Packers vs. Cowboys Odds & Betting Predictions - September 29, 2025
Packers at Cowboys
12:20 am • NBCPackers at Cowboys Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Packers 2-1-1 | -5 | -6.5-110 | o47-110 | -320 |
![]() Cowboys 2-2-1 | u47.5 | +6.5-110 | u47-110 | +265 |

AT&T StadiumArlington
Packers vs. Cowboys Expert Picks

Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 59-81-3 (-20.8u)
D.Wicks o17.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110
0.91u
GB -4.5 (2H)-110
2u

Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 132-125-1 (-2.0u)
J.Ferguson o49.5 Rec Yds-125
1u

Allan Lem
Last 30d: 121-101-6 (+6.0u)
J.Jacobs u2.5 Recs-125
0.63u
Assuming a positive game script here where he won’t be needed as much in the passing game
GB -6.5-110
0.55u

Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 95-93-0 (+3.3u)
R.Flournoy o5.5 Rec Yds-125
1u

Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 36-36-0 (-1.9u)
G.Pickens o4.5 Recs-135
0.15u

FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 61-52-1 (+7.0u)
GB -4.5 (1H)+110
1u
GB -6.5-110
1u
GB -1.5 (1Q)+106
1.06u

Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 52-101-1 (+19.6u)
J. Jacobs over 0.5 1st Qtr Rec Yds+140
1.4u
J. Jacobs Over 0.5 1st Q rec yds +140 DK or +122 FD
Think LaFleur goes back to receiving if win toss after L last week deferring
Cowboys defer 100% so far
Either way, Cowboys nearly all Cover 2/3 (70%) which Reed checks down to RB a lot and has lower first read target rate
DAL allows 8th most rec yd/gm to RB
Dont mind all rec overs for him (recs, yds) for full game too. Just bet good prices and lines.

Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 24-33-1 (+7.4u)
M.Golden Anytime TD Scorer Yes+220
0.5u

Markus Markets
Last 30d: 34-23-0 (+10.9u)
J.Love o1.5 Pass TDs-123
0.81u
NoVig

Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 36-33-2 (-0.1u)
GB -6.5-110
1.1u

PvB Bets
Last 30d: 10-2-0 (+6.4u)
J.Love o1.5 Pass TDs-135
0.74u
Jordan Love ⬆️ 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-135 @ BetMGM)(GB)
Love has already shown a knack for finding the end zone, tallying 5 passing touchdowns through the first three weeks of the season. More impressively, in a matchup against Dallas last season, he threw for 3 touchdowns in a single game, demonstrating his ability to capitalize on their defensive vulnerabilities.
The Cowboys' pass defense has been a major concern this year. They are currently allowing the most passing yards per game (300.0) and the second-most passing touchdowns per game (2.33), and this is on a relatively low 30.7 pass attempts per game. This indicates that when teams do throw against them, they are finding significant success.
Recent performances against Dallas further solidify this pick:
C. Williams: 298 passing yards and 4 touchdowns
R. Wilson: 50 yards and 3 touchdowns
Digging deeper into Dallas's defensive metrics reveals alarming inefficiencies:
They are allowing an astounding 9.78 yards per attempt (ranked 1st among all defenses), indicating significant chunk plays.
Opposing quarterbacks are boasting a 125.3 passer rating (ranked 2nd), a testament to how easily they are picking apart this secondary.
Furthermore, Dallas is allowing the highest deep throw rate (17.4%) and the 4th highest catch rate (81.5%). This aligns perfectly with Love's playing style; among quarterbacks who have played three games, Love has the 7th highest deep throw rate. It's notable that two of the quarterbacks ahead of him in this metric (Russell Wilson and Caleb Williams) have already exploited this very Dallas defense for multiple touchdowns.
While Love has faced significant pressure, being the 2nd most pressured QB (43.2%) only behind Jalen Hurts, the Cowboys' low sack rate (3.7%) and poor pass rush rating (5th lowest) suggest he might have more time than usual to make plays downfield.

💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 99-131-2 (+27.0u)
J.Ferguson o51.5 Rec Yds-114
1.14u
DAL +3.5 (1H)+100
1u

Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 59-81-3 (-20.8u)
GB -350
2u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 52-35-3 (+28.7u)
DAL +6.5-105
1.9u

Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 40-110-4 (-0.6u)
G.Pickens Anytime TD Scorer Yes+160
0.8u

Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 59-81-3 (-20.8u)
GB -6.5-110
2u

Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 95-93-0 (+3.3u)
R.Gary o0.25 Sacks-118
1.18u
GB -6.5-110
1.1u

