Mets vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - October 6, 2024

Mets at Phillies

8:08 pm • Fox Sports 1

New York Mets

3-1

6 - 7

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sanchez			3.60	0-0
L.Severino			3.24	1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 3-1	+1.5	+1.5-170	o8.5-110	+120
Phillies 1-3	u8	-1.5+142	u8.5-110	-142

Sunday 8:08 p.m.

October 06, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Over 8.5-105

1.9u

Over 4.5 (F5)+100

#ProSystem Overs with wind postseason (F5) Overall: 163-105-11,61% (ROI:19%) Season:4-3-0,57% (ROI:4%)

PHI -0.5 (F5)-115

#ProSystem Phillies at home postseason (F5) Overall: 12-4-17,75% (ROI:21%)

Under 8.5-115

1.15u

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The Phillies are 27-23 (.540) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .442.

Bryce Harper is slugging .514 since last season -- 14th best in MLB-- 88th Percentile. Luis Severino has allowed a SLG of .503 vs left-handed batters since last season -- worst among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP-- 0 Percentile.

Bryce Harper is batting .289 since last season -- tied for 13th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Left handed batters are hitting .294 (160-for-545) against Luis Severino since last season -- third worst among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP-- second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (201/316) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	1-3	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Mets	7-6	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 5th	NYM	L 2-6	-1.5 L	O 7	NYM -186
Sep 29th	@WSH	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	PHI -142
Sep 28th	@WSH	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8	WSH -207
Sep 27th	@WSH	L 1-9	-1.5 L	O 8.5	WSH -185
Sep 25th	CHC	W 9-6	-1.5 W	O 8	PHI -225

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	91	6	7	3
RJ.Butto, P	15	0.2	0	0
RE.Diaz, P	25	0.2	2	3
RT.Megill, P	33	1.1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	2-5	2	0	0
2M.Vientos, 3B	3-4	2	2	4
3B.Nimmo, LF	2-5	1	1	1
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
5J.Iglesias, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Martinez, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7S.Marte, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7T.Taylor, RF	0-0	0	0	0
8F.Alvarez, C	1-4	0	0	0
9H.Bader, CF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sanchez, P	88	5	5	2
RJ.Ruiz, P	16	1	0	1
RO.Kerkering, P	27	1	3	1
RC.Estevez, P	8	1	1	0
LM.Strahm, P	18	0.2	1	2
RJ.Hoffman, P	3	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-5	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	2-4	2	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	1-3	2	1	2
4N.Castellanos, RF	3-5	2	1	2
5B.Stott, 2B	2-4	1	0	2
6J.Realmuto, C	0-3	0	0	1
7B.Marsh, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Marsh, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8E.Sosa, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8A.Bohm, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8A.Bohm, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	1-1	0	0	0
9K.Clemens, PH	1-2	0	0	0
9K.Clemens, LF	1-2	0	0	0
9A.Hays, LF	0-1	0	0	0