Vikings vs. Chargers Odds & Betting Predictions - October 24, 2025
Vikings at Chargers
12:15 am • Amazon Prime VideoVikings at Chargers Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Vikings 3-4 | +3.5 | +3.5-118 | o44.5-118 | +148 |
Chargers 5-3 | u42.5 | -3.5-106 | u44.5-106 | -172 |

SoFi StadiumInglewood
Vikings vs. Chargers Expert Picks
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 41-60-0 (+5.2u)
J.Jefferson Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+200
1u
Live after LAC makes it 14-0
Babs .
Last 30d: 94-110-3 (-11.7u)
K.Vidal 50+ Receiving Yards Yes+997
0.2u
Tailing Davis Sanchez
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 84-65-1 (+15.9u)
Under 45-110
0.55u
Babs .
Last 30d: 94-110-3 (-11.7u)
O.Gadsden u44.5 Rec Yds-112
1u
A.Jones o15.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
David Payne
Last 30d: 8-11-0 (-3.5u)
MIN +100
1.5u
#SodaBet
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 26-26-0 (+0.1u)
MIN +4-120
0.3u
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 35-34-1 (-2.5u)
LAC -3-110
1u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 105-110-1 (-16.9u)
LAC -3-120
0.83u
Bet Labs
Last 30d: 20-19-0 (+2.4u)
Under 44.5-110
1.1u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 120-98-4 (+15.3u)
LAC -2.5-120
0.83u
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 170-173-2 (+4.6u)
A.Jones o21.5 Rush Yds-120
1u
J.Mason o52.5 Rush Yds-112
1u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 64-38-3 (+47.2u)
LAC -3-120
1.67u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 41-60-0 (+5.2u)
M.Price Anytime TD Scorer Yes+4500
0.1u
Myles Price anytime TD (+4500 DraftKings, 0.1u, +4000 at FD is fine)
The Price is Right
Price is MIN's punt returner and main kick returner
LAC is dead last in the NFL in DVOA and yards per return on kickoffs, so when MIN does get a return they should be much more efficient, especially having faced a more difficult kickoff coverage than average schedule on the season so far.
MIN should also have an overall higher volume of kickoff returns for twofold reason
1. The Chargers are a better offense than they've faced on average this year, so an extra score or two is likely
2. Chargers K Cameron Dicker kicks into touchbacks at the ninth lowest rate, and has had zero out of bounds kickoffs and zero kickoffs short of the landing zone, so in total Dicker allows the sixth-highest rate of returns per kickoff
Add in punts, which while should be lower in volume thanks to the Chargers strong offense and lower rate of returnable punts, they've been pretty neutral in punt return coverage.
Adjusting these punt and kick volumes and efficiencies by the opposing defenses to Price's volume and efficiency numbers, and I'm getting 37-1 as fair, so The Price is Right at 45-1 for an anytime TD
The Propfessor
Last 30d: 38-50-0 (+4.3u)
J.Jefferson o5.5 Recs-128
0.78u
Sir Lockselot
Last 30d: 30-61-0 (-18.9u)
MIN +140
2u
📚Player Profit
🔑 Vikings ML +140 (Player Profit) 2u
Wentz is undefeated in his career on TNF. The Chargers are banged up, i like the value here with the Vikings.
Code: sirlocks for 10% off when you get funded at https://www.playerprofit.com/
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 48-34-0 (+7.4u)
J.Metellus o6.5 Tackles + Ast-106
0.53u
This is a good spot to buy low on Metellus, who’s only cleared this number in 2 of 6 games. With Harrison Smith returning to his full-time role, we saw Metellus shift back to the usage that made him so valuable last season. He lined up in the “sweet spot” (box/slot) at a 37% higher rate than his season average and played only one snap deep after spending 40% of his season there prior. That role change alone gives him about a +1.0 expected tackle boost tonight, as he’ll be more involved against the run while still staying active in coverage—he actually leads the team with 21 tackles in coverage this year.
The Vikings are expected to face about +5.5 more completions than their season average against the Chargers’ pass-heavy offense, which directly increases Metellus’ tackle opportunities, even though they project to face 6.9 fewer rush attempts. It’s also worth noting his schedule has been tough—he’d have roughly +3.5 more tackles this year if he’d faced a league-average slate for safeties.
The Chargers are the ideal matchup for him since their offense boosts tackle opportunities for LB/CB/S hybrids like Metellus by roughly +8%. The one downside is that L.A.’s scorekeeper tends to be stingy with assists, consistently ranking near the bottom of the league in that category. However, Metellus doesn’t rely heavily on assists and records a high rate of solo tackles.
