Turn your sports knowledge into winning predictions
21+ or 18+ in Certain Locations. 19+ in ON. Please Play Responsibly. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Visit connexontario.ca or Call 1-866-531-2600 in ON.
No Code Needed

Commanders vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - October 28, 2025

Commanders at Chiefs

12:15 am • ABC/ESPN

Washington Commanders

3-8
7
7 - 28

Kansas City Chiefs

5-5
28

Commanders at Chiefs Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Commanders
3-8
+4.5
+10.5-110
o48-110
+430
Chiefs
5-5
u48.5
-10.5-110
u48-110
-590
location pinTuesday 12:15 a.m.
October 28, 2025
GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City
Commanders vs. Chiefs Expert Picks
FTN Fantasy
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 109-126-1 (-29.7u)
KC -6.5 (Live)-110
0.91u
KC -8.5 (Live)-115
0.87u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 51-65-1 (+8.9u)
WAS o17.5 Team Total-108
0.27u
mariGOATa
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 112-126-6 (-16.4u)
D.Samuel o43.5 Rec Yds-120
1.2u
Tailing @RoyalsProps
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 121-108-0 (+17.9u)
B.Smith Anytime TD Scorer Yes+350
0.25u
First tuddy of his career
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 35-35-0 (-3.7u)
WAS +11-107
1.07u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 47-31-1 (+30.4u)
WAS +10.5-105
2u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 54-56-3 (+14.5u)
B.Smith o9.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 68-71-2 (-8.6u)
WAS +11.5-112
1.12u
Player Prop Savant
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 39-46-0 (-13.6u)
B.Wagner o9.5 Tackles + Ast-101
1u
Bet Labs
Bet Labs
Last 30d: 26-23-0 (+7.3u)
WAS +11-120
0.6u
Sir Lockselot
Sir Lockselot
Last 30d: 22-69-0 (-50.2u)
T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes+100
2u
📚Player Profit 🔑 T.Kelce ATTD +100 (Player Profit) 2u TD play with BetAlytics Trav - 45.5% expected win probability, 🟢 matchup For BA tools 👉 https://www.betalytics.com/ Promo code: LOCKSELOT for 25% off Code: sirlocks for 10% off when you get funded at https://www.playerprofit.com/
Matt DiLeo
Matt DiLeo
Last 30d: 56-42-1 (+5.5u)
M.Mariota o11.5 Longest Rush-115
1u
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 91-74-0 (+4.9u)
WAS +10.5-105
0.53u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 24-74-0 (-10.3u)
D.Samuel u1.5 Rush Att+135
0.68u
Betting this with @nick_giffen
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 51-65-1 (+8.9u)
D.Samuel u1.5 Rush Att+135
0.68u
Half unit with injury uncertainty impacting his projection downward Projecting 1.1 Co-tracking with @GDAWG5000
M.Mariota o29.5 Pass Att-130
0.77u
Tailing @DerekCarty 's action Island first pick
Roger Goodell
Roger Goodell
Last 30d: 38-42-0 (-2.7u)
M.Mariota o49.5 Rush Yds+630
0.2u
50+ Rush Yds on FanDuel
Player Props
Player Props
Last 30d: 4-5-0 (+0.6u)
M.Mariota o49.5 Rush Yds+630
0.15u
M.Mariota o29.5 Rush Yds-112
1u
M.Mariota Anytime TD Scorer Yes+400
0.25u
Roger Goodell
Roger Goodell
Last 30d: 38-42-0 (-2.7u)
M.Mariota Anytime TD Scorer Yes+400
0.25u
WAS +11.5-112
1u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 82-93-6 (-17.2u)
P.Mahomes o20.5 Rush Yds-112
1u
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 42-72-2 (+4.6u)
K.Hunt Anytime TD Scorer Yes+380
1.9u
I.Pacheco Anytime TD Scorer Yes+210
0.5u
Royals Props
Royals Props
Last 30d: 31-32-4 (-5.4u)
D.Samuel o44.5 Rec Yds-113
1.13u
PX
Invisible Insider
Invisible Insider
Last 30d: 9-5-0 (+2.8u)
WAS +11.5-110
1u
WE. ARE. HOT.
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 91-74-0 (+4.9u)
WAS +11.5-110
1.38u
Action Pod NFL Picks
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 67-137-1 (+3.0u)
Under 48-110
0.91u
@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/tjepb0mjOXb
R.Rice Anytime TD Scorer Yes+140
0.99u
@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/tjepb0mjOXb
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 82-93-6 (-17.2u)
B.Smith o16.5 Rec Yds-114
1.14u
Matt DiLeo
Matt DiLeo
Last 30d: 56-42-1 (+5.5u)
B.Smith o15.5 Rec Yds-115
1u
J.Croskey-Merritt u50.5 Rush Yds-114
0.88u
Lines at Lunch
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 93-101-5 (-19.0u)
