2-leg Parlay (-141 @ DraftKings) Chuorio has only walked once in his L10 games with 3+ PA's. On the season, he's only walked at a 6.0% clip vs RHP and only a 6.8% clip overall. Meanwhile, Sevy has had solid control this season with a 7.9% walk-rate and 8.0% walk-rate vs righties. Pairing that with King 1+ walks, something he has done in 29 of 31 starts this season. ATL is a solid walking team and hold a 9.0% walk-rate vs RHP over L30.

2-leg Parlay (-130 @ DraftKings) 🦵 HOU Astros ML 🦵 S. Lugo 3+ Hits allowed Must win game for HOU and Brown has really locked in of late (2 ER or fewer in 8 of L10). Also a must-win game for BAL and Lugo has given up 3+ HA in 29 of 32 starts this season.

G. Sanchez ⬇️ 0.5 Walks (-145 @ MGM)(-121 w/ 20% Boost) Sanchez has been under this mark in 7 of L10 with at least 2 AB's and 8 of L10 with at least 3. In his career he is 0-7 with one walk vs Quintana. On the season he owns a respectable 9.6% walk-rate and 10.1% vs LHP. Quintana owns a 9.7% walk-rate vs right-handed batter this season. I know, this isn't shaping up to be a convincing argument, but what I really like is the pinch-hit risk here. He is primarily a platoon player at this point and mostly plays vs lefties. We saw this last game, when he took 2 AB's vs the lefty starter and was pinch-hit for after he was removed. In fact, during the regular season, he faced Quintana in 2 AB's and then was pinch-hit for when they brought in a righty RP. Now let's add to that. Quintana is likely to see a pretty short leash here in this one and the public/sharps have hammered his under 15.5 outs line (like we did). There is a good possibility that Sanchez only sees Quintana once or twice before being pinch-hit for in this elimination game. Sanchez is also a defensive liability so there would be no reason to keep him in late in the game for a defensive advantage.

2-leg Parlay (-179 @ MGM)(-150 w/ 20% Boost) 🦵 Navy ML + Under 48.5 🦵 Alabama ML I like the 2-legger a lot for the first leg. Unfortunately, MGM won't let you build a specific SGP teaser so if you don't have the boost, build a Navy ML and alt under. Alabama should roll today (no pun intended). We say how good their offense is against a very solid UGA defense. There is no way Vanderbilt's offense will be able to keep up today. I know the overall under for the Navy/AF game looks really low, but the under trends for these two teams are pretty insane. These games are 44-9-1 to the under over the last 54 meetings! It's typically a slugfest. I'm not worried about a weak AF offense, but Navy's offense is solid, so I like to grab an alt under here.

This price is wild. The man is over in 8 of L10 and his price was -200 or worse (and started at 1.5 walks). I know Judge hasn't been great, but walking is something he continues to do.