Rams vs. Seahawks Odds & Betting Predictions - January 25, 2026

5 or less in 15 of 19 (79%), 6 of 10 with SEA (60%)

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This is the most fun bet you can make this weekend. Seattle made a big midseason trade for Rashid Shaheed and already saw the deal pay off when he returned the first play of Seattle's postseason 95 yards for an opening kickoff TD against the 49ers. Shaheed also ran twice for 27 yards, and that's been his role for Seattle. Less volume like with the Saints, and more of a Percy Harvin gadget role — special teams, deep passes, and a few runs. Shaheed played nine snaps at RB last week, and he played 17 against the Rams. He should see even more such snaps with Charbonnet out. He's logged a rush nine times in 10 games with Seattle, with at least one in both Rams games — one of them for 31 yards. I'm betting Rasheed Shaheed over 0.5 rushing yards (bet365). He's cleared that line in six of 10 Seattle games (60%) and we really just need one run — or even a backward screen pass type play. A receiver has run for positive yardage in 9-of-19 Rams games, and the Seahawks were responsible for three of those — two by Shaheed. And as fast as Shaheed is, we'd be crazy not to take the escalator. He had a 30-yard run just last week and a 31-yarder against the Rams earlier this season. Play 20+ rushing yards at +800 and then 30+ yards at +1500, both at bet365. We may only get one shot at this all game, so let's hope Shaheed make it count.

This is the most fun bet you can make this weekend. Seattle made a big midseason trade for Rashid Shaheed and already saw the deal pay off when he returned the first play of Seattle's postseason 95 yards for an opening kickoff TD against the 49ers. Shaheed also ran twice for 27 yards, and that's been his role for Seattle. Less volume like with the Saints, and more of a Percy Harvin gadget role — special teams, deep passes, and a few runs. Shaheed played nine snaps at RB last week, and he played 17 against the Rams. He should see even more such snaps with Charbonnet out. He's logged a rush nine times in 10 games with Seattle, with at least one in both Rams games — one of them for 31 yards. I'm betting Rasheed Shaheed over 0.5 rushing yards (bet365). He's cleared that line in six of 10 Seattle games (60%) and we really just need one run — or even a backward screen pass type play. A receiver has run for positive yardage in 9-of-19 Rams games, and the Seahawks were responsible for three of those — two by Shaheed. And as fast as Shaheed is, we'd be crazy not to take the escalator. He had a 30-yard run just last week and a 31-yarder against the Rams earlier this season. Play 20+ rushing yards at +800 and then 30+ yards at +1500, both at bet365. We may only get one shot at this all game, so let's hope Shaheed make it count.

There's been a ton of talk all season about LA's 13 personnel — one back and three tight ends. The Rams went away from their 13 personnel in the first Seattle game but used it for 62% of their snaps in the rematch, meaning over half the snaps on the season against Seattle. Then LA went away from 13 again versus Chicago, playing just 9% of its snaps there, while typical TE1 Tyler Higbee played only eight snaps, fourth amongst Rams tight ends. As good as Seattle's defense has been all season, it's been vulnerable against tight ends, ranking top five for most TE receptions allowed and top 10 for TE fantasy points. The one Rams tight end getting consistent snaps right now is Colby Parkinson. He caught the game-winning TD against Carolina and had a similar late target against Chicago, and he's become a real go-to TD threat for Stafford. Parkinson has scored nine touchdowns in his last 11 games, including one against Seattle. His Anytime TD odds are way off at +425 (Hard Rock) and worth a play. And you already know we're going back to the well on Terrance Ferguson. We tried a longest reception escalator against Seattle in the first matchup but Ferguson barely got on the field. Never wrong, just early? Ferguson had a career-high three catches for 33 yards in the rematch and scored a touchdown, and he had a 27-yard catch too. Ferguson is seeing consistent snaps now, about two-thirds of Rams snaps since the start of December, and those targets are getting more consistent too, with at least four in three straight games. That's key because the rookie has caught only 44% of his passes on the season — in part because 21 of his 30 targets are deep passes on the year, 70% of them attacking downfield with Ferguson's speed. Four targets means more bites at the apple, because we likely only get one or two catches. Ferguson has 12 catches this season. Three-fourths of them have gone for at least 18 yards, and half are 27+ yards. The catches are rare, but when they come, they're big plays. That's why Ferguson's longest reception line of over 10.5 yards at BetMGM (-115) is absurd. In eight games with a catch this season, Ferguson has at least a 19-yard catch in all but one of them! The line should be double that, which means 20+ longest catch is a no brainer at +256 (DraftKings). We'll play 25+ too at +455 (DraftKings), a number he's hit in five of six games with at least three targets. Sprinkle Ferguson touchdown too at +750 (Hard Rock). He's score in two of the last three games, including against Seattle, and tight ends have caught eight of Stafford's last 14 touchdowns, over half. If you play both Ferguson and Parkinson, you get both of what look like the top Rams TEs together at around +225, a bargain price that could see both hit.

