49ers vs. Seahawks Odds & Betting Predictions - October 11, 2024

49ers at Seahawks

12:15 am • Amazon Prime Video

San Francisco 49ers

0-1

36 - 24

Seattle Seahawks

0-0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
49ers 0-1	-5	-4-109	o49-110	-185
Seahawks 0-0-1	u46.5	+4-111	u49-110	+155

Friday 12:15 a.m.

October 11, 2024

Lumen FieldSeattle

Under 100 (Live)+142

2.84u

For the overnight challenge tennis last niggt, no line on action

J.Jennings o28.5 Rec Yds (Live)-115

G.Smith o7.5 Rush Yds (Live)-110

D.Samuel o103.5 Rec Yds (Live)-113

J.Jennings Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+850

0.25u

J.Smith-Njigba Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+450

0.5u

G.Smith o23.5 Pass Comp (Live)+108

1.08u

G.Smith u39.5 Pass Att (Live)-120

1.12u

B.Purdy o231.5 Pass Yds (Live)-115

0.87u

B.Purdy u1.5 Pass TDs (Live)+130

T.Lockett o18.5 Rec Yds (Live)-115

0.88u

Over 41.5 (Live)-120

T.Lockett o26.5 Rec Yds (Live)-111

0.9u

J.Smith-Njigba o29.5 Rec Yds (Live)-115

0.87u

D.Metcalf o72.5 Rec Yds (Live)-114

K.Walker o13.5 Rec Yds (Live)-112

0.89u

K.Walker o35.5 Rush Yds (Live)-118

SEA +13.5 (Live)-103

Just proving my friends are dumb but San Fran is ass

Under 24.5 (1H)-115

G.Kittle o4.5 Recs+115

1.15u

B.Aiyuk o64.5 Rec Yds-115

1.15u

N.Fant o21.5 Rec Yds-110

B.Aiyuk Anytime TD Scorer Yes+125

0.5u

Z.Charbonnet Anytime TD Scorer Yes+315

0.5u

SEA +3.5 (1H)-130

1.31u

D.Samuel Anytime TD Scorer Yes+135

1.35u

D.Metcalf o63.5 Rec Yds-115

1.15u

136 yards in the last meeting back in the playoffs. Purposely waited all day so I can react to the injury report for this one - 49ers S Talanoa Hufaunga and most importantly, CB Chavarius Ward (limited DK to 3 receptions on 9 targets last meeting) are OUT which should open the game up for separation on routes ran by Seattle’s WR1. Metcalf has continued where he left off last season averaging 84.2 receiving yards per game, going over his prop line in three of the five games this season, with one miss coming vs. lockdown coverage in DPOY candidate Pat Surtain. As a team, the 49ers rank 8th in target perfectage to perimeter wideouts where DK runs 84.1% of his routes but their defensive efficiency on YPRR has been low (32nd) which hasn’t been ideal. But with the secondary banged up this week, I see unrealized upside if the volume matches. And all week the team has talked about running the ball, and with it working it could also open up play-action passes and make them more effective for big DK plays to happen. It's also likely a negative gamescript in play, which could lead to more looks playing catchup vs. the 49ers as well. #PlayerProps

J.Mason 2+ TDs Yes+340

0.5u

Sprinkling some here for all the reasons listed in my last prop

J.Mason o17.5 Longest Rush-135

🔬Hitting this mark in all 5 games this season, Jordan now gets a banged up Seattle defense with a DT and edge out and a number of other questionable designations across the defense. 🔬This will be Seattles 3rd game in 11 days, this team is beat up and tired and can’t wait to get to a bye week. With SF having the 2nd highest run block advantage on PFF vs Seattle it should create lanes and allow Mason to get to the second level. 🔬Seahawks have allowed long rushes to - Tyrone Tracy:27, Gibbs:20, Gibson 45, Stevenson 18 🔬Also notable is the 49ers have 4 tight ends active for this game, on a short week they should be looking to pound the rock. If Mason gets over 74 yards he sets a 49ers record for most rush yards in the first six games that has stood since 2000.

SF -3.5-110

D.Samuel Anytime TD Scorer Yes+120

0.6u

J.Mason u9.5 Rec Yds-104

1.44u

B.Purdy o1.5 Pass TDs-118

$523.73

K.Walker u88.5 Rush + Rec Yds-115

0.87u

Under 49-112

0.56u

D.Metcalf Anytime TD Scorer Yes+145

1.5u

D.Metcalf First Touchdown Scorer Yes+1100

0.5u

D.Metcalf 2+ TDs Yes+1100

0.25u

K.Juszczyk o6.5 Rec Yds-120

0.83u

Tailing @shadybiev

Over 48.5-105

1.9u

K.Juszczyk o6.5 Rec Yds-120

1.5u

Over 48.5-110

Z.Charbonnet o2.5 Recs+118

G.Kittle o46.5 Rec Yds-115

N.Bosa o0.5 Sacks-157

1.25u

SEA +3+115

SEA +4+115

BQ (meant to be +3 alt line)

