Lions vs. Packers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 29, 2023

Lions at Packers

12:15 am • Amazon Prime Video

Detroit Lions

12-2

34 - 20

Green Bay Packers

10-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Lions 12-2	-2.5-118	o45-110	-134
Packers 10-4	+2.5-102	u45-110	+114

Friday 12:15 a.m.

September 29, 2023

Lambeau FieldGreen Bay

R.Ford o4.5 Tackles + Ast-130

0.77u

B.Branch o5.5 Tackles + Ast+110

2.2u

DET -100000 (Live)

0.01u

Under 53.5-120

1.2u

GB +9.5-117

$100.00

A.Jones u46.5 Rush Yds-115

0.4u

A.St. Brown Anytime TD Scorer+140

0.56u

For fun https://nypost.com/2023/09/28/lions-vs-packers-anytime-touchdown-scorer-picks-amon-ra-st-brown/

J.Love Anytime TD Scorer+400

1.6u

For fun https://nypost.com/2023/09/28/lions-vs-packers-anytime-touchdown-scorer-picks-amon-ra-st-brown/

J.Reed Anytime TD Scorer+350

0.4u

For fun https://nypost.com/2023/09/28/lions-vs-packers-anytime-touchdown-scorer-picks-amon-ra-st-brown/

J.Jacobs o4.5 Tackles + Ast+135

0.34u

Alternatively over 3.5 Tackles

J.Gibbs o19.5 Rec Yds-110

1.1u

Projecting well into the 20s

D.Montgomery u1.5 Recs-105

1.05u

S.LaPorta o4.5 Recs+120

0.5u

GB +2.5-105

0.5u

A.Jones u47.5 Rush Yds-110

GB +2.5-105

0.5u

Still like the Pack: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/lions-vs-packers-picks-player-props-best-bets-thursday-night-football?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=brandonanderson

C.Watson o89.5 Rec Yds+640

0.25u

80 yard bomb to Watson and I nut

C.Watson o69.5 Rec Yds+320

0.5u

I said let’s climb god damnit

C.Watson o79.5 Rec Yds-110

0.25u

You must not have heard me I said let’s climb

C.Watson o59.5 Rec Yds+225

0.5u

Let’s climb fat girls lets climb

J.Love First Touchdown Scorer+2200

0.25u

Ethan’s POD

J.Gibbs o19.5 Rec Yds-115

Please don’t fuck me over on primetime again

J.Gibbs o2.5 Recs-145

L.Musgrave Anytime TD Scorer+310

0.5u

Under 45.5-110

0.5u

L.Musgrave Anytime TD Scorer+300

GB +2.5-107

GB +2.5-109

$100.00

If the packers go down early I’m going to put another unit on the live

DET -2-105

A.Jones u45.5 Rush Yds-115

0.87u

@The_Oddsmaker

J.Love o18.5 Rush Yds-120

@GDAWG5000

M.Jones u12.5 Rec Yds-130

0.77u

Q.Walker o8.5 Tackles + Ast-131

I gave this out for Action Network's Green Dot Daily appearance. (Repost) - Lions have given up the 7th most tackles to LB in three weeks - De’Vondre Campbell Out: 12, 11, & 8 Tackles+Assists last three games w/o - Montgomery active. GB 27th in rushing yards allowed. - Multiple LBs 10+ TAs vs. Lions: K. Ellis, B. Wagner, & J. Brooks

J.Love o227.5 Pass Yds-110

0.25u

J.Mitchell Anytime TD Scorer+2400

0.2u

B.Wright Anytime TD Scorer+1100

0.4u

DET -135

0.74u

Sorry cheese heads I can’t see Detroit losing

J.Love o18.5 Rush Yds-110

0.25u

Under 45.5-115

Follow all my picks at FTNBets.com!

M.Jones u14.5 Rec Yds-110

0.91u

@The_Oddsmaker

Q.Walker o8.5 Tackles + Ast-131

0.76u

@PropBomb

J.Love Anytime TD Scorer+500

2.5u

@GDAWG5000

J.Goff o0.5 Int+115

1.15u

@GDAWG5000

A.Jones Anytime TD Scorer+150

@GDAWG5000

M.Jones u14.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

M.Jones u14.5 Rec Yds-110

S.LaPorta o4.5 Recs+110

S.LaPorta o4.5 Recs-106

A.Jones Anytime TD Scorer+125

A.Jones o15.5 Rec Yds-120

A.St. Brown o71.5 Rec Yds-119

L.Musgrave o37.5 Rec Yds-125

Just look at the numbers - Lions can’t guard TE’s

J.Love o32.5 Pass Att-115

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-bet-jordan-love-on-thursday-night-football

J.Love o3.5 Rush Att-104

1.04u

WHAT IS LOVE

GB o22.5-108

1.64u

Like he probably did 9/11

A.Jones o68.5 Rush + Rec Yds-115

Over 45.5-107

0.93u

A.Jones o16.5 Rec Yds-110

C.Watson o38.5 Rec Yds-110

But he’s injured! - Media smoke screen

Under 45.5-110

1.1u

J.Goff o0.5 Int+115

1.15u

Bet at DraftKings. Let the games begin!

J.Goff u23.5 Pass Comp-105

0.95u

A.Dillon First Touchdown Scorer+750

0.5u

Fuck you Sandy

A.Dillon Anytime TD Scorer+130

Have you seen his thighs?

A.Jones Anytime TD Scorer+150

Bet at FanDuel. Best price available. For context, Jones was -160 and -135 to score a TD in 2022 vs Lions. That’s bc in 2020 and 2021, he combined to score 7 TD in 3 games against them. He is coming off injury but he scored twice in W1. I trust they will have him heavily involved in Red Zone.

