He’s not even in the first 3 backs of early OTA rotation, has a history of injuries, and failed to dazzle in his late season appearances. This is a bad team. This is an unproven player. And they drafted a pretty good player from a deep running back draft class at a discount. Also, Clyde Edwards-Helaire was at least as good or better of a prospect than Miller and won’t lay down.

Age catches up with us all, and not just from a capability or availability standpoint. Sometimes, youth can simply outshine and that’s part of the reason to be bearish on Thielen. We have a top draft pick coming in and he should likely entertain the interest of the QB and coaching staff for first reads / schematic targets. Beyond that a pair of talented young players Coker and Legette should also help spread the target volume and snaps among wideouts. A rising Sanders at TE could help tilt some share off WRs, and then we have some X factors like Hunter Renfrow and Jimmy Horn who could earn spots in the rotation. 40 yards per game is a lot for a player who is entering his age 35 season on a developmental football team needing to escape all three of Father Time, injury, team inefficiency, and usage decline.

Bet against deep threat wideouts on horrendous football teams coming off serious injury with potentially worst-of-all-time quarterback play.