SF -3-129

0.78u

D.Samuel u4.5 Recs-121

1.65u

SF -2.5 (1H)-120

G.Smith o13.5 Rush Yds-113

1.13u

G.Kittle o48.5 Rec Yds-115

J.Jennings o2.5 Recs-111

Under 25.5 (1H)-125

SF u26.5-105

1.58u

Over 49-108

Under 49-110

@nick_giffen

SF -2.5 (1H)-110

0.91u

@The_Oddsmaker

G.Kittle Anytime TD Scorer Yes+175

1.75u

@nick_giffen

B.Purdy o12.5 Rush Yds-110

0.91u

@The_Oddsmaker

J.Smith-Njigba o46.5 Rec Yds-112

0.89u

@charliedisturco

B.Aiyuk Anytime TD Scorer Yes+165

@GDAWG5000

J.Smith-Njigba Anytime TD Scorer Yes+220

0.5u

@GDAWG5000

K.Walker o61.5 Rush Yds-110

1.1u

SF -3.5-110

0.45u

Under 49-110

B.Purdy o12.5 Rush Yds-110

0.5u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

B.Purdy o12.5 Rush Yds-110

G.Kittle Anytime TD Scorer Yes+175

1.75u

SEA +152

🔑 Seahawks ML +152 (FanDuel) 2u This might not be a popular pick but everyone and I mean everyone is on the Niners. Over 80% of the money coming in on them (Vegas don’t lose like that). I get why, they need this win and are a better team than how they have been playing. However, the Seahawks are legit and playing at home. Geno has looked different this year, their offense in general has been outstanding with their new OC. Ken Walker is a beast and if their D can make a few stops, it’s blouses. Great value for an undervalued team.

G.Kittle o46.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

T.Lockett o44.5 Rec Yds-114

0.88u

G.Smith o13.5 Rush Yds-125

K.Juszczyk Anytime TD Scorer Yes+700

3.5u

K.Juszczyk o7.5 Rec Yds-115

1.5u

T.Lockett 40+ Receiving Yards Yes+102

2.55u

30% boost

B.Purdy o7.5 Longest Rush-125

0.8u

SF o26.5 Team Total-115

1.74u

SF -3.5-105

2.5u

My friends don’t know ball

SEA +158

Seahawks are 3rd in Passing Yards 49ers defense is 29th in red zone efficiency I believe the only reason the 49ers are the favorites is because Brock Purdy is 4-0 vs Seattle.

G.Kittle Anytime TD Scorer Yes+175

1.75u

Tailing @shadybiev

T.Lockett 40+ Receiving Yards Yes-132

0.76u

Love this straight play for tonight. He has hit this line in 3/4 games this year and also hit this in 3/4 matchups against SF over the last 2 seasons. SEA attempts the most passes in the league per game so should see enough volume to get this

J.Jennings o30.5 Rec Yds-110

1.1u

J.Jennings o29.5 Rec Yds-120

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J.Jennings o2.5 Recs-105

0.95u

All Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found our Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/A8v49URQaG

SF -3.5-110

0.68u

R.Jenkins o6.5 Tackles + Ast-125

1.25u

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/49ers-vs-seahawks-prop-for-thursday-night-football-rayshawn-jenkins-tackles-bet

SF -2.5 (1H)-110

SEA +3.5-110

1.1u

Over 48.5-107

D.Metcalf Anytime TD Scorer Yes+142

0.5u

G.Kittle o47.5 Rec Yds-110

0.91u

Tailing @RoyalsProps

G.Kittle First Touchdown Scorer Yes+950

0.5u

Shall we do it again?

G.Kittle Anytime TD Scorer Yes+165

2.47u

G.Kittle o4.5 Recs+111

2.22u

G.Smith o13.5 Rush Yds-125

1.25u

Geno has been gaining a ton of yards on scrambles this season. He actually ranks 3rd amongst QBs in rushing yards off of scrambles (135, 27/game). As I mentioned last week with the Kyler Murray play, the 49ers have struggled with mobile QBs, and Geno is mobile when he needs to be. 49ers rank 10th in QB pressure & their blitz rate has been increasing as the season has gone along. PFF has the Seahawks O-Line graded as the t-5th worst pass blocking O-Line (52.8). Expecting to see Geno under some pressure here. Both the Lions/Giants have top 10 graded pass rushes and Geno had 38 & 72 rushing yards against those teams, respectively. Seahawks are 3.5 point underdogs at home, in a negative gamescript Geno will be dropping back to pass more often, which would give him more opportunities to scramble.

