Patriots vs. Bears Odds & Betting Predictions - November 10, 2024

Patriots at Bears

6:00 pm • FOX

New England Patriots

3-11

19 - 3

Chicago Bears

4-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Patriots 3-11	+5.5	+6.5-110	o37.5-110	+242
Bears 4-10	u43	-6.5-110	u37.5-110	-302

Sunday 6:00 p.m.

November 10, 2024

Soldier FieldChicago

CHI -3.5 (Live)-107

$1070.00

D.Swift Anytime TD Scorer Yes+115

Mild bet for the TD show

D.Swift o71.5 Rush Yds-115

D.Swift Anytime TD Scorer Yes+115

@TheBMatt

NE +6.5-105

1.9u

Under 37.5-108

0.46u

C.Williams u29.5 Pass Att-115

0.75u

C.Williams u29.5 Pass Att-114

@The_Oddsmaker

Under 37.5-110

0.91u

@ChrisRaybon

Under 38.5-110

0.91u

C.Williams u29.5 Pass Att-115

0.58u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

C.Williams u29.5 Pass Att-114

1.14u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

C.Williams u29.5 Pass Att-114

1.14u

NE +6-108

0.25u

Under 38.5-110

0.91u

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Patriots' offense remains one of the NFL's least efficient, with rookie QB Drake Maye struggling under pressure and turnover issues. Chicago’s offense, led by Caleb Williams, lacks consistency, hindered by injuries on the offensive line and a weak third-down conversion rate. Both defenses hold advantages: Chicago excels in limiting big plays and third downs, while New England's defense remains solid despite injuries, especially in low-scoring situations.

D.Swift u17.5 Rush Att-118

0.85u

D.Swift o71.5 Rush Yds-110

Feed the Chicago beast

CHI -6-110

1.65u

CHI -6-110

1.1u

NE +6-105

2.86u

Under 38.5-110

0.5u

R.Odunze o38.5 Rec Yds-115

1.15u

H.Henry Anytime TD Scorer Yes+400

0.3u

C.Santos u1.5 FGs Made-105

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-predictions-week-10-expert-data-driven-picks-for-sunday

D.Maye o28.5 Rush Yds-113

1.13u

Maye has been excellent on the ground in limited action. He's appeared in 5 games, but he's really only played about 3.5. Maye played the final 5 minutes of New England's Week 3 loss to the Jets. He started against the Jets in Week 8, but he was knocked out of the game with a concussion. Despite the limited action, Maye is 12th among quarterbacks in rushing yards. He's done it on just 21 carries. Every QB ahead of him has at least 38 attempts. Maye, just like Jacoby Brissett before him, has been harassed by opposing defenses. New England has allowed the highest pressure rate in the league. Their 11% pressure rate over expectation leads the league by a wide margin. Only one other team is above 9% (Cleveland at 9.5%). Pressures typically turn into scrambles, and that's what we've seen from Maye. All but one of his attempts have been on scrambles. Maye has been effective when scrambling, ranking 5th in scramble rushing yards. Chicago has the 8th-highest pressure rate in the league. They're 8th in pressure rate over expectation and 9th in time to pressure. The Bears should have no problem exploiting New England's offensive line.

D.Douglas u16.5 Longest Reception-105

1.05u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-week-10-bets-for-derek-carr-demario-douglas

R.Stevenson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+165

CHI -6-108

1.08u

Model makes this -9.44 bears bounce back spot here.

Featured Insight
The Patriots have allowed a passer rating of 79.2 with a heavy rush since Week 6 -- T-9th-best in NFL; Bears QBs have a 52.1 passer rating against a heavy rush since Week 6 -- 8th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Bears have allowed 5.9 yards per dropback against the shotgun this season -- T-6th-best in NFL; the Patriots have thrown for 5.8 yards per attempt out of the shotgun this season -- 4th-worst in NFL.

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$Expert Projections Top SNF TD Pick article feature image$
Expert Projections Top SNF TD Pick
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Nov 11, 2024 UTC
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NFL Public Betting

Bears are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Bears are 3-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bears are 2-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Bears' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Bears' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bears	7-6-1	4-1-1	2-5	3-1	4-5-1
Patriots	5-8-1	2-3-1	3-4	N/A	5-8-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bears	5-9	3-3	1-6	2-2	3-7
Patriots	9-5	5-1	3-4	N/A	9-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bears	4-10	N/A	N/A	3-1	1-9
Patriots	3-11	N/A	N/A	N/A	3-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 3rd	@ARI	L 9-29	+1.5 L	U 44.5	ARI +102
Oct 27th	@WAS	L 15-18	+1.5 L	U 46.5	WAS +105
Oct 13th	JAC	W 35-16	+1.5 W	O 44.5	CHI +105
Oct 6th	CAR	W 36-10	-4 W	O 40	CHI -180
Sep 29th	LA	W 24-18	-3.5 W	O 40.5	CHI -165

Yannick Ngakoue
LB
Ngakoue is out with personal
Out

Kyle Dugger
S
Dugger is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Christian Barmore
DT
Barmore is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable
Christian Elliss
LB
Elliss is questionable with abdomen
Questionable
Cole Strange
G
Strange is questionable with knee
Questionable
Vederian Lowe
T
Lowe is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Christian Gonzalez
CB
Gonzalez is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Alex Austin
CB
Austin is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Jaquelin Roy
DT
Roy is out with foot
Out
Caedan Wallace
OL
Wallace is out with ankle
Out
Javon Baker
WR
Baker is out with concussion
Out

Tarvarius Moore
S
Moore is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Ryan Bates
OL
Bates is out with concussion
Out
Darrynton Evans
RB
Evans is out with hamstring
Out
Gervon Dexter
DE
Dexter is out with knee
Out
Roschon Johnson
RB
Johnson is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Kiran Amegadjie
OL
Amegadjie is questionable with calf
Questionable

See more NFL Injuries

Patriots

Total

Bears

328

Total Yards

142

Total Plays

5.4

Yards Per Play

2.4

Patriots

Passing

Bears

184

YDS

120

15/25

Comps/Atts

16/30

7.077

YPA

1.769

1/1

TDs/INTs

0/0

1/0

Sacks/Yards

9/51

Patriots

Rushing

Bears

144

Rush Yards

Attempts

4.114

YPC

3.65

TDs

Patriots

Turnovers

Bears

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Patriots

Efficiency

Bears

1/5 20%

Redzone

0/1 0%

5/14 0%

3rd Down

1/14 0%

1/1 0%

4th Down

2/4 0%

Patriots

First Downs

Bears

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Patriots

Misc

Bears

7/40

Penalties/Yards

5/25

32:28

Possession

27:32

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MatchupOverUnder
Patriots 3-11	o16.5+100	u16.5-120
Bears 4-10	o22.5-112	u22.5-108

Patriots vs. Bears Odds & Betting Predictions - November 10, 2024

Patriots at Bears

New England Patriots

Chicago Bears

Patriots at Bears Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

PRO Insights

Patriots

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Patriots vs. Bears Previews & Analysis

Expert Projections Top SNF TD Pick

Early Week 11 Bets & NFL Week 10 Recap with Chad Millman & Simon Hunter | The Favorites Podcast

NFL Predictive Analytics: Data-Driven Picks for Week 10

Gallant's Week 10 ATD Picks & Game Previews

Patriots vs. Bears Props

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Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Patriots vs. Bears Public Betting Percentages

Patriots

Public

Bears

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Patriots vs. Bears Injury Updates

Patriots Injuries

Bears Injuries

Patriots vs. Bears Odds Comparison

Patriots at Bears Team Totals