Buccaneers vs. Saints Odds & Betting Predictions - October 13, 2024

Buccaneers at Saints

5:00 pm • FOX

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

8-6

51 - 27

New Orleans Saints

5-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Buccaneers 8-6	+1.5	-3.5-106	o42.5-110	-170
Saints 5-9	u43	+3.5-113	u42.5-110	+145

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

October 13, 2024

Caesars SuperdomeNew Orleans

C.Godwin o63.5 Rec Yds-120

B.Irving 2+ TDs Yes+600

0.5u

B.Irving First Touchdown Scorer Yes+550

0.5u

A.Kamara 25+ Receiving Yards Yes-160

Over 42.5-105

1.9u

👸

NO +3.5-110

👸

C.Olave o4.5 Recs+105

B.Irving Anytime TD Scorer Yes-115

0.5u

NO +3.5-110

0.5u

Rattler should be in prison for life

NO +145

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B.Irving Anytime TD Scorer Yes-105

1.5u

TB -3.5-105

S.Rattler u183.5 Pass Yds-115

@The_Oddsmaker

C.Godwin o61.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

@SimonHunterNFL

TB -175

0.46u

C.Godwin o61.5 Rec Yds-120

0.83u

C.Olave 5+ Receptions Yes+106

C.Olave 7+ Receptions Yes+350

0.5u

C.Olave 9+ Receptions Yes+1100

0.25u

NO +3.5-110

1.1u

B.Mayfield o1.5 Pass TDs+108

1.08u

-106 devig odds with 1.66% ev giving us value and projection leans to the over with good history

C.Godwin o5.5 Recs-128

🔬With one of the top 4 open scores of a wr with over 40+ slot rate, Godwin gets a saints defense that has allowed tons of targets to the middle of the field with results in receptions - juju 7 Kelce 9, london 6, Ray Ray 6, goedert 10, smith 7, Lamb 4, Tolbert 6, Schoonmaker 6, even 3 catches for Thielen from Bryce young. 🔬Godwin has hit 6+ in 4/L5 matchups vs New Orleans while hitting 8 receptions in both games at NO. Meanwhile Evans has only caught 5 or less in 7/L10 and 3 or less in 5/L10 🔬Godwin has about a 5% higher target rate vs cover 2 which NO runs the 2 highest rate in the league - Godwin has a better win rate and separation score vs cover 2 than Evans 🔬With Ratler at qb, I Lean towards it being a run game/slow the game down/ avoid big TB plays where teams are fighting for first downs. TAMPA is 13th in neutral pass rate and 4th in pass rate when up by 7+

C.Otton u3.5 Recs+100

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-6-player-prop-picks-lamar-jackson-jonathan-mingo

B.Grupe o1.5 FGs Made+105

1.05u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-predictions-week-6-expert-data-driven-picks-for-sunday

S.Rattler u187.5 Pass Yds-113

1.13u

C.Godwin o62.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

B.Irving u15.5 Rush Att-115

0.87u

C.Olave o47.5 Rec Yds-120

Fliff

S.Rattler o0.5 Int-155

0.16u

B.Mayfield o0.5 Int-105

0.5u

Weekly NFL QB INT Bets. Article coming shortly.

NO +3.5-115

1.15u

Raybon 2

NO +3.5-110

1.5u

TB -3-118

B.Irving o37.5 Rush Yds-113

Over in 4/5. NO has been tough to pass against at 8th in FTN’s DVOA (and we know Lattimore typically gets the best of Mike Evans). And the run defense has been shaky the last few weeks (Barkley 147 yards, Bijan/Allgeier 88, Hunt 102). Should be a game where TB’s run defense (8th in DVOA) keys in on Kamara and makes Spencer Rattler beat them. I have Bucky clearing this with 9 carries, but upside for 10-11.

