Chiefs vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Predictions - September 23, 2024

Chiefs at Falcons

12:20 am • NBC

Kansas City Chiefs

13-1

22 - 17

Atlanta Falcons

7-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Chiefs 13-1	-3	-3-119	o47-111	-174
Falcons 7-7	u49	+3-102	u47-108	+145

Monday 12:20 a.m.

September 23, 2024

Mercedes-Benz StadiumAtlanta

T.Kelce o34.5 Rec Yds (Live)-117

1.17u

K.Pitts Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+550

0.25u

Live at halftime

R.McCloud o28.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110

0.55u

Live bet at halftime...

KC o20.5 Team Total (Live)-120

0.83u

Mahomes get me 21

C.Steele u48.5 Rush Yds-110

1.1u

X.Worthy o37.5 Rec Yds-115

1.15u

KC -172

ATL +3-105

T.Allgeier o6.5 Rush Att+100

S.Perine o16.5 Rush Yds-110

0.91u

ATL +3.5-118

$2800.00

Under 46.5-105

B.Robinson o73.5 Rush Yds-115

1.15u

T.Kelce o47.5 Rec Yds-110

2.2u

J.Reid o6.5 Tackles + Ast+100

K.Pitts o3.5 Recs-135

2.7u

T.Andersen o7.5 Tackles + Ast-115

0.87u

R.McCloud o29.5 Rec Yds-110

1.1u

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/ray-ray-mccloud-player-prop-prediction-for-chiefs-vs-falcons-on-sunday-night-football

KC -146 (1H)

1.46u

ATL +3-104

1.04u

T.Kelce o49.5 Rec Yds-112

2.24u

T.Kelce o49 Rec Yds-105

2.63u

T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes+140

1.5u

KC -160

T.Kelce First Touchdown Scorer Yes+850

0.5u

ATL +3-105

Under 46.5-110

0.91u

KC -162

0.62u

ATL +3-104

ATL +3-102

ATL +3.5-105

1.05u

K.Pitts First Touchdown Scorer+1148

Under 46.5-110

0.91u

#ProSystem … primetime unders home dog Overall: 96-57-3,63% (ROI:20%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%) … prime time moderate dogs Overall: 160-115-3,58% (ROI:12%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI:

Under 47-120

S.Perine 25+ Rushing Yards Yes+215

1.08u

S.Perine 50+ Rushing Yards Yes+1200

0.25u

ATL +3+100

D.London Anytime TD Scorer Yes+210

2.1u

D.Mooney Anytime TD Scorer Yes+320

ATL +3-105

-Did you know Mahomes is 0-4 ATS (against the spread) in his last 4 Monday games? -Did you know Cousins was 1-14 in his first 15 Monday/Thursday games, BUT HE IS 4-1 ML & ATS on his last 5 Monday games? -The narrative I hear being pushed by the media is “he can’t do it again, after doing it last Monday” & “he sucks on Mondays”. Both are false when you look at Kirk lead teams since 2019

ATL +3-105

2.1u

ATL +3.5-110

1.1u

Simon Says

ATL +3.5-110

1.1u

Stuckey 3

KC -3-115

P.Mahomes o261.5 Pass Yds-114

1.14u

C.Steele u1.5 Recs+135

1.35u

KC -3-118

0.21u

Kitchen Sink week! TAN pod / best bets No need to add if you’ve already got Lookahead

K.Pitts o3.5 Recs-104

0.25u

ATL +3.5-115

1.15u

Simon says

ATL +3.5-110

0.5u

P.Mahomes o262 Pass Yds-117

It’s not incredibly likely that the Chiefs turn heavily to a rookie fullback, a street free agent, and a primary passing down back (on the team for less than 1 month) to carry their offense. It is far more likely that they turn to their top 2 all-time quarterback and wide variety of passing weapons to move the ball. Mahomes has averaged over 300 yards per game indoors in his career, and the conditions are ripe to eclipse a total much more conservative than this in week 3. RG prop model was on this and I tend to agree.

