Cowboys vs. Jets Odds & Betting Predictions - October 5, 2025
Cowboys at Jets
5:00 pm • FOXCowboys at Jets Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Cowboys 2-2-1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
![]() Jets 0-5 | N/A | N/A | N/A |

MetLife StadiumEast Rutherford
Cowboys vs. Jets Expert Picks

Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 134-118-2 (+21.2u)
NYJ -120 (Live)
3u
END
NYJ -120 (Live)
2.4u
MY

Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 46-39-1 (+0.3u)
G.Wilson o59.5 Rec Yds-140
0.18u

Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 30-36-1 (+9.7u)
G.Wilson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+140
1.4u

Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 44-41-2 (-1.2u)
NYJ -115
1.15u

The Degenerates
Last 30d: 75-64-2 (+6.1u)
DAL -1.5-115
1u

Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 80-91-3 (-4.5u)
NYJ +2-110
1u
Firefighter Joe
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 62-68-2 (-15.4u)
NYJ +1.5-114
1u

Charlie Wright
Last 30d: 17-13-0 (+2.6u)
I.Davis o1.5 Recs+100
1u
Davis had a couple catches in relief of Braelon Allen last week and profiles as more of a pass-catcher in that backup RB role. The Jets rank 4th in running back target share through 4 games.
Dallas has allowed the 7th-most targets and 5th-most receptions to running backs.

Matt DiLeo
Last 30d: 48-28-0 (+13.0u)
Both Teams To Make 33+ Yard FG -115
0.87u

Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 74-79-1 (-24.3u)
NYJ +1.5-105
3u

💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 100-133-4 (+19.4u)
Over 47.5-104
2u

Markus Markets
Last 30d: 34-27-0 (+9.7u)
I.Davis o7.5 Rec Yds-120
0.83u
NoVig

Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 140-128-1 (+1.4u)
J.Sherwood o8.5 Tackles + Ast-110
1u

Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 37-39-0 (-0.6u)
D.Prescott u34.5 Pass Att-110
0.5u
Dak has gone over this number in 3 straight games, averaging 44 attempts, but those came in extreme environments. The Cowboys have averaged a league high 72.3 plays per game over this stretch, fueled by two shootouts with 75+ total points that both went to overtime. That’s unlikely here against the Jets.
The Jets play at the league’s slowest neutral pace, runs the ball heavily, and typically bleeds 30+ seconds off the clock most plays. That will limit Dallas’ possessions and overall play volume. The Cowboys are also expected to play with the lead at a ~24% higher rate than average, which should shift them toward the run a bit more here.
Dak’s elite efficiency actually works in favor of the under. The Jets allow the most yards after catch over expected, which means completions can go for chunk gains and reduce volume. Dak doesn’t scramble often (good for attempts), but he’s also thrown the ball away at a league-low 1.1% rate. Throwaways are the single best outcome for driving up attempts, and Dak avoids them better than anyone.
I project him at 33.2 attempts with about a 59% chance of staying under 34.5. This is a great sell-high spot on volume, while still backing Dak to play at a high level without wasted throws.

Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 119-133-5 (+26.6u)
J.Fields u51.5 Rush Yds-110
0.91u
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Over 47.5-110
0.91u
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Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 54-114-1 (+18.7u)
NYJ o23.5 Team Total-104
0.52u

Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 57-54-4 (+7.2u)
J.Tolbert o36.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u

Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 30-25-0 (+1.6u)
B.Hall o94.5 Rush + Rec Yds-120
1u

Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 54-114-1 (+18.7u)
B.Hall o14.5 Longest Rush-112
1u
Breece Hall Longest Rush over 14.5 yards (-112 at FD)
With Fields at QB, Hall has gained 15+ yards on 5/41 carries from at least 15 yards away from the end zone (12.2%) and has gone over a long of 14.5 in 2/3 games
Now he faces a DAL defense that has allowed opposing RBs to break 15 yards on 5/76 rushes (6.6%) from at least 15 yards from the end zone, which is a bottom half rate
Hall has just 2 of his 52 carries on the season inside the 15 yard line, but probably will pick up a few more with Braelon Allen out, so the vast bulk of his carries should have chances to break one
However, that means he could also pick up an extra carry or two from more than 15 yards away
The Jets also heavily favor zone run concepts, using them at a 79.5% clip, which is the scheme Dallas has fared worse against so far this year, allowing a 54.7% success rate, which ranks fifth worst.
I have Hall favored to have a long run of more than 14.5 yards as long as he gets at least 10.5 carries outside the 15 yard line, which he's very likely to do since I have him projected for 13 of those
Would also play this over 15.5 (-105) at DK/MGM

Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 134-118-2 (+21.2u)
J.Williams u69.5 Rush Yds-104
1u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 25-80-0 (-12.6u)
D.Prescott o0.5 Int+110
0.5u
NFL INT Picks - W5

Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 50-134-0 (-29.8u)
I.Davis Anytime TD Scorer Yes+700
0.14u
@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/BHq4lSblaXb
B.Hall o29.5 Rec Yds+170
1u
@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/BHq4lSblaXb
B.Hall o20.5 Rec Yds-125
0.8u
@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/BHq4lSblaXb

Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 32-119-0 (-29.9u)
B.Hall o29.5 Rec Yds+170
0.6u
I looked pretty hard at Cowboys -2.5 in this one.
I've got eight trends popping for Dallas, none for New York. Road favorites in Weeks 5 and 6 are 35-15 ATS (70%) since 2021, and Dak Prescott is usually great as a favorite and against sub-.500 teams (63% ATS) while Justin Fields is bad as an underdog and against sub-.500 teams (29% ATS).
These Jets may be a bit underrated, though. They actually rank top seven in Success Rate on both offense and defense, undone by turnovers on both sides of the ball, but the Jets may actually have some answers in this one if they can stop fumbling every play.
Dallas ranks dead last defensively by DVOA, and the Cowboys rank 31st in Success Rate, and that's against the third softest schedule so far too. The Jets prefer to run the ball and may be able to control the game, keep the offense on the field, and move the chains. Dallas also plays a fast tempo offensively, so that could mean a heap of Jets plays on this beleaguered defense.
Braelon Allen hit the IR this week after a Monday injury, and that should open up touches for the other Jets running backs.
Expect a big game from Breece Hall.
Hall has at least 30 yards receiving in three of four games this season, and Dallas has allowed at least 24 receiving yards to a back in every game this year — two against Green Bay. I'm backing Breece Hall to go over 20.5 receiving yards (-115, Fanatics) and will put part of the bet on 30+ yards at +170 (FanDuel) since he's done that all but one game.
B.Hall o20.5 Rec Yds-115
0.65u
I looked pretty hard at Cowboys -2.5 in this one.
I've got eight trends popping for Dallas, none for New York. Road favorites in Weeks 5 and 6 are 35-15 ATS (70%) since 2021, and Dak Prescott is usually great as a favorite and against sub-.500 teams (63% ATS) while Justin Fields is bad as an underdog and against sub-.500 teams (29% ATS).
These Jets may be a bit underrated, though. They actually rank top seven in Success Rate on both offense and defense, undone by turnovers on both sides of the ball, but the Jets may actually have some answers in this one if they can stop fumbling every play.
Dallas ranks dead last defensively by DVOA, and the Cowboys rank 31st in Success Rate, and that's against the third softest schedule so far too. The Jets prefer to run the ball and may be able to control the game, keep the offense on the field, and move the chains. Dallas also plays a fast tempo offensively, so that could mean a heap of Jets plays on this beleaguered defense.
Braelon Allen hit the IR this week after a Monday injury, and that should open up touches for the other Jets running backs.
Expect a big game from Breece Hall.
Hall has at least 30 yards receiving in three of four games this season, and Dallas has allowed at least 24 receiving yards to a back in every game this year — two against Green Bay. I'm backing Breece Hall to go over 20.5 receiving yards (-115, Fanatics) and will put part of the bet on 30+ yards at +170 (FanDuel) since he's done that all but one game.
I considered Hall for touchdown too in what should be a fast, high-scoring game. Dallas has allowed a RB touchdown in three of four games.
Only three of Hall's 52 carries (6%) this season have come in the red zone, though. Compare that to six of 18 for Braelon Allen (33%).
Allen was the clear short yardage guy, and I'm not convinced Hall will take on that role. I think it could be second-year RB Isaiah Davis, who saw 21 snaps with Allen hurt on Monday night.
Davis is a physical, bulldozing RB who is great between the tackles, and he had double-digit TDs each of his two final seasons with South Dakota State. Could he be the new red zone runner for New York?
Let's find out at +700 (Hard Rock).
If you like both RB props, you can parlay Hall over 20.5 receiving yards with a Davis TD and then add in the negatively-correlated Cowboys -2.5 cover as a +2500 Same Game Parlay for a fun nibble (Hard Rock).
I.Davis Anytime TD Scorer Yes+700
0.35u
I looked pretty hard at Cowboys -2.5 in this one.
I've got eight trends popping for Dallas, none for New York. Road favorites in Weeks 5 and 6 are 35-15 ATS (70%) since 2021, and Dak Prescott is usually great as a favorite and against sub-.500 teams (63% ATS) while Justin Fields is bad as an underdog and against sub-.500 teams (29% ATS).
These Jets may be a bit underrated, though. They actually rank top seven in Success Rate on both offense and defense, undone by turnovers on both sides of the ball, but the Jets may actually have some answers in this one if they can stop fumbling every play.
Dallas ranks dead last defensively by DVOA, and the Cowboys rank 31st in Success Rate, and that's against the third softest schedule so far too. The Jets prefer to run the ball and may be able to control the game, keep the offense on the field, and move the chains. Dallas also plays a fast tempo offensively, so that could mean a heap of Jets plays on this beleaguered defense.
Braelon Allen hit the IR this week after a Monday injury, and that should open up touches for the other Jets running backs.
Expect a big game from Breece Hall.
Hall has at least 30 yards receiving in three of four games this season, and Dallas has allowed at least 24 receiving yards to a back in every game this year — two against Green Bay. I'm backing Breece Hall to go over 20.5 receiving yards (-115, Fanatics) and will put part of the bet on 30+ yards at +170 (FanDuel) since he's done that all but one game.
I considered Hall for touchdown too in what should be a fast, high-scoring game. Dallas has allowed a RB touchdown in three of four games.
Only three of Hall's 52 carries (6%) this season have come in the red zone, though. Compare that to six of 18 for Braelon Allen (33%).
Allen was the clear short yardage guy, and I'm not convinced Hall will take on that role. I think it could be second-year RB Isaiah Davis, who saw 21 snaps with Allen hurt on Monday night.
Davis is a physical, bulldozing RB who is great between the tackles, and he had double-digit TDs each of his two final seasons with South Dakota State. Could he be the new red zone runner for New York?
Let's find out at +700 (Hard Rock).
If you like both RB props, you can parlay Hall over 20.5 receiving yards with a Davis TD and then add in the negatively-correlated Cowboys -2.5 cover as a +2500 Same Game Parlay for a fun nibble (Hard Rock).

Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 50-134-0 (-29.8u)
NYJ +2.5-108
1u
@sundaysixpack @Stuckey2 https://myaction.app/EndAFkDG7Wb

Sunday Six Pack
Last 30d: 16-14-0 (+0.2u)
NYJ +2.5-108
1.08u
@Stuckey2 2 https://myaction.app/EndAFkDG7Wb

Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 55-63-2 (-0.5u)
NYJ +3-118
0.55u

Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 18-58-0 (-17.5u)
NYJ +120
1u
Cowboys played well in the first game without CeeDee Lamb, but they're still banged up along the offensive line, and the defense is still putrid. The Jets are a miserable team to watch, but I do have this game as basically a pick 'em.

Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 51-69-0 (-9.9u)
NYJ +2.5+110
0.5u
1/2 unit spread, 1/2 unit ML.
NYJ +139
0.5u
1/2 unit spread, 1/2 unit ML.

Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 134-118-2 (+21.2u)
NYJ +132
1u
SUFFERING
Cowboys vs. Jets Previews & Analysis
Cowboys vs. Jets Props
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Prop Odds Comparison
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Cowboys vs. Jets Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Jets are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
- Jets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Jets are 1-1 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Jets' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Jets' 3 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Jets vs. Cowboys Injury Updates

Jets Injuries
- Chukwuma OkoraforT
Okorafor is questionable with hand
Questionable
- Alijah Vera-TuckerG
Vera-Tucker is out with triceps
Out
- Braelon AllenRB
Allen is out with knee
Out
- Esa PoleT
Pole is out with ankle
Out

Cowboys Injuries
- Miles SandersRB
Sanders is out with ankle
Out
- CeeDee LambWR
Lamb is out with ankle
Out
- Perrion WinfreyDT
Winfrey is out with back
Out
- KaVontae TurpinWR
Turpin is out with foot
Out
- Jonathan MingoWR
Mingo is out with knee
Out
Team Stats
Cowboys vs. Jets Odds Comparison
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Cowboys at Jets Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Cowboys 2-2-1 | N/A | N/A |
![]() Jets 0-5 | N/A | N/A |