The Degenerates
Last 30d: 68-58-2 (+6.4u)
GB -6.5-115
1.15u

Invisible Insider
Last 30d: 11-13-0 (-2.3u)
GB -6.5-105
1u

Capper Central
Last 30d: 93-62-1 (+18.3u)
M.Golden o21.5 Longest Reception-118
1u

Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 115-126-5 (+53.7u)
D.Prescott u2.5 Rush Att-180
1.11u
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GB -6.5-110
2u
🚨Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found on our Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/A8v49URQaG
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Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 76-84-3 (+0.3u)
Under 47-110
1u
Plug ur holeas

Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 24-30-0 (-1.5u)
J.Jacobs u2.5 Recs-125
1u
D.Prescott u37.5 Pass Att-135
1u

Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 73-66-1 (+12.7u)
DAL +6.5-105
2.86u

Babs .
Last 30d: 79-76-0 (+5.0u)
M.Golden o3.5 Recs+190
1.01u

Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 29-105-0 (-26.7u)
M.Parsons o2.5 Sacks+1160
0.25u
Listen, let's keep this real easy — there's absolutely NO way I'm passing on an opportunity to bet Micah Parsons sacking his old team.
Come on! This is the Parsons revenge game! You already know he's been salivating for this moment since the day he got traded.
I don't even have much of an additional case here, no analytics or percentages selling you on the price. Dallas's offensive line isn't what it once was, but Dak Prescott isn't particularly sack prone or anything — I'm just betting on Micah.
Parsons has at least one sack in over half his games in his career, 34 of 66. That's great but also implies a number closer to even odds. Books know we want this and are pricing it in, and I honestly just don't care. I'm not leaving Sunday without this ticket.
What I really want is a Parsons escalator for 2+ sacks. When Parsons gets going, he can get sacks in bunches. He's had two or more sacks in 15 of 66 games, 23% of them, so I'd take that bet if you can find it for anything around +300 or better.
We're all watching Sunday night for one specific reason. Might as well bet it!
M.Parsons o1.5 Sacks+302
0.5u
Listen, let's keep this real easy — there's absolutely NO way I'm passing on an opportunity to bet Micah Parsons sacking his old team.
Come on! This is the Parsons revenge game! You already know he's been salivating for this moment since the day he got traded.
I don't even have much of an additional case here, no analytics or percentages selling you on the price. Dallas's offensive line isn't what it once was, but Dak Prescott isn't particularly sack prone or anything — I'm just betting on Micah.
Parsons has at least one sack in over half his games in his career, 34 of 66. That's great but also implies a number closer to even odds. Books know we want this and are pricing it in, and I honestly just don't care. I'm not leaving Sunday without this ticket.
What I really want is a Parsons escalator for 2+ sacks. When Parsons gets going, he can get sacks in bunches. He's had two or more sacks in 15 of 66 games, 23% of them, so I'd take that bet if you can find it for anything around +300 or better.
We're all watching Sunday night for one specific reason. Might as well bet it!
J.Love 4+ Passing Touchdowns Yes+1100
0.25u
We already bet Packers -5 on the Hot Read, and I still love Green Bay if you've got anything below -7 available.
The Packers have won 10 of their last 11 games against the Cowboys, including winning each of the last five with at least 30 points in all of them. Dallas's defense has been awful and ranks near the bottom of the league in explosive plays allowed, and that plus a banged-up secondary could be a nightmare against Green Bay's aggressive downfield passing attack.
I looked at Green Bay's team total over for possible escalators, but the line is at 27.5 and the Packers haven't topped 27 yet this season.
If the Packers do put up a big number, there's a pretty good chance Jordan Love will be heavily involved. Matt LaFleur offenses love to pass the ball into the end zone, typically around three-fourths of Green Bay's offensive scores, and the Packers should find the end zone repeatedly in this one.
The Cowboys allowed the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks last season and are right back at the bottom again this season. Need a reminder? Two weeks ago, Russell Wilson set a career-high in passing yards and threw three scores — and has since been benched. Last week, Caleb Williams threw a career-high four touchdowns.
Not that any of that is new. Dallas has allowed multiple passing touchdowns in 60% of its games since the start of last season.
Jordan Love has been a touchdown machine. He's thrown multiple TDs himself in 21 of 33 full games since become the starter (64%), almost two of every three. That should make us feel pretty good about Love over 1.5 pass TDs, even at -136 (FanDuel).
Feels like this is the escalator play too. Love has thrown 3+ touchdowns in 24% of those healthy games as a starter. We can play 3+ pass TDs at +320 (bet365) basically right at that number, but that's before factoring in the tasty matchup.
Remember, both Wilson and Williams hit that number the last two weeks, and Williams had four. Love had a pair of 4-TD games last season too, so let's nibble that at +1100 (bet365).
M.Parsons o0.75 Sacks-144
0.69u
Listen, let's keep this real easy — there's absolutely NO way I'm passing on an opportunity to bet Micah Parsons sacking his old team.
