(DK) First under that has popped in a while. Fedde has gone 5 straight without hitting four. Hasn't gone beyond 22 BF in any of those either. 6 in MIN proj. LU 20.1 K% or less v RHP since LY. 7 LHBs (Fedde 12.2 K% since LY). Park and weather forecast take away about 5% Ks.

(FD) Full game or MIN team total fine too. Fedde's 5.44 ERA fits his underlying profile. Bradley has only been about a half run worse than his 3.21 ERA. Both proj. LUs around average (100 wRC+). MIN below avg. MIN 106 Park Run Factor + small weather boost.

(FD) Freddy has been so inconsistent this year, but SEA LU 22 K% vs RHP since LY & park + umpire > 20% boost. I have him around 7 here.

(FD) Same deal as Peralta. Park + ump > 20% boost. NYM LU 23.9 K% v RHP since LY. Still in the testing faze of overhauled K projections or I'd like this even more. K% 5.5 points higher at home this year, 4.4 points career.

Sanchez gave up allowing runs. Buehler not really that much below average (I have him around four and a third). PHI 101/89 wRC+ Hm/v RHP, SDP 92/83 (proj LU 73 wRC+ L30 days). SDP proj def 15 FRV. Two of top 3 bullpens L30 days.

(B365) 28.6 K% (13.4 SwStr%). O's K a ton v LHP (proj. LU avg 26.1% since LY). Park/ump/forecast add about 10% to Ks.

(FD) Bassitt 4.68 SIERA/4.62 xERA, Tolle 3.26/3.18. Both offenses a bit below avg. BOS one best defenses (proj LU 17 FRV). BOS 2nd best pen est. L30 days.

(DK) Fenway downgraded in latest Statcast park factors + see notes on BOS side. BOS 78/87 wRC+ Hm/v RHP, BAL 90/85 (Proj LU 89 wRC+ L30 days)

(B365) Webb should be back to normal workload. MIL proj. LU avg 22.3 K% vs RHP since LY. MIL at least 10% K boost roof open or closed (more open), ump another 3-4%.

(FD) Forecast is at least slightly pitcher friendly again, Wrigley 90 park run factor on neutral day. Both pitchers may be below average and offenses a bit above, but CHC may have best defense in the league (proj LU 31 FRV) and both pens have been middle of the league.

(FD) Aside from COL absolutely thrashing LAA pitching in this series, Angels have very few LHBs to take advantage of Lorenzon .392 wOBA vs LHBs since LY. COL proj LU 21 FRV, bullpen half run better L30 days.

(FD) Beat this # 6 of L7 w/ 15.2 SwStr%. Have him proj. for 7. Wouldn't play it any lower than this number.