There is a value opportunity on Justin Fields's passing yards prop. THE BLITZ is projecting 199.89 passing yards for him with a 80% chance that he exceeds 129.5 passing yards. If you can get the over at -112 or better, there is some great value here. (This play is good down to at least -231.) Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz

THE BLITZ is forecasting 2.10 receptions for Arian Smith. The oddsmakers' implied projection is 1.55 receptions, so I believe there is some value here. If you take the over, you’d be projected to win 54% of the time resulting in a 33% ROI with expected value of $33.26 (based on a $100 wager). (This play is good down to at least +111.) Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz

There is a value opportunity on Dillon Gabriel's TD passes prop. THE BLITZ is projecting him to record 1.01 TD passes, while sportsbooks imply 1.24. The model believes there is a 53% chance he records fewer than 0.5 TD passes, so there is some value on the under at +160. (This play is good down to at least +118.) Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz