Nick Giffen

Nick Giffen

Nick Giffen
Role
Predictive Analyst
Experience
10 years
Total Bets
3.3K
Followers
166.2K

Nick Giffen's Picks

Today
Austin Dillon +25000
Bass Pro Shops Night Race
0.03u
Voldemort
34
9
Carson Hocevar +4500
Bass Pro Shops Night Race
0.1u
27
10
Ty Gibbs +1400
Bass Pro Shops Night Race
0.33u
25
10
2-WAY PARLAY+10400
0.1u
ESPN BET Better odds individually at Hard Rock/Bet365, but can't parlay at those shops. Could wait for DK who allows parlays, but may not get better odds.
Ty Gibbs +400 (Top Toyota)
Bass Pro Shops Night Race
Carson Hocevar +2000 (Top Chevrolet)
Bass Pro Shops Night Race
15
5
Justin Haley +950 (Top 10)
Bass Pro Shops Night Race
0.25u
#RunningHot ... 10 at Hard Rock
34
8
B. Keselowski over J. Logano-115
Bass Pro Shops Night Race
1.15u
#RunningHot Z
17
9
T. Gibbs over J. Logano-115
Bass Pro Shops Night Race
1.15u
#RunningHot
11
5
Carson Hocevar +220 (Top 10)
Bass Pro Shops Night Race
1u
22
11
Zane Smith +1800 (Top 10)
Bass Pro Shops Night Race
0.2u
22
8
Riley Herbst +3500 (Top 10)
Bass Pro Shops Night Race
0.1u
20
10
Carson Hocevar +2200 (Top Chevrolet)
Bass Pro Shops Night Race
0.2u
Also at Hard Rock
19
8
Ty Gibbs +550 (Top Toyota)
Bass Pro Shops Night Race
0.75u
Also at Hard Rock
21
8
Pending
C.Tillman o41.5 Rec Yds-114
CLE
CLE Team Abbreviation@BAL Team Abbreviation
BAL
1.14u
09/14 5:00 PM
Cedric Tillman (CLE) over 41.5 rec yds -114 at DK/FD has thrived in his short career vs man and cover 6, both of which BAL plays at a high rate CIN played these at a high rate last week as well, and by similarity scores BAL had the most similar coverage schemes to CIN in Week 1 BAL gets less pressure than Cincy both last year and early this year Tillman burned them for 99 yards on 7 catches last year, and dropped 52 yards on 5 catches against Cincy week 1 Good to 45.5
142
18
C.Tillman Anytime TD Scorer Yes+360
CLE
CLE Team Abbreviation@BAL Team Abbreviation
BAL
0.5u
09/14 5:00 PM
See note from rec yds prop I tracked
106
19
K.Williams o18.5 Rush Att-108
LA
LA Team Abbreviation@TEN Team Abbreviation
TEN
1.08u
09/14 5:00 PM
Kyren Williams over 18.5 rush att (-108 at DK) Had 18 last week on just 57 total plays for the Rams Should have... 1. More time of possession than last week given they face the Titans who struggled to control the ball in Week 1 with rookie QB Cam Ward 2. Better game script as heavier favorites than last week DEN RBs combined for 24 rush att on 71 plays last week vs. TEN Has averaged 20.8 rush att in 16 Rams wins since returning from injury in 2023 Projecting closer to 20.5 totes for Kyren here
103
21
K. Williams First Team TD Scorer+195
LA
LA Team Abbreviation@TEN Team Abbreviation
TEN
1u
09/14 5:00 PM
Since start of 2024 Kyren has scored a TD in 13 of 19 games All 13 of those times he scored the Rams first TD of the game
70
17
ATL +5-115
ATL
ATL Team Abbreviation@MIN Team Abbreviation
MIN
1.15u
09/15 12:20 AM
There is -110 available at Circa This is the top Luck Rankings play of the week with a "B" grade and a luck-based cover% (LBC%) of 59.2% I want to get the 5 now before its gone.
82
13
NASCAR Cup Series Championship: C. Bell to Win Title+800
0.25u
#RunningHot adding more to the title position on Bell
20
5
K. Larson over 4.5 wins-135
1.35u
#RunningHot victory lane pick
13
5
Front Row Motorsports under 0.5 wins+115
1u
#RunningHot
6
6
NASCAR Cup Series Championship: C. Bell to Win Title+650
1u
Also available at ESPN BET
23
7
Lowest Scoring Team (Regular Season): NY Jets+900
1u
3rd lowest Expected Score last year 4th largest O-line downgrade (-$30m AAV per 4for4) Jets opposing D's spent most $ of all 32 schedules Fields/Tyrod not upgrades/likely downgrades & will run more w/Fields eating clock 5th unluckiest set of opponents from last year (opponents regression to better results) Tankapalooza
49
11
Futures
Past Performance
Yesterday0-0-00%
0.00u
Last 7 Days6-19-024%
0.56u
Last 30 Days16-71-018%
-2.68u
All Time1096-2219-1933%
261.03u
Top Leagues
NCAAB419-344-854%
102.60u
NFL368-577-839%
90.45u
NASCAR240-1145-217%
47.08u
NHL3-1-075%
3.57u
World Cup13-26-033%
1.18u
FORMULA_ONE0-1-00%
-0.50u
NASCAR_XFINITY0-1-00%
-0.50u
Women's World Cup1-4-020%
-0.95u
MLB2-4-033%
-1.71u
European Championship17-49-125%
-3.47u

Summary

Nick Giffen is a predictive analyst at Action Network and is the creator of the NFL Luck Rankings. He also hosts Bet What Happens Live! on Action Network’s YouTube channel during the NFL season, and co-hosts Running Hot, Action’s auto racing podcast.

Aside from the NFL, Nick uses his projection models to specialize in NASCAR betting and DFS, NCAA basketball player props, and projections for top soccer tournaments.

Experience

After getting his Ph.D. in mathematics, Nick worked in the biotechnology industry as a data analyst, working with large data sets to optimize corn to ethanol production. During that time, he also wrote about fantasy football and fantasy NASCAR for RotoViz. 

In 2016, he became a co-owner of RotoViz. Since then, Giffen has worked as a freelancer with FantasyLabs and the Action Network, before being hired as a full-time predictive analyst at Action in early 2022.

At Action, Giffen has developed in-game player prop models to live bet the NFL, which he uses on his show, Bet What Happens Live! He also pioneered Action's Luck Rankings, which have been used to bet NFL sides and totals successfully. 

Giffen frequently appears on several of Action's shows to talk NFL and college basketball, and he is a co-host of Running Hot, Action's motorsports betting podcast.

Education

Giffen graduated from James Madison University with a B.S. in Applied Mathematics. He earned a Ph.D. in Mathematics from N.C. State.

On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
I bet on my favorite driver Kyle Kirkwood at 20-1 to win the Long Beach Grand Prix. I went to the race and watched him win it in person for his first career IndyCar win. It was the first time I watched him race an IndyCar in person, so I'm officially his good luck charm.
Specialties
  • NASCAR Expert
  • NFL Luck Rankings
  • NCAAB Player Props