Cardinals vs. Cowboys Odds & Betting Predictions - November 4, 2025

Action Instagram channel best bet - let’s ride (just a sprinkle) 🚀

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

I think Cardinals +3.5 is the sharper side in this matchup, and as I mentioned in my Steelers +3.5 note, a lot of prop betting success comes from forming an opinion on the spread and then targeting props that correlate with that game script. In this case, I’m expecting the Cowboys to have a lower chance of playing with a comfortable lead, which favors the under on Javonte’s rushing volume. I don’t see Jacoby Brissett as much of a downgrade from Kyler Murray, and he could take advantage of a banged-up Cowboys secondary, keeping the Cardinals competitive and potentially forcing Dallas into a more pass-heavy approach. When the Cowboys do run, the workload still flows mostly through Javonte Williams, who’s averaged a 60% rushing share this season. He’s having a great year, and they’ll continue to lean on him.. but rookie Jaydon Blue has now seen his rush share increase in four straight games, as Dallas gets more comfortable using him on early downs (while Javonte handles more of the passing-down work). Another subtle angle here is how often Dallas gives WRs designed runs. With CeeDee Lamb and KaVonte Turpin back healthy (and Ryan Flournoy also in the mix), there’s a real chance we see a couple of WR carries that chip away at Javonte’s total. The main risk here is if the Cowboys jump out to an early two-score lead and go run-heavy.. that’s the clear path for this prop to lose. But there are plenty of favorable outs for the under: Cardinals long drives, Blue’s carries, WR rush attempts, Dak dropbacks, and even Javonte receptions are all things to root “for” when it comes to this prop. I’m projecting Javonte closer to 14.7 carries, with about a 60% chance he stays under 15.5.

Collab w/ @HammeredLines 🤝 Going for 3 in a row with my guy. Fergy got shut out last week in a tough matchup vs Denver. I like this bounce back spot for him. He's cleared this line in 4 of 8 games this season, averaging 41.8 receiving yards per game. He's also cleared in 2 of 3 home games. ARI presents as a good matchup. They have allowed the 2nd most targets, 4th most receptions and 5th most receiving yards to opposing TE's this season. Why? Well, it's likely in part to ARI's defense running a lot of 2-high coverage. 2-high can help prevent the deep ball, but leaves more room to work underneath, where TE's typically operate. It's tough to imagine despite the 2-high, this offense does move the ball through the air. Fergy should be one of the guys to benefit from that!

Collab with Goodell 👀

Got a first-half drive to himself last week in Denver, potentially meaning the role is expanding. Have fair odds here shorter than +500.

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/pW5ZLhuMZXb

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#EV

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3.52% ev play to -118