A sneaky angle would be taking his tackles-only prop at over 4.5 (+124), which removes the scorekeeper variable entirely. I’m sticking with over 6.5 tackles + assists since I still project him at 7.3 even after adjusting for the scoring environment..roughly a 60% chance to clear 6.5 given the return to his usual role in the “sweet spot”.
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 41-60-0 (+5.2u)
MIN o20.5 Team Total+100
1u
Min TT o20.5 (1u, +100 at Bet365)
In 4 games with Wentz + Darrisaw Sched-adj Expected Score is right about 25.5 pts/gm
Chargers are right around league avg D, even accounting for HFA I have well above 20.5 (closer to 24 for MIN TT)
Addison in 4th game back from suspension, Aaron Jones to play, first game with a full complement of weapons on offense for MIN
Can run all over this Chargers D on the outsides
LAC allows just over 6 ypc on runs to the left *and* on runs to the right when looking at runs at least 14 yards away from the end zone and removing QB scrambles
MIN runs to the outsides at the 5th highest rate in the league
J.Mason 70+ Rushing Yards Yes+220
0.5u
Jordan Mason 70+ rush yds +220 at DK (0.5u)
Can run all over this Chargers D on the outsides
This isn’t anything new, same angle Sean used a lot last year and they’ve been even worse this year on outside runs
MIN uses outside runs at the 5th highest rate, esp with Mason where 81% of his runs go either right or left
LAC allows just over 6 ypc on runs to the left *and* on runs to the right when looking at runs at least 14 yards away from the end zone and removing QB scrambles
At 13 projected carries with 90% coming at least 14 yds away and 80% to the outside, that’d be around 9-9.5 carries where the opposing defense allows 6 ypc! That’s almost 60 yards right there on average
Add in middle runs and inside 14 yd line runs and 70 is quite attainable
LAC allows the 3rd highest explosive run rate
Even if Aaron Jones eats into some workload, Mason can always bust one against a D that allows you to bust em
Agree with Sean on MIN to cover, more run-heavy script if they do cover
Showing most value at 70+ yds +220
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 104-120-8 (+0.2u)
Under 44.5-105
0.53u
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 29-30-0 (-2.4u)
J.Herbert o23.5 Pass Comp+100
1u
MJC Locks
Last 30d: 12-31-0 (+0.9u)
K.Mack o0.25 Sacks+174
1.31u
Matt DiLeo
Last 30d: 41-37-0 (-2.1u)
T.Hockenson o3.5 Recs-134
1u
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 115-127-2 (+36.9u)
Under 44.5-110
1u
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Allan Lem
Last 30d: 139-106-3 (+7.8u)
MIN +3.5-110
0.55u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 41-60-0 (+5.2u)
MIN +3.5-110
0.28u
Small because I'll have another related play on Action Island
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 48-34-0 (+7.4u)
MIN +3.5-110
0.55u
Full write up in my TNF betting preview
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 38-82-0 (+9.0u)
O.Gadsden 5+ Receptions Yes+145
0.73u
Lock & Cash
Last 30d: 21-14-0 (+9.9u)
J.Mason Anytime TD Scorer Yes+115
1u
Anders
Last 30d: 10-16-0 (-9.8u)
MIN +3.5-115
1.15u
Analysis on Tiktok/Twitter
Roger Goodell
Last 30d: 42-42-1 (+3.5u)
O.Gadsden o40.5 Rec Yds-115
0.43u
PvB Bets
Last 30d: 3-4-0 (-1.7u)
K.Vidal o2.5 Recs-122
1u
Kimani Vidal ⬆️ 2.5 Receptions (-122 @ FanDuel)(LAC)
Collab w/ @SC_FFB 🤝
4+ targets and 3+ receptions in both games as the starter, averaging 3.5 grabs on 4.5 targets, while running a route on 62.9% of Justin Herbert's dropbacks and seeing a 9.3% target share in Weeks 6-7.
Hassan Haskins is out, maintaining his role as the RB2 without Omarian Hampton (IR), playing on 31.2% of the Chargers' offensive snaps and running a route on 34% of the team's dropbacks in Week 6-7, seeing three targets (3.1% target share) over the last two games.
The Vikings allow 5.5 targets and 4.2 receptions per game to opposing backfields. This looks like a good spot for Vidal in a pass heavy offense!
