Browns vs. Saints Odds & Betting Predictions - November 17, 2024

Browns at Saints

6:00 pm • FOX

Cleveland Browns

1-0

14 - 35

New Orleans Saints

0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Browns 1-0	-2	-1-112	o44-110	-117
Saints 0-1	u42	+1-108	u44-112	-102

Sunday 6:00 p.m.

November 17, 2024

Caesars SuperdomeNew Orleans

NO -105

CLE -115

1.15u

J.Jeudy Anytime TD Scorer Yes+260

2.08u

CLE -1-105

New Orleans D Anytime TD Scorer Yes+700

0.5u

C.Tillman Anytime TD Scorer Yes+200

@TheBMatt

T.Hill 2+ TDs Yes+1600

@GDAWG5000

A.Kamara Anytime TD Scorer Yes-120

D.Carr o30.5 Pass Att-115

@nick_giffen

CLE -120

@The_Oddsmaker

CLE -1.5-108

0.5u

D.Carr o214.5 Pass Yds-115

0.5u

CLE +0.5-110

1.1u

CLE -125

1.25u

D.Carr o29.5 Pass Att-110

1.1u

@convince_me

NO +1.5-110

0.45u

CLE -1.5-110

1.1u

Under 44-110

1.1u

N.Chubb o60.5 Rush Yds-113

N. Chubb ⬆️ 60.5 Rushing Yards (-113 at FanDuel) **1. Snap Share Trending Upward** Since returning from injury, Chubb’s workload has been inconsistent, with snap shares of 36%, 61%, and 35% over his first three games back. However, these fluctuations can be attributed to the game script and his ongoing recovery process. With each passing week, Chubb is expected to get more involved. Given the soft matchup against the Saints, this should be a spot where the Browns lean on him for 60%+ snap share, especially since this game script likely favors the run. **2. Saints’ Struggles Against the Run** The Saints have allowed the 7th most rushing yards per game this season at 113.3 yards. This trend isn't a one-off; their run defense has been porous and consistently exploitable. What stands out is their league-worst 5.17 yards per carry allowed. This points to a significant opportunity for Chubb to have efficient touches and potentially break off big runs. **3. Matchup Scheme Advantage** Chubb is primarily a zone runner, and the Saints have struggled immensely against zone-run concepts, allowing a 54.8% success rate this season, ranking 2nd highest success rate allowed in the league. The stars align for Nick Chubb in this spot. If not now, when?

CLE -120

1.2u

D.Carr o19.5 Pass Comp+100

Pass Comp

+EV

E.Moore o37.5 Rec Yds-114

🔬The saints have allowed the 4th most yards per game to wr’s and lost Lattimore to trade recently. They also run 2 high at one of the highest rates in the league. 🔬Moore is the leader in target share and targets per route run vs 2 high with Winston at QB. 🔬NO defense has allowed the 6th most catches and the 3rd most yards to the wr postion

NO +105

1.05u

All Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found on our Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/A8v49URQaG ⬇️All Access VIP Picks (Copy and paste link)⬇️ https://dubclub.win/r/MoneylineHacks/

CLE -108

1.08u

CLE +1-110

1.5u

CLE -118

1.18u

N.Chubb o66.5 Rush Yds-110

1.15u

C.Tillman Anytime TD Scorer Yes+200

Medium pick for The Touchdown Show

A.Kamara o5.5 Recs-164

NO -110 (1H)

N.Chubb o60.5 Rush Yds-114

Rush Yds

D.Njoku u5.5 Recs-140

Recs

CLE +1.5-122

0.63u

T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+187

1.87u

T.Hill 2+ TDs Yes+1600

CLE +1.5-110

1.1u

Stuckey 1

CLE +1.5-112

TAN pod / best bets

CLE -108

1.08u

J.Winston o239.5 Pass Yds-114

1.25u

Pass the Prop Play - check out show for full breakdown

T.Hill o16.5 Rec Yds-114

Hill had a season-high 59.3% route rate last week. He only earned 2 targets, but he caught both for 36 yards. New Orleans only threw it 25 times, as they surprisingly controlled the game against Atlanta. Hill is 3rd on the team in target share since returning from injury in Week 8. Chris Olave is ahead of him, and he's now on IR. Hill's route rate has jumped from 16% in his first 3 games to 45% in his last 3 games. Hill has run 46.9% of his routes from the slot and 30.6% from out wide in Weeks 8-10. All but 2 of his targets have come from those alignments in this stretch. Cleveland hasn't ceded a ton of volume to slot receivers, but the production has been good. The Browns have allowed the 12th-most yards per route run (YPPR) and the 8th-most yards per target (YPT) to the slot. Receivers lined up out wide have had similar success, ranking top 10 in both YPRR and YPT against Cleveland.

CLE +1-115

CLE -105

0.3u

In addition to tease

J.Jeudy o48.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

CLE +1.5-112

CLE +1-110

1.1u

Featured Insight
The Browns have pressured opposing QBs on 18% of pass attempts with open coverage since Week 7 -- 4th-best in NFL; Saints QBs have a 108.5 passer rating against open coverage since Week 7 -- 10th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Saints have 11 rushing touchdowns this season -- T-7th-most in NFL; the Browns have allowed 11 rushing TDs this season -- T-6th-most in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Saints are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Saints are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Saints are 3-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Saints' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Saints' 9 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Saints	7-10	4-5	3-5	1-3	6-7
Browns	4-13	2-6	2-7	0-4	4-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Saints	8-9	4-5	4-4	2-2	6-7
Browns	7-10	3-5	4-5	2-2	5-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Saints	5-12	N/A	N/A	2-2	3-10
Browns	3-14	N/A	N/A	0-4	3-10

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 10th	ATL	W 20-17	+3.5 W	U 46.5	NO +160
Nov 3rd	@CAR	L 22-23	-7 L	O 43	CAR -345
Oct 27th	@LAC	L 8-26	+7.5 L	U 41	LAC +270
Oct 18th	DEN	L 10-33	+2.5 L	O 37	DEN +124
Oct 13th	TB	L 27-51	+3.5 L	O 42.5	TB +145

Browns

Total

Saints

443

Total Yards

473

Total Plays

6.3

Yards Per Play

8.2

Browns

Passing

Saints

395

YDS

266

30/47

Comps/Atts

22/29

7.54

YPA

8.633

2/0

TDs/INTs

2/1

3/18

Sacks/Yards

1/7

Browns

Rushing

Saints

Rush Yards

214

Attempts

3.3

YPC

7.643

TDs

Browns

Turnovers

Saints

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Browns

Efficiency

Saints

0/1 0%

Redzone

2/3 66.67%

3/13 0%

3rd Down

5/10 0%

1/3 0%

4th Down

1/1 0%

Browns

First Downs

Saints

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Browns

Misc

Saints

3/14

Penalties/Yards

5/41

29:22

Possession

30:38

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See more NFL Odds

MatchupOverUnder
Browns 1-0	o22.5-108	u22.5-112
Saints 0-1	o21.5-108	u21.5-112

Browns vs. Saints Odds & Betting Predictions - November 17, 2024

Browns at Saints

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Browns

Public

Saints

Bets%

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