Commanders vs. Cowboys Odds & Betting Predictions - October 19, 2025

We're getting creative with this one based on this division rivalry's history and both teams' profiles. Dallas gets CeeDee Lamb back, and that should only help an offense that's already been surprisingly good, with Dak Prescott playing some of the best ball of his career and George Pickens dominating week after week. Jayden Daniels is back and playing well for Washington, and rookie Jacory Croskey-Merritt and the run game have been excellent under Kliff Kingsbury. Both of these offenses ranks top 10 by DVOA and can put up some serious points. The defenses only help the cause. Both defenses have key injuries. Washington's defense is old, and Dallas knows Dan Quinn well, and I don't need to tell you how bad the Cowboys defense has been. It's easy to see a path toward either offense exploding, and with a total in the mid 50s, it's natural to expect one of those games where the last team with the ball wins, a 30-27 type shootout. But that's not how this division rivalry typically plays out. Only one of the last 13 games these rivals have played finished closer than seven points! In fact, the average margin of victory in those games was a whopping 19.6 PPG. That includes margins of 15, 20, 22, 25, 28, 31, 35, and 42. It also means 62% of those games finished with a margin of over two touchdowns. And it's not just a rivalry thing — that fits how both these teams play even outside the rivalry. Washington just lost by one on Monday night, but every other Commanders game this season has finished with at least a seven-point margin of victory. That was true last year too, so 15-of-25 games under Dan Quinn (including the postseason) have finished with a margin of seven points or higher — 60% of them! Dallas has seen 43% of its games since the start of last season finish with a margin of eight points or higher, nearly half of them, and big blowouts have been quite common. Dallas has played nine games with a 15+ margin, 39% of its games, and Washington is at 40% during that stretch. Okay, so which side wins big? I have no idea! So I'm getting creative and betting both sides to win by margin. Let's split our bet and take both sides to win by seven or more. Bet Washington -6.5 at +240 (Hard Rock) and Dallas -6.5 at +270 (BetMGM). Bet those separate — you literally can't parlay them together — and we'll hope one side cashes. Those bets together give us a combined -129 on either team to win by 7+ points. Get the idea? Great, because now it's time for an escalator. Remember how often we're getting blowout wins by more than two scores, so let's also play either side to win by 14 or more. Bet Washington -13.5 at +500 and Dallas -13.5 at +600, both at FanDuel, for an implied +223 on either team to win by 14+ points (31%). Lastly, bet Washington -19.5 (+1060) and Dallas -19.5 (+1100) both at FanDuel for an implied +490 on either team to win by 20+ points. If you do feel strongly about a side, you're welcome to play just the side you like. Though if you feel good about a side, your better escalator may be attacking the NFC East division odds or even considering a long shot MVP investment in the right quarterback. I'll let the teams sort it out on the field and just hope whoever's ahead puts things away in a big way.

We're getting creative with this one based on this division rivalry's history and both teams' profiles. Dallas gets CeeDee Lamb back, and that should only help an offense that's already been surprisingly good, with Dak Prescott playing some of the best ball of his career and George Pickens dominating week after week. Jayden Daniels is back and playing well for Washington, and rookie Jacory Croskey-Merritt and the run game have been excellent under Kliff Kingsbury. Both of these offenses ranks top 10 by DVOA and can put up some serious points. The defenses only help the cause. Both defenses have key injuries. Washington's defense is old, and Dallas knows Dan Quinn well, and I don't need to tell you how bad the Cowboys defense has been. It's easy to see a path toward either offense exploding, and with a total in the mid 50s, it's natural to expect one of those games where the last team with the ball wins, a 30-27 type shootout. But that's not how this division rivalry typically plays out. Only one of the last 13 games these rivals have played finished closer than seven points! In fact, the average margin of victory in those games was a whopping 19.6 PPG. That includes margins of 15, 20, 22, 25, 28, 31, 35, and 42. It also means 62% of those games finished with a margin of over two touchdowns. And it's not just a rivalry thing — that fits how both these teams play even outside the rivalry. Washington just lost by one on Monday night, but every other Commanders game this season has finished with at least a seven-point margin of victory. That was true last year too, so 15-of-25 games under Dan Quinn (including the postseason) have finished with a margin of seven points or higher — 60% of them! Dallas has seen 43% of its games since the start of last season finish with a margin of eight points or higher, nearly half of them, and big blowouts have been quite common. Dallas has played nine games with a 15+ margin, 39% of its games, and Washington is at 40% during that stretch. Okay, so which side wins big? I have no idea! So I'm getting creative and betting both sides to win by margin. Let's split our bet and take both sides to win by seven or more. Bet Washington -6.5 at +240 (Hard Rock) and Dallas -6.5 at +270 (BetMGM). Bet those separate — you literally can't parlay them together — and we'll hope one side cashes. Those bets together give us a combined -129 on either team to win by 7+ points. Get the idea? Great, because now it's time for an escalator. Remember how often we're getting blowout wins by more than two scores, so let's also play either side to win by 14 or more. Bet Washington -13.5 at +500 and Dallas -13.5 at +600, both at FanDuel, for an implied +223 on either team to win by 14+ points (31%). Lastly, bet Washington -19.5 (+1060) and Dallas -19.5 (+1100) both at FanDuel for an implied +490 on either team to win by 20+ points. If you do feel strongly about a side, you're welcome to play just the side you like. Though if you feel good about a side, your better escalator may be attacking the NFC East division odds or even considering a long shot MVP investment in the right quarterback. I'll let the teams sort it out on the field and just hope whoever's ahead puts things away in a big way.

