Cowboys vs. Jets Odds & Betting Predictions - October 5, 2025

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@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/BHq4lSblaXb

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/BHq4lSblaXb

I looked pretty hard at Cowboys -2.5 in this one. I've got eight trends popping for Dallas, none for New York. Road favorites in Weeks 5 and 6 are 35-15 ATS (70%) since 2021, and Dak Prescott is usually great as a favorite and against sub-.500 teams (63% ATS) while Justin Fields is bad as an underdog and against sub-.500 teams (29% ATS). These Jets may be a bit underrated, though. They actually rank top seven in Success Rate on both offense and defense, undone by turnovers on both sides of the ball, but the Jets may actually have some answers in this one if they can stop fumbling every play. Dallas ranks dead last defensively by DVOA, and the Cowboys rank 31st in Success Rate, and that's against the third softest schedule so far too. The Jets prefer to run the ball and may be able to control the game, keep the offense on the field, and move the chains. Dallas also plays a fast tempo offensively, so that could mean a heap of Jets plays on this beleaguered defense. Braelon Allen hit the IR this week after a Monday injury, and that should open up touches for the other Jets running backs. Expect a big game from Breece Hall. Hall has at least 30 yards receiving in three of four games this season, and Dallas has allowed at least 24 receiving yards to a back in every game this year — two against Green Bay. I'm backing Breece Hall to go over 20.5 receiving yards (-115, Fanatics) and will put part of the bet on 30+ yards at +170 (FanDuel) since he's done that all but one game. I considered Hall for touchdown too in what should be a fast, high-scoring game. Dallas has allowed a RB touchdown in three of four games. Only three of Hall's 52 carries (6%) this season have come in the red zone, though. Compare that to six of 18 for Braelon Allen (33%). Allen was the clear short yardage guy, and I'm not convinced Hall will take on that role. I think it could be second-year RB Isaiah Davis, who saw 21 snaps with Allen hurt on Monday night. Davis is a physical, bulldozing RB who is great between the tackles, and he had double-digit TDs each of his two final seasons with South Dakota State. Could he be the new red zone runner for New York? Let's find out at +700 (Hard Rock). If you like both RB props, you can parlay Hall over 20.5 receiving yards with a Davis TD and then add in the negatively-correlated Cowboys -2.5 cover as a +2500 Same Game Parlay for a fun nibble (Hard Rock).

I looked pretty hard at Cowboys -2.5 in this one. I've got eight trends popping for Dallas, none for New York. Road favorites in Weeks 5 and 6 are 35-15 ATS (70%) since 2021, and Dak Prescott is usually great as a favorite and against sub-.500 teams (63% ATS) while Justin Fields is bad as an underdog and against sub-.500 teams (29% ATS). These Jets may be a bit underrated, though. They actually rank top seven in Success Rate on both offense and defense, undone by turnovers on both sides of the ball, but the Jets may actually have some answers in this one if they can stop fumbling every play. Dallas ranks dead last defensively by DVOA, and the Cowboys rank 31st in Success Rate, and that's against the third softest schedule so far too. The Jets prefer to run the ball and may be able to control the game, keep the offense on the field, and move the chains. Dallas also plays a fast tempo offensively, so that could mean a heap of Jets plays on this beleaguered defense. Braelon Allen hit the IR this week after a Monday injury, and that should open up touches for the other Jets running backs. Expect a big game from Breece Hall. Hall has at least 30 yards receiving in three of four games this season, and Dallas has allowed at least 24 receiving yards to a back in every game this year — two against Green Bay. I'm backing Breece Hall to go over 20.5 receiving yards (-115, Fanatics) and will put part of the bet on 30+ yards at +170 (FanDuel) since he's done that all but one game. I considered Hall for touchdown too in what should be a fast, high-scoring game. Dallas has allowed a RB touchdown in three of four games. Only three of Hall's 52 carries (6%) this season have come in the red zone, though. Compare that to six of 18 for Braelon Allen (33%). Allen was the clear short yardage guy, and I'm not convinced Hall will take on that role. I think it could be second-year RB Isaiah Davis, who saw 21 snaps with Allen hurt on Monday night. Davis is a physical, bulldozing RB who is great between the tackles, and he had double-digit TDs each of his two final seasons with South Dakota State. Could he be the new red zone runner for New York? Let's find out at +700 (Hard Rock). If you like both RB props, you can parlay Hall over 20.5 receiving yards with a Davis TD and then add in the negatively-correlated Cowboys -2.5 cover as a +2500 Same Game Parlay for a fun nibble (Hard Rock).

1/2 unit spread, 1/2 unit ML.

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