P.Mahomes o4.5 Rush Att-122
1.22u
WAS +11.5-112
1.12u
KC u30 Team Total-105
1u
Lock & Cash
Lock & Cash
Last 30d: 26-15-0 (+13.6u)
KC -120
1.25u
LEG 1: BAL ML
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 90-108-8 (-4.6u)
KC u30.5 Team Total-112
1u
Under 24.5 (1H)-118
1u
J.Croskey-Merritt o4.5 Rec Yds-120
1.2u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 112-126-6 (-16.4u)
KC u30 Team Total-105
1u
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 58-72-0 (-18.5u)
WAS +11.5-112
1.12u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 90-86-2 (+0.6u)
Under 48.5-115
2.61u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 214-191-11 (+31.3u)
KC u30.5 Team Total-112
0.89u
#MaoDong
FTN Fantasy
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 109-126-1 (-29.7u)
KC -7.5 (1H)+110
1u
B.Smith Anytime TD Scorer Yes+250
1u
B.Smith o15.5 Rec Yds-122
1u
KC -3 (1Q)-105
1u
Anders
Anders
Last 30d: 11-15-0 (-6.9u)
WAS +11.5-112
1.12u
+23U L2 Weeks but can’t win a Free Play on this app. This is the one that turns the tides
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 214-191-11 (+31.3u)
WAS +11.5-113
1u
X.Worthy o45.5 Rec Yds-110
0.91u
T.Kelce u42.5 Rec Yds-115
1u
P.Mahomes u24.5 Rush Yds-113
1u
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 137-154-2 (+31.4u)
X.Worthy u3.5 Recs+130
1u
🚨Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found on our Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/JrzjtqdVfA 🎙️Fade the Noise PODCAST - Subscribe!✅ https://www.youtube.com/@FadetheNoise 🔥50% OFF VIP!! ⬇️⬇️ (COPY & PASTE LINK): https://dubclub.win/r/p/pri-r744p/?checkout=1&coupon=ValueHacks50
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 105-97-2 (+1.2u)
B.Smith o28.5 Rush + Rec Yds-110
1u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 24-74-0 (-10.3u)
M.Mariota Anytime TD Scorer Yes+400
0.5u
X.Worthy Anytime TD Scorer Yes+170
0.6u
Roger Goodell
Roger Goodell
Last 30d: 38-42-0 (-2.7u)
M.Mariota o25.5 Rush Yds-120
0.63u
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 206-183-6 (+10.2u)
KC -11.5-120
0.83u
Babs .
Babs .
Last 30d: 95-98-1 (-4.6u)
T.Thornton o0.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 44-51-1 (-1.5u)
WAS +12.5-110
0.5u
TAN Pod Touchdown Show
TAN Pod Touchdown Show
Last 30d: 27-91-1 (-5.0u)
X.Worthy Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155
0.33u
@GDAWG5000 https://myaction.app/mVODhIbOJXb
M.Mariota Anytime TD Scorer Yes+450
0.33u
@The_Oddsmaker https://myaction.app/mVODhIbOJXb
B.Smith Anytime TD Scorer Yes+235
0.33u
@ChrisRaybon https://myaction.app/mVODhIbOJXb
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 51-65-1 (+8.9u)
M.Mariota o23.5 Rush Yds-114
1u
Marcus Mariota over 23.5 rush yds (-114 at FD) Kansas City allows QBs to scramble at the highest rate in the league, and over 20 percentage points (on a relative basis) over their scramble expectation Even Jared Goff had one of his four scrambles on the season two weeks ago against the Chiefs Mariota already scrambles on 5.2% of his dropbacks as a Commander, and at a 20% increased rate, that'd be around 6.25% of dropbacks The Chiefs allow nearly 8 ypc on QB scrambles and Mariota has run for just over 8 ypc on scrambles, so with around 2.25 projected scrambles that's 18 yards on average there. Mariota also projects for about 4 designed runs and 0.25 kneel downs based off the rates he's been used as a rusher in his two seasons with the Commanders and the total expected play volume Even at the Chiefs stingy 2.33 ypc allowed on non-sneak designed runs to QBs, that'd give Mariota a projection of just over 27 yards, but we have to think the true number is somewhere between the Chiefs' 2.33 and Mariota's 6.4 ypc on designed runs. I'm conservatively projecting an average closer to 31 and a median around 26.5 yards
The Favorites Podcast
The Favorites Podcast
Last 30d: 18-17-0 (+4.8u)
WAS +12.5-112
1.12u
@Stuckey2 https://myaction.app/ncGKHB7RHXb
Babs .
Babs .
Last 30d: 95-98-1 (-4.6u)
R.Rice o5.5 Recs-105
0.95u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 218-195-13 (+11.1u)
Over 53.5+230
0.4u
FTN Fantasy
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 109-126-1 (-29.7u)
KC -5.5-110
1.82u

