Sean Koerner

Sean Koerner

2443 Posts
Sean Koerner
2443 Posts
Role
Director of Predictive Analytics
Experience
20 years
Location
Los Angeles
Total Bets
4K
Followers
436.7K

Experience

Sean is one of the most decorated fantasy analysts in the industry, finishing first in the FantasyPros In-Season Accuracy standings in 2023 – which measures almost all fantasy football analysts on their in-season projections over the course of the season. You can read more about their methodology here. He also won the in-season ranking title in 2015, 2016 and 2017. This past season, he not only finished first overall, but was the No. 1 ranker out of 180+ entrants in running back, wide receiver and kicker rankings. He was top 10 in quarterbacks and tight ends, as well.

His 2023 performance was arguably the best in the contest’s history:

  • It was a record fourth No. 1 finish in the accuracy contest
  • He was the first expert in history to be No. 1 at multiple positions (RB + WR)
  • He was the expert to finish top 10 at every position

Sean started to become obsessed with sports betting & fantasy football ever since his father took him to Las Vegas for his annual fantasy football draft (at 8 years old). Sean started trying to project teams/players ever since and almost every action/decision he's made since has led him to where he is today. He began betting 20 years ago and began his sports betting/fantasy sports career as soon as he graduated from college in 2007. Prior to joining Action in 2018, he worked for MGM, RotoHog/FastPoint games, Bloomberg Sports, STATS.

Sean began his betting career in college by building sports betting models. He eventually turned into a bookie in college before moving to Vegas to work at Excalibur Sportsbook as a supervisor. He decided to move back to California to begin a career in fantasy sports/betting at RotoHog as a product manager. That was when he began entering his season-long fantasy projections into the FSTA contests and won the award for most accurate season-long NFL & MLB projections 2-3 times each.

He then moved to NY to work for Bloomberg Sports as a product manager and Head of Projections. They were eventually acquired by STATS where he maintained the same role as a product manager. That was when he began entering his weekly NFL rankings into the FantasyPros accuracy contest and won first place 3 years in a row from 2015-2017. He joined Action Network in 2018.

Education

Sean has a BA in Psychology from Long Beach State and took multiple advanced stats classes. He spent most of his time in the library reading stats/sports betting books, creating prediction models, and using them to bet on various sports (MLB, NFL, NBA, WNBA, etc.).

Specialties

  • NFL
  • College football
  • College basketball
  • Player projections
  • Have created team/player projection models for essentially every sport at some point 
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Sean Koerner's Picks

Today
Pending
Scoring has been way up across the WNBA through the first week of the 2026 season. Teams are playing at a much faster pace, roughly 4-5 more possessions per game, while also shooting far more efficiently. The market has correctly adjusted upward, which is why we’re seeing much higher totals across today’s three-game slate, but this is the matchup where I think things may have gone a bit too far. The Mercury have actually been playing at a bottom-3 pace so far, but they’ve been absolutely lights out shooting the ball, including making 48% of their 3s through two games. I do expect some regression there, which makes them a nice sell-high candidate. The Lynx will also still be without MVP candidate Napheesa Collier, and I think we see Nia Coffey play around 30 minutes again tonight, which is always good for the under no matter what year we are in. I’d be very careful blindly betting unders right now with scoring exploding league-wide, but even after factoring in many of the reasons for the high-scoring start, this feels like one of the first spots where the market may be overcorrecting a bit. I’m projecting this closer to 165.5. For context, this matchup probably would’ve been lined closer to 161.5 using last year’s league environment, so you can see how aggressively the market has adjusted, and mostly for good reason. But this feels like a decent sell-high spot for these two teams specifically.
54
7
Futures
Past Performance
Yesterday0-0-00%
0.00u
Last 7 Days14-12-054%
0.99u
Last 30 Days47-47-149%
3.37u
All Time2183-1789-3554%
237.88u
Top Leagues
NFL1225-970-2055%
141.31u
MLB337-301-552%
38.71u
NCAAB313-254-355%
31.47u
WNBA150-118-355%
20.97u
NCAAF38-28-256%
5.17u
Golf8-10-044%
1.54u
World Baseball Classic2-0-0100%
1.00u
UFL5-4-056%
0.60u
NBA105-101-250%
-2.50u
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Patrick Mahomes under 30.5 rushing yards for Super Bowl LIV. He had 44 yards going into the final drive. Kneeled down 3 times for -15 yards to drop down to 29 yards and hit the under
Most Heartbreaking Bet
Max bet Jimmy Graham under 23.5 rec yards in the WC playoff game against NO in 2020. He had 6 yards heading into the final drive with the Bears down 3-21. On the final play of the game, Mitch Trubisky finds Graham in the back of the end zone for an insane one handed grab for a 19-yard garbage time TD. Graham finished with 25 yards and I'm still tilted by this. Side note: Stuckey was on this prop with me.