Absolutely gross. Phillies implied for 6.4 runs and 14 MPH winds blowing out to right. I fully understand the risks but projections have Quantrill at 3.2 earned runs. Think the Marlins want 5 innings out of him and then he’s getting yanked. Just need him to survive for 5 innings without getting pummeled. Will take my chances on u3.5, which is a line you typically see in Coors.

Tailing @TurveyBets. RotoGrinders projections have him at 13.86 points so this is less a projections play for me but more of a matchups play if the best LAC defenders focus on his teammates and force Braun to beat them. Minutes should be there for Braun too.

Don’t love the odds but I was eyeing this last night and the Rangers lineup just came out with no Langford, Burger or Heim. Rangers have been a bottom-10 offense so far this season and Sasaki has had a short leash with his early struggles and the Dodgers seemingly trying not to overwhelm him. This should actually help us as they aren’t going to leave him out there to get destroyed. Projections have him at 2.5 earned runs and 15 pitching outs so projections seem to treat this more like a coin flip than what odds suggest, but I like his talent, like his short leash, and am okay targeting this struggling Rangers offense.

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Tailing @JoeDellera. Projections do treat him closer to a typical bench role but agree with Joe we could see more Donte in favor of Conley that median projections aren’t accounting for. There’s going to be uncertainty in Game 1.