Chiefs vs. Cowboys Odds & Betting Predictions - November 27, 2025

WEEK 13 LOOKAHEAD  It's a time-honored tradition to bet against the Cowboys on Thanksgiving, so let's start the holidays early. Since 2011, the Cowboys are an ugly 3–11 ATS on Thanksgiving, covering just 21% of the time. Thanksgiving has typically been a great trends spot and it's usually good to back the favorites - as long as it's not the Cowboys. All other favorites are 31–11 ATS (74%), and public favorites are even better at 79%. You can bet this will be a public spot for the Chiefs, either coming off a confidence-restoring win over the Colts or with their backs against the wall at 5–6. The Chiefs are 5–5 but would be 10–0 if you flipped their results in one-score games, and all their wins are by 13+ points. Kansas City's offense is better than Dallas's, and the defense is way better. Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid just don't lose games like this in a big holiday national TV spot against a beatable opponent. It may feel odd grabbing Chiefs -3.5 (FanDuel) since Kansas City could lose to the Colts and the Cowboys could beat the Eagles, but would we really get that number under a field goal on Thanksgiving? Books would bleed Chiefs money, and I don't think they want it. The Chiefs are already -4 or -4.5 at some books, so grab Chiefs -3.5 while it's there

Week 13 Lookahead @wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/JFONaGF3tYb