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Dolphins vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Predictions - October 6, 2024

Dolphins at Patriots

5:00 pm • FOX

Miami Dolphins

0-0-1
15
15 - 10

New England Patriots

1-0
10

Dolphins at Patriots Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dolphins
0-0-1
-4.5
-2-115
o36.5-125
-125
Patriots
1-0
u45
+2-110
u36.5-105
+110
location pinSunday 5:00 p.m.
October 06, 2024
Gillette StadiumFoxborough
Dolphins vs. Patriots Expert Picks
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 9-18-0 (+0.7u)
MIA -120
0.33u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 49-42-3 (+3.3u)
Under 36.5-110
1u
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Polk 60+ Receiving Yards Yes+470
0.1u
J.Polk 50+ Receiving Yards Yes+295
0.25u
J.Polk 40+ Receiving Yards Yes+180
0.5u
R.Stevenson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+190
0.95u
J.Polk o26.5 Rec Yds-115
1.15u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 9-20-2 (-21.9u)
MIA -2-105
1.9u
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 12-2-0 (+9.7u)
MIA -124
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 135-158-6 (-0.4u)
Under 36.5-110
0.5u
JB Bets
JB Bets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
T.Hill 40+ Receiving Yards Yes-168
0.6u
MIA -120
0.83u
The Degenerate
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 36.5-110
1u
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NE +1.5-110
0.5u
Brian Condon
Brian Condon
Last 30d: 7-15-0 (-4.0u)
MIA -1.5-110
0.91u
As a New England native I don’t need to lookup historical data to know it gets ugly for the Patriots whenever the Dolphins come to town. I’ll always blindly take Dolphins spread whenever they visit the Patriots #NFLBestBets
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.0u)
New England D Anytime TD Scorer Yes+900
0.25u
Pick 6 incoming
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIA -120
1u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 70-72-1 (-3.5u)
MIA -1.5-108
2.78u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.0u)
NE o17.5 Team Total+100
1u
This play makes me absolutely sick
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-3.0u)
Over 36-105
2.1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 137-138-9 (-10.4u)
NE -105 (1H)
0.95u
#ProSystem 3 or 5 game streak home dog (1h) Overall: 111-123-0,47% (ROI:37%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 35.5-109
1.09u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 194-184-3 (+16.0u)
K.Bourne u12.5 Longest Reception-120
0.83u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 16-43-0 (+11.0u)
J.Brissett u11.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-5-player-prop-picks-for-tee-higgins-andy-dalton-tre-tucker-and-more
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 10-8-1 (+1.2u)
J.Polk o2.5 Recs-125
1u
Anders
Anders
Last 30d: 7-8-0 (-6.3u)
R.Stevenson u56.5 Rush Yds-120
2.4u
announced not starting
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-0.5u)
Under 30.5+200
1u
Mineshaft! TAN pod / best bets
Under 36.5-110
0.91u
TAN pod / best bets
Chris Gimino
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 2-4-0 (-2.2u)
R.Stevenson u59.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
While nothing is official, NE HC Jerod Mayo didn’t rule out the possibility of starting Antonio Gibson or using him more because of ball security issues. The line was “ball security is job security”, and so far Mayo has been pretty forthcoming about his intentions. I would not be surprised if we saw more Gibson this week, although I’m not over reacting to speculation. The Dolphins in theory aren’t going to want to run a fast pace game, and I’m very confident New England isn’t even capable of that. This might have been a decent under anyway, and the added outs are juicy.
Chris Raybon
Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.9u)
R.Stevenson u59.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
In danger of losing snaps after fumbling in 4 straight + whole O-Line is on IR
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 22-48-1 (-4.7u)
Under 36.5-115
1u
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 33-47-3 (+19.4u)
MIA +1.5-118
1u

PRO Insights

Dolphins logo

Dolphins

MIA Insights
  • Featured Insight
    Dolphins logoThe Dolphins have allowed a passer rating of 73.5 against a base front this season -- 3rd-best in NFL; the Patriots have allowed a passer rating of 102.2 with a base front this season -- 7th-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Patriots logo

Patriots

NE Insights
  • Featured Insight
    Patriots logoPatriots RBs have averaged 2.5 yards after contact per carry this season -- 5th-best in NFL; the Dolphins have allowed 2.3 yards after contact per carry to RBs this season -- T-9th-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE

Dolphins vs. Patriots Previews & Analysis

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Dolphins vs. Patriots Props

Prop Projections

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Dolphins vs. Patriots Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Dolphins

Public

Home Logo

Patriots

39%

Bets%

61%

Money%

NFL Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Patriots are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
  • Patriots are 2-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Patriots are 4-4 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Patriots' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Patriots' 8 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Patriots		7-9-13-4-14-4N/A7-9-1
Dolphins		7-103-54-54-53-5

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Patriots		11-67-13-5N/A11-6
Dolphins		8-96-22-75-43-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Patriots		4-13N/AN/AN/A4-13
Dolphins		8-9N/AN/A6-32-6

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 29th@SFL 13-30+10.5 LO 42.5SF +425
Sep 20th@NYJL 3-24+6.5 LU 39.5NYJ +240
Sep 15thSEAL 20-23+3 LO 39.5SEA +135
Sep 8th@CINW 16-10+8 WU 40.5NE +297
Aug 26th@WASL 10-20-6.5 LU 36.5WAS -298
Team Stats

Total

372
Total Yards
299
75
Total Plays
55
5
Yards Per Play
5.4

Passing

194
YDS
160
18/31
Comps/Atts
18/34
5.265
YPA
4.111
0/1
TDs/INTs
0/0
3/15
Sacks/Yards
2/12

Rushing

193
Rush Yards
151
41
Attempts
19
4.707
YPC
7.947
1
TDs
1

Turnovers

1
Fumbles Lost
0
1
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

1/2 50%
Redzone
0/2 0%
2/11 0%
3rd Down
4/13 0%
0/1 0%
4th Down
0/1 0%

First Downs

24
Total
15
10
Pass
8
10
Rush
5
4
Penalty
2

Misc

6/54
Penalties/Yards
12/105
34:20
Possession
25:40

Dolphins vs. Patriots Odds Comparison

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Dolphins at Patriots Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Dolphins
0-0-1
o19.5-110
u19.5-120
Patriots
1-0
o17.5-115
u17.5-115