P.Mahomes o261.5 Pass Yds-114

1.14u

ATL +3.5-115

@nick_giffen

ATL +3.5-110

0.55u

ATL +3.5-112

0.5u

ATL +3.5-110

1.1u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-3-luck-rankings-picks-7-games-fit-thresholds?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=nickgiffen

ATL +4.5-110

0.55u

Half play now, hoping for a sharp buyback on Chiefs by end of week

KC -3.5-110

1.82u

Week 3 Lookahead! TAN pod

Featured Insight
The Chiefs have allowed 184.9 passing yards per game since the 2023 season -- 4th-best in NFL; the Falcons have thrown for 4,171 passing yards in 19 games (219.5 YPG) since the 2023 season -- 10th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Falcons have allowed 3.9 points per Red Zone drive since the 2023 season -- T-6th-best in NFL; the Chiefs have scored 4.0 points per Red Zone drive since the 2023 season -- T-7th-worst in NFL.

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PropBetGuy's SNF Pick for Chiefs vs Falcons
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Sep 22, 2024 UTC
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NFL Public Betting

Falcons are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Falcons are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Falcons are 3-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Falcons' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Falcons' 7 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Falcons	5-9	2-5	3-4	4-5	1-4
Chiefs	5-8-1	2-5	3-3-1	4-7-1	1-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Falcons	5-9	2-5	3-4	4-5	1-4
Chiefs	6-8	3-4	3-4	5-7	1-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Falcons	7-7	N/A	N/A	6-3	1-4
Chiefs	13-1	N/A	N/A	12-0	1-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 17th	@PHI	W 22-21	+5.5 W	U 46.5	ATL +212
Sep 8th	PIT	L 10-18	-4 L	U 43	PIT -195
Aug 23rd	JAC	L 0-31	+8 L	U 35	JAC +320
Aug 17th	@BAL	L 12-13	+2.5 W	U 34	BAL +124
Aug 9th	@MIA	L 13-20	-2.5 L	U 38	MIA -162

D.J. Humphries
T
Humphries is out with hamstring
Out

Patrick Mahomes
QB
Mahomes is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Harrison Butker
K
Butker is questionable with knee
Questionable
Hollywood Brown
WR
Brown is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Mecole Hardman
WR
Hardman is questionable with knee
Questionable
Rashee Rice
WR
Rice is out with leg
Out
Cam Jones
LB
Jones is questionable with illness
Questionable
Jared Wiley
TE
Wiley is out with knee
Out
Spencer Shrader
K
Shrader is out with hamstring
Out

Mike Hughes
CB
Hughes is questionable with neck
Questionable
James Smith-Williams
DE
Smith-Williams is out with tibia
Out
Ta'Quon Graham
DE
Graham is out with pectoral
Out
Troy Andersen
LB
Andersen is out with knee
Out
Ruke Orhorhoro
DT
Orhorhoro is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Jase McClellan
RB
McClellan is out with knee
Out
Casey Washington
WR
Washington is out with concussion
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Chiefs

Total

Falcons

345

Total Yards

311

Total Plays

4.8

Yards Per Play

5.6

Chiefs

Passing

Falcons

217

YDS

230

26/39

Comps/Atts

20/29

5.564

YPA

7.387

2/1

TDs/INTs

1/1

0/0

Sacks/Yards

2/1

Chiefs

Rushing

Falcons

128

Rush Yards

Attempts

3.879

YPC

3.28

TDs

Chiefs

Turnovers

Falcons

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Chiefs

Efficiency

Falcons

2/4 50%

Redzone

2/4 50%

6/14 0%

3rd Down

2/9 0%

1/1 0%

4th Down

1/3 0%

Chiefs

First Downs

Falcons

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Chiefs

Misc

Falcons

6/61

Penalties/Yards

6/44

34:57

Possession

25:03

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MatchupOverUnder
Chiefs 13-1	o24.5-110	u24.5-110
Falcons 7-7	o22.5-108	u22.5-112

Chiefs vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Predictions - September 23, 2024

Chiefs at Falcons

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Chiefs

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