Commanders vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - October 28, 2025

Commanders at Chiefs

12:15 am • ABC/ESPN

Washington Commanders

3-5

7 - 28

Kansas City Chiefs

5-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Commanders 3-5	+4.5	+10.5-110	o48-110	+430
Chiefs 5-3	u48.5	-10.5-110	u48-110	-590

Tuesday 12:15 a.m.

October 28, 2025

GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City

KC -8.5 (Live)-115

0.87u

KC -6.5 (Live)-110

0.91u

WAS o17.5 Team Total-108

0.27u

mariGOATa

D.Samuel o43.5 Rec Yds-120

1.2u

Tailing @RoyalsProps

B.Smith Anytime TD Scorer Yes+350

0.25u

First tuddy of his career

WAS +10.5-105

WAS +11-107

1.07u

WAS +11.5-112

1.12u

B.Smith o9.5 Rush Yds-115

B.Wagner o9.5 Tackles + Ast-101

WAS +11-120

0.6u

T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes+100

📚Player Profit 🔑 T.Kelce ATTD +100 (Player Profit) 2u TD play with BetAlytics Trav - 45.5% expected win probability, 🟢 matchup For BA tools 👉 https://www.betalytics.com/ Promo code: LOCKSELOT for 25% off Code: sirlocks for 10% off when you get funded at https://www.playerprofit.com/

M.Mariota o11.5 Longest Rush-115

WAS +10.5-105

0.53u

D.Samuel u1.5 Rush Att+135

0.68u

Betting this with @nick_giffen

D.Samuel u1.5 Rush Att+135

0.68u

Half unit with injury uncertainty impacting his projection downward Projecting 1.1 Co-tracking with @GDAWG5000

M.Mariota o29.5 Pass Att-130

0.77u

Tailing @DerekCarty 's action Island first pick

M.Mariota o49.5 Rush Yds+630

0.2u

50+ Rush Yds on FanDuel

M.Mariota o49.5 Rush Yds+630

0.15u

M.Mariota o29.5 Rush Yds-112

M.Mariota Anytime TD Scorer Yes+400

0.25u

M.Mariota Anytime TD Scorer Yes+400

0.25u

WAS +11.5-112

P.Mahomes o20.5 Rush Yds-112

I.Pacheco Anytime TD Scorer Yes+210

0.5u

K.Hunt Anytime TD Scorer Yes+380

1.9u

D.Samuel o44.5 Rec Yds-113

1.13u

WAS +11.5-110

WE. ARE. HOT.

WAS +11.5-110

1.38u

Under 48-110

0.91u

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/tjepb0mjOXb

R.Rice Anytime TD Scorer Yes+140

0.99u

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/tjepb0mjOXb

B.Smith o16.5 Rec Yds-114

1.14u

J.Croskey-Merritt u50.5 Rush Yds-114

0.88u

B.Smith o15.5 Rec Yds-115

P.Mahomes o4.5 Rush Att-122

1.22u

Over 47.5-115

Have this number in the 50s mostly due to the Chiefs against a poor Commanders' defense, but the Commanders have largely been efficient when they've had their receivers healthy. They seem healthier now than they've been since Week 1, so I do think they'll be able to pull their own weight, as well.

I.Pacheco Anytime TD Scorer Yes+200

0.8u

Have fair on Pacheco at +150. Played 77% of the snaps in Week 6 and was at 61% through three quarters last week. Given scoring expectations, +200 feels too long.

J.McNichols Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1000

0.3u

This is likely to be a negative game script, and McNichols has remained the Commanders' pass-catching back. He has continued to play roughly 33% of the snaps even with Croskey-Merritt's role expanded. That number could go up if they fall behind.

M.Mariota o28.5 Rush Yds-114

The Chiefs' defense has faced the highest schedule-adjusted scramble rate in the league, and the Commanders' offense *has* the highest schedule-adjusted scramble rate. Mariota has gone over this number in 2 of 3 games even though one of them was in relief, and they could have to drop back a bunch here.

WAS +11.5-112

1.12u

KC u30 Team Total-105

KC -120

1.25u

LEG 1: BAL ML

KC u30.5 Team Total-112

Under 24.5 (1H)-118

J.Croskey-Merritt o4.5 Rec Yds-120

1.2u

KC u30 Team Total-105

WAS +11.5-112

1.12u

Under 48.5-115

2.61u

KC u30.5 Team Total-112

0.89u

#MaoDong

KC -7.5 (1H)+110

B.Smith Anytime TD Scorer Yes+250

B.Smith o15.5 Rec Yds-122

KC -3 (1Q)-105

WAS +11.5-112

1.12u

+23U L2 Weeks but can’t win a Free Play on this app. This is the one that turns the tides

WAS +11.5-113

X.Worthy o45.5 Rec Yds-110

0.91u

T.Kelce u42.5 Rec Yds-115

P.Mahomes u24.5 Rush Yds-113

X.Worthy u3.5 Recs+130

🚨Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found on our Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/JrzjtqdVfA 🎙️Fade the Noise PODCAST - Subscribe!✅ https://www.youtube.com/@FadetheNoise 🔥50% OFF VIP!! ⬇️⬇️ (COPY & PASTE LINK): https://dubclub.win/r/p/pri-r744p/?checkout=1&coupon=ValueHacks50