There's been a ton of talk all season about LA's 13 personnel — one back and three tight ends. The Rams went away from their 13 personnel in the first Seattle game but used it for 62% of their snaps in the rematch, meaning over half the snaps on the season against Seattle. Then LA went away from 13 again versus Chicago, playing just 9% of its snaps there, while typical TE1 Tyler Higbee played only eight snaps, fourth amongst Rams tight ends. As good as Seattle's defense has been all season, it's been vulnerable against tight ends, ranking top five for most TE receptions allowed and top 10 for TE fantasy points. The one Rams tight end getting consistent snaps right now is Colby Parkinson. He caught the game-winning TD against Carolina and had a similar late target against Chicago, and he's become a real go-to TD threat for Stafford. Parkinson has scored nine touchdowns in his last 11 games, including one against Seattle. His Anytime TD odds are way off at +425 (Hard Rock) and worth a play. And you already know we're going back to the well on Terrance Ferguson. We tried a longest reception escalator against Seattle in the first matchup but Ferguson barely got on the field. Never wrong, just early? Ferguson had a career-high three catches for 33 yards in the rematch and scored a touchdown, and he had a 27-yard catch too. Ferguson is seeing consistent snaps now, about two-thirds of Rams snaps since the start of December, and those targets are getting more consistent too, with at least four in three straight games. That's key because the rookie has caught only 44% of his passes on the season — in part because 21 of his 30 targets are deep passes on the year, 70% of them attacking downfield with Ferguson's speed. Four targets means more bites at the apple, because we likely only get one or two catches. Ferguson has 12 catches this season. Three-fourths of them have gone for at least 18 yards, and half are 27+ yards. The catches are rare, but when they come, they're big plays. That's why Ferguson's longest reception line of over 10.5 yards at BetMGM (-115) is absurd. In eight games with a catch this season, Ferguson has at least a 19-yard catch in all but one of them! The line should be double that, which means 20+ longest catch is a no brainer at +256 (DraftKings). We'll play 25+ too at +455 (DraftKings), a number he's hit in five of six games with at least three targets. Sprinkle Ferguson touchdown too at +750 (Hard Rock). He's score in two of the last three games, including against Seattle, and tight ends have caught eight of Stafford's last 14 touchdowns, over half. If you play both Ferguson and Parkinson, you get both of what look like the top Rams TEs together at around +225, a bargain price that could see both hit.

There's been a ton of talk all season about LA's 13 personnel — one back and three tight ends. The Rams went away from their 13 personnel in the first Seattle game but used it for 62% of their snaps in the rematch, meaning over half the snaps on the season against Seattle. Then LA went away from 13 again versus Chicago, playing just 9% of its snaps there, while typical TE1 Tyler Higbee played only eight snaps, fourth amongst Rams tight ends. As good as Seattle's defense has been all season, it's been vulnerable against tight ends, ranking top five for most TE receptions allowed and top 10 for TE fantasy points. The one Rams tight end getting consistent snaps right now is Colby Parkinson. He caught the game-winning TD against Carolina and had a similar late target against Chicago, and he's become a real go-to TD threat for Stafford. Parkinson has scored nine touchdowns in his last 11 games, including one against Seattle. His Anytime TD odds are way off at +425 (Hard Rock) and worth a play. And you already know we're going back to the well on Terrance Ferguson. We tried a longest reception escalator against Seattle in the first matchup but Ferguson barely got on the field. Never wrong, just early? Ferguson had a career-high three catches for 33 yards in the rematch and scored a touchdown, and he had a 27-yard catch too. Ferguson is seeing consistent snaps now, about two-thirds of Rams snaps since the start of December, and those targets are getting more consistent too, with at least four in three straight games. That's key because the rookie has caught only 44% of his passes on the season — in part because 21 of his 30 targets are deep passes on the year, 70% of them attacking downfield with Ferguson's speed. Four targets means more bites at the apple, because we likely only get one or two catches. Ferguson has 12 catches this season. Three-fourths of them have gone for at least 18 yards, and half are 27+ yards. The catches are rare, but when they come, they're big plays. That's why Ferguson's longest reception line of over 10.5 yards at BetMGM (-115) is absurd. In eight games with a catch this season, Ferguson has at least a 19-yard catch in all but one of them! The line should be double that, which means 20+ longest catch is a no brainer at +256 (DraftKings). We'll play 25+ too at +455 (DraftKings), a number he's hit in five of six games with at least three targets. Sprinkle Ferguson touchdown too at +750 (Hard Rock). He's score in two of the last three games, including against Seattle, and tight ends have caught eight of Stafford's last 14 touchdowns, over half. If you play both Ferguson and Parkinson, you get both of what look like the top Rams TEs together at around +225, a bargain price that could see both hit.