SEA +164

(2u FREEPLAY)

SEA +3.5-110

1.1u

Sandy

SEA +3.5-110

Never been this cold in my life

Under 24.5 (1H)-112

Johnny

K.Juszczyk o7.5 Rec Yds-120

1.25u

J.Mason o17.5 Longest Rush-115

0.87u

R.Jenkins o6.5 Tackles + Ast-122

1.22u

Tailing @RoyalsProps

SF -3.5-105

0.95u

#ProSystem Road Fav after Losing as a Fav Overall: 81-42-4,66% (ROI:29%) Season:2-1-0,67% (ROI:29%)

R.Jenkins o6.5 Tackles + Ast-125

1.25u

Seattle’s defensive line is still banged up which should open up the run game for San Fran. Jenkins plays over 50% in the box/slot and is heavily used in run support. Targeting a safety as 49ers love their outside zone and have the 5th most rushing attempts this season. Safeties/slot DBs heavily ivolved in the run game have had big games vs the 49ers Tony Adams: 12 TAs, Metellus/Bynum: 7/8 Curl/Lake 7/10 TAS Jabrill Peppers: 7 TAs Budda Baker 12 TAs

SF -3.5-105

J.Jennings o0.5 Rush Yds+1100

0.5u

All Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found our Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/A8v49URQaG

Under 49.5-110

1.1u

T.Lockett u45.5 Rec Yds-110

1.1u

Circa

D.Metcalf Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150

B.Aiyuk Anytime TD Scorer Yes+160

SF -3-115

1.74u

Took this on Monday but playable to -4 for me

Over 48.5-112

SEA +3.5-110

1.1u

B.Aiyuk Anytime TD Scorer Yes+165

B.Aiyuk 2+ TDs Yes+1300

0.25u

TD 🪜

Over 24.5 (1H)+105

1.5u

G.Kittle 50+ Receiving Yards Yes+100

0.5u

G.Kittle o19.5 Longest Reception-113

G.Kittle o47.5 Rec Yds-113

Love this spot for Kittle as Seattle has been susceptible to tight ends all year. Seattle’s strength in coverage this season is limiting the deep ball and playing through their corners. They play a healthy mix of man & zone which kIttle has been elite vs both for a TE. Seattle runs a lot of cover 3 and 2 high safety looks which limits deep concepts and leaves the middle of the field open where Kittle is deadly and should pick up a lot of YAC. Kittle is third in targets for the 9ers with 29 total and is back to being an elite weapon at TE. Seattle allows 8th most receptions & targets to TEs. TEs vs Seattle 👇🏻 Vele: 8 targets, 8 Recs, 39 yards Henry: 12 Ts, 8 Rs, 109 yards lng of 35 Laporta, 4 Ts, 4 Rs, 53 yards lng of 30 Theo Johnson: 5 Ts, 5 Rs, 48 yards lng of 22

SF -3.5-102

0.98u

Discussed on Covering the Spread this morning. Have the 49ers favored by nearly a touchdown here due to their offensive efficiency and the Seahawks' brutal defense thus far.

SF -1.5 (1H)-110

0.45u

Upcoming FREE PLAY🔪

J.Smith-Njigba Anytime TD Scorer Yes+220

Featured Insight
The 49ers have allowed a completion rate of 62.0% against a base front this season -- 8th-best in NFL; the Seahawks have allowed a completion rate of 70.0% with a base front this season -- 8th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
Seahawks QBs have a 117.6 passer rating against a heavy rush this season -- 8th-best in NFL; the 49ers have allowed a passer rating of 158.3 with a heavy rush this season -- worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Seahawks are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Seahawks are 1-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Seahawks are 4-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Seahawks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Seahawks' 9 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Seahawks	6-10-1	2-7	4-3-1	1-4-1	5-6
49ers	5-12	4-5	1-7	5-8	0-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Seahawks	9-8	4-5	5-3	4-2	5-6
49ers	10-7	5-4	5-3	7-6	3-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Seahawks	10-7	N/A	N/A	5-1	5-6
49ers	6-11	N/A	N/A	6-7	0-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 6th	NYG	L 20-29	-7 L	O 42.5	NYG -300
Oct 1st	@DET	L 29-42	+4 L	O 47	DET +170
Sep 22nd	MIA	W 24-3	-4.5 W	U 42	SEA -217
Sep 15th	@NE	W 23-20	-3 L	O 39.5	SEA -160
Sep 8th	DEN	W 26-20	-6.5 L	O 42.5	SEA -289

Trevis Gipson
LB
Gipson is out with ankle
Out

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49ers

Total

Seahawks

483

Total Yards

358

Total Plays

7.9

Yards Per Play

4.9

49ers

Passing

Seahawks

255

YDS

312

18/28

Comps/Atts

30/52

9.107

YPA

5.774

3/0

TDs/INTs

1/2

0/0

Sacks/Yards

1/6

49ers

Rushing

Seahawks

228

Rush Yards

Attempts

6.909

YPC

2.6

TDs

49ers

Turnovers

Seahawks

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

49ers

Efficiency

Seahawks

3/5 60%

Redzone

2/3 66.67%

5/12 0%

3rd Down

7/16 0%

0/0 0%

4th Down

2/3 0%

49ers

First Downs

Seahawks

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

49ers

Misc

Seahawks

5/34

Penalties/Yards

9/69

33:03

Possession

26:57

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MatchupOverUnder
49ers 0-1	o26.5-115	u26.5-105
Seahawks 0-0-1	o22.5-110	u22.5-110

49ers vs. Seahawks Odds & Betting Predictions - October 11, 2024

49ers at Seahawks

San Francisco 49ers

Seattle Seahawks

49ers at Seahawks Odds

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49ers vs. Seahawks Public Betting Percentages

49ers

Public

Seahawks

Bets%

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