We're getting creative with this one based on this division rivalry's history and both teams' profiles. Dallas gets CeeDee Lamb back, and that should only help an offense that's already been surprisingly good, with Dak Prescott playing some of the best ball of his career and George Pickens dominating week after week. Jayden Daniels is back and playing well for Washington, and rookie Jacory Croskey-Merritt and the run game have been excellent under Kliff Kingsbury. Both of these offenses ranks top 10 by DVOA and can put up some serious points. The defenses only help the cause. Both defenses have key injuries. Washington's defense is old, and Dallas knows Dan Quinn well, and I don't need to tell you how bad the Cowboys defense has been. It's easy to see a path toward either offense exploding, and with a total in the mid 50s, it's natural to expect one of those games where the last team with the ball wins, a 30-27 type shootout. But that's not how this division rivalry typically plays out. Only one of the last 13 games these rivals have played finished closer than seven points! In fact, the average margin of victory in those games was a whopping 19.6 PPG. That includes margins of 15, 20, 22, 25, 28, 31, 35, and 42. It also means 62% of those games finished with a margin of over two touchdowns. And it's not just a rivalry thing — that fits how both these teams play even outside the rivalry. Washington just lost by one on Monday night, but every other Commanders game this season has finished with at least a seven-point margin of victory. That was true last year too, so 15-of-25 games under Dan Quinn (including the postseason) have finished with a margin of seven points or higher — 60% of them! Dallas has seen 43% of its games since the start of last season finish with a margin of eight points or higher, nearly half of them, and big blowouts have been quite common. Dallas has played nine games with a 15+ margin, 39% of its games, and Washington is at 40% during that stretch. Okay, so which side wins big? I have no idea! So I'm getting creative and betting both sides to win by margin. Let's split our bet and take both sides to win by seven or more. Bet Washington -6.5 at +240 (Hard Rock) and Dallas -6.5 at +270 (BetMGM). Bet those separate — you literally can't parlay them together — and we'll hope one side cashes. Those bets together give us a combined -129 on either team to win by 7+ points. Get the idea? Great, because now it's time for an escalator. Remember how often we're getting blowout wins by more than two scores, so let's also play either side to win by 14 or more. Bet Washington -13.5 at +500 and Dallas -13.5 at +600, both at FanDuel, for an implied +223 on either team to win by 14+ points (31%). Lastly, bet Washington -19.5 (+1060) and Dallas -19.5 (+1100) both at FanDuel for an implied +490 on either team to win by 20+ points. If you do feel strongly about a side, you're welcome to play just the side you like. Though if you feel good about a side, your better escalator may be attacking the NFC East division odds or even considering a long shot MVP investment in the right quarterback. I'll let the teams sort it out on the field and just hope whoever's ahead puts things away in a big way.

