Braves vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - October 3, 2024

Braves at Padres

12:38 am • ESPN2

Atlanta Braves

0-2

4 - 5

San Diego Padres

2-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Musgrove			2.46	0-0
M.Fried			22.50	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	+1.5	+1.5-214	o6.5-117	+102
Padres 2-0	u7	-1.5+180	u6.5-103	-120

Thursday 12:38 a.m.

October 03, 2024

PETCO ParkSan Diego

Under 9.5 (Live)-135

Under 10.5 (Live)+100

0.5u

Bet365 after 2*

ATL +102

J.Musgrove u5.5 Ks-120

0.5u

Over 3.5 (F5)-115

1.5u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-140

1.4u

Under 3.5 (F5)-110

1.1u

ATL -1.5+168

M.Olson o0.5 Hits-160

$1000.00

Under 7-125

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Max Fried and Joe Musgrove are primed for a pitching duel, with both offenses struggling recently. Atlanta’s bats have been cold, especially against right-handers, while San Diego's offense remains inconsistent at home. Both teams trend toward low-scoring games, making this matchup likely to stay under 7 runs with dominant pitching and limited offensive production.

ATL +105

#ProSystem Against the public after a win postseason Overall: 121-83-0,59% (ROI:21%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

ATL +100

$1050.00

Under 6.5-102

@AnthonyDabbundo

Under 3.5 (F5)-110

1.1u

SD -119

Under 3.5 (F5)-120

1.2u

M.Fried u17.5 Outs+130

0.65u

Under 6.5+100

Avery

ATL +103

Sandy

ATL +103

Under 7-112

1.12u

SD -120

0.83u

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice San Diego holds several advantages in this matchup. Max Fried's control issues give the Padres an opportunity to capitalize offensively, especially with their strength in getting on base. Joe Musgrove's strong recent form adds to their edge, while Atlanta's inconsistency against right-handers and their bullpen's fatigue from heavy use further tilt the game in favor of San Diego.

Under 7-108

0.54u

Bet to -119 or 6.5 (+100)

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The Padres are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Matt Olson has an OPS of .861 since the 2022 season -- 15th best among hitters with at least 727 total PA's-- 95th Percentile. Bryan Hoeing has allowed an OPS of .768 (575 PAs) since the 2022 season -- eighth worst among qualified RPs-- fifth Percentile.

Orlando Arcia has an OPS of just .678 since last season -- sixth worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Jason Adam has allowed an OPS of just .558 (508 PAs) since last season -- 12th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	4-3	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Braves	0-2	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 2nd	ATL	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	SD -198
Sep 29th	@ARI	L 2-11	+1.5 L	O 8.5	ARI +180
Sep 29th	@ARI	W 5-0	+1.5 W	U 9	SD +185
Sep 28th	@ARI	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 9	SD +114
Sep 27th	@LAD	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	LAD -111

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Mason McCoy
IF
McCoy is out with back
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	45	2	2	5
LD.Lee, P	19	1.2	0	0
RD.Hernandez, P	42	2.1	3	0
RP.Johnson, P	13	1	0	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Harris, CF	3-4	2	1	2
2O.Albies, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-3	0	0	1
4M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Soler, RF	1-3	1	1	1
6R.Laureano, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7G.Urshela, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7T.d'Arnaud, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8S.Murphy, C	0-3	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	1-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Musgrove, P	44	3.2	4	1
RB.Hoeing, P	27	1.1	1	1
RJ.Estrada, P	23	0.2	0	0
LT.Scott, P	24	1.1	2	0
RJ.Adam, P	17	1	1	2
RR.Suarez, P	14	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, DH	2-5	1	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	3-3	1	0	0
3J.Profar, LF	1-4	1	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	1-4	1	0	2
5J.Merrill, CF	2-4	0	0	2
6X.Bogaerts, SS	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Solano, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	1-3	1	1	1