Lions vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 22, 2024

Snooze fest in other games

Kyler Murray over 30.5 rushing yards (-120 Fanatics/FD) The Cardinals have come out looking much better to start the year than most expected and Murray has been a big part of that. Specifically with his ability to keep plays alive with his legs and pick up yardage that other QBs can't. In week 1 he had 57 yards rushing and followed that up with 59 yard in a blowout win vs the rams. Now he will face the Lions who have struggled vs mobile QBs. The Lions have one of the best run defenses in football, averaging just 2.7 YPC to opposing running backs and will force Kyler Murray to beat them in this one. However, that opens up the door for Murray to get his own run game going. Last season, the Detroit Lions allowed 66 rushing yards per game to mobile QBs with a 5.1 rush YPC. That was vs 2 mobile QBs, Fields (faced twice) and Lamar Jackson. The Lions have a great pass rush with Hutch and others, but that can also hurt you when you collapse the pocket and force Murray to run. Murray is better on the line in home games going over in 58% of games dating back to the 22' season. And if you add on him at home on Sunday vs an NFC opponent, that jumps to 73% hit rate on this line. Murray is way to speedy for any of Detroit's backers to contain him, so I see Murray having a good game in this one.

Jared Goff is my dad

@nick_giffen

@convince_me

Under in both games. ADOT of 5.9 yards, and only 1 of his 10 targets traveled more than 10 air yards. Also coming into this one having battled a hamstring injury all week. I know the Lions just let Chris Godwin put up big numbers out of the slot last week, but Dortch just run the same route tree.

https://www.actionnetwork.com/content/nfl-predictions-week-3-expert-data-driven-picks-on-sunday-afternoon

GOFF OWNS KYLER, and here’s why; -Goff is 4-0 vs Kyler -Goff’s team outscored Kyler’s team 133-71 in those games. If you do the math, Goff has averaged a 33-18 win vs Kyler over the years -In those 4 games Goff threw 9 TD / 0 INT, while Kyler threw 6TD / 5 INT -In one of those games he threw for 424 yards, in Arizona, for his most road yards thrown in a game in his career -Kyler was just put in the HOF last year for his achievement and outstanding passer rating. He literally cannot play as good as he played last week and this is a huge SELL HIGH spot by fading Kyler in week 3

Raymond was more involved after a dud in Week 1 going 3-27 yards vs. the Buccaneers, but although the role will look like he’s trending up, he actually played almost half the snaps (61% 📉 36%) with WR Tim Patrick activated to the roster. In an offense that is already loaded with talent, it gets even more clustered with Patrick set to get more involved going into Week 3 and someone needs to get phased out. Jameson Williams is now a full-time player locked in 2WR sets with Amon-Ra and TE Sam LaPorta (avg. 27.8 yards/g) should get more production, meaning Raymond is bottom of the totum poll rotating with Patrick and being the team’s punt returner. And then there’s the game environment. Last week, the Lions went 1-6 converting at the endzone, running the most plays out of any team vs. the Bucs and it took all 4 quarters for Raymond to hit his yards total. 18 of the 27 yards came on 2nd and 1 from a trick play-action. Monty + Gibbs only combined for 24 carries, something I don’t expect being that low again. #PlayerProps

Full breakdown on Pass the Prop. First NFL 2u

Johnny

Kitchen Sink week! TAN pod / best bets

Williams is over in both games. He’s third in the NFL in air yards, with 127 and 129 in his two games (per FTN Fantasy), and drawing a 23% target share from Jared Goff. He gets the Cardinals, who were dead last in DVOA against deep passes last season (FTN) and 6th worst so far this season. Should be a back and forth game where both teams are airing it out.