Raiders vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - October 19, 2025

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

The RotoGrinders team is on his receptions Over but because the odds are better for his receiving yards, I’ll take a shot on Over 25.5. RG has him projected closer to 40 receiving yards with no Bowers and Jakobi, and the Raiders likely play in a negative game script. Just tossing a small amount here on Underdog.

Get him involved

Chris Jones has an elite 83.3 PFF pass rush grade this season. He has 24 total pressures and somehow, just 1 sack….these pressures should turn to sacks soon. In his L5 games vs LV he’s racked up 5.5 total sacks. He’s had 4, 5, 4, & 7 pressures in his L4 games and I think he sees another 5+ here as KC is a -12.5 home favorite and should win this game big. Geno has taken the T-3rd most sacks this season, & their O-Line is very banged up and well below avg. Have to play at this price

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

I was going to wait for this to hit FD/DK before posting, but knowing how these things go.. I’ll be live on our show (Action Playbook Live) tomorrow morning, juggling a million things, Mayer will pop up everywhere at 35.5, Jakobi Meyers will get ruled out, and suddenly it’s 43.5 across the board before kickoff when I won’t have a chance to post it before.. so I’m locking it in now. I’ve been hyping Mayer for two weeks. He’s starting for Brock Bowers again and he’s the exact type of player who thrives in spot starts. He was an elite TE prospect coming out in 2023.. fell to Round 2 but graded as a Round 1 talent. His dynasty stock took a massive hit last eyar because an even better TE prospect landed in the same building. Last week he went 5/50/1, and this game projects as a trailing, pass-heavy script where he should run routes on 80%+ of Geno Smith’s dropbacks. Jakobi Meyers also popped up with knee/toe injuries. I’m projecting him in, but there’s a real chance he either sits due to injury or is quietly protected as a trade asset. That’s likely why some books are keeping Mayer off the board. With it posted at a few spots and live on PrizePicks/Underdog, I’d rather grab 35.5 now than chase 40+ later. I project him closer to 41.5 yards with around a 60% chance to clear 35.5.. and if Meyers is out or limited at all, that only improves it.

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@The_Oddsmaker https://myaction.app/MsfxZEmqyXb

There is a value opportunity on Geno Smith's TD passes prop. THE BLITZ is projecting him to record 1.16 TD passes, while sportsbooks imply 1.31. The model believes there is a 44% chance he records fewer than 0.5 TD passes, so there is some value on the under at +200. (This play is good down to at least +160.) Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz

@BKPicks https://myaction.app/4ocNrlaxxXb

@Stuckey2 Favorite Total https://myaction.app/AOwwgtQewXb

Middle opportunity

If u see this, take this line immediately

Have this total at 48.6. Chiefs' offense has been very efficient the past three weeks and now adds Rashee Rice. Think we'll get a good reminder of how lethal they can be with competent pass-catchers.