly look at trends you'll see that he's cleared this mark in his 3 of 5 games this season, averaging 3.6 attempts per game. However, let's break that down further by game> I went back and watched each rushing attempt: **Week 1**: Scramble for 8 yards (not designed), kneel, kneel, kneel (4 RA's) **Week 2**: Scramble for 8 yards (not designed), right end for 13 yards (designed), up middle for 1 yard (essentially a kneel down since they were at their own two yard line to end half), kneel, kneel, kneel **Week 3**: fumble off snap (recovered by Herbert) **Week 4**: fumble off hand-off (Herbert gets the attempt), right end for -2 yards (option play), up middle for 2 yards (tush push for first down) **Week 5**: kneel, scramble right end for 5 (not designed, almost sacked), kneel, kneel So, of his 18 rushing attempts, half (8) were kneel downs, one was practically a kneel down and two were fumbles. That's 11 of the 18 rushing attempts! Of the other 7, only one was designed. This line IMO is an over-reaction of total attempts rather than looking into how those attempts were created. I think this line should be at 2.5. Kneel downs are difficult to predict and THE BLITZ even accounts for it. With a spread at -1.5, it's practically a pick'em and there is no guarantee that this LAC team will get to kneel at the end of this game (Even if they are winning).

ARI -105

2.86u

👸

J.Dobbins o81.5 Rush Yds-112

Follow all my picks at FTNFantasy.com!

K.Vidal o16.5 Rush Yds-110

0.55u

J.Palmer o35.5 Rec Yds-115

LAC -118

$1180.00

G.Dortch o24.5 Rec Yds+110

1.1u

5% ev and projection leans to the over

W.Dissly o24.5 Rec Yds-115

MNF Play #1 No Hayden Hurst, who was the Chargers’ TE1 for the first 4 weeks of the season, 18.8 routes per game. Dissly ran about 8-9 routes per game while Hurst was healthy. When Hurst went out with an injury last week, Dissly saw a season-high 67% of snaps, and 21 routes ran. Had 5 targets. He has some pretty crazy efficiency numbers this season. Cardinals run a top 10 rate of cover 3, which Dissly has a 30% TPRR and 3.45 YPRR against this season. Cardinals allow the 2nd-highest inline target rate in the NFL (15.0%). Dissly runs 73.0% of his routes from an inline alignment. Arizona’s top graded coverage LB, Owen Pappoe, is out. Kyzir White is also questionable.

K.Murray o215.5 Pass Yds-110

Under this number L4 weeks

ARI +1-110

T.McBride o17.5 Longest Reception-125

A.Gilman u5.5 Tackles + Ast-125

0.8u

@The_Oddsmaker

J.Herbert o1.5 Pass TDs+175

@nick_giffen

J.Dobbins Anytime TD Scorer Yes-120

Via Grant Neiffer

M.Wilson o29.5 Rec Yds-110

@charliedisturco

T.McBride Anytime TD Scorer Yes+270

0.5u

J.Dobbins Anytime TD Scorer Yes-130

1.95u

Over 44-110

2.2u

ARI +100

🔑 Cardinals ML +100 (FanDuel) 3u We have our 1st hammer of the week! Public all over chargers but sharp money coming in on the Cards. The Cardinals D is bad but at home against the Chargers coming off a big win, love this spot for AZ.

M.Harrison o52.5 Rec Yds-115

1.73u

ARI +100

M.Harrison Anytime TD Scorer Yes+175

M.Harrison First Touchdown Scorer Yes+900

0.5u

K.Murray o215.5 Pass Yds-110

2.2u

M.Wilson o30.5 Rec Yds-110

1.1u

J.Herbert o1.5 Pass TDs+170

A.Gilman u5.5 Tackles + Ast-125

Giving out on GDD

J.Dobbins Anytime TD Scorer Yes-120

1.2u

L.McConkey Anytime TD Scorer Yes+220

LAC -1-112

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Under 44.5-110

0.91u

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Chargers’ defense is one of the best in the league, while the Cardinals' offense is struggling with injuries, especially on the offensive line. Los Angeles relies on a run-heavy, clock-controlling approach, leading to low-scoring games. Given Arizona's offensive struggles and the Chargers' strong defense, expect this MNF matchup to stay under the point total.

J.Dobbins o75.5 Rush Yds-115

1.15u

The Chargers take on the Cardinals on MNF this week with Dobbins in a prime position to rack up some yards. Dobbins has had a successful comeback year with the Chargers after being sidelined numerous times due to injury during his time in Baltimore. Jim Harbaugh has implemented his run focused scheme with the Chargers and it has paid off as Dobbins has carried this offense to a 4-2 record. This Cardinals come into this game with the 29th ranked run defense, allowing an average of 153 YPG and a 4.7 YPC. Dobbins should be able to take advantage of this mismatch. This season, Dobbins has hit this line in 3/5 games with 96+ yards in all 3. His only 2 misses were against elite run defense (KC and PIT). The Cardinals have struggled to stop every back they have faced and I don't expect them to magically figure it out here vs the run heavy Chargers. I am liking Dobbins to run all over this defense and find the endzone at least once.

