About the Author
Sean graduated from the University of Miami and Hofstra University Law School, later passing the New York State Bar Exam in 2014. He shifted from a legal career to sports data and betting, joining the Action Network in 2019 after working as a baseball video scout and in financial regulatory compliance. As a senior writer and betting analyst, Sean provides MLB and MMA projections using proprietary models and contributes to various digital content and podcasts, becoming a leading expert in betting for baseball, MMA, and horse racing.
More from Sean Zerillo
Max Holloway vs Charles Oliveira BEST BETS! | UFC 326 Betting Preview | The Action Network Podcast
Sean Zerillo's Picks
Today
Pending
SF Giants’ NL West Finishing Position: 2nd+290
0.25u
Bet to +250
27
Futures
New York Islanders+10000
2025-26 NHL Stanley Cup - To Win
0.05u
Added 11/22
10
New York Islanders+5000
2025-26 NHL Eastern Conference - To Win
0.1u
Added 11/22
13
New York Islanders (Yes)+120
2025-26 NHL To Make The Playoffs
0.25u
Entering a seven game homestand (added 11/22).
Athletic (always low on NYI) has them ~30% but four other public projections between 55%-75%. Homer bet too but things are falling into place for this team.
Sorokin finally getting back into form w/ new goalie coach. Superstar No. 1 pick joining Horvat+Barzal = 4 all-star calibre players. Shabanov maybe about to explode too. Depth to use in trades to sure up weaknesses.
Barzal due for an annual injury so this isn’t a slam dunk but as long as Sorokin plays to his potential this is an above avg. hockey team
8
Seattle Mariners+130
2026 MLB AL West - To Win
1u
My Projection: 69.1% (-224 implied odds)
Avg. Public Projections = 62.5% (high of 66%)
Low projection is 59%. Bet to -130
Full stake is 1.5u
115
Seattle Mariners o89.5-120
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.2u
Bet to 93
124
Seattle Mariners+600
2026 MLB American League - To Win
1u
Bet to +400
124
Detroit Tigers+165
2026 MLB AL Central - To Win
1.5u
My Projection: 45.9% (+118 implied)
Avg. Public Projections = 46.8% (high of 54.8%)
Bet to +125
107
Milwaukee Brewers+335
2026 MLB NL Central - To Win
1u
My Projection: 41.3% (+142 implied)
Avg. Public Projections = 34.1% (high of 44.3%)
Bet to +175
105
Seattle Mariners+130
2026 MLB AL West - To Win
0.5u
Stake is 1.5
34
New York Mets+185
2026 MLB NL East - To Win
1u
Bet to +135. My full team futures guide is live . Please read - I will wait to add the remaining bets to the App: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-predictions-2026-win-total-over-under-picks-playoff-world-series-bets?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
103
Brent Rooker o28.5-120
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Home Runs
0.3u
To reiterate, you can find team futures here - i will enter them in App on Monday: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-predictions-2026-win-total-over-under-picks-playoff-world-series-bets
Will release player stat props this week, but this is the biggest prop edge on the board IMO
Avg. Projection: 33.6; Low of 30 from Steamer, high of 36 from ZIPS DC.
My sim makes the fair line -182 for 30+ and would take it to -150. Also a nice edge on 40+ at +450 for Rooker - will discuss this prop and others in the stat leaders articles this week
67
Cincinnati Reds u83.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.1u
Bet to 81.5
55
Colorado Rockies o51.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Bet to 52
25
Houston Astros u86.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Bet to 84.5
50
Milwaukee Brewers o84.5-106
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.06u
Bet to 86
56
Minnesota Twins u74.5-115
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.58u
Bet to 73.5
54
New York Yankees u92.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.1u
Bet to 91.5
43
Pittsburgh Pirates o76.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Bet to 78.5
45
Philadelphia Phillies u90.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.1u
Bet to 90
28
San Diego Padres u85.5-114
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.14u
Bet to 83
58
St. Louis Cardinals o69.5+100
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.5u
Bet to 70.5
61
Tampa Bay Rays o76.5+100
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1u
Bet to 78.5
54
Pittsburgh Pirates o77.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Bet to 78.5
27
Houston Astros u85.5-106
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.53u
Bet to 84.5.