GB +2-110

J.Reed o37.5 Rec Yds-116

$50.00

Over in 2 of 3 games this year. Week 2 went under this line by half a yard. Has been a trusted target for Love, making a huge catch down the field last week to help win them the game. In JR we trust!

Q.Walker o8.5 Tackles + Ast-131

0.76u

Quay Quay bout to lay the lumber

B.Branch o5.5 Tackles + Ast-105

0.95u

Shhhhhh the fireman coming

Under 46-110

1.1u

Over 46-109

Q.Walker o8.5 Tackles + Ast-125

C.Watson o37.5 Rec Yds-115

D.Wicks u1.5 Recs-120

0.83u

Under 46-108

L.Musgrave o35.5 Rec Yds-125

J.Love Anytime TD Scorer+500

Bet at FanDuel. Let’s get wild.

J.Love o16.5 Rush Yds-115

$57.50

Over in 2 of 3 games this year (2 straight). Missing pieces on the O-Line, will force him to get out of the pocket/use his legs a bit more.

Over 45.5-112

DET -1.5-104

$100.00

S.LaPorta o39.5 Rec Yds-102

0.98u

Over 45.5-111

0.9u

The primetime under killstreak comes to an end

Under 45.5-115

FanDuel 2:03 am Tuesday.

GB +1.5-110

$55.00

Bet on Sunday 9/24. Let’s see how this one moves.

GB +1-105

0.5u

GB -110

Bonus Wk4 Lookahead. Pack have won 28/32 at home vs Detroit. They lost last time though and got knocked out of the playoffs so this is a big revenge spot. Lions missing both S, LT/RG, Montgomery & Amon hurt, short week. Feels like one that could rise, so I'll grab the coin flip ML now.

Featured Insight
The Lions have run 17.0% offensive plays in the red zone since the 2022 season -- tied for second-best in NFL. Packers has allowed their opponent to run 16.0% of plays in the red zone since the 2022 season -- tied for third-worst in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

Featured Insight
The Packers have scored 6.7 points per game in the first half this season -- tied for sixth-worst in NFL. The Lions have allowed 8.0 PPG during the first half this season -- tied for sixth-best in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

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NFL Public Betting

Packers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Packers are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Packers are 3-2 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Packers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Packers' 7 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Packers	7-6-1	4-3	3-2-1	5-4	2-2-1
Lions	9-4-1	4-3-1	5-1	8-4-1	1-0

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Packers	6-7-1	2-4-1	3-3	3-5-1	3-2
Lions	7-7	5-3	2-4	6-7	1-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Packers	10-4	N/A	N/A	8-1	2-3
Lions	12-2	N/A	N/A	11-2	1-0

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 24th	NO	W 18-17	+1.5 W	U 41.5	GB -105
Sep 17th	@ATL	L 24-25	+3 W	O 40	ATL +130
Sep 10th	@CHI	W 38-20	+1 W	O 40.5	GB +106
Aug 26th	SEA	W 19-15	-3.5 W	U 38	GB -167
Aug 20th	NE	L 17-21	-2.5 L	O 37.5	NE -145

Jaire Alexander
CB
Alexander is out with knee
Out

Corey Ballentine
CB
Ballentine is questionable with knee
Questionable
Luke Musgrave
TE
Musgrave is out with ankle
Out
Jordan Morgan
OL
Morgan is out with shoulder
Out
Javon Bullard
DB
Bullard is out with ankle
Out
MarShawn Lloyd
RB
Lloyd is out with hamstring
Out

Jalen Reeves-Maybin
LB
Reeves-Maybin is out with neck
Out
David Montgomery
RB
Montgomery is out with knee
Out
Ifeatu Melifonwu
S
Melifonwu is out with ankle
Out
Brodric Martin
DE
Martin is out with knee
Out
Trevor Nowaske
LB
Nowaske is out with concussion
Out
Ennis Rakestraw
DB
Rakestraw is out with hamstring
Out
Christian Mahogany
OL
Mahogany is out with illness
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Lions

Total

Packers

401

Total Yards

230

Total Plays

5.5

Yards Per Play

4.3

Lions

Passing

Packers

210

YDS

246

19/28

Comps/Atts

23/36

6.333

YPA

4.951

1/1

TDs/INTs

1/2

2/20

Sacks/Yards

5/43

Lions

Rushing

Packers

211

Rush Yards

Attempts

4.907

YPC

2.25

TDs

Lions

Turnovers

Packers

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Lions

Efficiency

Packers

3/6 50%

Redzone

2/4 50%

7/17 0%

3rd Down

3/11 0%

2/2 0%

4th Down

1/1 0%

Lions

First Downs

Packers

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Lions

Misc

Packers

8/70

Penalties/Yards

4/31

37:58

Possession

22:02

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See more NFL Odds

MatchupOverUnder
Lions 12-2	o23.5-105	u23.5-110
Packers 10-4	o21.5-112	u21.5-111

Lions vs. Packers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 29, 2023

Lions at Packers

Detroit Lions

Green Bay Packers

Lions at Packers Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

PRO Insights

Lions

Packers

Lions vs. Packers Previews & Analysis

Action Network's NFL Week 4 Betting Primer (Sunday Update)

Koerner's NFL Week 4 Pick'em & Confidence Ratings

How We're Live Betting Thursday Night Football

Lions vs. Packers Most Valuable TNF Prop Bets

Lions vs. Packers Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

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Lions vs. Packers Public Betting Percentages

Lions

Public

Packers

Bets%

Money%

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Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Packers vs. Lions Injury Updates

Packers Injuries

Lions Injuries

Lions vs. Packers Odds Comparison

Lions at Packers Team Totals