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Taylor has cleared this in back-to-back games and was the clear No. 1 target with 13 targets over that stretch, but that was also with Garrett Wilson out. With Wilson expected to return this week, Taylor should slide back to being the No. 2 target. This is also a game where I expect the Jets to lean on the run more. As 1.5-point underdogs, they’re projected to trail at a 31% lower rate than their season average, meaning they should be able to lean on the run at a higher rate here. It’s also a much tougher matchup for Taylor. The Browns use man coverage at the highest rate in the league, and his yards per route run drops from 1.12 vs zone to just 0.47 vs man. They run Cover 1 on a league-high 35% of snaps, and Taylor has a brutal -0.03 yards per route run across 30 routes against it. The Browns aren’t going to let him sit down in open zones like he’s been able to for a lot of his targets and he’ll likely have a defender glued to him on most routes, and that usually leads to Fields either finding another option or taking off to run. The Jets also just added AD Mitchell and John Metchie III, who could chip away at his target share as they get more involved. I’m projecting him closer to 24 yards with about a 64% chance to stay under 29.5