PvB Bets' Picks
Today
Pending
T.Rozier o2.5 Ast-115
POR
@MIA
1u
01/22 12:30 AM
T. Rozier ⬆️ 2.5 Assists (-115 @ Fanatics)
THE BOUNCE 📽️: 3.28 Assists
Rozier gives us a very solid floor with assists, even with Jimmy back in the starting lineup. He has 2+ assists in each of his last 5 and he cleared this mark in 3 of those games. Even with Jimmy back, Rozier saw 30+ mins in his last game off the bench. He operates as the primary distributor off the bench now.
In Rozier's last 3 with Butler, he has 5, 5 and 7 assists. Portland presents as a nice matchup, allowing the 8th most assists per game and 7th most to opposing PG's.
Rozier is only averaging 6.1 potential assists per game over his last 10, but at a good conversion rate of 3.4 assists per game. Blowout, as with most games today, is a concern, but we just need 3!
4
2
K.Oubre u6.5 Rebs-140
PHI
@DEN
1u
01/22 3:00 AM
K. Oubre ⬇️ 6.5 Rebound (-140 @ DraftKings)
THE BOUNCE 📽️: 6.17 Rebs
Back on this one! Oubre did us dirty last time, but we can't let that bias us. Philly should be getting back Yabusele and Drummond also might play. If both play we lock in plenty of value here.
Oubre has been solid on the boards recently with 6+ in the last 3 games, but gets a tough matchup tonight. DEN is a great rebounding team and has allowed the 7th fewest rebs per game and 2nd fewest per game to opposing SF's.
After getting the day off yesterday, Jokic, AG, MPJ and Westbrook should all be good to to go tonight. All of which are good rebounders for the Nuggets. Points is averaging 12.4 Reb chances per game over his last 10, so he's going to need to continue to be efficient to clear this mark. Finally, we have a lot of blowout potential here with a spread of -13 so there's a good chance he sees fewer mins.
3
2
M.Porter o1.5 Ast+155
PHI
@DEN
1u
01/22 3:00 AM
THE BOUNCE 📽️: 1.92 Asts
The underlying state for Porter aren't going to show a ton of support for this play, but there is just too much value here not to take even with the chance of a blowout.
Firstly, Porter Jr. Is averaging 2.4 as assists per game and the matchup isn't horrible. PHI allows the 15th most assists per game to opposing SF's this season. He's cleared this mark in 2 of his last 4 and 5 of L10.
The potentials are low, as expected. He averaging just 2 pAsts per game over L10, but also averaging 1.4 assists. He offers us a high conversion rate, likely bc he's only opting for high percentage assists if he's distributing. The main concern here is blowout, but you gotta score points to get to that range and we just need a pair of assists here!
5
2
Futures
Past Performance | |||
---|---|---|---|
Yesterday | 1-2-0 | 33% | -1.09u |
Last 7 Days | 11-7-1 | 58% | 2.41u |
Last 30 Days | 62-29-3 | 66% | 25.61u |
All Time | 119-93-4 | 55% | 13.39u |
Top Leagues | |||
---|---|---|---|
NBA | 68-39-4 | 61% | 22.73u |
NCAAF | 0-1-0 | 0% | -1.00u |
NHL | 0-1-0 | 0% | -1.00u |
NCAAB | 0-1-0 | 0% | -1.00u |
MLB | 6-8-0 | 43% | -2.88u |
NFL | 45-43-0 | 51% | -3.46u |
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