Texans vs. Seahawks Odds & Betting Predictions - October 21, 2025
Texans at Seahawks
2:00 am • ESPNTexans at Seahawks Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Texans 3-4 | +1.5 | +3-110 | o41.5-105 | +140 |
Seahawks 5-2 | u44.5 | -3-110 | u41.5-110 | -168 |

Lumen FieldSeattle
Texans vs. Seahawks Expert Picks
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 84-66-1 (+14.8u)
Under 43.5 (Live)-110
1.1u
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 168-178-2 (-3.1u)
HOU +3.5 (Live)-117
1u
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 72-78-1 (-3.0u)
C.Stroud o34.5 Longest Completion-109
1u
W.Marks o14.5 Rec Yds-130
0.38u
Matt DiLeo
Last 30d: 42-37-0 (-1.2u)
C.Stroud o9.5 Longest Rush-124
0.4u
C.Stroud o16.5 Rush Yds-110
0.45u
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 35-32-1 (-0.4u)
SEA -3-115
1u
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 46-38-2 (+14.7u)
Z.Charbonnet u40.5 Rush Yds-121
1u
Sir Lockselot
Last 30d: 31-60-0 (-14.4u)
HOU +140
2u
📚 Player Profit
🔑 Texans ML +140 (Player Profit) 2u
The Texans started to pick things up before the bye week. Their D is one of the best in the league and very oddly, the Seahawks have been dog water at him since MacDonald took over as HC. Love the value we get here
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Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 91-98-1 (-3.5u)
J.Higgins o26.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 102-117-8 (+1.4u)
SEA -3-110
1.5u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 193-184-1 (-12.6u)
S.Darnold u227.5 Pass Yds-111
1.08u
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 48-46-1 (+0.9u)
SEA -174
1u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 109-109-1 (-12.6u)
Under 41.5-115
1u
Player Props
Last 30d: 5-8-0 (-0.6u)
W.Marks o14.5 Rec Yds-110
0.91u
N.Collins Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150
0.5u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 81-102-0 (-12.2u)
SEA u22.5 Team Total-105
1u
Looks pretty easy to me
HOU +3+100
1u
Fuck the hawks
HOU +150
0.5u
Let’s dabble with greatness
Roger Goodell
Last 30d: 42-41-1 (+4.2u)
W.Marks o25 Rec Yds+202
0.25u
W.Marks o15.5 Rec Yds-110
0.45u
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 72-78-1 (-3.0u)
W.Marks o14.5 Rec Yds-130
0.77u
Matt DiLeo
Last 30d: 42-37-0 (-1.2u)
W.Marks o14.5 Rec Yds-121
0.83u
K.Fairbairn o1.5 FGs Made-112
0.89u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 40-57-0 (+4.9u)
N.Chubb o1.5 Recs+125
1u
Nick Chubb over 1.5 rec (+125 BetMGM/DK) ... 3+ recs +400 at B365 0.25u
Pretty simple, Chubb has faced 3 opponents that play 2-high at a top 10 rate and 2 opponents that play 2-high at a bottom 10 rate
T-10 rate: 2.67 tgt/gm, 2.33 rec/gm
B-10 rate: 1 tgt/gm, 0 rec/gm
SEA 5th most two-high
Stroud checks down vs 2-high
3.2% vs single high (6.3% last year)
11.8% vs two high (12.6% last year)
Stroud checks down when not facing blitz
2.6% vs blitz (5.8% last year)
7.5% vs no blitz (10.7% last year)
SEA blitzes lowest rate in NFL
SEA allows
2nd highest target share to RBs
Highest reception share to RBs
N.Chubb 3+ Receptions Yes+400
0.25u
Nick Chubb over 1.5 rec (+125 BetMGM/DK) ... 3+ recs +400 at B365 0.25u
Pretty simple, Chubb has faced 3 opponents that play 2-high at a top 10 rate and 2 opponents that play 2-high at a bottom 10 rate
T-10 rate: 2.67 tgt/gm, 2.33 rec/gm
B-10 rate: 1 tgt/gm, 0 rec/gm
SEA 5th most two-high
Stroud checks down vs 2-high
3.2% vs single high (6.3% last year)
11.8% vs two high (12.6% last year)
Stroud checks down when not facing blitz
2.6% vs blitz (5.8% last year)
7.5% vs no blitz (10.7% last year)
SEA blitzes lowest rate in NFL
SEA allows
2nd highest target share to RBs
Highest reception share to
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 38-82-0 (+9.6u)
J.Smith-Njigba Anytime TD Scorer Yes+140
0.7u
N.Collins Anytime TD Scorer Yes+170
0.5u
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 91-107-2 (-23.9u)
HOU u19.5 Team Total-113
1u
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 59-116-0 (-1.3u)
X.Hutchinson o18.5 Rec Yds-111
1u
@EvanHAbrams https://myaction.app/7LPdGySCCXb
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 95-97-1 (-0.1u)
C.Kupp 50+ Receiving Yards Yes+172
0.6u
C.Kupp 60+ Receiving Yards Yes+270
0.4u
C.Kupp o37.5 Rec Yds-114
1.5u
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 17-45-0 (-12.3u)
C.Stroud Anytime TD Scorer Yes+950
0.25u
Stroud has run a lot more this year (nearly double his rushing yards per game) but is yet to score. Have fair odds for him at +870.
J.Noel Anytime TD Scorer Yes+800
0.25u
Because Christian Kirk got hurt so late in the week, Texans could opt to give Noel an expanded role due to his presence in the slot.
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 73-76-2 (-18.7u)
Under 41.5-115
3u
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 168-178-2 (-3.1u)
B.Berrios Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1600
0.5u
Cashed out for .078 profit and placed on prophetx +2300
A.Barner u25.5 Rec Yds-112
0.89u
D.Schultz u4.5 Recs-112
1u
S.Darnold u224.5 Pass Yds-111
0.9u
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 71-79-2 (-4.7u)
S.Darnold o221.5 Pass Yds-115
1.15u
