Rams vs Bears Odds & Live Scores - January 18, 2026

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rams 2-1	-4	-3.5-120	o49.5-108	-205
Bears 1-1	u51.5	+3.5-102	u49.5-110	+170

T.Higbee o18.5 Rec Yds-120

0.83u

D.Moore Anytime TD Scorer Yes+320

3.2u

D.Adams o5.5 Recs+242

0.21u

D.Adams o6.5 Recs+401

0.12u

LA o29.5+142

0.25u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-playoff-predictions-expert-data-driven-picks-divisional-round

LA o26.5-125

0.5u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-playoff-predictions-expert-data-driven-picks-divisional-round

LA -3.5-110

0.55u

Luck Rankings C Grade

C.Williams u19.5 Pass Comp-125

0.63u

It’s going to be freezing cold, with some wind that only amplifies the cold, and potentially some snow. I’m expecting both teams to be a bit more run heavy and slower paced, which could lower the overall play volume of the game, a key factor for this market specifically. Caleb is already below average in terms of accuracy and completion rate, and that tends to take a hit in these conditions, especially since it’s also tougher for pass catchers to hang on to throws, particularly with how hard he throws the ball. We should also see him continue to use his legs to scramble when needed, which further lowers his ceiling in this specific market. He’s benefited from several ultra pass-heavy comeback game scripts at times this year to eventually clear this number, but even in those spots, Ben Johnson has remained patient and continued to mix in the run at a fairly normal rate before fully airing it out. That approach also caps his upside in this market. I’m projecting him closer to 18.0 completions, with around a 63% chance he stays under 19.5. Quite a few books have this at 18.5 (juiced to the over), and I still have him at roughly a 56% chance to stay under that number, with about a 9% chance he lands exactly on 18, a good reminder of how critical each completion is in these markets.

X.Smith o0.5 Rec Yds-110

0.55u

K.Williams o60.5 Rush Yds-110

1.5u

LA o33.5+330

0.35u

Chicago is still buzzing after that incredible Bears comeback against the Packers, but I've seen this movie before. The NFL postseason graveyard is littered with teams that had exhilarating comebacks before collapsing the next game. It's really hard to come off that adrenaline letdown after a "Super Bowl" type win, and it matters that the Bears offense did virtually nothing for a second straight game against the lowly Packers defense for the first three quarters. It also matters that Chicago lost its starting left tackle in that one, who helped transformed this line into one of the league's best, a line that now faces a ferocious defensive front. The Bears also lost their only good linebacker, yet another loss for a flailing defense already short on bodies. Meanwhile the Rams are getting healthy and should return G Kevin Dotson to bolster an already terrific offensive line. The return of Dotson and absence of T.J. Edwards only further bolster what was already a monster mismatch: Rams offense versus Bears defense. Chicago's defense is by far the weakest link in this game, and the Rams offense should get anything it wants. The number for Chicago are ghastly. The Rams offense has an edge in Success Rate, ranking 1st versus 25th for Chicago's defense. The Rams also have an edge in explosives, 3rd versus 22nd, along with rushing EPA at 4th versus 26th. That last stat is especially important in a freezing Chicago game where the run game will be important — and where the Rams should run just fine, especially with Dotson back. Chicago ranks bottom 10 against playaction. The Rams use more playaction than any offense. Chicago allows the third most middle of the field attacks in the league. The Rams exploded attacking their over the back half of the season. The Bears allow the second-highest outside run rate and rank just 27th in EPA per play defending it. The Rams rank first, and Blake Corum has been especially explosive. On top of all that, the Bears allow myriad explosive plays in the secondary, ranking 7th in most deep passes allowed and 27th in EPA per play. The Rams attack deep early and often, most in the league, and rank top five by EPA. Sean McVay knows Dennis Allen defenses. He's 6-2 lifetime against an Allen defense, averaging 29 PPG in those games, and that includes a memorable NFC Championship Game win. The Rams are going to score. The other side of the ball is more complicated. LA's defense has faded hard, allowing 29 PPG in Week 13 through 17 before giving up 31 in that near-loss to Carolina last week. The Rams passing defense has fallen apart, leaping from 19% in explosive passing plays allowed through 12 games to an awful 41% since, second worst in the league. Chris Shula's defense missed Quentin Lake for much of that stretch and has him back now, but this defense is pretty predictable, ranking top three in most zone and light box defense and bottom three in blitz rate. That makes LA ripe for the attacking for an offensive mind like Ben Johnson. Chicago leads the league in EPA against light boxes, and the Bears use playaction second most, another area the Rams are vulnerable. Ben Johnson's offense has been especially good in the second half, so that could set up another comeback script for Chicago — or at least leave the backdoor open. A lot will be on Caleb Williams. He clearly has the talent, but he's been far better against man defense and should see a ton of zone in this one, so that could make Chicago's offense volatile and unpredictable. There are a couple other key areas of uncertainty. It looks very cold and wintry in Chicago, with temperatures in the teens and wind chills that could be below zero. You'll find all sorts of worrying stats for Sean McVay in Chicago, Matthew Stafford in the rain or snow, and so on, but the weather should impact both teams, and if it forces the run, there's reason to believe the Rams should run even better than the Bears. Stafford's finger injury is also a concern. It's not his guiding finger and shouldn't be a problem, but it sure didn't look good throwing outside the numbers in Carolina, and the cold won't help there either. If you're worried about the finger injury and the cold, you may just want to stay away. I'm still investing in the Rams in what's a lopsided matchup on paper, though I'll play slightly less aggressively with the unknowns. Start with Rams -3.5. Los Angeles covered that line in every win but one this season until last week. But because Chicago has proven itself a backdoor threat, I mostly prefer to play Rams team totals. Rams over 26.5 (-115, DraftKings) looks like a nice proxy for an LA moneyline. The Rams are 10-2 this season when they score 27 points and just 3-3 when they don't, and Chicago has allowed 27 points eight times, including all but one of its losses. The Rams have at least 26 points in 13 of their 18 games, so over 26.5 looks good. They've scored 33+ points 10 times already, including nine of their 13 wins (69%). Let's play a Rams team total escalator, starting with over 33.5 points at +330 (bet365). LA has 41+ points three times this season while the Bears have allowed that three times as well, so let's play 40+ Rams points at +625 in case this offense detonates (bet365).

