Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - May 6, 2025
Nuggets at Thunder
1:30 am • TNTNuggets at Thunder Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets 3-4 | +9.5 | +10.5-110 | o229.5-110 | +360 |
Thunder 4-3 | u223.5 | -10.5-110 | u229.5-110 | -470 |

Paycom CenterOklahoma City
Nuggets vs. Thunder Expert Picks
DeadPresPicks
Last 30d: 0-3-0 (-1.6u)
Over 233.5 (Live)-140
0.25u
OKC -6.5 (Live)-125
0.37u
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 34-22-4 (+8.7u)
M.Porter o18.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-113
1u
VegasIsMyBitch
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 229-110
0.91u
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 70-75-0 (-12.5u)
M.Porter o11.5 Pts-130
1.3u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
I.Hartenstein o18.5 Pts+Rebs-135
1u
J.Murray u19.5 Pts-108
1.08u
I.Hartenstein o9.5 Pts-125
1u
N.Jokic u1.5 3pt M-105
1.05u
I.Hartenstein o22.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
1.15u
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 93-78-2 (+6.8u)
J.Williams o21.5 Pts-105
1.05u
YBB SportsData
Last 30d: 7-6-0 (+1.3u)
OKC -10-108
1.08u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 116.5 (1H)-110
1.1u
Over 228.5-104
1u
Brian Condon
Last 30d: 3-18-0 (-10.8u)
J.Williams u21.5 Pts-115
1.3u
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 70-75-0 (-12.5u)
I.Hartenstein o9.5 Pts-115
1u
J.Murray o9.5 Rebs+Ast-136
1u
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o10.5 Rebs+Ast-140
1u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 3-3-0 (-1.3u)
Over 228-105
2.86u
Capper Central
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
OKC -9.5-115
2u
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 127-138-3 (-9.1u)
Over 226.5-112
0.5u
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 26-45-1 (-9.5u)
J.Williams o4.5 Ast-145
0.6u
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 61-48-2 (+9.4u)
J.Williams o5.5 Ast+130
0.2u
J.Williams o4.5 Ast-145
1u
Joining @wheatonbrando on this who broke it down on Buckets Live!
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 47-28-4 (+9.4u)
A.Caruso o1.5 Stl+114
0.57u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
OKC -10-105
1.05u
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 53-71-1 (-8.9u)
OKC -9.5-115
1.15u
OKC o118.5-110
1.5u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 86-83-2 (-5.6u)
Under 227+100
1u
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 68-101-6 (+3.7u)
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o38.5 Pts+Ast-110
1u
R.Westbrook o8.5 Rebs+Ast-105
1.05u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 165-169-2 (-16.3u)
Over 225-110
0.91u
Thunder drop 122.9 PPG at home – 2nd in NBA. 39 3PA/G, hit 37.1%. Denver allows 116.2 PPG, 46.7% FG% – soft perimeter + struggles in transition. SGA led NBA in scoring, thrives at home. Thunder start hot too – 31.3 1Q PPG, same as Denver.
Nuggets? Quietly lethal. 119.7 PPG on 50.4% shooting. Jokic nearly 30 PPG, 56.9% FG, 808 AST – pick-and-roll, post, transition, doesn’t matter. Shooters around him hit 37.7% from deep. Last 15 vs Northwest? Over is 11-4. OKC 8-3-1 Over in same spot.
Denver vs OKC trends – last 3 Overs hit 251, 246, and 257+ pts. Elite offenses, MVPs running the show, bad matchup for both defenses. Don’t overthink it.
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.0u)
J.Williams o4.5 Ast-150
0.5u
Buckets live! 🪣
C.Braun o12.5 Pts+100
0.5u
Buckets live! 🪣
J.Williams To Record 6+ Assists Yes+130
0.25u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 65-57-1 (+2.4u)
DEN u108.5 Team Total-110
1u
Buzz saw
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 26-45-1 (-9.5u)
OKC -19.5+302
0.25u
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 190-242-2 (-16.4u)
OKC -2.5 (2Q)-110
$1.00
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.0u)
OKC -13.5 (2Q)+790
0.25u
Denver -1.0 net in 2q #19 regular season and almost -9 playoffs. Thats when Jokic sits, and OKC bench should make them pay. With nuggets exhausted after g7, could be when OKC blows the game open. Escalator SZN
OKC -9.5 (2Q)+363
0.25u
Denver -1.0 net in 2q #19 regular season and almost -9 playoffs. Thats when Jokic sits, and OKC bench should make them pay. With nuggets exhausted after g7, could be when OKC blows the game open. Escalator SZN
OKC -2.5 (2Q)-108
1.39u
Denver -1.0 net in 2q #19 regular season and almost -9 playoffs. Thats when Jokic sits, and OKC bench should make them pay. With nuggets exhausted after g7, could be when OKC blows the game open. Escalator SZN
Royals Props
Last 30d: 23-28-0 (-9.2u)
OKC -9.5-110
1.1u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 65-57-1 (+2.4u)
OKC -9.5-110
1u
Thunder party
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
DEN +9.5-110
1u
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 83-88-0 (-24.9u)
OKC -9.5-109
3u
The Propfessor
Last 30d: 57-50-0 (+15.0u)
I.Hartenstein o20.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-125
1u
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 47-28-4 (+9.4u)
C.Holmgren o2.5 Blk+105
0.26u
All these just given out on Buckets live with tons from @HPBasketball @JoeDellera and @wheatonbrando too. Make sure to come hang on YouTube if you aren’t already! Chat was poppin tonight!
C.Holmgren o26.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120
0.3u
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 61-48-2 (+9.4u)
OKC -8.5-110
1u
Huddle got it first
MoneyLineWixted
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
OKC -9-120
1.2u
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 190-242-2 (-16.4u)
OKC -9-115
$1.15
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 26-45-1 (-9.5u)
OKC -9.5-108
2.2u
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 48-68-0 (-10.1u)
OKC -9.5-105
1u
Nuggets vs. Thunder Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Nuggets vs. Thunder Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Thunder are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Thunder are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Thunder are 25-13 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Thunder' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Thunder' 43 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Nuggets vs. Thunder Injury Updates

Nuggets Injuries
- Peyton WatsonSF
Watson is out with hamstring
Out

Thunder Injuries
- Jalen WilliamsSG
Jalen Williams (hamstring) out Thursday.
Out
- Branden CarlsonC
Carlson is out with back
Out
- Thomas SorberC
Sorber is out with knee
Out
Player Stats
- scoring
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander33ppg - rebounding
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander10rpg - assists
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander8apg - shooting
Aaron Wiggins100fg%
Team Stats
Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds Comparison
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Nuggets at Thunder Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Nuggets 3-4 | N/A | N/A |
Thunder 4-3 | N/A | N/A |




