Patriots vs. Bears Odds & Betting Predictions - November 10, 2024
Patriots at Bears
6:00 pm • FOXPatriots at Bears Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Patriots 1-0 | +5.5 | +6.5-110 | o37.5-110 | +242 |
 Bears 0-0-1 | u43 | -6.5-110 | u37.5-110 | -302 |
Soldier FieldChicago
Patriots vs. Bears Expert Picks
Capper Central
Last 30d: 82-75-1 (-6.1u)
CHI -3.5 (Live)-107
$1070.00
Brian Matthews
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Swift Anytime TD Scorer Yes+115
1u
Mild bet for the TD show
Kyle Just Bets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Swift o71.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
The Touchdown Show
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Swift Anytime TD Scorer Yes+115
1u
@TheBMatt
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 10-20-2 (-20.2u)
NE +6.5-105
1.9u
Simon Hunter
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+1.0u)
Under 37.5-108
0.46u
Chad Millman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
C.Williams u29.5 Pass Att-115
0.75u
Convince Me
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 37.5-110
0.91u
@ChrisRaybon
C.Williams u29.5 Pass Att-114
1u
@The_Oddsmaker
Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.9u)
Under 38.5-110
0.91u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 1-5-0 (-2.0u)
C.Williams u29.5 Pass Att-115
0.58u
#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 17-44-0 (+13.8u)
C.Williams u29.5 Pass Att-114
1.14u
#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 11-13-0 (-1.0u)
C.Williams u29.5 Pass Att-114
1.14u
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NE +6-108
0.25u
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Moore o50 Rec Yds+100
1u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 80-75-1 (+12.3u)
Under 38.5-110
0.91u
Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
The Patriots' offense remains one of the NFL's least efficient, with rookie QB Drake Maye struggling under pressure and turnover issues. Chicago’s offense, led by Caleb Williams, lacks consistency, hindered by injuries on the offensive line and a weak third-down conversion rate. Both defenses hold advantages: Chicago excels in limiting big plays and third downs, while New England's defense remains solid despite injuries, especially in low-scoring situations.
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 2-4-0 (-2.2u)
D.Swift u17.5 Rush Att-118
0.85u
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CHI -6-112
1u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.0u)
D.Swift o71.5 Rush Yds-110
1u
Feed the Chicago beast
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-3.0u)
CHI -6-110
1.65u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 62-72-0 (+3.4u)
CHI -6-110
1.1u
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 70-73-1 (-6.5u)
NE +6-105
2.86u
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 103-122-3 (-8.8u)
H.Henry o4.5 Recs+130
1u
Greg Matherne
Last 30d: 10-23-0 (+2.3u)
Under 38.5-110
0.5u
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 25-53-1 (+10.8u)
R.Odunze o38.5 Rec Yds-115
1.15u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 1-5-0 (-2.0u)
H.Henry Anytime TD Scorer Yes+400
0.3u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CHI -6-105
1.05u
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 103-122-3 (-8.8u)
R.Odunze o37.5 Rec Yds-120
1u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 17-44-0 (+13.8u)
C.Santos u1.5 FGs Made-105
1u
Charlie Wright
Last 30d: 10-6-0 (+2.2u)
D.Maye o28.5 Rush Yds-113
1.13u
Maye has been excellent on the ground in limited action. He's appeared in 5 games, but he's really only played about 3.5. Maye played the final 5 minutes of New England's Week 3 loss to the Jets. He started against the Jets in Week 8, but he was knocked out of the game with a concussion. Despite the limited action, Maye is 12th among quarterbacks in rushing yards. He's done it on just 21 carries. Every QB ahead of him has at least 38 attempts.
Maye, just like Jacoby Brissett before him, has been harassed by opposing defenses. New England has allowed the highest pressure rate in the league. Their 11% pressure rate over expectation leads the league by a wide margin. Only one other team is above 9% (Cleveland at 9.5%). Pressures typically turn into scrambles, and that's what we've seen from Maye. All but one of his attempts have been on scrambles. Maye has been effective when scrambling, ranking 5th in scramble rushing yards.
Chicago has the 8th-highest pressure rate in the league. They're 8th in pressure rate over expectation and 9th in time to pressure. The Bears should have no problem exploiting New England's offensive line.
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 17-44-0 (+13.8u)
D.Douglas u16.5 Longest Reception-105
1.05u
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 27-79-2 (+16.6u)
R.Stevenson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+165
1u
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 103-122-3 (-8.8u)
R.Odunze o40.5 Rec Yds-115
1u
Nico Terpak
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CHI -6-108
1.08u
Model makes this -9.44 bears bounce back spot here.
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CHI -6.5-110
1.1u
PRO Insights
Patriots
NE Insights
- Featured InsightThe Patriots have allowed a passer rating of 79.2 with a heavy rush since Week 6 -- T-9th-best in NFL; Bears QBs have a 52.1 passer rating against a heavy rush since Week 6 -- 8th-worst in NFL.
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Bears
CHI Insights
- Featured Insight
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Patriots vs. Bears Previews & Analysis
Patriots vs. Bears Props
Prop Projections
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Patriots vs. Bears Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Bears are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Bears are 3-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Bears are 3-5 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Bears' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Bears' 8 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Team Stats
Patriots vs. Bears Odds Comparison
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Patriots at Bears Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Patriots 1-0 | o16.5+100 | u16.5-120 |
Bears 0-0-1 | o22.5-112 | u22.5-108 |