Collin Wilson's Picks
Today
Pending
NEB -5.5-110
NEB
@
MINN
1.1u
10/18 12:00 AM
Project Corn -8; big advantages in rush offense.
205
Under 48-105
UNC
@
CAL
0.53u
10/18 2:30 AM
Project 40; UNC offense 133rd quality drives, Cal top 30 defensive passing success rate. Cal offense 112th offensive finishing drives and outside top 100 rush efficiency and havoc allowed
221
Over 50-110
WASH
@
MICH
1.1u
10/18 4:00 PM
Project 57; Michigan severe issues against Outside Zone Jonah Coleman and Demond Williams. Washington defense trending down, no havoc, stuff rate 95th, outside top 80 in quality and finishing drives
233
Over 48.5-110
LSU
@
VAN
1.1u
10/18 4:00 PM
Project 55; LSU serious run concept issues defending Vandy Inside Zone and man concepts. LSU gets a Vandy secondary outside top 100 in defensive pass success rate and EPA allowed
259
Over 53.5-110
MISS
@
UGA
1.1u
10/18 7:30 PM
Project 66; Georgia producing no pass rush and outside the top 60 in defensive pass efficiency and coverage grading. Big pass EPA advantage for Ole Miss. Rebels D outside T100 stopping the run, havoc and bottom 10 line yards.
277
MISS +7-117
MISS
@UGA
1.17u
10/18 7:30 PM
Project Georgia -5; plenty of offensive advantages for each. Ole Miss tempo at 22.9 seconds per play
222
UGA o31 Team Total-115
MISS
@UGA
1.15u
10/18 7:30 PM
116
CHA +11.5-110
TEM
@
CHA
0.55u
10/18 7:30 PM
Project Charlotte +6; Temple potentially missing multiple players on DL and LB w injury.
148
UTSA +4.5-110
UTSA
@
UNT
1.1u
10/18 7:30 PM
Havoc play of the week
208
TTU -10-110
TTU
@
ASU
0.55u
10/18 8:00 PM
Number is priced that Leavitt is worth 6 points. Would argue worth near 10 points and spread should settle closer to 2 TD
234
2-WAY PARLAY+124
1u
Don’t expect Hawaii to have answers for Rams RB Justin Marshall. May bet UF side or another parlay for Gators over Cowbell
CSU -138
HAW
@
CSU
10/18 11:00 PM
FLA -330
MSST
@
FLA
10/18 8:15 PM
127
ND o35.5 Team Total-105
USC
@
ND
1.05u
10/18 11:30 PM
Full Writeup coming Action Network. Side is inflated w USC injuries on offense. Notre Dame extreme advantages in run concepts. Heavy rain expected early making a sloppy track
151
J.Price o61.5 Rush Yds-114
USC
@ND
0.57u
10/18 11:30 PM
Full writeup Action Network. Zone read efficiency poor for USC defense. Price best inside/outside rusher in Irish backfield by yards per carry. Averaging 70.3 rushing yards per game
56
BYU +3.5-110
UTAH
@
BYU
1.1u
10/19 12:00 AM
Project Utah -2; Both run concepts involving QBs a wash from success rate perspective. Much more chance of explosives and EPA from BYU offense on the ground, better PFF tackling grade belongs to BYU
120
Futures
Texas A&M Aggies+5000
2025 NCAAF Championship - To Win
1u
Number at Westgate. From ActionNetwork piece after Ohio State national title. TAMU dipped into portal for slot KC Concepcion, massive target for Reed who dominated passing between the hash marks. Micah Hudson spot on team reserved. Expect more portal additions through May
https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/college-football-futures-picks-national-championship-bet-collin-wilson-2026?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=CollinWilson
87
Southern Miss Golden Eagles+4000
2025 NCAAF Sun Belt Conference - To Win
1u
Number at BetSaracen; Coaching Staff revamp w Charles Huff bringing defensive staff and portal haul from Marshall. Former Arkansas St HC Blake Anderson as OC. USM won the Sun Belt portal rankings by a mile (247Sports). 4-star corner Josh Moten and QB Braylon Braxton 19 TD:2 INT included
99
Clemson Tigers+150
2025 NCAAF ACC Conference - To Win
3u
Project Clemson as double digit favorites in 6 of 8 ACC games. No Miami on the schedule. SMU travels to Clemson, road revenge v Louisville toughest games. Dabo using the portal and hiring from outside w Tom Allen DC. Klubnik continued progression 12 big time throws 5 turnover worthy plays in pressured pockets
119
Oklahoma Sooners o6.5-140
2025 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 8.1; number at BetSaracen. OC Ben Arbuckle and QB John Mateer to completely change the offense for the Sooners. Positive health regression expected for all offensive units. TD+ favorites in 5 games. Coin flips w Michigan, South Carolina, Mizzou and LSU
112
Arkansas Razorbacks u5.5-105
2025 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 4.7; number at BetSaracen. QB Taylen Green must improve in RPO decisions and pass accuracy. Slot WRs identified in spring game, wideout still a mystery. Defense still looking for help in a ravaged secondary. Favored in 4 games (Alabama A&M, Arkansas St, Memphis, Miss St); Double Digit underdogs to Notre Dame, Tennessee, LSU and Texas
103
Notre Dame Fighting Irish-184
2025 NCAAF To Make The Playoffs
2.76u
Projecting Notre Dame 10.6 wins, as a two loss Irish team should consistently make the playoff. Bye week before hosting TAMU. Heavy favs in numerous road spots Arkansas, BC, Pitt and Stanford. Need QB CJ Carr to step up
85
Alabama Crimson Tide-164
2025 NCAAF To Make The Playoffs
2.46u
Project 10.3 wins, huge hire in OC Ryan Grubb returning to DeBoer’s staff. Three different QBs could start, expect 5-star Keelon Russell later in the season. Every level of defense top 3 unit nationally. Easier Strength of Schedule than SEC heavies Texas, TAMU, LSU, Florida. TD+ favs in 3 SEC roadies Auburn, South Carolina, Missouri
62
Penn State Nittany Lions+800
2025 NCAAF Championship - To Win
1u
A plethora of returning talent and a move to Jim Knowles at DC. WR unit massively upgraded w Trebor Pena, Kyron Hudson and Devonte Ross. Schedule advantageous, bye weeks before Oregon and Ohio State. Catch Indiana on back to back road travel.