Commanders vs. Chiefs Previews & Analysis

  • Commanders vs. Chiefs Best Bets: 4 Picks & TD Parlay for MNF article feature image

    Commanders vs. Chiefs Best Bets: 4 Picks & TD Parlay for MNF

    Action Network Staff•
    Oct 27, 2025 UTC
  • Commanders vs. Chiefs: Stuckey's Spread Pick for MNF article feature image

    Commanders vs. Chiefs: Stuckey's Spread Pick for MNF

    Stuckey•
    Oct 27, 2025 UTC
  • Chiefs vs. Commanders: Dead Pres' +212 SGP for MNF article feature image

    Chiefs vs. Commanders: Dead Pres' +212 SGP for MNF

    Dead President Picks•
    Oct 27, 2025 UTC
  • Anytime Touchdown Picks For Monday Night Football Between The Commanders & Chiefs! article feature image

    Anytime Touchdown Picks For Monday Night Football Between The Commanders & Chiefs!

    •
    Oct 27, 2025 UTC
See more NFL Coverage Right Arrow

Commanders vs. Chiefs Props

Prop Projections

See All
Right Arrow

There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.

Prop Odds Comparison

Right Arrow
Right Arrow

No props found

Line Movement Tracker

Right Arrow
Right Arrow

Commanders vs. Chiefs Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Commanders

Public

Home Logo

Chiefs

31%

Bets%

69%

Money%

NFL Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Chiefs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
  • Chiefs are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Chiefs are 1-3 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Chiefs' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Chiefs' 5 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Chiefs		5-54-11-34-41-1
Commanders		3-82-31-42-11-7

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Chiefs		3-71-41-32-61-1
Commanders		5-5-13-1-12-31-1-14-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Chiefs		5-5N/AN/A4-41-1
Commanders		3-8N/AN/A2-11-7

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Oct 19thLVW 31-0-13.5 WU 44.5KC -850
Oct 13thDETW 30-17-2.5 WU 51.5KC -150
Oct 7th@JACL 28-31-3.5 LO 45.5JAC -202
Sep 28thBALW 37-20+2.5 WO 48.5KC +125
Sep 22nd@NYGW 22-9-6 WU 44.5KC -320

Commanders vs. Chiefs Injury Updates

Commanders Injuries

  • Noah Brown
    WR

    Brown is out with groin

    Out

  • Austin Ekeler
    RB

    Ekeler is out with achilles

    Out

  • Terry McLaurin
    WR

    McLaurin is out with quad

    Out

  • Jayden Daniels
    QB

    Daniels is out with elbow

    Out

  • Luke McCaffrey
    WR

    McCaffrey is out with collarbone

    Out

Chiefs Injuries

  • Isiah Pacheco
    RB

    Pacheco is out with knee

    Out

  • Esa Pole
    OL

    Pole is out with ankle

    Out

See more NFL Injuries Right Arrow
Team Stats

Total

260
Total Yards
432
52
Total Plays
67
5
Yards Per Play
6.4

Passing

213
YDS
299
21/30
Comps/Atts
25/34
6.25
YPA
7.676
1/2
TDs/INTs
3/2
2/13
Sacks/Yards
3/15

Rushing

60
Rush Yards
148
20
Attempts
30
3
YPC
4.933
0
TDs
1

Turnovers

0
Fumbles Lost
0
2
Interceptions
2

Efficiency

1/2 50%
Redzone
4/4 100%
7/12 0%
3rd Down
4/10 0%
0/2 0%
4th Down
2/2 0%

First Downs

14
Total
26
9
Pass
16
4
Rush
8
1
Penalty
2

Misc

3/35
Penalties/Yards
9/95
25:57
Possession
34:03

Commanders vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison

Right Arrow

Could not load odds

See more NFL Odds Right Arrow

Commanders at Chiefs Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Commanders
3-8
o18.5-114
u18.5-109
Chiefs
5-5
o30-107
u30-116