Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 10, 2025
Thunder at Nuggets
2:00 am • ESPNThunder at Nuggets Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Thunder 1-1 | -4.5 | -6.5-111 | o232-108 | -258 |
![]() Nuggets 1-1 | u233.5 | +6.5-109 | u232-112 | +210 |

Ball ArenaDenver
Thunder vs. Nuggets Expert Picks

Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 178-173-3 (+62.0u)
DEN +240
0.5u

Sir Lockselot
Last 30d: 35-60-0 (-8.6u)
OKC -6.5-110
3u
🔑 Thunder -6.5 -110 (Fanatics) 3u
Idc what Jokic shows up in. Thunder by 30

Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 32-33-0 (-6.1u)
M.Porter o11.5 Pts-105
1.05u

💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 133-133-5 (+6.5u)
Over 57.5 (1Q)-105
1.58u

Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 82-63-1 (+15.8u)
OKC -5.5-114
1.14u

Brian Condon
Last 30d: 29-42-0 (-12.3u)
A.Gordon o16.5 Pts-130
1u
N.Jokic u28.5 Pts-125
1u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 37-24-3 (+17.9u)
Under 232.5-105
2u

Steak Friend
Last 30d: 243-279-4 (-27.6u)
I.Joe u1.5 Rebs-165
1.65u
I.Hartenstein o8.5 Rebs-125
1.25u
I.Hartenstein o10.5 Pts-118
1.18u
R.Westbrook o13.5 Pts-130
1.3u
I.Joe u4.5 Pts-105
1.05u
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o7.5 Ast-105
1.05u

The Degenerates
Last 30d: 78-68-1 (+1.4u)
N.Jokic o41.5 Pts+Rebs-125
1.25u

Markus Markets
Last 30d: 38-41-1 (-7.0u)
I.Hartenstein o10.5 Pts-110
1u
C.Holmgren o8.5 Rebs+107
0.5u
C.Holmgren To Record 8+ Rebounds Yes-150
0.5u

Allan Lem
Last 30d: 64-54-1 (-0.3u)
M.Porter u18.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120
0.6u
Porter Jr. continues to play through his injury and it’s showing as he’s shooting 39.2% from the field this postseason and 16.7% in this series vs OKC. Volume is there but shot isn’t falling. He’s also averaging just 9.5 combined rebound and assist chances through the first two games of the series, so if he’s not making his shots he’s going to have to beat us on the glass.
Nuggets are running a tight 8-man rotation but if he continues to struggle I could see the Nuggets going with more Westbrook or Watson for a spark.

💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 133-133-5 (+6.5u)
N.Jokic o9.5 Ast+114
1u
Over 114.5 (1H)-110
1.65u

Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 32-33-0 (-6.1u)
J.Murray o5.5 Ast-118
1.18u
A.Caruso o5.5 Rebs+Ast-125
1.25u

Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 106-126-7 (-23.9u)
M.Porter o11.5 Pts+100
1u

Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 75-74-5 (-6.3u)
DEN +5.5-110
1.1u

MoneyLineWixted
Last 30d: 43-34-0 (+2.0u)
OKC -220
2.2u

Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 66-146-0 (+44.0u)
Under 233.5-110
0.5u
Using the excellent site Money Baller and tailing a bunch of solid under systems, h/t @awang_htx

Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 66-101-1 (-1.4u)
R.Westbrook o13.5 Pts-105
1u

Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 99-125-15 (-28.7u)
DEN +5.5-110
1.1u

Lock & Cash
Last 30d: 13-15-0 (-2.7u)
Under 233.5-110
1.5u

Matt Moore
Last 30d: 87-124-0 (-9.6u)
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o32.5 Pts-118
0.59u
L.Dort u10.5 Pts-115
0.29u
J.Murray o5.5 Ast-115
0.29u
Under 232.5-110
0.27u
DEN +5.5-110
0.27u

Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 83-100-0 (-57.2u)
DEN +5.5-107
3u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 82-73-1 (-7.4u)
Under 233-111
1u

Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 63-88-3 (-19.3u)
I.Hartenstein o8.5 Rebs-114
1.14u
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o6.5 Ast-135
1.35u

Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 66-146-0 (+44.0u)
R.Westbrook o12.5 Pts-120
1u
Nothing fancy here, just Russ is Denvers only real bench option so he’s playing plenty and getting lots of shots up as always. Outside of the injury game he left early, Westbrook has at least 14 points every playoff game for Denver and averaging almost 17, so this line is just a couple points too low
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o6.5 Ast-135
1u
We got hooked on uRA last game in limited blowout minutes but the assists continue to be there. 8 each game this series in 21 & 17 potentials. Usually converts just over half so that would imply 9.5-10 assists with regular minutes. 6.5 line way too low and double double still very much in play esp since rebounds are a possible option.
He’s up 4 assists and 6 potentials a game on Jokic so +200 series leader still mispriced too. +800 dk for rd2 leader is likely a matchup vs Hali Jokic too so esp if you think Denver gets another win, that’s a great escalator.
S.Gilgeous-Alexander To Record 12+ Assists Yes+1100
0.1u
We got hooked on uRA last game in limited blowout minutes but the assists continue to be there. 8 each game this series in 21 & 17 potentials. Usually converts just over half so that would imply 9.5-10 assists with regular minutes. 6.5 line way too low and double double still very much in play esp since rebounds are a possible option.
He’s up 4 assists and 6 potentials a game on Jokic so +200 series leader still mispriced too. +800 dk for rd2 leader is likely a matchup vs Hali Jokic too so esp if you think Denver gets another win, that’s a great escalator.
S.Gilgeous-Alexander Double-Double (Yes)+350
0.4u
We got hooked on uRA last game in limited blowout minutes but the assists continue to be there. 8 each game this series in 21 & 17 potentials. Usually converts just over half so that would imply 9.5-10 assists with regular minutes. 6.5 line way too low and double double still very much in play esp since rebounds are a possible option.
He’s up 4 assists and 6 potentials a game on Jokic so +200 series leader still mispriced too. +800 dk for rd2 leader is likely a matchup vs Hali Jokic too so esp if you think Denver gets another win, that’s a great escalator.
Thunder vs. Nuggets Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Thunder vs. Nuggets Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Nuggets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Nuggets are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Nuggets are 20-21 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Nuggets' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Nuggets' 41 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Nuggets vs. Thunder Injury Updates

Nuggets Injuries
- DaRon HolmesSF
Holmes is out with achilles
Out

Thunder Injuries
- Isaiah JoePG
Joe is questionable with knee
Questionable
- Nikola TopicPG
Topić is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Player Stats
- scoringJamal Murray27ppg
- reboundingNikola Jokic17rpg
- assistsJamal Murray7apg
- shootingMichael Porter70fg%
Team Stats
Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds Comparison
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Thunder at Nuggets Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Thunder 1-1 | N/A | N/A |
![]() Nuggets 1-1 | N/A | N/A |