There's been a ton of talk all season about LA's 13 personnel — one back and three tight ends. The Rams went away from their 13 personnel in the first Seattle game but used it for 62% of their snaps in the rematch, meaning over half the snaps on the season against Seattle. Then LA went away from 13 again versus Chicago, playing just 9% of its snaps there, while typical TE1 Tyler Higbee played only eight snaps, fourth amongst Rams tight ends. As good as Seattle's defense has been all season, it's been vulnerable against tight ends, ranking top five for most TE receptions allowed and top 10 for TE fantasy points. The one Rams tight end getting consistent snaps right now is Colby Parkinson. He caught the game-winning TD against Carolina and had a similar late target against Chicago, and he's become a real go-to TD threat for Stafford. Parkinson has scored nine touchdowns in his last 11 games, including one against Seattle. His Anytime TD odds are way off at +425 (Hard Rock) and worth a play. And you already know we're going back to the well on Terrance Ferguson. We tried a longest reception escalator against Seattle in the first matchup but Ferguson barely got on the field. Never wrong, just early? Ferguson had a career-high three catches for 33 yards in the rematch and scored a touchdown, and he had a 27-yard catch too. Ferguson is seeing consistent snaps now, about two-thirds of Rams snaps since the start of December, and those targets are getting more consistent too, with at least four in three straight games. That's key because the rookie has caught only 44% of his passes on the season — in part because 21 of his 30 targets are deep passes on the year, 70% of them attacking downfield with Ferguson's speed. Four targets means more bites at the apple, because we likely only get one or two catches. Ferguson has 12 catches this season. Three-fourths of them have gone for at least 18 yards, and half are 27+ yards. The catches are rare, but when they come, they're big plays. That's why Ferguson's longest reception line of over 10.5 yards at BetMGM (-115) is absurd. In eight games with a catch this season, Ferguson has at least a 19-yard catch in all but one of them! The line should be double that, which means 20+ longest catch is a no brainer at +256 (DraftKings). We'll play 25+ too at +455 (DraftKings), a number he's hit in five of six games with at least three targets. Sprinkle Ferguson touchdown too at +750 (Hard Rock). He's score in two of the last three games, including against Seattle, and tight ends have caught eight of Stafford's last 14 touchdowns, over half. If you play both Ferguson and Parkinson, you get both of what look like the top Rams TEs together at around +225, a bargain price that could see both hit.

There's been a ton of talk all season about LA's 13 personnel — one back and three tight ends. The Rams went away from their 13 personnel in the first Seattle game but used it for 62% of their snaps in the rematch, meaning over half the snaps on the season against Seattle. Then LA went away from 13 again versus Chicago, playing just 9% of its snaps there, while typical TE1 Tyler Higbee played only eight snaps, fourth amongst Rams tight ends. As good as Seattle's defense has been all season, it's been vulnerable against tight ends, ranking top five for most TE receptions allowed and top 10 for TE fantasy points. The one Rams tight end getting consistent snaps right now is Colby Parkinson. He caught the game-winning TD against Carolina and had a similar late target against Chicago, and he's become a real go-to TD threat for Stafford. Parkinson has scored nine touchdowns in his last 11 games, including one against Seattle. His Anytime TD odds are way off at +425 (Hard Rock) and worth a play. And you already know we're going back to the well on Terrance Ferguson. We tried a longest reception escalator against Seattle in the first matchup but Ferguson barely got on the field. Never wrong, just early? Ferguson had a career-high three catches for 33 yards in the rematch and scored a touchdown, and he had a 27-yard catch too. Ferguson is seeing consistent snaps now, about two-thirds of Rams snaps since the start of December, and those targets are getting more consistent too, with at least four in three straight games. That's key because the rookie has caught only 44% of his passes on the season — in part because 21 of his 30 targets are deep passes on the year, 70% of them attacking downfield with Ferguson's speed. Four targets means more bites at the apple, because we likely only get one or two catches. Ferguson has 12 catches this season. Three-fourths of them have gone for at least 18 yards, and half are 27+ yards. The catches are rare, but when they come, they're big plays. That's why Ferguson's longest reception line of over 10.5 yards at BetMGM (-115) is absurd. In eight games with a catch this season, Ferguson has at least a 19-yard catch in all but one of them! The line should be double that, which means 20+ longest catch is a no brainer at +256 (DraftKings). We'll play 25+ too at +455 (DraftKings), a number he's hit in five of six games with at least three targets. Sprinkle Ferguson touchdown too at +750 (Hard Rock). He's score in two of the last three games, including against Seattle, and tight ends have caught eight of Stafford's last 14 touchdowns, over half. If you play both Ferguson and Parkinson, you get both of what look like the top Rams TEs together at around +225, a bargain price that could see both hit.

