Lions vs. 49ers Odds & Betting Predictions - January 28, 2024

Lions at 49ers

11:30 pm • FOX

Detroit Lions

9-1

31 - 34

San Francisco 49ers

5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Lions 9-1	+7	+7.5-110	o53.5-105	+280
49ers 5-5	u52	-7.5-110	u53.5-112	-350

Sunday 11:30 p.m.

January 28, 2024

Levi's StadiumSanta Clara

SF +220 (Live)

3.96u

A.Hutchinson o0.5 Sacks (Live)+110

B.Purdy u37.5 Pass Att (Live)-110

0.91u

J.Gibbs 2+ TDs Yes (Live)+450

0.5u

D.Montgomery 2+ TDs Yes (Live)+300

0.5u

C.McCaffrey o125.5 Rush + Rec Yds (Live)-110

0.91u

G.Kittle o38.5 Rec Yds (Live)-114

$57.00

B.Aiyuk u69.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110

0.91u

C.McCaffrey o6.5 Recs (Live)-110

DET +287

$25.00

DET +295

0.5u

… nfl playoff system contrarian vs top seeded teams Overall: 36-44-0,45% (ROI:29%) Season:2-2-0,50% (ROI:53%)

DET +7.5-110

1.14u

… contrarian spread playoffs Overall: 71-49-3,59% (ROI:15%) Season:3-2-0,60% (ROI:18%) ... postseason teams on 1 game ats streak Overall: 25-10-1,71% (ROI:37%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

DET +280

1.5u

B.Aiyuk o99.5 Rec Yds+200

0.25u

B.Aiyuk First Touchdown Scorer Yes+1000

0.15u

B.Purdy First Touchdown Scorer Yes+3500

0.1u

J.Williams First Touchdown Scorer Yes+3000

1.5u

B.Aiyuk o27.5 Longest Reception-110

Mjay Bang

J.Goff o0.5 Int-134

1.34u

SF -7-120

I’m pretty bad at NFL if you haven’t noticed

B.Aiyuk First Touchdown Scorer Yes+950

0.5u

B.Aiyuk Anytime TD Scorer Yes+115

1.73u

J.Jennings Anytime TD Scorer Yes+500

0.5u

SF -7.5-102

2.55u

B.Aiyuk 2+ TDs Yes+750

0.15u

D.Samuel Anytime TD Scorer Yes+135

0.75u

69 with Dale

J.Williams Anytime TD Scorer Yes+440

1.1u

SF -7-115

Over 52.5-105

2.86u

B.Aiyuk o75.5 Rec Yds-110

1.1u

Ryanpropz NFL Straight

Under 52.5-110

1.25u

… outside unders postseason - copy Overall: 81-54-3,60% (ROI:16%) Season:3-1-1,75% (ROI:35%) … contrarian unders playoffs Overall: 74-36-3,67% (ROI:30%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

B.Aiyuk 2+ TDs Yes+800

0.3u

@charliedisturco

A.St. Brown Anytime TD Scorer Yes+140

@charliedisturco and Brian Matthews

S.LaPorta Anytime TD Scorer Yes+225

@GDAWG5000

G.Kittle Anytime TD Scorer Yes+130

0.75u

Via Brian Matthews

C.McCaffrey o4.5 Recs-115

0.29u

Via @nick_giffen

J.Goff u23.5 Pass Comp+100

0.25u

Under 52.5-110

0.55u

DET +7.5-118

0.85u

@SimonHunterNFL

J.Gibbs o14.5 Longest Rush-125

0.8u

@ChrisRaybon

J.Goff u23.5 Pass Comp+100

@The_Oddsmaker

DET +7.5-118

0.85u

Over 52.5-110

0.91u

Under 52.5-110

J.Goff u23.5 Pass Comp+100

B.Aiyuk o27.5 Longest Reception-120

0.83u

He’s at the 40, 25, 10 Touchdown!!!

B.Aiyuk Anytime TD Scorer Yes+100

$50.00

S.LaPorta o4.5 Recs-130

0.31u

J.Gibbs o50.5 Rush Yds-112

$56.00

D.Samuel o8.5 Rush Yds-110

1.1u

Shanahan says he’s a full go, with no restrictions, and they are even considering having him return kicks. Take coachspeak with a grain of salt, but this is 2 rush attempts for Deebo - I like him to see 3-4 today. Play to o9.5.