LA -3.5-115

0.5u

Chicago is still buzzing after that incredible Bears comeback against the Packers, but I've seen this movie before. The NFL postseason graveyard is littered with teams that had exhilarating comebacks before collapsing the next game. It's really hard to come off that adrenaline letdown after a "Super Bowl" type win, and it matters that the Bears offense did virtually nothing for a second straight game against the lowly Packers defense for the first three quarters. It also matters that Chicago lost its starting left tackle in that one, who helped transformed this line into one of the league's best, a line that now faces a ferocious defensive front. The Bears also lost their only good linebacker, yet another loss for a flailing defense already short on bodies. Meanwhile the Rams are getting healthy and should return G Kevin Dotson to bolster an already terrific offensive line. The return of Dotson and absence of T.J. Edwards only further bolster what was already a monster mismatch: Rams offense versus Bears defense. Chicago's defense is by far the weakest link in this game, and the Rams offense should get anything it wants. The number for Chicago are ghastly. The Rams offense has an edge in Success Rate, ranking 1st versus 25th for Chicago's defense. The Rams also have an edge in explosives, 3rd versus 22nd, along with rushing EPA at 4th versus 26th. That last stat is especially important in a freezing Chicago game where the run game will be important — and where the Rams should run just fine, especially with Dotson back. Chicago ranks bottom 10 against playaction. The Rams use more playaction than any offense. Chicago allows the third most middle of the field attacks in the league. The Rams exploded attacking their over the back half of the season. The Bears allow the second-highest outside run rate and rank just 27th in EPA per play defending it. The Rams rank first, and Blake Corum has been especially explosive. On top of all that, the Bears allow myriad explosive plays in the secondary, ranking 7th in most deep passes allowed and 27th in EPA per play. The Rams attack deep early and often, most in the league, and rank top five by EPA. Sean McVay knows Dennis Allen defenses. He's 6-2 lifetime against an Allen defense, averaging 29 PPG in those games, and that includes a memorable NFC Championship Game win. The Rams are going to score. The other side of the ball is more complicated. LA's defense has faded hard, allowing 29 PPG in Week 13 through 17 before giving up 31 in that near-loss to Carolina last week. The Rams passing defense has fallen apart, leaping from 19% in explosive passing plays allowed through 12 games to an awful 41% since, second worst in the league. Chris Shula's defense missed Quentin Lake for much of that stretch and has him back now, but this defense is pretty predictable, ranking top three in most zone and light box defense and bottom three in blitz rate. That makes LA ripe for the attacking for an offensive mind like Ben Johnson. Chicago leads the league in EPA against light boxes, and the Bears use playaction second most, another area the Rams are vulnerable. Ben Johnson's offense has been especially good in the second half, so that could set up another comeback script for Chicago — or at least leave the backdoor open. A lot will be on Caleb Williams. He clearly has the talent, but he's been far better against man defense and should see a ton of zone in this one, so that could make Chicago's offense volatile and unpredictable. There are a couple other key areas of uncertainty. It looks very cold and wintry in Chicago, with temperatures in the teens and wind chills that could be below zero. You'll find all sorts of worrying stats for Sean McVay in Chicago, Matthew Stafford in the rain or snow, and so on, but the weather should impact both teams, and if it forces the run, there's reason to believe the Rams should run even better than the Bears. Stafford's finger injury is also a concern. It's not his guiding finger and shouldn't be a problem, but it sure didn't look good throwing outside the numbers in Carolina, and the cold won't help there either. If you're worried about the finger injury and the cold, you may just want to stay away. I'm still investing in the Rams in what's a lopsided matchup on paper, though I'll play slightly less aggressively with the unknowns. Start with Rams -3.5. Los Angeles covered that line in every win but one this season until last week. But because Chicago has proven itself a backdoor threat, I mostly prefer to play Rams team totals. Rams over 26.5 (-115, DraftKings) looks like a nice proxy for an LA moneyline. The Rams are 10-2 this season when they score 27 points and just 3-3 when they don't, and Chicago has allowed 27 points eight times, including all but one of its losses. The Rams have at least 26 points in 13 of their 18 games, so over 26.5 looks good. They've scored 33+ points 10 times already, including nine of their 13 wins (69%). Let's play a Rams team total escalator, starting with over 33.5 points at +330 (bet365). LA has 41+ points three times this season while the Bears have allowed that three times as well, so let's play 40+ Rams points at +625 in case this offense detonates (bet365).

