Dodgers vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - October 17, 2024

Dodgers at Mets

12:08 am • Fox Sports 1

Los Angeles Dodgers

4-2

8 - 0

New York Mets

2-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.24	1-1
W.Buehler			3.60	1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dodgers 4-2	-1.5	-1.5+150	o7.5-115	-115
Mets 2-4	u6.5	+1.5-180	u7.5-105	-105

Thursday 12:08 a.m.

October 17, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

Under 7.5 (Live)+110

Bottom 8

Under 7.5-105

1.05u

NYM -104

#ProSystem Fade the public in playoffs Overall: 112-59-0,65% (ROI:35%) Season:2-1-0,67% (ROI:43%)

NYM +1.5-178

#ProSystem Fade public and take the home team (Postseason) Overall: 83-45-0,65% (ROI:24%) Season:1-1-0,50% (ROI:-20%)

W.Buehler u1.5 BB+115

Under 7.5-105

Under 7.5+100

$1000.00

Over 7.5-105

Under 8-115

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Despite strong offenses, pitching and bullpen strength point to a low-scoring game. Buehler, despite recent struggles, can bounce back, while Severino has been more effective at home. Both bullpens are solid, and recent trends favor the under, especially in Mets' home games. Expect a tight, low-scoring matchup.

LAD -114

2.63u

Over 4.5 (F5)+102

0.75u

Over 7.5-110

M.Betts o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-114

2.28u

Over 7.5-110

0.91u

NYM -110 (F5)

NYM +1.5-182

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LAD o3.5 Team Total-150

W.Buehler u3.5 Ks+120

0.83u

L.Severino u15.5 Outs-118

Over 7.5-115

S.Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases+100

Under 4.5 (F5)-130

0.77u

@shanley10

LAD -110

NYM -105

0.75u

NYM o3.5 Team Total-113

1.13u

Avery

M.Vientos To Record 2+ Total Bases Yes+145

Johnny

W.Buehler u1.5 BB+132

0.87u

Johnny

LAD -103

Sandy

S.Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases+104

1.04u

Sandy

K.Hernandez o0.5 Hits-125

0.8u

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Over 7.5-102

1.47u

NYM -108

1.5u

NYM -108

NYM -105

1.05u

LAD -110

2.73u

LAD -110

0.91u

Over 7.5-110

The #Dodgers don’t do any favours for Walker Buehler. To the contrary, the #Dodgers are very capable of scoring runs on #Yankess P Luis Severino. I can see this line closing at 8 runs closer to game time.

W.Buehler u4.5 Ks-150

1.5u

L.Severino u4.5 Ks+110

0.11u

S.Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases+104

1.04u

Run it back - dude has cost me coin all playoffs we still ride

L.Severino u4.5 Ks+108

1.08u

May come back on this and take a piece off later, but this is a +12.9% edge based on Action projections and Dodgers have a 17 K% vs. RHP in the L30. Day off for Mets means entire bullpen is available too

LAD -103

Collab w/ @JakeMLB41 (8-2 YTD)

Under 8-120

1.2u

Under 8-115

0.29u

Bumping up the position at 8. Would decrease risk starting at -118 or 7.5 (+100)

NYM -104

0.52u

Bet to -105

Under 8+100

0.5u

Projected 7.1; windy and cold. Opened 6.5 (-110) at FD. Bet to 7.5 (-108)

Featured Insight
The Dodgers have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- tied for third lowest in MLB (192 games). The Mets have scored just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- third lowest in MLB (200 games).

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Featured Insight
Mets hitters a groundball rate of 51% over the last week -- tied for second highest in MLB. Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Dodgers over the last week -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Dodgers are 96-53 (.644) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .538.

Freddie Freeman is slugging .525 since last season -- 12th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Luis Severino has allowed a SLG of .499 vs left-handed batters since last season -- sixth worst among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP-- fourth Percentile.

Mookie Betts has an OPS of 1.090 with RISP since last season -- third best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Luis Severino has allowed an OPS of .848 (269 PAs) with RISP since last season -- fourth worst among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP-- fourth Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Dodgers	81-79	42-38	39-41	74-67	7-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Dodgers	88-67-5	45-31-4	43-36-1	79-57-5	9-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	7-6	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Dodgers	11-5	52-28	45-35	91-50	6-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 14th	@LAD	W 7-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +130
Oct 14th	@LAD	L 0-9	+1.5 L	O 8	LAD +136
Oct 9th	PHI	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8	NYM -121
Oct 8th	PHI	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 7	NYM -106
Oct 6th	@PHI	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 8.5	PHI +120

Dustin May
P
May is out with elbow
Out
Tony Gonsolin
P
Gonsolin is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
P
Stone is out with shoulder
Out
Emmet Sheehan
P
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RW.Buehler, P	90	4	6
RM.Kopech, P	12	1	1
RR.Brasier, P	20	1	1
RB.Treinen, P	11	1	2
RB.Casparius, P	31	2	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Ohtani, DH	1-4	1	1	3
2M.Betts, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3F.Freeman, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
3K.Kiermaier, CF	0-0	0	0	0
4M.Muncy, 3B	2-2	2	1	1
4M.Muncy, 1B	2-2	2	1	1
5T.Hernandez, LF	0-5	1	0	0
6G.Lux, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6C.Taylor, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
7W.Smith, C	2-4	1	0	1
8T.Edman, SS	1-4	1	0	1
9K.Hernandez, CF	2-5	2	1	2
9K.Hernandez, 3B	2-5	2	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	95	4.2	3	0
RR.Garrett, P	20	1.1	2	2
RT.Megill, P	72	3	3	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2M.Vientos, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
3B.Nimmo, LF	1-3	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5S.Marte, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6J.Martinez, DH	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Iglesias, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
8T.Taylor, CF	0-1	0	0	0
8J.McNeil, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8H.Bader, CF	0-1	0	0	0
9F.Alvarez, C	0-3	0	0	0