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Suggested Experts
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
2k followers6 active picks
Last 30d: 11-23-0 (+31.4u)
PJ Walsh
PJ Walsh
29k followers0 active picks
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NASCAR Betcenter
NASCAR Betcenter
279 followers0 active picks
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-1.5u)

NASCAR Expert Picks

Nick Giffen
1h ago
Last 30d: 11-23-0 (+31.4u)
Daniel Suarez +1500
Go Bowling at The Glen
1u
At Caesars: Showing 7.2% on Suarez to win, so there's value here. WG was one of his best tracks when he ran for a good JGR team. Now he runs for a good Trackhouse team.
7
1
Ross Chastain +1100
Go Bowling at The Glen
0.9u
At FD: Showing ross 9.5% to win, so like @jimsannes, I gotta bet Ross to win
8
Jim Sannes
6h ago
Last 30d: 7-20-0 (+9.3u)
Ross Chastain +1100
Go Bowling at The Glen
0.5u
Available at FanDuel. I was showing 0.1 percentage points of value on Chastain when he was at +1000. So when FanDuel lengthened him over night, it gave me the necessary cushion to bite. Chastain's win odds for me are 9.2%, up from 8.3% implied. He's there mostly due to the stellar speed he and Daniel Suarez have had on road courses this year. It also helps that Trackhouse has been competitive at the high-horsepower spots like Pocono given how fast Watkins Glen is relative to other road courses. I think the best Trackhouse bet would have been getting Suarez when he opened at +1800 earlier in the week. But I'll take the bait on the lengthening odds and buy into Chastain at this number.
1
Jordan McAbee
17h ago
Last 30d: 3-12-1 (+1.2u)
Kevin Harvick +140 vs Ryan Blaney
Go Bowling at The Glen
0.5u
Agree with the sentiment of @Pjwalsh24 and @nick_giffen here with Harvick over Blaney. Love the +140 odds too.
3
Chase Elliott +525
Go Bowling at The Glen
1.2u
Talked about this on the Stacking Dennys pod with @nick_giffen this week. Chase Elliott is SO good at Watkins Glen, and this team has so much speed right now. They’ll be gunning for even more Playoff points, too. Wanted to get in at +525 on PointsBet before he qualifies up front and goes shorter. #JordanJinx
5
Nick Giffen
1d ago
Last 30d: 11-23-0 (+31.4u)
Kevin Harvick +140 vs Ryan Blaney
Go Bowling at The Glen
1u
At DK: my model has Harvick +120 as fair, plus everything @Pjwalsh24 wrote up here: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nascar/nascar-odds-picks-predictions-driver-matchup-watkins-glen-sunday-august-21-2022
12
3
Jim Sannes
1d ago
Last 30d: 7-20-0 (+9.3u)
Joey Hand +2000 (Top 10)
Go Bowling at The Glen
0.3u
Available at FanDuel. Hand definitely had his worst road-course showing at Indianapolis, but he got caught up in some incidents that weren't always his fault. He still had decent speed in practice there, though, so he wasn't entirely off. With the speed Hand has shown through the year on road courses, +2000 just seems too long, especially given he has run a ton at Watkins Glen in other series (with wins here in two of those series). I've got Hand's top-10 odds above his implied mark of 4.8%. I'm guessing if they run this race 20 times, he's in the top 10 at least once. It doesn't feel super great, but I do think it's the right bet based on the numbers.
6
1
Dale Tanhardt
1d ago
Last 30d: 8-28-0 (-0.2u)
Chris Buescher +2500
Go Bowling at The Glen
0.5u
Line via DraftKings: Missed the Caesar’s line, but America wins this weekend if Christopher Buescher breaks through on Sunday. Excluding COTA where it was a struggle, Buescher’s runs on road courses have been stout. Finishes of 2nd at Sonoma, 6th at Road America and 10th at Indy (after overcoming his car literally catching on fire) have me high on Christopher as an underdog play. I’m also a believer in momentum. Kevin Harvick couldn’t buy a win over the past two years and after this win at Michigan, he ran through the field at Richmond. Buescher’s momentum after Richmond factors into this as well. Consider some Top 5 or Top 10 action as well.
4
3
Greg Matherne
1d ago
Last 30d: 12-23-0 (+12.2u)
Kevin Harvick +140
Go Bowling at The Glen
$100.00
My expected performance metric is not a fan of Blaney this week, while it really likes Kevin Harvick. That alone would make me want to take Harvick here, but beyond that, the current points situation between Blaney and Martin Truex Jr. suggests Blaney is likely to be off the optimal finishing strategy.
6
3
Nick Giffen
2d ago
Last 30d: 11-23-0 (+31.4u)
Cole Custer +380 (Top 10)
Go Bowling at The Glen
1u
At FD: Model shows value here, and I know @jimsannes model shows value here too, so I guess I gotta roll with it.
14
4

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