The Rams take on the Bears tonight to close out the NFL Divisional Round. Kickoff from Soldier Field in Chicago, Ill., is set for 6:30 p.m. ET. Rams vs Bears will broadcast on NBC and Peacock.
Rams vs Bears odds (via bet365) have the Rams as -205 moneyline favorites and the Bears as +170 underdogs. The game total is 49 points. The Rams are 3.5-point favorites on the spread over the Bears (Rams -3.5; -105).
Below, you can find our Rams vs Bears picks, which include predictions for the spread, game total and props for Caleb Williams, Colston Loveland, Davante Adams and Blake Corum.
Rams vs Bears Picks & Props — Divisional Round
| Game | Time (ET) | Best Bet |
|---|---|---|
  | 6:30 p.m. | |
| 6:30 p.m. | |
| 6:30 p.m. | |
| 6:30 p.m. | |
| 6:30 p.m. | |
| 6:30 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Rams vs Bears Odds
| Los Angeles Rams Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-3.5 -115 | 49 -110o / -110u | -205 |
| Chicago Bears Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+3.5 -105 | 49 -110o / -110u | +170 |
Rams vs Bears Spread Prediction
The perfect storm of emotion in Chicago, combined with the Rams’ close victory in Carolina, has created a good opportunity to back the road favorite in this spot.
The Bears have the worst defense remaining in the playoff field in terms of success rate and are simply too reliant on generating turnovers.
When the Chicago defense failed to force turnovers, it surrendered 2.6 points per drive, ranking 27th in the NFL. The Bears have also struggled to defend play-action, allowing more than nine yards per attempt.
Rams head coach Sean McVay and QB Matthew Stafford will undoubtedly run their offense from under center while also using play-action at one of the highest rates this Bears defense has seen this year.
Obviously, you cannot disregard the Bears' ability to turn it on in the 4th quarter, but it is concerning that their offense ranks just 19th in generating points in the first three quarters of the game.
In theory, throughout the majority of the game, the Bears feature a league-average offense and a bottom-tier defense. Eventually, some of their luck will run out, and the comeback will not materialize.
I am expecting an abundance of explosive plays from Stafford and company as they front-run throughout the game, resulting in a victory with a margin of 6-10 points.
Pick: Rams -3.5 (-110)
Rams vs Bears Over/Under Pick
By Billy Ward
I’m cautiously optimistic that the last game of the Divisional Round might prove to be the most fun as the Rams take on the Bears at Soldier Field.
The elephant in the room is the weather, which will almost certainly be cold, but could also include some snow and strong winds. The cold doesn’t actually impact scoring all that much historically, but wind and precipitation could.
Of course, that impact is mainly felt in the passing game. Both teams rank No. 3 or higher in running DVOA, so they could certainly put up points without having to take downfield shots. That goes double for the Rams, who face a Bears defense that ranks 28th in DVOA against the run.
Plus, the weather seems to be already priced into the total. These teams have combined to score 56.9 points per game this season, roughly nine points higher than the current total.
There’s a chance that the strong winds and snow aren’t there around game time, which gives this one way more upside than downside.
Pick: Over 48 (-110)
Colston Loveland Props: Back Emergent Rookie
By Chris Prince
Colston Loveland has emerged as the main target in the passing game for Caleb Williams, and with the Bears as 3-4-point underdogs, I'm fully expecting another big dose of targets for Loveland.
Over the last three games, he has seen a Trey McBride-like target share, with a whopping 38 targets over that span while averaging 107.3 receiving yards.
The Rams have been solid against tight ends this season, but the volume Loveland gets trumps that for me, and I love the number we are getting.
I would play this up to 59.5, with alternates and ladders in play as well.
Pick: Colston Loveland Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-114); bet to 59.5
Davante Adams Props: Superstar WR is Weatherproof
The weather in this game is a bit of a worry, but it's not enough to scare me away from betting on Davante Adams.
The Rams wide receiver has been fantastic this season when healthy, and he got massive volume last week (13 targets).
This offense is concentrated around the running game, Adams and Puka Nacua, and they will likely rely on them even more in this game.
Adams has hit the over at this number in 10-of-15 games this season, and while those games have been in better weather, many of them were in games where the Rams had big leads and were in running-game scripts.
I have Adams projected for 10 yards over this number.
Pick: Davante Adams Over 53.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Blake Corum Props: Favorable Spot for Rams RB
By Stuckey
I'm considering Blake Corum for Longest Rush at 12.5 yards. I think his median is 15. He has one carry of at least 12 yards in 10 of his 17 games, if you remove the opener when he only had one carry.
The Rams running back didn't see a workload increase until around Week 7, and his percentage of explosive runs is significantly higher with Kevin Dotson, who will be back in the lineup on Sunday.
For the Rams, it’s important to have Dotson back. He's one of the best run-blocking offensive linemen in the NFL. He'll help Corum because Corum runs a lot inside, and then he runs a lot of outside zone.
The Bears, by the way, are 30th versus outside zone. Corum averages one more yard per carry than Kyren Williams on outside zone runs.
LB T.J. Edwards is out for the Bears. Without him on the field, Chicago allows close to six yards per carry. They are already one of five teams that allow 5+ plus yards per carry, and it gets even worse without Edwards because their depth at linebacker is rough, and the interior of the defensive line can't stop the run.
There's a really good chance Corum breaks a couple of explosive runs. I don't mind his over in rushing yards either.
Pick: Blake Corum Longest Rush Over 12.5 Yards (-140)
Caleb Williams Props: Weather Will Impact Caleb
By Sean Koerner
It’s going to be freezing cold in Chicago tonight, with some wind that only amplifies that — and potentially some snow. I’m expecting both teams to be a bit more run heavy and slower paced, which could lower the overall play volume of the game, a key factor for this market specifically.
Caleb Williams is already below average in terms of accuracy and completion rate, and that tends to take a hit in these conditions, especially since it’s also tougher for pass-catchers to hang on to throws, particularly with how hard he throws the ball. We should also see him continue to use his legs to scramble when needed, which further lowers his ceiling in the pass completions market.
Williams has benefited from several ultra pass-heavy comeback game scripts at times this year to eventually clear this number, but even in those spots, Bears head coach Ben Johnson has remained patient and continued to mix in the run at a fairly normal rate before fully airing it out. That approach also caps his upside in this market.
I’m projecting Williams closer to 18.0 completions, with around a 63% chance he stays under 19.5.
Quite a few books have this at 18.5 (juiced to the over), and I still have him at roughly a 56% chance to stay under that number, with about a 9% chance he lands exactly on 18 — a good reminder of how critical each completion is in these markets.
Pick: Caleb Williams Under 19.5 Pass Completions (-125)