B.Smith o28.5 Rush + Rec Yds-110

M.Mariota Anytime TD Scorer Yes+400

0.5u

X.Worthy Anytime TD Scorer Yes+170

0.6u

M.Mariota o25.5 Rush Yds-120

0.63u

KC -11.5-120

0.83u

T.Thornton o0.5 Rec Yds-110

WAS +12.5-110

0.5u

X.Worthy Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155

0.33u

@GDAWG5000 https://myaction.app/mVODhIbOJXb

M.Mariota Anytime TD Scorer Yes+450

0.33u

@The_Oddsmaker https://myaction.app/mVODhIbOJXb

B.Smith Anytime TD Scorer Yes+235

0.33u

@ChrisRaybon https://myaction.app/mVODhIbOJXb

M.Mariota o23.5 Rush Yds-114

Marcus Mariota over 23.5 rush yds (-114 at FD) Kansas City allows QBs to scramble at the highest rate in the league, and over 20 percentage points (on a relative basis) over their scramble expectation Even Jared Goff had one of his four scrambles on the season two weeks ago against the Chiefs Mariota already scrambles on 5.2% of his dropbacks as a Commander, and at a 20% increased rate, that'd be around 6.25% of dropbacks The Chiefs allow nearly 8 ypc on QB scrambles and Mariota has run for just over 8 ypc on scrambles, so with around 2.25 projected scrambles that's 18 yards on average there. Mariota also projects for about 4 designed runs and 0.25 kneel downs based off the rates he's been used as a rusher in his two seasons with the Commanders and the total expected play volume Even at the Chiefs stingy 2.33 ypc allowed on non-sneak designed runs to QBs, that'd give Mariota a projection of just over 27 yards, but we have to think the true number is somewhere between the Chiefs' 2.33 and Mariota's 6.4 ypc on designed runs. I'm conservatively projecting an average closer to 31 and a median around 26.5 yards

WAS +12.5-112

1.12u

@Stuckey2 https://myaction.app/ncGKHB7RHXb

R.Rice o5.5 Recs-105

0.95u

Over 53.5+230

0.4u

KC -5.5-110

1.82u

Commanders vs. Chiefs Best Bets: 4 Picks & TD Parlay for MNF
Action Network Staff•
Oct 27, 2025 UTC
Commanders vs. Chiefs: Stuckey's Spread Pick for MNF
Stuckey•
Oct 27, 2025 UTC
Chiefs vs. Commanders: Dead Pres' +212 SGP for MNF
Dead President Picks•
Oct 27, 2025 UTC
Anytime Touchdown Picks For Monday Night Football Between The Commanders & Chiefs!
•
Oct 27, 2025 UTC

See more NFL Coverage

There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.

No props found

NFL Public Betting

Chiefs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Chiefs are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Chiefs are 1-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Chiefs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Chiefs' 5 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Chiefs	5-3	4-1	1-1	4-2	1-1
Commanders	3-5	2-1	1-4	2-1	1-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Chiefs	3-5	1-4	1-1	2-4	1-1
Commanders	3-4-1	1-1-1	2-3	1-1-1	2-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Chiefs	5-3	N/A	N/A	4-2	1-1
Commanders	3-5	N/A	N/A	2-1	1-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 19th	LV	W 31-0	-13.5 W	U 44.5	KC -850
Oct 13th	DET	W 30-17	-2.5 W	U 51.5	KC -150
Oct 7th	@JAC	L 28-31	-3.5 L	O 45.5	JAC -202
Sep 28th	BAL	W 37-20	+2.5 W	O 48.5	KC +125
Sep 22nd	@NYG	W 22-9	-6 W	U 44.5	KC -320

Noah Brown
WR
Brown is out with groin
Out
Austin Ekeler
RB
Ekeler is out with achilles
Out

Jayden Daniels
QB
Daniels is doubtful with hamstring
Doubtful

Isiah Pacheco
RB
Pacheco is doubtful with knee
Doubtful
Esa Pole
T
Pole is out with ankle
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Commanders

Total

Chiefs

260

Total Yards

432

Total Plays

Yards Per Play

6.4

Commanders

Passing

Chiefs

213

YDS

299

21/30

Comps/Atts

25/34

6.25

YPA

7.676

1/2

TDs/INTs

3/2

2/13

Sacks/Yards

3/15

Commanders

Rushing

Chiefs

Rush Yards

148

Attempts

YPC

4.933

TDs

Commanders

Turnovers

Chiefs

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Commanders

Efficiency

Chiefs

1/2 50%

Redzone

4/4 100%

7/12 0%

3rd Down

4/10 0%

0/2 0%

4th Down

2/2 0%

Commanders

First Downs

Chiefs

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Commanders

Misc

Chiefs

3/35

Penalties/Yards

9/95

25:57

Possession

34:03

Could not load odds

See more NFL Odds

MatchupOverUnder
Commanders 3-5	o18.5-114	u18.5-109
Chiefs 5-3	o30-107	u30-116

Commanders vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - October 28, 2025

Commanders at Chiefs

Washington Commanders

Kansas City Chiefs

Commanders at Chiefs Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

Commanders vs. Chiefs Previews & Analysis

Commanders vs. Chiefs Best Bets: 4 Picks & TD Parlay for MNF

Commanders vs. Chiefs: Stuckey's Spread Pick for MNF

Chiefs vs. Commanders: Dead Pres' +212 SGP for MNF

Anytime Touchdown Picks For Monday Night Football Between The Commanders & Chiefs!

Commanders vs. Chiefs Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Commanders vs. Chiefs Public Betting Percentages

Commanders

Public

Chiefs

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Commanders vs. Chiefs Injury Updates

Commanders Injuries

Chiefs Injuries

Commanders vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison

Commanders at Chiefs Team Totals