Dolphins vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - January 14, 2024

Dolphins at Chiefs

1:10 am • Peacock

Miami Dolphins

0-0-1

7 - 26

Kansas City Chiefs

0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dolphins 0-0-1	+4.5	+4.5-105	o43.5-110	+194
Chiefs 0-1	u43.5	-4.5-115	u43.5-110	-240

Sunday 1:10 a.m.

January 14, 2024

GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City

KC -240

T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes+125

1.5u

MIA +4.5-105

KC -4.5-105

1.9u

Under 43-105

2.86u

MIA +4.5-105

0.5u

Bet365 7:09.

J.Waddle u19.5 Longest Reception-115

Full analysis: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/jaylen-waddle-player-prop-saturday-night-bet-for-dolphins-chiefs

M.Hardman u16.5 Rec Yds-110

Had been under in 4/4 before last week’s 77 yard performance… in a meaningless game with the backups. Still likely to be 4th in line for WR snaps, behind MVS, Rice and Watson - and maybe even Richie James. It’s a terrible passing environment, and even though he could see a screen pass or two - he’s only 8 ypc with the Chiefs.

Over 43.5-110

Tailing @jakevgroup_ and @gogo_dino

Over 43.5-110

MIA +5-110

1.1u

R.Mostert Anytime TD Scorer Yes+160

@GDAWG5000 and Brian Matthews

T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155

3.1u

@charliedisturco and @nick_giffen

R.Rice Anytime TD Scorer Yes+165

3.3u

@nick_giffen and @charliedisturco

N.Gray Anytime TD Scorer Yes+800

0.25u

@GDAWG5000

Under 43.5-110

Chiefs unders at Arrowhead are 8-1 this year. For more, check out Fantasy Life.

R.Rice Anytime TD Scorer Yes+160

1.6u

@TheTDShow

T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155

1.55u

@TheTDShow

T.Tagovailoa u21.5 Pass Comp-140

0.71u

T.Tagovailoa u21.5 Pass Comp-135

0.74u

@The_Oddsmaker

Under 44-110

0.91u

@SimonHunterNFL

MIA +5-108

@ChrisRaybon

T.Tagovailoa u21.5 Pass Comp-130

Over 43.5-110

R.Mostert Anytime TD Scorer Yes+165

M.Hardman u14.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

P.Mahomes u248.5 Pass Yds-109

1.09u

P.Mahomes u26.5 Rush Yds-110

P.Mahomes o25.5 Rush Yds-108

0.93u

Over 43.5-110

T.Kelce o55.5 Rec Yds-130

R.Mostert o45.5 Rush Yds-113

1.69u

MIA +190

T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155

MIA o19.5 Team Total-108

2.7u

Over 43.5-110

1.1u

P.Mahomes o12.5 Longest Rush-110

0.91u

MIA +4.5-105

5.25u

FUCK WITH ME 🐬

M.Hardman u14.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

Over 44-105

Co-worker fade - Sorry Evander but you talk too much

J.Watson 40+ Receiving Yards Yes+225

0.5u

@ChrisRaybon

MIA +4.5-110

0.5u

P.Mahomes o25.5 Rush Yds-112

0.45u

@AnthonyDabbundo

T.Tagovailoa u233.5 Pass Yds-121

0.41u

@AnthonyDabbundo

Under 21.5 (2H)-110

0.45u

@tkalinowski12

T.Kelce o5.5 Recs-114

0.44u

@tkalinowski12

Over 44-108

1.08u

MIA +4.5-110

Via Maria Marino

M.Hardman o14.5 Rec Yds-125

0.25u

Under 44-105

M.Hardman u15.5 Rec Yds+100

MIA +4-110

1.1u

Raybon 2

Under 44-115

0.5u

Under 44-110

0.91u

MIA +4.5-110

1.1u

KC o12.5 Team Total (1H)-110

1.5u

Under 44-118

1.27u

Under 44.5-115

0.87u

N.Gray Anytime TD Scorer Yes+800

0.25u

R.Mostert Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150

Would still bet to +140. When these teams played in Germany, he scored. Had -115 ATD odds entering the game.