Come on! This is the Parsons revenge game! You already know he's been salivating for this moment since the day he got traded.
I don't even have much of an additional case here, no analytics or percentages selling you on the price. Dallas's offensive line isn't what it once was, but Dak Prescott isn't particularly sack prone or anything — I'm just betting on Micah.
Parsons has at least one sack in over half his games in his career, 34 of 66. That's great but also implies a number closer to even odds. Books know we want this and are pricing it in, and I honestly just don't care. I'm not leaving Sunday without this ticket.
What I really want is a Parsons escalator for 2+ sacks. When Parsons gets going, he can get sacks in bunches. He's had two or more sacks in 15 of 66 games, 23% of them, so I'd take that bet if you can find it for anything around +300 or better.
We're all watching Sunday night for one specific reason. Might as well bet it!
J.Love o1.5 Pass TDs-136
0.74u
We already bet Packers -5 on the Hot Read, and I still love Green Bay if you've got anything below -7 available.
The Packers have won 10 of their last 11 games against the Cowboys, including winning each of the last five with at least 30 points in all of them. Dallas's defense has been awful and ranks near the bottom of the league in explosive plays allowed, and that plus a banged-up secondary could be a nightmare against Green Bay's aggressive downfield passing attack.
I looked at Green Bay's team total over for possible escalators, but the line is at 27.5 and the Packers haven't topped 27 yet this season.
If the Packers do put up a big number, there's a pretty good chance Jordan Love will be heavily involved. Matt LaFleur offenses love to pass the ball into the end zone, typically around three-fourths of Green Bay's offensive scores, and the Packers should find the end zone repeatedly in this one.
The Cowboys allowed the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks last season and are right back at the bottom again this season. Need a reminder? Two weeks ago, Russell Wilson set a career-high in passing yards and threw three scores — and has since been benched. Last week, Caleb Williams threw a career-high four touchdowns.
Not that any of that is new. Dallas has allowed multiple passing touchdowns in 60% of its games since the start of last season.
Jordan Love has been a touchdown machine. He's thrown multiple TDs himself in 21 of 33 full games since become the starter (64%), almost two of every three. That should make us feel pretty good about Love over 1.5 pass TDs, even at -136 (FanDuel).
Feels like this is the escalator play too. Love has thrown 3+ touchdowns in 24% of those healthy games as a starter. We can play 3+ pass TDs at +320 (bet365) basically right at that number, but that's before factoring in the tasty matchup.
Remember, both Wilson and Williams hit that number the last two weeks, and Williams had four. Love had a pair of 4-TD games last season too, so let's nibble that at +1100 (bet365).
If you just want a fun narrative-based SGP for Sunday night, you can parlay three pass TDs for Love, a Micah Parsons sack, and Packers -6.5 at +632 at FanDuel.
J.Love 3+ Passing Touchdowns Yes+320
1.6u
We already bet Packers -5 on the Hot Read, and I still love Green Bay if you've got anything below -7 available.
The Packers have won 10 of their last 11 games against the Cowboys, including winning each of the last five with at least 30 points in all of them. Dallas's defense has been awful and ranks near the bottom of the league in explosive plays allowed, and that plus a banged-up secondary could be a nightmare against Green Bay's aggressive downfield passing attack.
I looked at Green Bay's team total over for possible escalators, but the line is at 27.5 and the Packers haven't topped 27 yet this season.
If the Packers do put up a big number, there's a pretty good chance Jordan Love will be heavily involved. Matt LaFleur offenses love to pass the ball into the end zone, typically around three-fourths of Green Bay's offensive scores, and the Packers should find the end zone repeatedly in this one.
The Cowboys allowed the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks last season and are right back at the bottom again this season. Need a reminder? Two weeks ago, Russell Wilson set a career-high in passing yards and threw three scores — and has since been benched. Last week, Caleb Williams threw a career-high four touchdowns.
Not that any of that is new. Dallas has allowed multiple passing touchdowns in 60% of its games since the start of last season.
Jordan Love has been a touchdown machine. He's thrown multiple TDs himself in 21 of 33 full games since become the starter (64%), almost two of every three. That should make us feel pretty good about Love over 1.5 pass TDs, even at -136 (FanDuel).
Feels like this is the escalator play too. Love has thrown 3+ touchdowns in 24% of those healthy games as a starter. We can play 3+ pass TDs at +320 (bet365) basically right at that number, but that's before factoring in the tasty matchup.
Remember, both Wilson and Williams hit that number the last two weeks, and Williams had four. Love had a pair of 4-TD games last season too, so let's nibble that at +1100 (bet365).
If you just want a fun narrative-based SGP for Sunday night, you can parlay three pass TDs for Love, a Micah Parsons sack, and Packers -6.5 at +632 at FanDuel.