NO +3.5-110

NO +3.5-105

0.5u

Featured Insight
The Buccaneers ran 20.0% offensive plays in the red zone last week -- 6th-best in NFL; the Saints allowed their opponent to run 21.0% of plays in the red zone last week -- 5th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Saints have scored on 49% of their drives this season -- T-3rd-best in NFL; the Buccaneers defense has allowed scores on 43% of opponent drives this season -- 10th-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Saints are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Saints are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Saints are 2-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Saints' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Saints' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Saints	6-8	4-4	2-4	1-3	5-5
Buccaneers	9-5	4-3	5-2	4-2	5-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Saints	7-7	4-4	3-3	2-2	5-5
Buccaneers	9-5	4-3	5-2	3-3	6-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Saints	5-9	N/A	N/A	2-2	3-7
Buccaneers	8-6	N/A	N/A	5-1	3-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 8th	@KC	L 13-26	+5.5 L	U 43.5	KC +190
Sep 29th	@ATL	L 24-26	+3 W	O 42.5	ATL +130
Sep 22nd	PHI	L 12-15	-2.5 L	U 49	PHI -137
Sep 15th	@DAL	W 44-19	+6.5 W	O 47	NO +235
Sep 8th	CAR	W 47-10	-3.5 W	O 41.5	NO -191

Derek Carr
QB
Carr is out with hand
Out

Tanoh Kpassagnon
DE
Kpassagnon is questionable with achilles
Questionable
Alvin Kamara
RB
Kamara is doubtful with groin
Doubtful
Taysom Hill
TE
Hill is out with knee
Out
J.T. Gray
DB
Gray is questionable with back
Questionable
Will Harris
CB
Harris is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Shane Lemieux
G
Lemieux is questionable with knee
Questionable
Chris Olave
WR
Olave is out with concussion
Out
D'Marco Jackson
LB
Jackson is out with ankle
Out
John Ridgeway
DT
Ridgeway is questionable with oblique
Questionable
Nephi Sewell
LB
Sewell is questionable with knee
Questionable
Rashid Shaheed
WR
Shaheed is out with knee
Out
Nick Saldiveri
OL
Saldiveri is out with knee
Out
Kool-Aid McKinstry
DB
McKinstry is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Bub Means
WR
Means is out with ankle
Out
Rico Payton
CB
Payton is questionable with back
Questionable

Troy Hill
CB
Hill is out with foot
Out
Chris Godwin
WR
Godwin is out with foot
Out
Jordan Whitehead
S
Whitehead is out with pectoral
Out
Mike Edwards
S
Edwards is out with hamstring
Out
Antoine Winfield
S
Winfield is out with knee
Out
Joe Tryon-Shoyinka
OLB
Tryon-Shoyinka is questionable with ankle
Questionable
K.J. Britt
LB
Britt is out with ankle
Out
J.J. Russell
LB
Russell is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Josh Hayes
DB
Hayes is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Trey Palmer
WR
Palmer is questionable with hip
Questionable
Evan Deckers
LS
Deckers is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Christian Izien
S
Izien is questionable with groin
Questionable
Markees Watts
OLB
Watts is out with knee
Out
Kameron Johnson
WR
Johnson is out with ankle
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Buccaneers

Total

Saints

594

Total Yards

303

Total Plays

8.3

Yards Per Play

4.6

Buccaneers

Passing

Saints

325

YDS

243

24/36

Comps/Atts

22/40

8.568

YPA

4.933

4/3

TDs/INTs

1/2

1/8

Sacks/Yards

5/21

Buccaneers

Rushing

Saints

277

Rush Yards

Attempts

7.914

YPC

3.857

TDs

Buccaneers

Turnovers

Saints

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Buccaneers

Efficiency

Saints

4/5 80%

Redzone

2/4 50%

6/10 0%

3rd Down

4/13 0%

0/0 0%

4th Down

1/1 0%

Buccaneers

First Downs

Saints

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Buccaneers

Misc

Saints

12/86

Penalties/Yards

7/70

34:02

Possession

25:58

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MatchupOverUnder
Buccaneers 8-6	o22.5-120	u22.5+100
Saints 5-9	o18.5-115	u18.5-105

Buccaneers vs. Saints Odds & Betting Predictions - October 13, 2024

Buccaneers at Saints

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

New Orleans Saints

Buccaneers at Saints Odds

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Public

Saints

Bets%

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