Sean Zerillo

Small to -160 after line has moved in

SGP

Via @Bward586

FD is letting you place both correlated and uncorrelated playoff parlays and other future SGPs Didnt see better prices on SEA and DET to make elsewhere; have them at -1251 and -179 in my model. Public projections lower on SEA (-543) but still big +EV and higher on DET (proj. -220) than me Can find better prices on ATH and MIN miss elsewhere but I still make them -1823 and -1182 to miss (public -354 and -672). Felt like this was a good way to take more exposure to SEA + DET consensus (pays out +133 together as a 2-leg if you prefer to simplify) Biggest +EV parlay edge is HOU and CIN together (pays +170) both to miss but uncorrelated and can get +100 and -180 individually rather than -110 and -255 parlayed you shop around.

Added 11/22

Added 11/22

My Projection: 69.1% (-224 implied odds) Avg. Public Projections = 62.5% (high of 66%) Low projection is 59%. Bet to -130 Full stake is 1.5u

Bet to 93

Bet to +400

My Projection: 45.9% (+118 implied) Avg. Public Projections = 46.8% (high of 54.8%) Bet to +125

My Projection: 41.3% (+142 implied) Avg. Public Projections = 34.1% (high of 44.3%) Bet to +175

Stake is 1.5

Bet to +135. My full team futures guide is live . Please read - I will wait to add the remaining bets to the App: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-predictions-2026-win-total-over-under-picks-playoff-world-series-bets?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo

To reiterate, you can find team futures here - i will enter them in App on Monday: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-predictions-2026-win-total-over-under-picks-playoff-world-series-bets Will release player stat props this week, but this is the biggest prop edge on the board IMO Avg. Projection: 33.6; Low of 30 from Steamer, high of 36 from ZIPS DC. My sim makes the fair line -182 for 30+ and would take it to -150. Also a nice edge on 40+ at +450 for Rooker - will discuss this prop and others in the stat leaders articles this week

Bet to 81.5

Bet to 52

Bet to 84.5

Bet to 86

Bet to 73.5

Bet to 91.5

Bet to 78.5

Bet to 90

Bet to 83

Bet to 70.5

Bet to 78.5

Bet to 78.5

Bet to 84.5.

Updated stake = 2u. Bet to +100

Bet to +350

Bet to -150

Bet to -110

Bet to -250

Bet to 73.5. Had Over in article - accidentally tracked Under in App initially. Bet is OVER - my apologies for any confusion

Bet to +150. Think their win total is fine but downside tails to missing postseason closer to 50/50 in my sim. PECOTA/FG still have them around 85% to make but have already lost Schwelly and Waldrep. Strider, Reylo showing early spring velo concerns. Sale is also 37 with history if back/shoulder/elbow issues. Only pushback IMO is sizing as the early scheduele looks relatively soft - may get a better price to place this same bet in mid April

Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article! My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves Will track remaining bets in App next week

Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article! My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves Will track remaining bets in App next week

Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article! My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves Will track remaining bets in App next week

Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article! My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves Will track remaining bets in App next week

Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article! My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves Will track remaining bets in App next week

Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article! My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves Will track remaining bets in App next week

Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article! My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves Will track remaining bets in App next week

Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article! My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves Will track remaining bets in App next week

Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article! My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves Will track remaining bets in App next week

Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article! My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves Will track remaining bets in App next week

Bet365. Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article! My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves Will track remaining bets in App next week

MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time

MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time

MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time

MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time

MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time

MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time

Bumping to 0.5u after Profar suspension. No team has had a worse spring

Final preseason team futures adds. Bet to +900 to fill out SEA portfolio. Every public projection (avg. +851) aside from BAT at 10% or higher on WS odds. Im at +623. AL West odds best bet on the board still (make -399, public projections make -192, BAT lowest at 53% still +EV.

Bet to 88. Already on odds to miss playoffs and win total correllated with MIA/WSH overs and Mets division bet

Bet to 65. Dropped too low from opener of 68 - correlated with Phils and Braves unders, keep smaller

Adding - updated position now 1.5u. Bet to 75. Biggest win total Over edge. HOU biggest Under edge at 86.5 still (DK)

Bet to +140. Not a ton of depth but main roster is high end. snatching an off market price

HardRock. My updated projected favorite assuming he makes OD roster and if not will be back in 2 week. Bet to +400 Okamoto also +EV at this point with Yesavage down but still have him second; McGonigle projects better for WAR the only question was playing time

Bet to +350. Projection improves and becomes a slightly clearer favorite in my model with Griffin going down for seasoning. Some McLean prices +EV too but proj. Closer to +340; bigger edge and safer investment/lower injury risk on JJ

Recent addition. From final team futures update - forgot to track here. Bet to +450

Apoligies for the incoming notifications - tracking all remaining player props. I will note if the bet was a recent addition - most are from from my player prop stats article and awards article from late Feb / Early Mrch. Bet to +450

Bet to +4500

Bet to +1600

Bet to +5000

Bet to +4000

Would not bet - Dead ticket after injury but tracking b/c in futures article

Bet to +5000

RECENT ADDITION - bet to +6000

Bet to +1300

Bet to +1750; urging caution with spring velo

Bet to +2000

HardRock. NEWLY ADDED - i actually placed this and discussed this in my article but didnt track it in there or here. Bet to +2500

HardRock

365

365

365

365

Added 4/10. Does not have to be a big bet but you need a ticket at this point bc we are reaching or exceeding 2003 Eric Gagne levels of dominance