Matt DiLeo
Last 30d: 41-37-0 (-2.1u)
Both Teams To Make 33+ Yard FG-130
0.77u
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 90-108-2 (-25.9u)
K.Allen o5.5 Recs+108
0.93u
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 89-101-1 (-8.7u)
K.Allen o5.5 Recs+108
1u
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 38-82-0 (+9.0u)
J.Addison Anytime TD Scorer Yes+220
1.1u
K.Vidal Anytime TD Scorer Yes+130
0.65u
J.Jefferson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150
0.5u
CeeJ Sports
Last 30d: 7-6-0 (-0.1u)
W.Reichard o1.5 FGs Made-115
1.15u
C.Dicker o1.5 FGs Made-125
1u
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 70-76-2 (-27.4u)
Under 44.5-106
3u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 27-86-1 (-14.4u)
J.Jefferson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150
0.5u
Accidentally only put 0.5U
J.Addison Anytime TD Scorer Yes+220
2.2u
J.Jefferson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150
0.5u
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 90-108-2 (-25.9u)
J.Jefferson o79.5 Rec Yds-114
1.14u
K.Allen o5.5 Recs+112
0.89u
Derek Carty
Last 30d: 22-20-0 (+6.6u)
J.Mason u1.5 Recs+128
1.28u
There is a value opportunity on Jordan Mason's receptions prop. THE BLITZ is projecting him to record 1.05 receptions, while sportsbooks imply 2.11. The model believes there is a 70% chance he records fewer than 1.5 receptions, so there is some value on the under at +128. (This play is good down to at least -153.)
(NOTE: If Aaron Jones doesn't play, this loses significant value. I'm expecting Jones to play, though.)
Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 96-99-1 (+0.6u)
K.Allen o5.5 Recs+112
2u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 81-101-0 (-12.0u)
MIN +3.5+109
1u
Boosted johnson
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 72-77-2 (-1.1u)
K.Vidal u15.5 Rush Att-119
1.19u
C.Wentz o2.5 Rush Att-134
1.34u
J.Mason o55.5 Rush Yds-110
1.1u
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 170-173-2 (+4.6u)
C.Wentz u235.5 Pass Yds-115
0.87u
#MaoDong
Babs .
Last 30d: 94-110-3 (-11.7u)
K.Mack o0.25 Sacks+168
1.68u
T.Tuipulotu o0.25 Sacks+105
1.05u
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 104-120-8 (+0.2u)
K.Vidal Anytime TD Scorer Yes+130
1.3u
Kenny Ducey
Last 30d: 17-22-0 (-7.2u)
MIN +3.5-117
1.17u
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 74-79-1 (-1.4u)
J.Jefferson o26.5 Longest Reception-114
1u
Roger Goodell
Last 30d: 42-42-1 (+3.5u)
MIN +3.5-110
1u
Invisible Insider
Last 30d: 11-8-0 (+1.3u)
LAC -3-120
0.83u
BANGER.
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 170-173-2 (+4.6u)
L.McConkey u5.5 Recs-148
1u
T.Hockenson u35.5 Rec Yds-115
0.87u
C.Wentz u228.5 Pass Yds-115
0.87u
#MaoDong
Roger Goodell
Last 30d: 42-42-1 (+3.5u)
J.Mason Anytime TD Scorer Yes+115
1u
MJC Locks
Last 30d: 12-31-0 (+0.9u)
C.Wentz o2.5 Rush Att-122
1.22u
LAC this season has allowed:
-2nd Most QB Rush Attempts
-3rd Most QB Rush Yards
-3rd Highest QB Scramble Rate
6 of 7 QBs they have faced went over their Rush Attempts line:
✅ Danny Dimes 5
❌ Tua Tagovailoa 1
✅ Jayden Daniels 8
✅ Jaxson Dart 10
✅ Bo Nix 8
✅ Geno Smith 5
✅ Patrick Mahomes 6
Wentz has gone over his line in each of the last 2 games & has scrambled 2, 2, 3, 2 times in his 4 starts.
I think Minnesota could win this game too, so kneeldowns could work in our favor here.
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 104-120-8 (+0.2u)
K.Vidal Anytime TD Scorer Yes+135
0.14u
Under 44.5-105
1.05u
LAC -3-120
1u
Royals Props
Last 30d: 31-18-2 (+9.3u)
J.Jefferson o78.5 Rec Yds-113
1.13u
DK: Jettas draws a nice matchup vs a Chargers team who’s struggling defensively. Currently running zone at a top 2 rate, specifically heavily cov 3/4 which Jettas has been destroying with his deep concepts
He’s seen 10+ targets in 3 straight matchups which is simply elite volume & vs general zone he’s recorded a 3.67 Y/RR which is the 2nd highest in all of football behind Puka
WRs have put up big number against LAC recently: Sutton 118, Pierce 98, Samuel 96, and Waddle 95. Jettas up next.