G.Dortch o21.5 Rec Yds-118

BetRivers

LAC -2+100

Projected at -3 Arizona's offense has already been struggling recently and is going against LA Chargers' solid Defense Arizona's defense is banged up, Chargers will have ease running the ball as Arizona struggles to stop the run this season Lots of trends and stats posted on my feed: https://x.com/vegasismybitchh/status/1848416236318687288?s=46

ARI +1.5-115

0.87u

J.Conner o10.5 Rec Yds-110

J.Conner Anytime TD Scorer-105

1.05u

Over 20.5 (1H)-125

1.88u

M.Wilson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+380

0.5u

J.Palmer Anytime TD Scorer Yes+333

0.5u

M.Harrison o54.5 Rec Yds-112

1.12u

Tailing @RoyalsProps - got a way worse # but we ride

L.McConkey o4.5 Recs-140

0.71u

This dude doesn’t exist move on

L.McConkey o52.5 Rec Yds-110

0.5u

Crazy that his line is the same as MH3

Over 44-110

1.1u

Sandy

Over 44-110

1.1u

Over 43.5-120

1.2u

Sura

M.Harrison o49.5 Rec Yds-120

1.2u

J.Dobbins Anytime TD Scorer-120

Over 43.5-120

1.2u

J.Conner u65.5 Rush Yds-110

1.1u

J.Dobbins u15.5 Rec Yds-110

1.1u

ARI +2.5-118

0.85u

Chargers are overrated imo

Under 44-108

J.Herbert o196.5 Pass Yds-114

LAC -2.5-106

Tailing Randy McKay

Featured Insight
The Chargers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 19.0% when defending on 3rd and long this season -- T-8th-best in NFL; the Cardinals have a third down conversion rate of 12.0% on 3rd and long this season -- T-worst in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

Featured Insight
Cardinals TEs have 36 receptions in 6 games (6.0 per game) this season -- T-5th-best in NFL; the Chargers have allowed 6.4 receptions per game to TEs this season -- 2nd-worst in NFL.

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Oct 21, 2024 UTC
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NFL Public Betting

Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 3-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cardinals' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	7-3	4-2	3-1	1-1	5-2
Chargers	7-2-1	4-0-1	3-2	7-1	0-1-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	4-5-1	2-4	2-1-1	1-1	2-4-1
Chargers	3-7	2-3	1-4	3-5	0-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	6-4	N/A	N/A	1-1	4-3
Chargers	7-3	N/A	N/A	7-1	0-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 13th	@GB	L 13-34	+5.5 L	U 47	GB +195
Oct 6th	@SF	W 24-23	+7.5 W	U 49	ARI +295
Sep 29th	WAS	L 14-42	-3.5 L	O 49	WAS -185
Sep 22nd	DET	L 13-20	+3 L	U 51.5	DET +127
Sep 15th	LA	W 41-10	-1 W	O 47	ARI -110

Jalen Thompson
S
Thompson is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Jonah Williams
OL
Williams is questionable with knee
Questionable

Darius Robinson
DE
Robinson is out with calf
Out

Khalil Mack
OLB
Mack is questionable with groin
Questionable
Deane Leonard
DB
Leonard is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Brenden Rice
WR
Rice is out with shoulder
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Chargers

Total

Cardinals

395

Total Yards

326

Total Plays

6.2

Yards Per Play

5.9

Chargers

Passing

Cardinals

349

YDS

145

27/39

Comps/Atts

14/26

YPA

5.577

0/0

TDs/INTs

1/1

3/13

Sacks/Yards

0/0

Chargers

Rushing

Cardinals

Rush Yards

181

Attempts

2.682

YPC

6.241

TDs

Chargers

Turnovers

Cardinals

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Chargers

Efficiency

Cardinals

0/1 0%

Redzone

1/2 50%

6/14 0%

3rd Down

2/7 0%

1/1 0%

4th Down

0/1 0%

Chargers

First Downs

Cardinals

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Chargers

Misc

Cardinals

5/57

Penalties/Yards

3/15

34:14

Possession

25:46

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MatchupOverUnder
Chargers 7-3	o22.5-118	u22.5-102
Cardinals 6-4	o21.5-115	u21.5-105

Chargers vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - October 22, 2024

Chargers at Cardinals

Los Angeles Chargers

Arizona Cardinals

Chargers at Cardinals Odds

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Chargers vs. Cardinals Previews & Analysis

Chargers vs. Cardinals Prediction: Anderson's MNF Bet

PRO Edges Popping for MNF Doubleheader

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NFL Predictions: Monday Night Football Picks for Both Games

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Public

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