Braves vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - October 2, 2024

Braves at Padres

12:38 am • ESPN

Atlanta Braves

0-2

0 - 4

San Diego Padres

2-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.King			3.75	2-0
A.Smith-Shawver			20.25	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	+1.5	+1.5-135	o7.5-102	+164
Padres 2-0	u7.5	-1.5+114	u7.5-118	-198

Wednesday 12:38 a.m.

October 02, 2024

PETCO ParkSan Diego

ATL -1+225

+EV 🗒️

ATL +154

SD -0.5 (F5)-135

0.37u

A.Smith-Shawver u2.5 Ks+106

0.53u

SD -1.5+116

0.58u

M.King o5.5 Ks-132

0.38u

ATL +161

ATL +162

ATL +155

0.75u

ATL +150

SD -1-125

2.4u

Under 7.5-120

M.King u1.5 BB-133

Under 7.5-118

$847.46

SD -174

0.57u

M.King o5.5 Ks-110

0.91u

ATL +145

1.5u

Under 7+105

2.1u

SD o3.5 Team Total-132

Avery

SD o3.5 Team Total-132

Johnny

M.King o5.5 Ks-109

I know, K prop overs in the playoffs are a bit taboo. But I love this spot for King. Over in 14/L17 and 13/14 at home this season. Braves have been a below avg K target vs righties (21.8% K% over the L30 days), but they also haven’t hit particularly well (93 wRC+). And they play into Kings better split, likely starting 6 righties - 32% K% and a .276 wOBA. I like him to pitch deep into this one. King with a solid history vs this roster. And the Braves are coming off an absurd 24 hours, and flying cross country.

Over 3.5 (F5)-120

#ProSystem Overs with wind postseason (F5) Overall: 153-85-7,64% (ROI:26%)

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The Padres are 13-8 (.619) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Orlando Arcia has an OPS of just .680 since last season -- sixth worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Tanner Scott has allowed an OPS of just .528 (601 PAs) since last season -- fourth best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Jake Cronenworth has an OPS of just .710 since the 2022 season -- 10th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Raisel Iglesias has allowed an OPS of just .562 (736 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 11th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	4-3	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Braves	0-2	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 29th	@ARI	L 2-11	+1.5 L	O 8.5	ARI +180
Sep 29th	@ARI	W 5-0	+1.5 W	U 9	SD +185
Sep 28th	@ARI	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 9	SD +114
Sep 27th	@LAD	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	LAD -111
Sep 26th	@LAD	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 8	LAD +119

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Nacho Alvarez
IF
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
P
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Matt Waldron
P
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out
Jackson Merrill
OF
Merrill is out with hamstring
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Smith-Shawver, P	29	1.1	1	3
LA.Bummer, P	28	2.2	1	0
RJ.Chavez, P	28	2	1	0
RL.Jackson, P	22	2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Harris, CF	2-4	0	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Soler, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5E.White, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6R.Laureano, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	0	0	0
8G.Urshela, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RM.King, P	89	7	12
RJ.Adam, P	15	1	3
RR.Suarez, P	8	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, DH	1-4	1	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	1-3	1	1	2
3J.Profar, LF	0-3	0	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Merrill, CF	1-3	0	0	0
6X.Bogaerts, SS	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-2	1	0	0
8D.Solano, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	1-2	1	1	2