On the other side of the ball, look for Kyren Williams to be involved as a receiver. Seattle allowed the fewest fantasy points to RBs this season but the most RB receptions. Blake Corum had only eight catches all season, so that means Williams, and he's been much more involved in the passing game lately. He averaged just 1.9 catches for 14.8 yards the first 14 games but is up to 3.0/24.4 the last five games, an increase of over 50%. That fits the pattern in the two Seattle games, too. The first fell in that earlier stretch and saw just one Williams catch for five yards on two targets, but he had three catches on six targets for 15 yards in the rematch. Williams has at least 11 receiving yards in all 13 games this season when he catches at least two passes, so we'll use yards as a proxy. Play Kyren Williams over 11.5 receiving yards (BetRivers, -112), and put a portion of your bet on 30+ yards at +425 (bet365), a number he's hit in half his six games with at least three catches. Seattle has allowed a 30-yard RB receiver eight times already this season.

On the other side of the ball, look for Kyren Williams to be involved as a receiver. Seattle allowed the fewest fantasy points to RBs this season but the most RB receptions. Blake Corum had only eight catches all season, so that means Williams, and he's been much more involved in the passing game lately. He averaged just 1.9 catches for 14.8 yards the first 14 games but is up to 3.0/24.4 the last five games, an increase of over 50%. That fits the pattern in the two Seattle games, too. The first fell in that earlier stretch and saw just one Williams catch for five yards on two targets, but he had three catches on six targets for 15 yards in the rematch. Williams has at least 11 receiving yards in all 13 games this season when he catches at least two passes, so we'll use yards as a proxy. Play Kyren Williams over 11.5 receiving yards (BetRivers, -112), and put a portion of your bet on 30+ yards at +425 (bet365), a number he's hit in half his six games with at least three catches. Seattle has allowed a 30-yard RB receiver eight times already this season.