We're getting creative with this one based on this division rivalry's history and both teams' profiles. Dallas gets CeeDee Lamb back, and that should only help an offense that's already been surprisingly good, with Dak Prescott playing some of the best ball of his career and George Pickens dominating week after week. Jayden Daniels is back and playing well for Washington, and rookie Jacory Croskey-Merritt and the run game have been excellent under Kliff Kingsbury. Both of these offenses ranks top 10 by DVOA and can put up some serious points. The defenses only help the cause. Both defenses have key injuries. Washington's defense is old, and Dallas knows Dan Quinn well, and I don't need to tell you how bad the Cowboys defense has been. It's easy to see a path toward either offense exploding, and with a total in the mid 50s, it's natural to expect one of those games where the last team with the ball wins, a 30-27 type shootout. But that's not how this division rivalry typically plays out. Only one of the last 13 games these rivals have played finished closer than seven points! In fact, the average margin of victory in those games was a whopping 19.6 PPG. That includes margins of 15, 20, 22, 25, 28, 31, 35, and 42. It also means 62% of those games finished with a margin of over two touchdowns. And it's not just a rivalry thing — that fits how both these teams play even outside the rivalry. Washington just lost by one on Monday night, but every other Commanders game this season has finished with at least a seven-point margin of victory. That was true last year too, so 15-of-25 games under Dan Quinn (including the postseason) have finished with a margin of seven points or higher — 60% of them! Dallas has seen 43% of its games since the start of last season finish with a margin of eight points or higher, nearly half of them, and big blowouts have been quite common. Dallas has played nine games with a 15+ margin, 39% of its games, and Washington is at 40% during that stretch. Okay, so which side wins big? I have no idea! So I'm getting creative and betting both sides to win by margin. Let's split our bet and take both sides to win by seven or more. Bet Washington -6.5 at +240 (Hard Rock) and Dallas -6.5 at +270 (BetMGM). Bet those separate — you literally can't parlay them together — and we'll hope one side cashes. Those bets together give us a combined -129 on either team to win by 7+ points. Get the idea? Great, because now it's time for an escalator. Remember how often we're getting blowout wins by more than two scores, so let's also play either side to win by 14 or more. Bet Washington -13.5 at +500 and Dallas -13.5 at +600, both at FanDuel, for an implied +223 on either team to win by 14+ points (31%). Lastly, bet Washington -19.5 (+1060) and Dallas -19.5 (+1100) both at FanDuel for an implied +490 on either team to win by 20+ points. If you do feel strongly about a side, you're welcome to play just the side you like. Though if you feel good about a side, your better escalator may be attacking the NFC East division odds or even considering a long shot MVP investment in the right quarterback. I'll let the teams sort it out on the field and just hope whoever's ahead puts things away in a big way.

We're getting creative with this one based on this division rivalry's history and both teams' profiles. Dallas gets CeeDee Lamb back, and that should only help an offense that's already been surprisingly good, with Dak Prescott playing some of the best ball of his career and George Pickens dominating week after week. Jayden Daniels is back and playing well for Washington, and rookie Jacory Croskey-Merritt and the run game have been excellent under Kliff Kingsbury. Both of these offenses ranks top 10 by DVOA and can put up some serious points. The defenses only help the cause. Both defenses have key injuries. Washington's defense is old, and Dallas knows Dan Quinn well, and I don't need to tell you how bad the Cowboys defense has been. It's easy to see a path toward either offense exploding, and with a total in the mid 50s, it's natural to expect one of those games where the last team with the ball wins, a 30-27 type shootout. But that's not how this division rivalry typically plays out. Only one of the last 13 games these rivals have played finished closer than seven points! In fact, the average margin of victory in those games was a whopping 19.6 PPG. That includes margins of 15, 20, 22, 25, 28, 31, 35, and 42. It also means 62% of those games finished with a margin of over two touchdowns. And it's not just a rivalry thing — that fits how both these teams play even outside the rivalry. Washington just lost by one on Monday night, but every other Commanders game this season has finished with at least a seven-point margin of victory. That was true last year too, so 15-of-25 games under Dan Quinn (including the postseason) have finished with a margin of seven points or higher — 60% of them! Dallas has seen 43% of its games since the start of last season finish with a margin of eight points or higher, nearly half of them, and big blowouts have been quite common. Dallas has played nine games with a 15+ margin, 39% of its games, and Washington is at 40% during that stretch. Okay, so which side wins big? I have no idea! So I'm getting creative and betting both sides to win by margin. Let's split our bet and take both sides to win by seven or more. Bet Washington -6.5 at +240 (Hard Rock) and Dallas -6.5 at +270 (BetMGM). Bet those separate — you literally can't parlay them together — and we'll hope one side cashes. Those bets together give us a combined -129 on either team to win by 7+ points. Get the idea? Great, because now it's time for an escalator. Remember how often we're getting blowout wins by more than two scores, so let's also play either side to win by 14 or more. Bet Washington -13.5 at +500 and Dallas -13.5 at +600, both at FanDuel, for an implied +223 on either team to win by 14+ points (31%). Lastly, bet Washington -19.5 (+1060) and Dallas -19.5 (+1100) both at FanDuel for an implied +490 on either team to win by 20+ points. If you do feel strongly about a side, you're welcome to play just the side you like. Though if you feel good about a side, your better escalator may be attacking the NFC East division odds or even considering a long shot MVP investment in the right quarterback. I'll let the teams sort it out on the field and just hope whoever's ahead puts things away in a big way.

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/bIlPMohsyXb

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/bIlPMohsyXb

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/bIlPMohsyXb

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/bIlPMohsyXb

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/bIlPMohsyXb

@ChrisRaybon https://myaction.app/MsfxZEmqyXb