Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 10, 2025

Thunder at Nuggets

2:00 am • ESPN
102 - 109

Thunder at Nuggets Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Thunder
1-1
-4.5
-6.5-111
o232-108
-258
Nuggets
1-1
u233.5
+6.5-109
u232-112
+210
location pinSaturday 2:00 a.m.
May 10, 2025
Ball ArenaDenver
Thunder vs. Nuggets Expert Picks
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 178-173-3 (+62.0u)
DEN +240
0.5u
Sir Lockselot
Sir Lockselot
Last 30d: 35-60-0 (-8.6u)
OKC -6.5-110
3u
🔑 Thunder -6.5 -110 (Fanatics) 3u Idc what Jokic shows up in. Thunder by 30
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 32-33-0 (-6.1u)
M.Porter o11.5 Pts-105
1.05u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 133-133-5 (+6.5u)
Over 57.5 (1Q)-105
1.58u
Greg DiNardo
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 82-63-1 (+15.8u)
OKC -5.5-114
1.14u
Brian Condon
Brian Condon
Last 30d: 29-42-0 (-12.3u)
A.Gordon o16.5 Pts-130
1u
N.Jokic u28.5 Pts-125
1u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 37-24-3 (+17.9u)
Under 232.5-105
2u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 243-279-4 (-27.6u)
I.Joe u1.5 Rebs-165
1.65u
I.Hartenstein o8.5 Rebs-125
1.25u
I.Hartenstein o10.5 Pts-118
1.18u
R.Westbrook o13.5 Pts-130
1.3u
I.Joe u4.5 Pts-105
1.05u
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o7.5 Ast-105
1.05u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 78-68-1 (+1.4u)
N.Jokic o41.5 Pts+Rebs-125
1.25u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 38-41-1 (-7.0u)
I.Hartenstein o10.5 Pts-110
1u
C.Holmgren o8.5 Rebs+107
0.5u
C.Holmgren To Record 8+ Rebounds Yes-150
0.5u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 64-54-1 (-0.3u)
M.Porter u18.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120
0.6u
Porter Jr. continues to play through his injury and it’s showing as he’s shooting 39.2% from the field this postseason and 16.7% in this series vs OKC. Volume is there but shot isn’t falling. He’s also averaging just 9.5 combined rebound and assist chances through the first two games of the series, so if he’s not making his shots he’s going to have to beat us on the glass. Nuggets are running a tight 8-man rotation but if he continues to struggle I could see the Nuggets going with more Westbrook or Watson for a spark.
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 133-133-5 (+6.5u)
N.Jokic o9.5 Ast+114
1u
Over 114.5 (1H)-110
1.65u
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 32-33-0 (-6.1u)
J.Murray o5.5 Ast-118
1.18u
A.Caruso o5.5 Rebs+Ast-125
1.25u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 106-126-7 (-23.9u)
M.Porter o11.5 Pts+100
1u
Lines at Lunch
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 75-74-5 (-6.3u)
DEN +5.5-110
1.1u
MoneyLineWixted
MoneyLineWixted
Last 30d: 43-34-0 (+2.0u)
OKC -220
2.2u
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 66-146-0 (+44.0u)
Under 233.5-110
0.5u
Using the excellent site Money Baller and tailing a bunch of solid under systems, h/t @awang_htx
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 99-125-15 (-28.7u)
DEN +5.5-110
1.1u
Lock & Cash
Lock & Cash
Last 30d: 13-15-0 (-2.7u)
Under 233.5-110
1.5u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 87-124-0 (-9.6u)
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o32.5 Pts-118
0.59u
L.Dort u10.5 Pts-115
0.29u
J.Murray o5.5 Ast-115
0.29u
Under 232.5-110
0.27u
DEN +5.5-110
0.27u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 83-100-0 (-57.2u)
DEN +5.5-107
3u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 82-73-1 (-7.4u)
Under 233-111
1u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 63-88-3 (-19.3u)
I.Hartenstein o8.5 Rebs-114
1.14u
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o6.5 Ast-135
1.35u
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 66-146-0 (+44.0u)
R.Westbrook o12.5 Pts-120
1u
Nothing fancy here, just Russ is Denvers only real bench option so he’s playing plenty and getting lots of shots up as always. Outside of the injury game he left early, Westbrook has at least 14 points every playoff game for Denver and averaging almost 17, so this line is just a couple points too low
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o6.5 Ast-135
1u
We got hooked on uRA last game in limited blowout minutes but the assists continue to be there. 8 each game this series in 21 & 17 potentials. Usually converts just over half so that would imply 9.5-10 assists with regular minutes. 6.5 line way too low and double double still very much in play esp since rebounds are a possible option. He’s up 4 assists and 6 potentials a game on Jokic so +200 series leader still mispriced too. +800 dk for rd2 leader is likely a matchup vs Hali Jokic too so esp if you think Denver gets another win, that’s a great escalator.
S.Gilgeous-Alexander To Record 12+ Assists Yes+1100
0.1u
We got hooked on uRA last game in limited blowout minutes but the assists continue to be there. 8 each game this series in 21 & 17 potentials. Usually converts just over half so that would imply 9.5-10 assists with regular minutes. 6.5 line way too low and double double still very much in play esp since rebounds are a possible option. He’s up 4 assists and 6 potentials a game on Jokic so +200 series leader still mispriced too. +800 dk for rd2 leader is likely a matchup vs Hali Jokic too so esp if you think Denver gets another win, that’s a great escalator.
S.Gilgeous-Alexander Double-Double (Yes)+350
0.4u
We got hooked on uRA last game in limited blowout minutes but the assists continue to be there. 8 each game this series in 21 & 17 potentials. Usually converts just over half so that would imply 9.5-10 assists with regular minutes. 6.5 line way too low and double double still very much in play esp since rebounds are a possible option. He’s up 4 assists and 6 potentials a game on Jokic so +200 series leader still mispriced too. +800 dk for rd2 leader is likely a matchup vs Hali Jokic too so esp if you think Denver gets another win, that’s a great escalator.

