Ravens vs. Bengals Odds & Betting Predictions - October 6, 2024

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@SimonHunterNFL

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Feed me some flowers and Flowers

Two offenses coming off 30+

#ProSystem Windy Overall: 560-390-8,59% (ROI:14%) Season:6-5-0,55% (ROI:4%)

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He is the only trustworthy worthy member of this passing game in a strong spot for the Baltimore offense. His route share is over 75% in all games, and over 90% in games where Derrick Henry is murdering DBs with the stiff arm. He’ll clear 4.5 here 63% according to our model.

TD 🪜

Simon Says

Pickem

Burrow as a dog of 2+ 18-8 ATS. Simon says per @SimonHunterNFL. Home divisional dogs 54% ATS since 2020. In September-Oct 60%. underdogs in AFC North divisional games 45-29 ATS 61%

Henry has 31 carries in BAL’s losses compared to 49 in their wins. Lamar Jackson had 41 attempts in Week 1 and 34 attempts in Week 2. He's combined for 33 attempts in Weeks 3-4. Pretty straightforward game plan. Baltimore now ranks 3rd in rush rate at 49.4%. It's a silly 67.5% over the past couple of weeks. Justice Hill has mixed in plenty but almost strictly in a pass-catching role. Henry has handled 85.1% of the rush share. The Bengals have allowed the 8th-most rushing yards per game. They're bottom 8 in success rate against both zone and man/gap concepts. Cincinnati has allowed the 5th-most rush attempts. Baltimore is a 2.5-point favorite. This should be a spot where they have success on the ground, which means another heavy dose of King Henry.

FanDuel

et right spot for Flowers against a man heavy Bengals team (13th) . Ravens have been having a ton of success running ball as of late, have to think the Bengals sell out for the run leaving the pass defense vulnerable. Bengals defense is poor as a unit so love the matchup for Zay who should see a lot of 1on1s 4/2 targets in the last two weeks, emphasis has to be to get him involved more moving Zay leads the team in targets vs Man (24) with a 23.3% target share and 1.57 Y/RR which is very encouraging. Tacking on the rushing as he’s always threat for a rush or 2. Has 3 on the year already for 17 yards. Some WRs as of late: Diontae Johnson 83/ Legette 66, Terry 100, Rashee 75

@SimonHunterNFL