K.Toney u9.5 Longest Reception-114

1.14u

As I wrote this up DK dropped to 8.5 (along with other books). Can still get it at 9.5 at BR, but I’m still showing 58% chance he stays under 8.5. Per my write up, I’m probably being too generous with his projection to begin with.

Under 44.5-115

#LuckRankings

MIA +4.5-110

0.5u

I.Pacheco o15.5 Rush Att-105

Over in 7/11 to finish the regular season. Weather should be perfect for the Chiefs to get some ground and pound in - freezing and a little windy. I don’t think the Dolphins will succeed in moving the ball fluidly on offense (especially with the weather) - they’ve struggled the last few weeks against stingy defenses, and they struggled against the Chiefs in Germany (in a dome).

MIA +4.5-112

KC -4-110

0.91u

Under 44-110

0.25u

Under 44.5-115

0.87u

… outside unders postseason Overall: 78-52-2,60% (ROI:16%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

KC -3.5-110

0.91u

Almost positive this line will move - Poster Boy

KC -3.5-115

$100.00

MIA +3-110

0.5u

Featured Insight
The Dolphins allowed 10+ yards on 4.0% of carries to RBs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- 2nd-best in NFL; Chiefs RBs rushed for 10 or more yards on 7.0% of 73 carries in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- T-4th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Chiefs allowed a passer rating of 58.0 in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- 5th-best in NFL; Dolphins QBs had a 58.1 passer rating in the fourth quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- 5th-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Chiefs are 2-1 in their last 5 games.
Chiefs are 1-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Chiefs are 4-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Chiefs' last 3 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Chiefs' 2 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Chiefs	1-2	1-1	4-4-1	1-2	1-2
Dolphins	7-10	3-5	4-5	4-5	3-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Chiefs	2-1	1-1	3-6	2-1	1-2
Dolphins	8-9	6-2	2-7	5-4	3-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Chiefs	2-1	N/A	N/A	2-1	1-2
Dolphins	8-9	N/A	N/A	6-3	2-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jan 7th	@LAC	W 13-12	+3.5 W	U 35.5	KC +143
Dec 31st	CIN	W 25-17	-7 W	U 45.5	KC -362
Dec 25th	LV	L 14-20	-11 L	U 40.5	LV -562
Dec 17th	@NE	W 27-17	-10 L	O 39.5	KC -505
Dec 10th	BUF	L 17-20	-1.5 L	U 49	BUF -125

Dolphins

Total

Chiefs

264

Total Yards

409

Total Plays

4.5

Yards Per Play

5.5

Dolphins

Passing

Chiefs

199

YDS

262

20/39

Comps/Atts

23/41

4.585

YPA

6.39

1/1

TDs/INTs

1/0

2/11

Sacks/Yards

0/0

Dolphins

Rushing

Chiefs

Rush Yards

147

Attempts

4.222

YPC

4.324

TDs

Dolphins

Turnovers

Chiefs

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Dolphins

Efficiency

Chiefs

0/0 0%

Redzone

2/6 33.33%

1/12 0%

3rd Down

6/15 0%

3/6 0%

4th Down

1/1 0%

Dolphins

First Downs

Chiefs

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Dolphins

Misc

Chiefs

8/62

Penalties/Yards

5/45

25:55

Possession

34:05

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MatchupOverUnder
Dolphins 0-0-1	o19.5-112	u19.5-126
Chiefs 0-1	o24.5+100	u24.5-124

Dolphins vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - January 14, 2024

Dolphins at Chiefs

Miami Dolphins

Kansas City Chiefs

Dolphins at Chiefs Odds

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Dolphins vs. Chiefs Previews & Analysis

Abrams' NFL Wild Card Betting Primer (Sunday Update)

Raybon's NFL Wild Card Weekend Picks

Sportsbooks Exhale After Browns Lose to Texans

PropBetGuy's Jaylen Waddle Bet for Dolphins-Chiefs

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Public

Chiefs

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Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

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Dolphins vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison

Dolphins at Chiefs Team Totals