B.Aiyuk o76.5 Rec Yds-110

1.1u

Same logic as Evans last week. One receiver has racked up 140+ yards against this DET secondary in each of L5 games DET No. 1 in dvoa against the run and Deebo not 100% = buy low on Aiyuk

DET -2.5+340

Alternate spread…..selling points

C.McCaffrey o4.5 Recs-110

1.1u

SF -7-115

1.15u

Brock Purdy bouta look like TB 12

SF -7.5-102

DET +300

D.Samuel o47.5 Rec Yds-138

0.72u

B.Purdy o30.5 Pass Att-123

0.81u

J.Williams o29.5 Rec Yds-110

DET +7-105

0.95u

Over 51.5-110

0.91u

SF -7-115

A.St. Brown Anytime TD Scorer Yes+140

Collab with @charliedisturco for The Touchdown Show tomorrow.

A.St. Brown o83.5 Rec Yds-110

Over in 4 of L5 and just barely went under against TB. This is a good matchup for him in a negative game script because he can line up in the slot and that’s where SF is weakest. DET can use the run to open the pass; ARSB is hard to stop

A.St. Brown Anytime TD Scorer Yes+140

0.35u

TD Show. May or may not be a collab w/ @TheBMatt 👀

G.Kittle o60.5 Rec Yds-115

0.58u

B.Aiyuk Anytime TD Scorer Yes+115

1.15u

Holy shit this Brandon dude is sharp as shit

Under 25.5 (2H)-110

0.5u

@nick_giffen

C.McCaffrey o4.5 Recs-118

0.5u

@nick_giffen

C.McCaffrey u86.5 Rush Yds-115

0.5u

@The_Oddsmaker

J.Gibbs u75.5 Rush + Rec Yds-110

0.45u

@The_Oddsmaker

J.Gibbs u79.5 Rush + Rec Yds-115

ESPNbet

Under 25.5 (2H)-105

1.05u

@GreenDotDaily

A.Armstead o0.25 Sacks+120

@Stuckey2

Under 25.5 (2H)-105

@nick_giffen

J.Gibbs o14.5 Longest Rush-120

0.83u

@ChrisRaybon

SF -6.5-110

DET +7-110

Simon official pick

A.Armstead o0.25 Sacks-110

1.1u

Stuckey 3

J.Goff o0.5 Int-140

0.4u

Wynn Sports

J.Gibbs o14.5 Longest Rush-112

0.89u

J.Goff u260.5 Pass Yds-110

1.1u

S.LaPorta Anytime TD Scorer Yes+225

@GDAWG5000

DET +7.5-110

$100.00

B.Aiyuk o81 Rec Yds-121

1.21u

J.Gibbs o22 Rec Yds-117

1.17u

C.McCaffrey o4.5 Recs-108

1.08u

A.Armstead o0.25 Sacks+140

0.3u

S.LaPorta Anytime TD Scorer Yes+220

0.5u

Under 51-110

0.28u

DET +7-110

0.91u

S.LaPorta Anytime TD Scorer Yes+230

0.5u

Over 50.5-115

0.87u

Wind speeds are a bit lower in Santa Clara this week than last week, which is a plus here, and there's no rain currently in the forecast. I do think the Lions will be able to score here. They're now my model's third-ranked schedule-adjusted offense for the season -- and one of the few teams above them is the 49ers. This offensive line is good enough to at least keep Jared Goff upright even against a stout front. I think the Lions will be able to uphold their end of the bargain -- but this is more about the 49ers' side, if we're being honest. Even if I assume Deebo Samuel is out, I have this total at 52.9. That's a big enough gap, when we get a win on a key number in 51, for me to take the over.