LA o26.5-115

0.75u

Chicago is still buzzing after that incredible Bears comeback against the Packers, but I've seen this movie before. The NFL postseason graveyard is littered with teams that had exhilarating comebacks before collapsing the next game. It's really hard to come off that adrenaline letdown after a "Super Bowl" type win, and it matters that the Bears offense did virtually nothing for a second straight game against the lowly Packers defense for the first three quarters. It also matters that Chicago lost its starting left tackle in that one, who helped transformed this line into one of the league's best, a line that now faces a ferocious defensive front. The Bears also lost their only good linebacker, yet another loss for a flailing defense already short on bodies. Meanwhile the Rams are getting healthy and should return G Kevin Dotson to bolster an already terrific offensive line. The return of Dotson and absence of T.J. Edwards only further bolster what was already a monster mismatch: Rams offense versus Bears defense. Chicago's defense is by far the weakest link in this game, and the Rams offense should get anything it wants. The number for Chicago are ghastly. The Rams offense has an edge in Success Rate, ranking 1st versus 25th for Chicago's defense. The Rams also have an edge in explosives, 3rd versus 22nd, along with rushing EPA at 4th versus 26th. That last stat is especially important in a freezing Chicago game where the run game will be important — and where the Rams should run just fine, especially with Dotson back. Chicago ranks bottom 10 against playaction. The Rams use more playaction than any offense. Chicago allows the third most middle of the field attacks in the league. The Rams exploded attacking their over the back half of the season. The Bears allow the second-highest outside run rate and rank just 27th in EPA per play defending it. The Rams rank first, and Blake Corum has been especially explosive. On top of all that, the Bears allow myriad explosive plays in the secondary, ranking 7th in most deep passes allowed and 27th in EPA per play. The Rams attack deep early and often, most in the league, and rank top five by EPA. Sean McVay knows Dennis Allen defenses. He's 6-2 lifetime against an Allen defense, averaging 29 PPG in those games, and that includes a memorable NFC Championship Game win. The Rams are going to score. The other side of the ball is more complicated. LA's defense has faded hard, allowing 29 PPG in Week 13 through 17 before giving up 31 in that near-loss to Carolina last week. The Rams passing defense has fallen apart, leaping from 19% in explosive passing plays allowed through 12 games to an awful 41% since, second worst in the league. Chris Shula's defense missed Quentin Lake for much of that stretch and has him back now, but this defense is pretty predictable, ranking top three in most zone and light box defense and bottom three in blitz rate. That makes LA ripe for the attacking for an offensive mind like Ben Johnson. Chicago leads the league in EPA against light boxes, and the Bears use playaction second most, another area the Rams are vulnerable. Ben Johnson's offense has been especially good in the second half, so that could set up another comeback script for Chicago — or at least leave the backdoor open. A lot will be on Caleb Williams. He clearly has the talent, but he's been far better against man defense and should see a ton of zone in this one, so that could make Chicago's offense volatile and unpredictable. There are a couple other key areas of uncertainty. It looks very cold and wintry in Chicago, with temperatures in the teens and wind chills that could be below zero. You'll find all sorts of worrying stats for Sean McVay in Chicago, Matthew Stafford in the rain or snow, and so on, but the weather should impact both teams, and if it forces the run, there's reason to believe the Rams should run even better than the Bears. Stafford's finger injury is also a concern. It's not his guiding finger and shouldn't be a problem, but it sure didn't look good throwing outside the numbers in Carolina, and the cold won't help there either. If you're worried about the finger injury and the cold, you may just want to stay away. I'm still investing in the Rams in what's a lopsided matchup on paper, though I'll play slightly less aggressively with the unknowns. Start with Rams -3.5. Los Angeles covered that line in every win but one this season until last week. But because Chicago has proven itself a backdoor threat, I mostly prefer to play Rams team totals. Rams over 26.5 (-115, DraftKings) looks like a nice proxy for an LA moneyline. The Rams are 10-2 this season when they score 27 points and just 3-3 when they don't, and Chicago has allowed 27 points eight times, including all but one of its losses. The Rams have at least 26 points in 13 of their 18 games, so over 26.5 looks good. They've scored 33+ points 10 times already, including nine of their 13 wins (69%). Let's play a Rams team total escalator, starting with over 33.5 points at +330 (bet365). LA has 41+ points three times this season while the Bears have allowed that three times as well, so let's play 40+ Rams points at +625 in case this offense detonates (bet365).