W.Marks o46.5 Rush + Rec Yds-110
1.1u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 26-83-1 (-14.1u)
D.Schultz Anytime TD Scorer Yes+350
0.5u
A.Barner Anytime TD Scorer Yes+360
0.5u
The Propfessor
Last 30d: 39-47-0 (+6.1u)
W.Marks o14.5 Rec Yds-118
0.85u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 193-184-1 (-12.6u)
X.Hutchinson u2.5 Recs-115
0.78u
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 25-43-1 (-18.8u)
C.Stroud u17.5 Rush Yds-114
1u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 125-102-4 (+15.8u)
HOU +3.5-110
1u
X: PicksOffice
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 114-130-2 (+32.4u)
Under 41.5-115
1u
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Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 45-81-0 (+6.9u)
SEA -3-110
0.91u
I was eyeballing Seattle already on the Hot Read last Sunday but waited at Seattle -3, hoping we might sneak a -2.5 in there. It looks more likely that this slips to -3.5 at this point, the wrong side of the key number, so I'll fire on -3 while it's there.
I'm just going to keep riding these Seahawks, top five in my power ratings and still seemingly underrated at books.
Seattle is really good! They rank top four in DVOA on offense, defense, and special teams — hey, that's everything! — and are the No. 1 DVOA team, the second best 4-2 squad ever.
Seattle's defense continues to be very good under Mike Macdonald, and the special teams remain elite and are even more dangerous this season with the dynamic kickoff rules. The offense has been the real surprise, especially Sam Darnold, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and the downfield passing attack.
Houston has a strong defense in most areas, but one weakness this season has been against the deep pass, where the Texans rank just 21st in EPA per play. Seattle is lapping the field in deep passes at an absurd 1.44 EPA per play, an outlier elite No. 1 rank, and it's not a tiny sample either since the Seahawks pass deep more than almost any team in the league.
Houston is probably a touch underrated after its tough start, but the underlying metrics are also benefiting from running it up on an awful Titans team and the corpse of the Ravens. Houston's offense is still by far the weakest unit in this matchup.
It's possible Nick Caley's unit found some answers during the bye, but even then, this poor offensive line should struggle against Seattle's elite pressure rate. Houston hasn't been able to run the ball at all, and the Texans rank just 25th in Success Rate, even after inflating that number against two awful defenses.
Seattle is not that. Houston should struggle to score, and I trust the Seahawks to find enough offense even against a tough defense.
Give me Seahawks -3.
Will Brinson
Last 30d: 10-13-1 (-2.5u)
HOU +3-102
1.02u
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 25-43-1 (-18.8u)
X.Hutchinson o20.5 Rec Yds+105
1u
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 59-116-0 (-1.3u)
SEA -3-110
0.91u
@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/bIlPMohsyXb
TAN Pod Touchdown Show
Last 30d: 20-73-2 (-7.7u)
N.Collins Anytime TD Scorer Yes+145
0.33u
@GDAWG5000 https://myaction.app/MsfxZEmqyXb
A.Barner Anytime TD Scorer Yes+370
0.33u
@ChrisRaybon https://myaction.app/MsfxZEmqyXb
E.Arroyo Anytime TD Scorer Yes+650
0.33u
@The_Oddsmaker https://myaction.app/MsfxZEmqyXb
The Favorites Podcast
Last 30d: 8-13-0 (-3.9u)
Over 41-105
1u
@KendraMiddleton_ https://myaction.app/4ocNrlaxxXb
Kendra Middleton
Last 30d: 14-5-0 (+10.2u)
Over 41-105
0.95u
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 102-117-8 (+1.4u)
C.Kirk Anytime TD Scorer Yes+325
0.1u
Lock & Cash
Last 30d: 23-14-0 (+11.9u)
HOU +3.5-110
1.5u
Roger Goodell
Last 30d: 42-41-1 (+4.2u)
HOU +3.5-110
1u
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 17-45-0 (-12.3u)
Over 40.5-112
0.89u
Also showing value in the Texans +3.5, so could go that way, but I feel more confident in the over. Both offenses have played better than perception this year, so even while respecting both defenses, I have this total at 44.3.
Texans vs. Seahawks Previews & Analysis
Texans vs. Seahawks Props
Prop Projections
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Texans vs. Seahawks Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Seahawks are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Seahawks are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Seahawks are 3-0 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Seahawks' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Seahawks' 4 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Seahawks vs. Texans Injury Updates

Seahawks Injuries
- Uchenna NwosuLB
Nwosu is out with knee
Out

Texans Injuries
- Joe MixonRB
Mixon is out with knee
Out
- Christian KirkWR
Kirk is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
- Nico CollinsWR
Collins is questionable with concussion
Questionable
- Tank DellWR
Dell is out with knee
Out
- Cade StoverTE
Stover is out with foot
Out
Team Stats
Texans vs. Seahawks Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Texans at Seahawks Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Texans 3-4 | o19.5-112 | u19.5-110 |
Seahawks 5-2 | o22.5-112 | u22.5-110 |