This is a no hedge bet until the Semifinals of the College Football Playoff
89
Michigan Wolverines+1100
2025 NCAAF Big Ten Conference - To Win
2u
Easiest Strength of Schedule of any team in the B1G. No Penn State, Oregon, Indiana or Illinois. Get Ohio State in Ann Arbor. Bryce Underwood facing Venables/OU defense Week 2 can only help conference play. Project as 3 TD+ favs in late B1G play against Mich St, Purdue, Northwestern and Maryland. Potentially best front 7 defense in FBS
98
Utah Utes+700
2025 NCAAF Big 12 Conference - To Win
2u
Number at Oaklawn. OC Jason Beck/QB Devon Dampier revamp the offense w and offensive line that is a top 10 FBs unit. Dampier created 54 missed tackles last season, same rate as Ashton Jeanty. 5 Big12 home games including Texas Tech, Kansas State and a bye week before Arizona State. Utah gets a bye week before Baylor travel.
107
Hawai'i Warriors u5.5+125
2025 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
Project 4.3; Two point decrease in PR over the offseason from net turnovers and TARP. Timmy Chang 2-15 away from the Island. Travel 3 of 4 weeks in 2nd half of schedule (UNLV, SJST, Colorado St). Hawaii will play 6 games before the end of September, ending in a trip to triple option Air Force
108
Temple Owls u3.5-110
2025 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.75u
Project 2.8 wins; KC Keeler brought in to fix NIL, portal and recruiting not to win day one. New schemes both sides of the ball w Coordinators Tyler Walker and Brian Smith. Only four potential wins on the schedule to lose this wager. Opener -2.5 v UMass, Howard Week 2, at Charlotte pk October 18th, back to back travel Oct 25th Tulsa as 4 point dog. The Tulsa game would be the hedge if needed
88
Central Michigan Chippewas+2500
2025 NCAAF Mid-American Conference - To Win
1u
New HC Matt Drinkall to bring Army concepts to the MAC, as the triple will be a thorn in conference play. LB Jordan Kwiatkowski 2nd team all MAC returns to the defense. Positive regression expected after -17 in net turnovers last year
115
Boise State Broncos-125
2025 NCAAF Mountain West Conference - To Win
3u
Project nearly 1.5 more wins in Mountain West conference play than any other team. Minuscule odds to finish outside the top 2 in MWC, making this a Championship Moneyline. Great schedule setup, 2 weeks to prepare for Air Force. Heavy road favorites at Nevada, SDSU and Utah State
94
James Madison Dukes+300
2025 NCAAF Sun Belt Conference - To Win
2u
Prefer “To Win the East +110” but this serves as a title game hedge on the Southern Miss 40/1. Draw East rivals ODU, GaSo and App State all at home. Hedge game Oct 28th at Tex State, but expect Chesney Year 2 with Sluka/Coleman/Barnett to dominate
114
Georgia Southern Eagles u7.5-125
2025 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.5u
Number at BetSaracen; project 6.5. Potentially best offense in SBC with French getting 79 OL starts and slot Josh Dallas back. Defensive front 7 should get pushed around. Expected 0-2 start at Fresno/USC. Projected 2 TD dogs to JMU; hedge game is a pick em Sept 13 hosting JaxState
69
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers u5.5-115
2025 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.88u
Number at BetSaracen. Offense a mystery concept wise after changing schemes mid season. MJ Morris/Tad Hudson could run air raid. DL and Secondary complete mystery. DC Jeremiah Johnson to run base defense with 67 new players on this roster (JuCo/Portal). Favored by FG or more just twice on schedule. 5 games projected TD or less spreads. Ample hedge spots.