21
Detroit Tigers+165
2026 MLB AL Central - To Win
0.5u
Updated stake = 2u. Bet to +100
43
Pittsburgh Pirates Yes+425
2026 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.1u
Bet to +350
78
Houston Astros No+155
2026 MLB To Make the Playoffs
1u
Bet to -150
62
San Diego Padres No+135
2026 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.75u
Bet to -110
54
Cincinnati Reds No-160
2026 MLB To Make the Playoffs
1.6u
Bet to -250
49
Miami Marlins o72.5-108
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.08u
Bet to 73.5. Had Over in article - accidentally tracked Under in App initially. Bet is OVER - my apologies for any confusion
45
Atlanta Braves No+195
2026 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.25u
Bet to +150. Think their win total is fine but downside tails to missing postseason closer to 50/50 in my sim. PECOTA/FG still have them around 85% to make but have already lost Schwelly and Waldrep. Strider, Reylo showing early spring velo concerns. Sale is also 37 with history if back/shoulder/elbow issues.
Only pushback IMO is sizing as the early scheduele looks relatively soft - may get a better price to place this same bet in mid April
56
Framber Valdez+3000
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
52
Logan Webb+2000
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
48
Bryan Woo+5000
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.05u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
52
Andres Munoz+1600
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Saves
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
50
Devin Williams+1600
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Saves
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
41
Shohei Ohtani+1400
2026 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.15u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
58
Kyle Schwarber+3500
2026 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
52
Chandler Simpson+500
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.15u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
46
Victor Scott+2500
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
40
Juan Soto+2500
2026 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.1u
Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
41
Munetaka Murakami o26.5-110
2026 MLB Regular Season - Total Home Runs
0.17u
Bet365. Posting Best Bets initially - for the entire card, please read the article!
My Player Stat Leaders & Milestones Preview is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-futures-bets-stat-leader-predictions-picks-home-runs-hits-stolen-bases-strikeouts-wins-saves
Will track remaining bets in App next week
33
Tarik Skubal+400
2026 MLB American League Cy Young
0.4u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
39
Cristopher Sanchez+1200
2026 MLB National League Cy Young
0.1u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
37
Juan Soto+800
2026 MLB National League MVP
0.2u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
43
Gunnar Henderson+2250
2026 MLB American League MVP
0.1u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
35
Chase DeLauter+2500
2026 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
40
Bubba Chandler+1400
2026 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
MLB Awards Guide is Live: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-award-predictions-picks-mvp-cy-young?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=seanzerillo
Please read the article. Will track the remaining bets at a later time
43
Atlanta Braves No+195
2026 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.25u
Bumping to 0.5u after Profar suspension. No team has had a worse spring
33
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 2-3-0 | 40% | -0.84u |
| Last 7 Days | 17-17-0 | 50% | 0.96u |
| Last 30 Days | 77-74-1 | 51% | 16.17u |
| All Time | 13789-14736-1040 | 47% | 139.47u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 7387-7921-765 | 46% | 154.58u |
| NFL | 1394-1183-45 | 53% | 40.08u |
| UFC | 1364-1837-14 | 42% | 21.53u |
| World Baseball Classic | 50-24-1 | 67% | 19.23u |
| WTA | 125-116-8 | 50% | 8.68u |
| Champions | 98-81-9 | 52% | 8.53u |
| NBA | 526-477-13 | 52% | 7.48u |
| La Liga | 86-77-15 | 48% | 4.36u |
| World Cup | 20-32-1 | 38% | 3.20u |
| European Championship | 18-14-2 | 53% | 2.38u |
| UFL | 6-5-0 | 55% | 1.78u |
| MENS_OLYMPIC_HOCKEY | 4-0-0 | 100% | 1.21u |
| Serie A | 116-107-19 | 48% | 0.89u |
| WNBA | 6-3-0 | 67% | 0.82u |
| Boxing | 2-2-0 | 50% | 0.10u |
| MLS | 47-39-16 | 46% | -0.22u |
| Europa League | 0-1-1 | 0% | -0.58u |
| Golf | 12-66-0 | 15% | -2.36u |
| NASCAR | 0-14-0 | 0% | -2.81u |
| Bundesliga | 111-115-20 | 45% | -3.11u |
| Premier League | 225-248-46 | 43% | -14.08u |
| ATP | 252-319-9 | 43% | -20.04u |
| NHL | 513-595-0 | 46% | -22.18u |
| NCAAB | 621-636-17 | 49% | -29.00u |
| NCAAF | 784-796-38 | 48% | -50.14u |
On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
I only remember the bad beats.
Most Heartbreaking Bet
In 2012, I bet Josh Hamilton (+4000) to finish as the MLB HR king. He hit 43 home runs, with his last coming on September 24th. Miguel Cabrera tied Hamilton on September 29th, and surpassed him on October 1st — with two games remaining in the season.