S.LaPorta Anytime TD Scorer Yes+225

Under 51-110

SF -6.5-115

1.15u

SF -6.5-115

1.15u

SF -6.5-115

1.15u

Over 50.5-110

Featured Insight
Lions RBs averaged 2.9 yards after contact per carry in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- T-2nd-best in NFL; the 49ers allowed 2.8 yards after contact per carry to RBs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- worst in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

Featured Insight
The 49ers have scored 45 TDs in the red zone this season -- most in NFL; the Lions have allowed 35 TDs when defending in the red zone this season -- T-5th-most in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

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NFL Public Betting

49ers are 2-0 in their last 5 games.
49ers are 0-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
49ers are 1-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of 49ers' last 2 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of 49ers' 2 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
49ers	0-2	0-2	1-3	0-2	N/A
Lions	2-1	1-1	1-0	1-1	1-0

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
49ers	1-1	1-1	2-2	1-1	N/A
Lions	2-1	1-1	1-0	1-1	1-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
49ers	2-1	N/A	N/A	2-0	N/A
Lions	2-1	N/A	N/A	2-0	0-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jan 21st	GB	W 24-21	-10.5 L	U 50.5	SF -500
Jan 7th	LA	L 20-21	-5.5 L	O 40	LA -259
Dec 31st	@WAS	W 27-10	-14 W	U 48.5	SF -1124
Dec 26th	BAL	L 19-33	-6.5 L	O 47	BAL -312
Dec 17th	@ARI	W 45-29	-12.5 W	O 48	SF -769

Jalen Reeves-Maybin
LB
Reeves-Maybin is out with neck
Out

Ben Niemann
LB
Niemann is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Emmanuel Moseley
CB
Moseley is out with pectoral
Out
Ifeatu Melifonwu
S
Melifonwu is out with ankle
Out
Sam LaPorta
TE
LaPorta is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Brodric Martin
DE
Martin is out with knee
Out
Christian Mahogany
OL
Mahogany is out with illness
Out

Jon Feliciano
OL
Feliciano is questionable with knee
Questionable
Trent Williams
T
Williams is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Charvarius Ward
CB
Ward is out with personal
Out
Nick Bosa
DE
Bosa is questionable with hip
Questionable
Kevin Givens
DE
Givens is out with groin
Out
Mitch Wishnowsky
P
Wishnowsky is out with back
Out
Brandon Aiyuk
WR
Aiyuk is out with leg
Out
Yetur Gross-Matos
DE
Gross-Matos is questionable with knee
Questionable
Aaron Banks
OL
Banks is questionable with thigh
Questionable
Darrell Luter
CB
Luter is doubtful with pelvis
Doubtful

See more NFL Injuries

Lions

Total

49ers

442

Total Yards

413

Total Plays

6.1

Yards Per Play

6.3

Lions

Passing

49ers

273

YDS

267

25/41

Comps/Atts

20/31

6.047

YPA

7.818

1/0

TDs/INTs

1/1

2/13

Sacks/Yards

2/9

Lions

Rushing

49ers

182

Rush Yards

155

Attempts

6.276

YPC

4.697

TDs

Lions

Turnovers

49ers

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Lions

Efficiency

49ers

3/4 75%

Redzone

4/5 80%

6/12 0%

3rd Down

6/12 0%

1/3 0%

4th Down

0/1 0%

Lions

First Downs

49ers

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Lions

Misc

49ers

2/15

Penalties/Yards

3/20

27:48

Possession

32:12

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MatchupOverUnder
Lions 9-1	o22.5-110	u22.5-110
49ers 5-5	o30.5-125	u30.5-105

Lions vs. 49ers Odds & Betting Predictions - January 28, 2024

Lions at 49ers

Detroit Lions

San Francisco 49ers

Lions at 49ers Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

PRO Insights

Lions

49ers

Lions vs. 49ers Previews & Analysis

Anderson: The Ravens & Lions Died the Same Way They Lived All Season

How We're Live Betting the NFC Championship Game

Lions vs. 49ers: Dabbundo's NFC Championship Picks

Our Best Bets for Lions vs. 49ers

Lions vs. 49ers Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Lions vs. 49ers Public Betting Percentages

Lions

Public

49ers

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Lions vs. 49ers Injury Updates

Lions Injuries

49ers Injuries

Lions vs. 49ers Odds Comparison

Lions at 49ers Team Totals