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Thunder vs. Nuggets Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Thunder

Public

64%

Bets%

36%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Nuggets
38-43-118-22-120-2127-33-111-10
Thunder
54-26-329-13-125-13-250-25-33-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Nuggets
48-33-126-1522-18-135-25-113-8
Thunder
46-3725-1821-1944-342-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Nuggets
5-4N/AN/A40-2110-11
Thunder
5-1N/AN/A64-143-1

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 8th@OKCL 106-149+10 LO 230OKC +375
May 6th@OKCW 121-119+10.5 WO 229.5DEN +360
May 3rdLACW 120-101-1.5 WO 207DEN -125
May 2nd@LACL 105-111+6.5 WO 213LAC +205
Apr 30thLACW 131-115+2 WO 210DEN +110

Nuggets vs. Thunder Injury Updates

Nuggets Injuries

  • DaRon Holmes
    SF

    Holmes is out with achilles

    Out

Thunder Injuries

  • Isaiah Joe
    PG

    Joe is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Nikola Topic
    PG

    Topić is out for season with knee

    Out for Season

Player Stats
  • scoring
    Jamal Murray logo
    Jamal Murray
    27
    ppg
  • rebounding
    Nikola Jokic logo
    Nikola Jokic
    17
    rpg
  • assists
    Jamal Murray logo
    Jamal Murray
    7
    apg
  • shooting
    Michael Porter logo
    Michael Porter
    70
    fg%
Team Stats
39-99 (39%)
Field Goals
37-82 (45%)
15-22 (68%)
Free Throws
19-24 (79%)
9-34 (26%)
3P
16-39 (41%)
52
Rebounds
46
24
Assists
23
Turnovers
7
Steals
8
6
Blocks
6
20
Fouls
21

Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds Comparison

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Thunder at Nuggets Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Thunder
1-1
N/A
N/A
Nuggets
1-1
N/A
N/A