Falcons vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Predictions - November 2, 2025
Falcons at Patriots
6:00 pm • CBSFalcons at Patriots Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Falcons 3-5 | +2.5 | +5.5-112 | o45.5-110 | +205 |
 Patriots 7-2 | u45.5 | -5.5-110 | u45.5-111 | -250 |
Gillette StadiumFoxborough
Falcons vs. Patriots Expert Picks
The Propfessor
Last 30d: 44-50-0 (+4.6u)
D.Mooney o36.5 Rec Yds-112
1u
Bet Labs
Last 30d: 22-24-0 (+1.1u)
ATL +194
0.52u
ATL +5.5-110
1.5u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 118-104-1 (+0.2u)
ATL +5-105
0.95u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 144-126-4 (+9.3u)
ATL +5-110
0.91u
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 40-42-1 (-6.2u)
NE -4.5-110
1.1u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 103-109-0 (+3.1u)
NE u25.5 Team Total-106
0.94u
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 161-113-1 (+13.3u)
ATL +5.5-115
0.5u
Action Instagram channel best bet - let’s ride 🚀
Capper Central
Last 30d: 92-75-0 (+2.7u)
ATL +5-105
1u
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 161-113-1 (+13.3u)
X.Watts u6.5 Tackles + Ast-133
0.5u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 59-38-0 (+12.1u)
X.Watts u6.5 Tackles + Ast-133
0.5u
Proj this closer to 5.7 with around a 64% chance to stay under 6.5
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 94-98-1 (-2.1u)
ATL +4.5-105
1u
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 111-115-9 (+12.8u)
ATL +4.5-105
0.5u
ATL +4.5-105
1u
The Pick Don
Last 30d: 22-9-0 (+14.1u)
ATL +4.5-105
1u
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 78-88-2 (-1.6u)
ATL +5.5-108
1u
Still a 5.5 available at BettorEdge.com as of Sunday morning.
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 53-68-0 (+12.1u)
ATL o29.5 Team Total+440
0.1u
ATL o26.5 Team Total+250
0.1u
ATL o20.5 Team Total+100
1u
ATL o23.5 Team Total+154
0.2u
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 161-113-1 (+13.3u)
D.Douglas u23.5 Rec Yds-115
0.58u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 59-38-0 (+12.1u)
D.Douglas u23.5 Rec Yds-115
0.58u
Douglas is currently functioning as the Patriots’ No. 4 WR, and I expect him to run a route on only 30–35% of Drake Maye’s dropbacks while commanding targets on roughly 18% of his routes.. putting him near 2.2 expected targets this week.
His catch profile is interesting: Douglas has a -15% catch rate over expected, suggesting positive regression is coming, but mainly on underneath targets rather than deep ones. He’s caught both of his deep targets (each on blown coverage), but his efficiency on short-to-intermediate throws should improve.. just not in a way that boosts his yardage ceiling. I’m projecting his yards per catch to settle around 11–13 yards going forward.
With Rhamondre Stevenson out, TreVeyon Henderson should take on a heavier workload and draw more targets out of the backfield, while Hunter Henry is due for a bit of squeaky-wheel treatment. Add in a likely low play-volume environment against a run-heavy Falcons team, and this shapes up as a tougher spot for Douglas to clear this with his limited usage.
I have his median around 16.5 yards, with roughly a 63% chance he stays under 23.5.
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 53-68-0 (+12.1u)
KhaDarel Hodge Anytime 1st Qtr TD+12500
0.09u
Charlie Woerner Anytime 1st Qtr TD+12500
0.09u
David Sills V Anytime 1st Qtr TD+8000
0.1u
B. Robinson 20+ Rec Yds 1st Qtr+390
0.98u
Best alt line is 20+ yards, have +300 fair
See main pick for notes
B. Robinson over 5.5 Rec Yds 1st Qtr-111
1u
Bijan Robinson over 5.5 1Q rec yds (-108 at DK)
The Falcons have chosen to receive the ball all four times they won the coin toss this year, while New England has deferred all but one time
That should give the Falcons a very high probability of starting with the ball, which the market isn't factoring in
As a result of starting with the ball frequently, Robinson has slightly more than 25% of his receiving yards in the 1Q, so with a line of 35.5 to 36.5 out there, that'd equate to around 8.5-10 yards on average.
But Robinson has averaged 59 yards receiving per game, so this total set low at 35.5 to 36.5 is quite notable given this should be a volume up spot
That's because the Patriots allow the third most targets per game to the RB position, the ninth-most yards, and rank sixth-worst in defensive DVOA on pass attempts to RBs.
Robinson has cleared 5.5 in 4 of 7 games, with one of the failed clears last week when the Falcons didn't start with the ball for the only time this year, also while Kirk Cousins was QB, but Penix is back this week and there's a high probability ATL starts with the ball.
I'd play this up to 6.5 at -115 odds
TAN Pod Touchdown Show
Last 30d: 28-90-2 (-1.6u)
K.Pitts Anytime TD Scorer Yes+260
0.5u
@ChrisRaybon https://myaction.app/Ejv6Hiy9UXb
M.Hollins Anytime TD Scorer Yes+550
0.5u
@ChrisRaybon https://myaction.app/Ejv6Hiy9UXb
The Favorites Podcast
Last 30d: 14-15-0 (+0.1u)
ATL +5.5-110
1u
@Stuckey2 https://myaction.app/UF42Qup2UXb
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 201-181-4 (+33.6u)
D.Maye u31.5 Rush Yds-111
0.9u
H.Henry o34.5 Rec Yds-112
0.89u
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 76-134-0 (+0.2u)
ATL +5.5-110
0.91u
@sundaysixpack @Stuckey2 https://myaction.app/4zetPc3nTXb
Sunday Six Pack
Last 30d: 15-15-0 (-1.7u)
ATL +5.5-110
1u
@Stuckey2 2 https://myaction.app/4zetPc3nTXb
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 103-114-1 (-9.8u)
ATL +6-120
1u
Kenny Ducey
Last 30d: 20-21-0 (-3.4u)
Under 45-110
1.1u
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 64-65-0 (+1.5u)
ATL +6.5-110
0.45u
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 201-181-4 (+33.6u)
ATL +6.5-105
0.95u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 210-189-2 (-1.7u)
NE -130 (1Q)
1u
Under 7.5 (1Q)-105
0.5u
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 50-49-0 (+3.1u)
NE -4.5-110
1u
Falcons vs. Patriots Previews & Analysis
Falcons vs. Patriots Props
Prop Projections
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Falcons vs. Patriots Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Patriots are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Patriots are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Patriots are 4-0 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Patriots' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Patriots' 5 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Falcons vs. Patriots Injury Updates
Falcons Injuries
- Jamal AgnewWR
Agnew is out with groin
Out
- DeMarcco HellamsS
Hellams is out with hamstring
Out
- Jack NelsonOL
Nelson is out with calf
Out
Patriots Injuries
- Antonio GibsonRB
Gibson is out with knee
Out
- Rhamondre StevensonRB
Stevenson is out with toe
Out
- Charles WoodsCB
Woods is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Team Stats
Falcons vs. Patriots Odds Comparison
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Falcons at Patriots Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Falcons 3-5 | o19.5-126 | u19.5-101 |
Patriots 7-2 | o25.5-118 | u25.5-104 |