Adding small so you can see my lean / analysis: This game is awesome and may well be the actual Super Bowl. Neither team has lost a game by more than a touchdown all season, and this is the league's No. 1 scoring offense against the No. 1 defense. It's the best DVOA matchup in the history of the metric! Both earlier matchups were electric and among the games of the season, and I've had both these teams clearly ahead of the rest of the NFL for half the season now. I've had the Rams firmly ahead of Seattle for most of that stretch, but there's reason to believe that gap is closing. The Rams are 0-2 ATS in the playoffs with a pair of three-point wins, both of which could have been losses. Matthew Stafford played MVP ball all season but hasn't looked the same in the playoffs. Is it the finger injury? The outdoor conditions? Whatever it is, a Rams offense that lapped the field all season long has not looked itself or close in the postseason. Seattle has an enormous rest and health advantage here. The Seahawks played a day earlier than the Rams, and they also played a snoozer and didn't have to expend full energy, and after coming off two full weeks of rest. The Rams never got a week off thanks to that last Seattle loss, and they're now coming off a long, cold overtime game. Only two of the last 20 teams to make the Super Bowl got there without a rest week at some point before. This is the price the Rams pay for blowing that Seattle game — could all that attrition finally catch up to LA now? The first time these teams played back in Week 11, Seattle's offense got exposed. Before that game, the Seahawks had made a living by loading the field with heavy personnel on early downs, baiting the opponent to match with extra men in the box, then beat the opponent with the pass. Seattle led the league in Passing DVOA through 10 games. Then they played the Rams in Week 11, and Chris Shula's defense chose to play tendencies, not personnel. They stuck with light boxes and a ton of defensive backs in zone, and Sam Darnold was terrible, throwing four interceptions in the loss. From that game forward, with other opponents copying the Rams and refusing to match heavy, Seattle's passing attack plummeted all the way to 25th in DVOA, bottom quarter of the league. The rushing attack improved from 21st to 6th during that stretch, and that seems good for the run-heaviest team in the league, but it's because opponents are content shutting down the pass instead. The Rams rank third in EPA per play against the run and should hold their own against Seattle even without loading up the box, especially with Zach Charbonnet missing behind Kenneth Walker. LA can also make life miserable for Sam Darnold. The Rams rank top-five in pressure rate and should make Darnold uncomfortable all game. They also play very heavy zone, and Darnold is below league average against zone, compared to top five against man. He threw six interceptions in the two Rams games this season — compared to eight against everyone else all season! Even as the 1-seed, Seattle had the second-most giveaways in the NFL this season. They had 10 turnovers in their three losses. If Seattle can give Darnold time, though, there's reason to believe Seattle can find some room to pass. The Rams pass defense has fallen apart over the past couple months, and the corners are a clear weak spot. The linebackers may be too, especially against Seattle's elite playaction. The Seahawks can find some explosive passes down the field against this defense. On the other side of the ball, we get the elite Rams offense against the elite Seahawks defense — but only one of those units has played like that of late. The Rams offense has looked mostly average, and a lot of that is on Stafford's shoulders. Whether it's an injury or the outdoors conditions, this unit just hasn't looked in rhythm — maybe since that loss to Seattle. The Rams have run the ball well all season but sport one of the league's highest passing rates and have abandoned the run far too quickly against both the Panthers and Bears this postseason. Seattle's run defense is outstanding even with so many defensive backs typically on the field. The Seahawks are elite against playaction and motion, all those Sean McVay bells and whistles. They're also the second-best defense in the league limiting explosive plays, so the Rams may not find many chunk plays. They did put up almost 600 yards against Seattle in the last meeting though, even without Davante Adams, and the Rams offensive line is a significant strength and finally healthy now. Stafford has yet to be sacked in three games against Mike Macdonald's Seahawks defense, and if he gets time, he's going find Adams and Puka Nacua eventually. Any angle in this game has a counter angle, and the truth is that we may not know right now just how much we should believe in either offense, nor in the Rams defense. We do know Seattle's defense is great, and we also know the Seahawks will have a massive special teams advantage. Watch starting field position in particular, which the Rams have fallen off in a huge way without K Joshua Karty, and where Seattle is best in the league. Those extra 10 or 15 yards of field position drive after drive add up, and in a game those close, special teams could be the difference. Remember, 1 seeds in the Conference Championship are 21-5 SU since 2006 and 5-1 as anything under a field goal favorite. The No. 1 scoring offense has met the No. 1 defense in the Conference Championship or later eight times since the merger. The defense has come out on top, going 7-1 SU in those matchups. This has also been a great round to back the favorite in a division matchup, with favorites 5-0 SU over the past two decades. There's also ongoing concern about the Rams playing outdoors in a tough environment. Dome teams playing outdoors in the playoffs are 20-31-1 ATS (39%) the last couple decades, with LA 0-2 in that spot this postseason, and it gets worse. Indoor teams playing the Conference Championship outdoors on the road are an ugly 0-15 SU since the merger. This is such a close matchup that those little edges — Seattle's special teams, its home-field advantage where the Seahawks have won 11 straight playoffs games with fans in the stands, and the rest and health advantages — might just be the difference. I thought the Rams were the better team in the regular season, but I think this line is about right given the spot. I'd be tempted to nibble Rams +3 if available at the key number but will otherwise let our preseason +7000 Seahawks Super Bowl ticket ride — Seattle is the favorite after all.

The two OPOY favorites face off here, but Jaxon Smith-Njigba has a much easier matchup than Puka Nacua. The Seahawks rank first by DVOA against WR1s but the Rams are just below league average. JSN found plenty of room against LA in the previous two matchups, racking up 9/105 and 8/96 on 25 targets. He's had at least seven catches in 12-of-18 games, but it gets better. Four of those six times with six or fewer catches came in games Seattle won by 21 or more, like last week. He's had at least seven catches in 10 of Seattle's 12 other games. This shouldn't be a blowout, and it's hard to see the Rams corners shutting JSN down. Play over 6.5 receptions at BetMGM (-105).

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