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Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - May 6, 2025

Nuggets at Thunder

1:30 am • TNT

Denver Nuggets

3-4
121
121 - 119

Oklahoma City Thunder

4-3
119

Nuggets at Thunder Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nuggets
3-4
+9.5
+10.5-110
o229.5-110
+360
Thunder
4-3
u223.5
-10.5-110
u229.5-110
-470
location pinTuesday 1:30 a.m.
May 06, 2025
Paycom CenterOklahoma City
Nuggets vs. Thunder Expert Picks
DeadPresPicks
DeadPresPicks
Last 30d: 8-9-0 (-0.3u)
Over 233.5 (Live)-140
0.25u
OKC -6.5 (Live)-125
0.37u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 55-56-3 (+11.1u)
M.Porter o18.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-113
1u
VegasIsMyBitch
VegasIsMyBitch
Last 30d: 7-4-0 (+1.7u)
Over 229-110
0.91u
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 34-35-0 (-4.7u)
M.Porter o11.5 Pts-130
1.3u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
I.Hartenstein o18.5 Pts+Rebs-135
1u
J.Murray u19.5 Pts-108
1.08u
I.Hartenstein o9.5 Pts-125
1u
N.Jokic u1.5 3pt M-105
1.05u
I.Hartenstein o22.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
1.15u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 69-74-2 (-10.7u)
J.Williams o21.5 Pts-105
1.05u
YBB SportsData
YBB SportsData
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-2.2u)
OKC -10-108
1.08u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 228.5-104
1u
Over 116.5 (1H)-110
1.1u
Brian Condon
Brian Condon
Last 30d: 2-26-1 (-13.0u)
J.Williams u21.5 Pts-115
1.3u
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 34-35-0 (-4.7u)
I.Hartenstein o9.5 Pts-115
1u
J.Murray o9.5 Rebs+Ast-136
1u
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o10.5 Rebs+Ast-140
1u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 43-34-1 (+15.1u)
Over 228-105
2.86u
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 95-76-0 (+7.9u)
OKC -9.5-115
2u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 70-94-2 (-5.2u)
J.Williams o4.5 Ast-145
0.6u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 58-75-4 (-1.6u)
J.Williams o5.5 Ast+130
0.2u
J.Williams o4.5 Ast-145
1u
Joining @wheatonbrando on this who broke it down on Buckets Live!
Jim Turvey
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 71-80-0 (+31.7u)
A.Caruso o1.5 Stl+114
0.57u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
OKC -10-105
1.05u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 88-107-6 (-7.6u)
OKC -9.5-115
1.15u
OKC o118.5-110
1.5u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 118-92-0 (+13.1u)
Under 227+100
1u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 88-96-6 (-12.5u)
R.Westbrook o8.5 Rebs+Ast-105
1.05u
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o38.5 Pts+Ast-110
1u
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 208-180-4 (+14.4u)
Over 225-110
0.91u
Thunder drop 122.9 PPG at home – 2nd in NBA. 39 3PA/G, hit 37.1%. Denver allows 116.2 PPG, 46.7% FG% – soft perimeter + struggles in transition. SGA led NBA in scoring, thrives at home. Thunder start hot too – 31.3 1Q PPG, same as Denver. Nuggets? Quietly lethal. 119.7 PPG on 50.4% shooting. Jokic nearly 30 PPG, 56.9% FG, 808 AST – pick-and-roll, post, transition, doesn’t matter. Shooters around him hit 37.7% from deep. Last 15 vs Northwest? Over is 11-4. OKC 8-3-1 Over in same spot. Denver vs OKC trends – last 3 Overs hit 251, 246, and 257+ pts. Elite offenses, MVPs running the show, bad matchup for both defenses. Don’t overthink it.
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 48-107-1 (+18.7u)
C.Braun o12.5 Pts+100
0.5u
Buckets live! 🪣
J.Williams o4.5 Ast-150
0.5u
Buckets live! 🪣
J.Williams To Record 6+ Assists Yes+130
0.25u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 136-109-0 (+32.6u)
DEN u108.5 Team Total-110
1u
Buzz saw
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 70-94-2 (-5.2u)
OKC -19.5+302
0.25u
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 48-107-1 (+18.7u)
OKC -13.5 (2Q)+790
0.25u
Denver -1.0 net in 2q #19 regular season and almost -9 playoffs. Thats when Jokic sits, and OKC bench should make them pay. With nuggets exhausted after g7, could be when OKC blows the game open. Escalator SZN
OKC -9.5 (2Q)+363
0.25u
Denver -1.0 net in 2q #19 regular season and almost -9 playoffs. Thats when Jokic sits, and OKC bench should make them pay. With nuggets exhausted after g7, could be when OKC blows the game open. Escalator SZN
OKC -2.5 (2Q)-108
1.39u
Denver -1.0 net in 2q #19 regular season and almost -9 playoffs. Thats when Jokic sits, and OKC bench should make them pay. With nuggets exhausted after g7, could be when OKC blows the game open. Escalator SZN
Royals Props
Royals Props
Last 30d: 33-35-4 (-6.8u)
OKC -9.5-110
1.1u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 136-109-0 (+32.6u)
OKC -9.5-110
1u
Thunder party
Greg DiNardo
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
DEN +9.5-110
1u
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 141-149-2 (+38.5u)
A.Caruso o6.5 Pts-114
0.88u
🚨Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found on our Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/A8v49URQaG Link to VIP (Copy &Paste): https://linktr.ee/moneylinehacks%F0%9F%94%A560% OFF with promo code: Hacks60
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 95-88-2 (+10.2u)
OKC -9.5-109
3u
The Propfessor
The Propfessor
Last 30d: 51-60-0 (-6.5u)
I.Hartenstein o20.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-125
1u
Jim Turvey
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 71-80-0 (+31.7u)
C.Holmgren o2.5 Blk+105
0.26u
All these just given out on Buckets live with tons from @HPBasketball @JoeDellera and @wheatonbrando too. Make sure to come hang on YouTube if you aren’t already! Chat was poppin tonight!
C.Holmgren o26.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120
0.3u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 58-75-4 (-1.6u)
OKC -8.5-110
1u
Huddle got it first
MoneyLineWixted
MoneyLineWixted
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
OKC -9-120
1.2u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 70-94-2 (-5.2u)
OKC -9.5-108
2.2u
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 77-84-2 (-2.3u)
OKC -9.5-105
1u