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 96-99-1 (+0.6u)
J.Jefferson o79.5 Rec Yds-114
1.71u
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 139-106-3 (+7.8u)
O.Gadsden o37.5 Rec Yds-114
0.5u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 48-34-0 (+7.4u)
O.Gadsden 70+ Receiving Yards Yes+430
0.43u
Projecting closer to +300
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 27-86-1 (-14.4u)
O.Gadsden o37.5 Rec Yds-114
0.5u
#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 48-34-0 (+7.4u)
O.Gadsden 50+ Receiving Yards Yes+178
0.36u
Projecting closer to +120
O.Gadsden o37.5 Rec Yds-114
0.5u
Locking this in now because I think it closes around 44.5 after his historic Week 7 (most rec yds in a game by a rookie TE since 1985). He’s a player I was high on before this two game stretch (gives me Darren Waller vibes) and is the clear lead TE for the Chargers now. I’m being fairly conservative with my projections to get his median at 44.5 so I’m also going to sprinkle on some of his alt overs (showing value on all of them obviously).
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 43-43-0 (+1.8u)
LAC -1.5 (1Q)+123
1.23u
LAC -1.5 (1H)-108
0.93u
Will Brinson
Last 30d: 10-13-1 (-2.5u)
J.Mason 2+ TDs Yes+800
0.25u
Gotta sprinkle if we like one
J.Mason Anytime TD Scorer Yes+115
1u
DK, should be like -120 with Chargers rush defense (5.8 ypc allowed last three)
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 59-118-0 (-3.3u)
MIN +3.5-112
1u
@wheatonbrando Week 8 Lookahead https://myaction.app/PVMBmHmHCXb
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 43-43-0 (+1.8u)
LAC -2.5-110
0.91u
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 45-87-0 (+4.9u)
MIN +3.5-115
1.5u
WEEK 8 LOOKAHEAD
Usually we take favorites on the Lookahead before the line gets even longer, but this is all about the key number.
What happens with these teams this weekend?
Both teams play in coin-flippy games, but it's easy to see this shifting towards the Vikings.
The Chargers are super banged up, especially on the offensive line, and Jonathan Taylor could be in for a big game Sunday. Los Angeles is not far from a three-game losing streak right now, so another poor showing could really drop public perception.
The Vikings, meanwhile, are coming off the bye and getting healthier, and a home win against the Eagles would really boost their status.
Minnesota's defense looks like the best unit on the field, particularly the pass defense. The Chargers are missing their top two RBs and leaning very pass-heavy, and those offensive line injuries could be a big problem against this attacking Vikings defensive front.
There's not much home-field advantage for the Chargers these days either, if any.
But in the end, this is all about the number. Getting the +3.5 is huge here.
The Chargers already have wins this season by two and three points. That's a Minnesota cover with this spread.
The Vikings also have a three-point loss already, another scenario where the Vikings cover +3.5.
Three is still by far the most important key number in the NFL, and I don't expect this to be available after Sunday, so I'm grabbing the hook on the right side of the key number while it's there at FanDuel.
Vikings vs. Chargers Previews & Analysis
Vikings vs. Chargers Props
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Vikings vs. Chargers Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Chargers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Chargers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Chargers are 1-2 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Chargers' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Chargers' 4 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Vikings vs. Chargers Injury Updates

Vikings Injuries
- Sione TakitakiLB
Takitaki is questionable with groin
Questionable
- Josh OliverTE
Oliver is out with foot
Out
- Rondale MooreWR
Moore is out with knee
Out
- J.J. McCarthyQB
McCarthy is questionable with ankle
Questionable
- Elijah WilliamsDE
Williams is out with hamstring
Out

Chargers Injuries
- Najee HarrisRB
Harris is out with achilles
Out
- Hassan HaskinsRB
Haskins is out with hamstring
Out
- Omarion HamptonRB
Hampton is out with ankle
Out
Team Stats
Vikings vs. Chargers Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Vikings at Chargers Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Vikings 3-4 | o20.5-117 | u20.5-106 |
Chargers 5-3 | o24.5+102 | u24.5-118 |