B.Corum o13.5 Longest Rush-108

1u

Blake Corum Longest Rush over 12.5 yards (-120 at BetMGM, fine with over 13.5 -108 at FD or -110 at 365) Last week I talked about fading Corum in this market, especially without RG Kevin Dotson who is a much better run blocker than his backup, Justin Dedich. Now that the Rams are likely to get Dotson back, we should be looking back toward Corum's over. Getting Dotson back is huge for his yards per carry, since Corum gets the plurality of his runs to the right side. Any run to the right of middle now has a better shot to get busted for a big gain, and that's especially true against a putrid Bears run defense that ranks 28th in rush DVOA. Corum's median longest rush per game since his role increased twelve games ago is exactly 12.5 yards, but we'd certainly expect this to be a spot he goes over that given the matchup and expected return of Dotson. Tracking at 13.5 since only MGM has 12.5 at the time I'm tracking

B.Corum 2+ TDs Yes+3000

0.2u

TD 🪜

LA o40.5+625

0.16u

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/ex18YaORYZb

LA -3.5-118

1u

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/ex18YaORYZb

LA o26.5-130

1u

@wheatonbrando https://myaction.app/ex18YaORYZb

LA o26.5-130

1.3u

@Stuckey2 https://myaction.app/vmUPQmaEYZb

CHI +3.5-102

1u

@KendraMiddleton_ https://myaction.app/vmUPQmaEYZb

B.Corum Anytime TD Scorer Yes+265

0.5u

@The_Oddsmaker https://myaction.app/uAJBxgenXZb

D.Moore Anytime TD Scorer Yes+320

1.6u

@GDAWG5000 https://myaction.app/uAJBxgenXZb

B.Corum Anytime TD Scorer Yes+265

0.38u

@Stuckey2 https://myaction.app/iz8HMrCZWZb

D.Moore o28.5 Rec Yds-113

0.5u

C.Santos o6.5 Kicking Pts-118

0.59u

B.Corum o11.5 Longest Rush-105

0.3u

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bears	2-0	2-0	6-3	4-3-1	2-0
Rams	0-3	6-2	0-3	0-2	0-1

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bears	1-1	N/A	5-4	6-2	1-1
Rams	2-1	7-1	N/A	2-0	0-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jan 11th	GB	W 31-27	+1.5 W	O 46.5	CHI +105
Jan 4th	DET	L 16-19	-3.5 L	U 51.5	DET -170
Dec 29th	@SF	L 38-42	+4.5 W	O 51.5	SF +185
Dec 21st	GB	W 22-16	-1.5 W	U 45	CHI -120
Dec 14th	CLE	W 31-3	-7.5 W	U 38.5	CHI -380

MatchupOverUnder
Rams 2-1	N/A	N/A
Bears 1-1	N/A	N/A

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