NBA Props

@ChrisRaybon

@TurveyBets

Via @SBK5065

🪜🪜🪜The Bulls face off against the Miami Heat in a winner take all matchup for the rights to sell tickets to two home games against the Boston Celtics. Coby White will have his chance to shine in this spot. The MIP Candidate has been tremendous this season. Since January 1st, he is averaging 20.2 points, 5.4 assists, 4.7 rebounds, and 2.5 3s on 6.8 attempts. He has been instrumental for this Bulls’ offense. Coby has seen spikes in his production against this Heat team though, particularly from long range against their zone defense. He has made 4 3s in six consecutive games against Miami on 8.8 attempts. When he has played 20+ mins he is 8/10 making 3 or more, and in 30+ he’s 5/5 at 3+ as well. He should easily see 30+ mins having played a massive 44 in the first Play-In against the Hawks. Considering his new role this season, he should continue to find success in this spot. I’ll take him at his base line of over 2.5 3s and ladder it to 4+ (+250 Bet365) and 5+ (+600 FD)

projecting about 25 in 42 minutes in this matchup

This season, in games without Zach LaVine, when Ayo has played just 30+ minutes against a team in the bottom half of the league defensively versus spot up shooters, he’s 14/18 to the over. I know it’s a lot of caveats, but the only risk here is the minutes, and he just came off playing 41 vs the Hawks. Caruso tweaked his ankle, so he might not go or be limited, which would only add to the upside here. But the Heat allowed the 2nd most ppg to spot up shooting, at the highest frequency. Vucevic is in a tough spot vs Bam, and Spo will likely gameplan to slow down DDR (with Caleb Martin and Haywood Highsmith). Coby White likely won’t have the free driving lanes has had vs the Hawks either - Ayo should be in a solid spot from a volume perspective. Averaged 16.8 ppg since the All Star break too. Game will be slow, but it’s a great spot matchup-wise for Ayo.

IT’S 3PM SOMEWHERE!! #Tailing @TheBMatt

Covered this line in his last 7 games against the Heat (3/4/4/4/4/4/4)