Brandon Anderson

HEDGE vs 28ppg +500 2u future early series. He’s at 28.5 rn so 25+ cashes, u24.5 busts. I don’t trust him to get there in a g7 that trends under with his scoring down again last 2g, so let’s use our strong position to our adv. Right now we either return -2 or 12 on a coin flippy outcome where I lean toward the bad outcome. Unacceptable risk. 4u on this alt FD line wins ~6u and returns ~10u, though we lose our initial investment so +8u. Or if he hits 25+ points we return that 12 and lose these 4, so +8u. Effectively sacrificing 4u upside to lock in +8u instead of risking a -2u outcome. If you want to hedge more aggressively, playing the traditional line u26.5 sets you up for a juicy middle where 25-26p cashes both sides. Or if you play an aggressive under like u20, you get more upside on the down but risk losing both sides at 20-25. I don’t personally like either of those but if you have this position, you’ve given yourself options. You could also play lighter or heavier on this hedge, tilting the outcome toward the side you prefer instead of toward middle ground like my setup. Or you can just let it ride. Your choice. The 30ppg +1100 future is irrelevant. Likely dead, needs 39 points to hit. Always just a long shot bonus, likely an L for 0.5u off our +8u winnings here. Alas, looked great through 4g.

HEDGE vs 28ppg +500 2u future early series. He’s at 28.5 rn so 25+ cashes, u24.5 busts. I don’t trust him to get there in a g7 that trends under with his scoring down again last 2g, so let’s use our strong position to our adv. Right now we either return -2 or 12 on a coin flippy outcome where I lean toward the bad outcome. Unacceptable risk. 4u on this alt FD line wins ~6u and returns ~10u, though we lose our initial investment so +8u. Or if he hits 25+ points we return that 12 and lose these 4, so +8u. Effectively sacrificing 4u upside to lock in +8u instead of risking a -2u outcome. If you want to hedge more aggressively, playing the traditional line u26.5 sets you up for a juicy middle where 25-26p cashes both sides. Or if you play an aggressive under like u20, you get more upside on the down but risk losing both sides at 20-25. I don’t personally like either of those but if you have this position, you’ve given yourself options. You could also play lighter or heavier on this hedge, tilting the outcome toward the side you prefer instead of toward middle ground like my setup. Or you can just let it ride. Your choice. The 30ppg +1100 future is irrelevant. Likely dead, needs 39 points to hit. Always just a long shot bonus, likely an L for 0.5u off our +8u winnings here. Alas, looked great through 4g.

Fox out, bad # taking a swing with @TurveyBets @JoeDellera

will NYK get back to the KAT hub offense early? 2+ ast in 6/8 1Q & 68% playoff quarters with 7+ minutes with 3+ 41% & 4+ 32% 🪣

will NYK get back to the KAT hub offense early? 2+ ast in 6/8 1Q & 68% playoff quarters with 7+ minutes with 3+ 41% & 4+ 32% 🪣

will NYK get back to the KAT hub offense early? 2+ ast in 6/8 1Q & 68% playoff quarters with 7+ minutes with 3+ 41% & 4+ 32% 🪣

Terrible outlier line at Kalshi, 213 fanatics, as low as 211.5 some books, and this only moves one direction G7 with two elite D. Hear my case tmrw on Buckets but grab the best # now

Mineshaft SZN