98
Arkansas State Red Wolves u5.5-160
2025 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.4u
Project 3.7; worst OL in Sun Belt to protect Raynor. Red Wolves 6-0 in one possession games last year. New defensive scheme under Griff McCarley (4-2-5) with projected bottom Sun Belt DL and Secondary. GaSo/AppState cross play from East. Both Texas State and Southern Miss off a bye week traveling to Jonesboro
88
Oregon State Beavers u6.5+150
2025 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
From BBOC; Project 6 wins. Maalik Murphy to work behind an experienced OL. Murphys turnover worthy play rate sky rockets w pressure. Schedule unforgiving, potential 2-4 to 0-6 through first half of schedule. FG or less favs v Wake Forest and Wazzu x2 serve has hedge spots
86
Colorado State Rams u6.5-155
2025 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.33u
Project 5.5; MWC schedule much tougher than 2024. End season back to back travel at Boise then the triple of Air Force. Winfield hasn’t shown the elite yards per route run of Rams receivers past for Fowler-Nicolosi. Only 2 of top 11 tacklers return to defense
73
Oregon Ducks u10.5-130
2025 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.6u
From BBOC B1G Preview; Project 9.6. Oregón will field another excellent set of edge rushers and secondary but the rush D will struggle on the interior against zone read (Penn St, Minny, USC, Washington).
69
Washington Huskies o7.5+110
2025 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
3u
From BBOC B1G Preview; Project 8.1. DC Ryan Walter’s big addition. Corner play will be excellent, plenty of depth in the DL two deep. WB Demond Williams 6:1 BTT to TWP ratio in two starts v Louisville and Notre Dame defenses. Jonah Coleman forced 67 missed tackles while averaging 4.3 yards after first contact
98
Indiana Hoosiers o8.5+110
2025 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
From BBOC B1G Preview; Project 9.2. Cignetti gets 5 of 7 top tacklers back. D’Angelo Ponds 10 passes defensed return. Mendoza’s splits fantastic, 14th in OnTarget passing at Cal. OL pulls Notre Dame Center. Just four B1G road games that include Purdue and Maryland
99
Rutgers Scarlet Knights o5.5-125
2025 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.5u
From BBOC B1G Preview; Project 6.5. Non-Con three wins, both Iowa/Minny project spreads within 4. 106 starts for an OL that finished 4th in Havoc Allowed
57
Texas Longhorns+300
2025 NCAAF SEC Conference - To Win
2u
From BBOC SEC Preview; Prefer +130 to make Conference Championship Game at DK. Will use this ticket as a possible hedge. Bye before Georgia and Florida. Kentucky/Miss State softer SEC schedule. Vandy and Arkansas coming to Austin
73
Alabama Crimson Tide+1300
2025 NCAAF Championship - To Win
2u
From BBOC SEC Preview; Best defense in the nation 2nd year of Kane Wommack. Retaining pieces that led to Top 7 defensive quality and finishing drives. QB situation will progress but depth is there, expect Keelon Russell to play later in the year.
81
TCU Horned Frogs+750
2025 NCAAF Big 12 Conference - To Win
2u
From BBOC Podcast
47
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 1-2-0 | 33% | -0.65u |
| Last 7 Days | 26-16-0 | 62% | 9.66u |
| Last 30 Days | 83-66-1 | 55% | 5.58u |
| All Time | 4909-4670-212 | 50% | 30.99u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 2031-1790-78 | 52% | 141.49u |
| NCAA_BASEBALL | 155-131-6 | 53% | 5.97u |
| NCAAW | 3-2-0 | 60% | 2.00u |
| UFL | 3-1-0 | 75% | 1.50u |
| UFC | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1.00u |
| USFL | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.50u |
| MLB | 1150-1158-68 | 48% | 0.48u |
| NBA | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.55u |
| NFL | 300-289-12 | 50% | -11.98u |
| Golf | 64-96-6 | 39% | -24.40u |
| NCAAB | 1194-1198-41 | 49% | -87.79u |
On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Collin has supported the Kansas City Royals since before he could walk, growing up in Arkansas just a few hours away from Kauffman Stadium. In 2014, the Royals faced Jon Lester and the Athletics in the AL Wild Card game. Collin decided to wager 8 grand to cover the cost of his family seats behind the Royals dugout. The A's had a commanding lead late in the game before Salvador Perez painted the 3rd base line giving Kansas City the win, and an emotional and financial win for Collin.
Most Heartbreaking Bet
As sketched by Action Network with DraftKings in 2020, Collin left his grandmothers birthday party at Chili's when Cincinnati came back to beat Duke in the 2012 Belk Bowl. Collin had a sizable wager, and Duke's lead in the game helped Collin converse with 20 family members to celebrate the 79th birthday of his beloved grandmother. When Travis Kelce his the explosive touchdown, Collin threw a $100 bill on the table and left his family instantly.
Specialties
- College Football
- MLB
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- Academy Awards