Bengals vs. Ravens Odds & Betting Predictions - November 17, 2023

Gotta if Joe is out

Love the number here - was hoping BAL scored first

Don’t see Burrow leaning on Mixon w/ BAL rank 2nd best in DVOA vs. the run. CIN allow the 5th most tackles vs. Safeties. 5 of L7 have gone over CIN. W/ Marcus Williams back, Hamilton moves closer from deep to the box. #PlayerProps

Over in 3/L4 and had 36 vs. BAL in Week 2 Baltimore not great against RB in the passing game in DVOA & I expect Ravens to double Jamarr enough times to give Mixon 5 or so targets (esp w/o Higgins)

@The_Oddsmaker

@TokenPicks + @RoyalsProps

Probably just a donation to the primetime under Gods

VegasInsider.com’s Razor Ray Monohan TNF Free Play! Follow on X @Cappers_Picks

Burrow over in 6/9 this season, including 3/3 coming out of the bye (he’s looked significantly healthier). BAL’s pass defense predicated on preventing chunk yardage - 2nd in DVOA vs deep passes, and 13th be short (per FTN Fantasy). No Marlon Humphrey likely means we see even more two deep safety looks. Burrow will always take what the defense allows - he won’t force. Plus, CIN has been the 2nd most pass happy team in neutral gamescripts (65%, per RotoViz), and BAL’s fast paced offense has allowed their opponents to run 65 plays per game (8th most).

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Over in 2/3 and Harbaugh has talked about working in Mitchell more. Edwards has been effective (4.1 YPC) so don’t want to trust the 36+ rush yards of Mitchell (high ceiling, low floor)… so am attacking this way. He’s the most explosive RB in Baltimore and is a nightmare for linebackers to cover. I’m expecting a couple targets his way tn 1 for 9 against DET 1 for -4 against SEA 1 for 32 against CLE —> nearly hauled in 20yd TD rec also

Bet at Bet365. No Higgins. Played over 75% of snaps when he’s out. Caught a TD last week. Wouldn’t play this below +400.

(0.5u) Keaton Mitchell ATD (+300) (ESPN Bet) If you’ve got Bet365, it’s +333 there. Gus Edwards scored a touchdown last week, but couldn’t get much else going on the ground, finishing with 11 carries for 24 yards last week against the Browns. Keaton Mitchell can fly (ran a 4.37 40 yard dash at the NFL combine) and gives the Ravens a threat to score every play. He was an undrafted free agent signing out of ECU, but all he’s done is make plays. John Harbaugh said they need to get him more involved, and here are Mitchell’s last two games. -9 carries/138 rush yards/TD vs. SEA -3 carries/34 rush yards/TD (1 rec/32 yards) Even if he doesn’t get more touches, he’s scored in two straight games and reminds me a little of De’Von Achanne. Doesn’t need a ton of volume to score. Imagine if Harbaugh actually does give him more work. Talked with Gilles Gallant on this and he was all over it.