Nuggets vs. Thunder Previews & Analysis

  • Nuggets vs Thunder Game 1: Moore's 5 Best Bets for Tonight article feature image

    Nuggets vs Thunder Game 1: Moore's 5 Best Bets for Tonight

    Matt Moore•
    May 5, 2025 UTC
  • 2 NBA Best Bets for Nuggets-Thunder Tonight article feature image

    2 NBA Best Bets for Nuggets-Thunder Tonight

    Action Network Staff•
    May 5, 2025 UTC
  • Nuggets vs Thunder Game 1: Arinze's 3 Player Props for Tonight article feature image

    Nuggets vs Thunder Game 1: Arinze's 3 Player Props for Tonight

    Michael Arinze•
    May 5, 2025 UTC
  • Nuggets vs Thunder: +500 Parlay for Game 1 Tonight article feature image

    Nuggets vs Thunder: +500 Parlay for Game 1 Tonight

    Dead President Picks•
    May 5, 2025 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Nuggets vs. Thunder Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Nuggets

Public

Home Logo

Thunder

64%

Bets%

36%

Money%

NBA Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Thunder are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
  • Thunder are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Thunder are 25-13 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Thunder' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Thunder' 43 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Thunder		54-26-329-13-125-13-250-25-33-1
Nuggets		38-43-118-22-120-2127-33-111-10

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Thunder		46-3725-1821-1944-342-2
Nuggets		48-33-126-1522-18-135-25-113-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Thunder		16-7N/AN/A64-143-1
Nuggets		7-7N/AN/A40-2110-11

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Apr 26th@MEMW 117-115-15.5 LO 224OKC -1200
Apr 25th@MEMW 114-108-10 LU 230.5OKC -450
Apr 22ndMEMW 118-99-14.5 WU 230OKC -1000
Apr 20thMEMW 131-80-13 WU 232OKC -1000
Apr 13th@NOPW 115-100-13 WU 230.5OKC -750

Nuggets vs. Thunder Injury Updates

Nuggets Injuries

  • Aaron Gordon
    PF

    Aaron Gordon (injury management) out Wednesday.

    Out

  • Christian Braun
    SG

    Braun is out with ankle

    Out

  • Julian Strawther
    SG

    Strawther is out with back

    Out

Thunder Injuries

  • Kenrich Williams
    PF

    Williams is out with knee

    Out

  • Aaron Wiggins
    SG

    Wiggins is out with adductor

    Out

  • Jalen Williams
    SG

    Williams is out with wrist

    Out

  • Nikola Topic
    PG

    Topic is out with groin

    Out

See more NBA Injuries Right Arrow
Player Stats
  • scoring
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander logo
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
    33
    ppg
  • rebounding
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander logo
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
    10
    rpg
  • assists
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander logo
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
    8
    apg
  • shooting
    Aaron Wiggins logo
    Aaron Wiggins
    100
    fg%
Team Stats

42-95 (44%)
Field Goals
42-100 (42%)
27-33 (82%)
Free Throws
20-28 (71%)
10-32 (31%)
3P
15-43 (35%)
63
Rebounds
43
18
Assists
27
Turnovers
6
Steals
12
5
Blocks
11
21
Fouls
27

Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds Comparison

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Nuggets at Thunder Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Nuggets
3-4
o109-112
u109-108
Thunder
4-3
o119.5-117
u119.5-103