Matt DiLeo
Last 30d: 47-27-0 (+14.4u)
J.Tolbert o2.5 Recs-125
0.8u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 21-75-0 (-13.0u)
J.Tolbert Anytime TD Scorer Yes+425
0.5u
Had this closer to +350 so anything over +400 is good enough for me.
T.Kraft Anytime TD Scorer Yes+220
1u
Anything over +200 👍

Roger Goodell
Last 30d: 45-31-2 (+6.7u)
GB -6.5-115
1u
J.Tolbert o2.5 Recs-125
0.6u

Picks Office
Last 30d: 62-72-2 (-5.9u)
DAL +7-115
0.87u

Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 32-27-0 (+0.8u)
E.Cooper o8.5 Tackles + Ast-110
1.1u
Pass the Prop best bet #2

Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 45-121-0 (-23.6u)
J.Love 4+ Passing Touchdowns Yes+1100
0.2u
@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/QiU46AL9YWb
J.Love o1.5 Pass TDs-136
0.74u
@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/QiU46AL9YWb
J.Love 3+ Passing Touchdowns Yes+320
1.6u
@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/QiU46AL9YWb

Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 132-125-1 (-2.0u)
M.Golden o44.5 Rec Yds-110
0.91u

Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 61-51-2 (+13.4u)
T.Kraft o42.5 Rec Yds-110
1u

Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 45-121-0 (-23.6u)
M.Golden Anytime TD Scorer Yes+230
1u
@ChrisRaybon Favorite ATD https://myaction.app/JNv2zeOUXWb
K.Turpin Anytime TD Scorer Yes+370
1u
@Stuckey2 Favorite ATD https://myaction.app/JNv2zeOUXWb

Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 88-96-2 (+11.0u)
M.Golden o89.5 Rec Yds+660
0.2u
M.Golden o69.5 Rec Yds+294
0.5u
M.Golden o59.5 Rec Yds+197
1u
M.Golden o79.5 Rec Yds+446
0.3u
M.Golden o40.5 Rec Yds-114
2.63u

Derek Carty
Last 30d: 18-24-0 (-2.3u)
J.Love o27.5 Pass Att-106
1u
There is a value opportunity on Jordan Love's pass attempts prop. THE BLITZ is projecting 34.31 pass attempts for him with a 71% chance that he exceeds 27.5 pass attempts. If you can get the over at -106 or better, there is some great value here. Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz

Kenny Ducey
Last 30d: 28-23-2 (+2.9u)
DAL +7-112
1u

Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 132-115-2 (+28.5u)
DAL +7-111
0.9u

Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 61-51-2 (+13.4u)
GB -6.5-118
1.18u

Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 59-81-3 (-20.8u)
GB -6.5-115
1u

Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 45-121-0 (-23.6u)
GB -5.5-115
1u
@wheatonbrando Week 4 Hot Read https://myaction.app/SynoOQl1RWb

Anders
Last 30d: 10-12-0 (-1.4u)
GB -5.5-112
1.12u
Early one for the people

Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 19-34-0 (-4.4u)
GB -5.5-115
1u

Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 29-105-0 (-26.7u)
GB -5-112
2u
🔥 Week 4 Hot Read 🔥
Grab below 6 while you can.
Packers vs. Cowboys Previews & Analysis
Packers vs. Cowboys Props
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Packers vs. Cowboys Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Cowboys are 2-2 in their last 5 games.
- Cowboys are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Cowboys are 2-1 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cowboys' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cowboys' 2 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Packers vs. Cowboys Injury Updates

Packers Injuries
- Zayne AndersonS
Anderson is questionable with knee
Questionable
- Christian WatsonWR
Watson is out with knee
Out
- Jayden ReedWR
Reed is out with collarbone
Out
- MarShawn LloydRB
Lloyd is out with hamstring
Out
- Barryn SorrellDE
Sorrell is questionable with knee
Questionable

Cowboys Injuries
- Miles SandersRB
Sanders is out with ankle
Out
- CeeDee LambWR
Lamb is out with ankle
Out
- Perrion WinfreyDT
Winfrey is out with back
Out
- KaVontae TurpinWR
Turpin is out with foot
Out
- Jonathan MingoWR
Mingo is questionable with knee
Questionable
Team Stats
Packers vs. Cowboys Odds Comparison
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Packers at Cowboys Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Packers 2-1-1 | o27-113 | u27-111 |
![]() Cowboys 2-2-1 | o19.5-124 | u19.5+102 |