Duke vs. Tennessee Odds & Betting Predictions - March 18, 2023

Duke at Tennessee

6:54 pm • CBS

Duke Blue Devils

0-0

52 - 65

Tennessee Volunteers

0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Duke 0-0	-3-116	o126.5-108	-175
Tennessee 0-0	+3-105	u126.5-112	+145

Saturday 6:54 p.m.

March 18, 2023

Kia CenterOrlando

DUKE -3.5-108

5.4u

Over 126.5 (Live)-115

1.15u

TENN +3.5-110

0.91u

Over 126.5-110

TENN +180

0.36u

Wynn

TENN +4-110

0.73u

Sharp Plays & Late Line Move

TENN +3.5-110

$90.91

TENN +3.5-110

Line is a bit inflated after Duke continued their strong play against Oral Roberts and Tennessee looked shaky at times (w/ the loss of Zeigler a factor). It’s still an even matchup and points will be at a premium here in what should be a low scoring game. Projecting this closer to Duke -1.5

TENN +3.5-110

TENN +3.5-105

TENN +150

$75.00

TENN +4-110

0.91u

DUKE -3.5-110

Calabrese

TENN +3.5-110

$50.00

TENN +3.5-110

0.5u

O.Nkamhoua u17.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

1.2u

Ok at u16.5 PRA as well. Averaged 14.8 PRA in conference play - his minutes floor is allow as Rick Barnes has three centers he feels comfortable playing playing. Brutal matchup against the interior defense of Duke, specifically Lively who is on a tear defensively. I’ll take my chances with Nkhamoua as a jump shooter, but I see this as a spot where Barnes might opt to play Aidoo or Plavsic more to match Duke’s height.

DUKE -3.5-110

DUKE -3.5-112

1.12u

K.Filipowski o7.5 Rebs-143

Projection - 10.4: For more, check out BettingPros.

DUKE -3-108

0.25u

DUKE -3-110

0.5u

Obligatory Rick Barnes fade: 7-16 ATS as seed favorite, 2-9 ATS with one day prep incl 1-7 as seed fav, 2-14 ATS since 2009 Beat Tennessee by limiting TOs and keeping them off the glass. Roach needs to be great and Duke is fine on the glass. Teams going in opposite directions.

TENN +3-110

0.5u

DUKE -138

1.38u

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As of the start of the First Round, the most likely team to make the Sweet 16 from this pod was No. 5 Duke, with 44.6% odds.

Duke was the most popular No. 5 seed pick by the public in this round, and was selected to reach the Sweet Sixteen in 47% of NCAA Tournament brackets nationwide.

Entering the Second Round, Tennessee is the second most likely No. 4 seed to make the Final Four, with 11.7% odds (breakeven moneyline +753).

No. 4 seeds have played even against the spread in those March Madness games, going 18-18-1 ATS (50.0% cover rate, average spread -1.6).

No. 4 Tennessee has played in 11 of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 15-11 straight up and 10-13-3 against the spread in 26 total games.

Second Round matchups pitting a No. 4 seed against a No. 5 seed have gone under the full game total 59.5% of the time (21-14-2, average over/under line 138.2).

No. 5 Duke has played in 19 of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 45-17 straight up and 29-33 against the spread in 62 total games.

Since 2002, No. 4 seeds like Tennessee are 18-19 against No. 5 seeds like Duke in the Second Round (48.6% win rate, breakeven moneyline +106).

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NCAAB Public Betting

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tennessee	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Duke	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Tennessee	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Duke	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tennessee	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Duke	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 17th	ULL	W 58-55	-11.5 L	U 135.5	TENN -747
Mar 10th	@MIZZ	L 71-79	-5.5 L	O 140.5	MIZZ -225
Mar 9th	MISS	W 70-55	-12 W	U 127.5	TENN -899
Mar 4th	@AUB	L 70-79	+2.5 L	O 130.5	AUB +117
Mar 1st	ARK	W 75-57	-5.5 W	U 134.5	TENN -245

Duke

Tennessee

21-49 (43%)

Field Goals

23-57 (40%)

4-7 (57%)

Free Throws

10-13 (77%)

6-22 (27%)

9-21 (43%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

Could not load odds

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MatchupOverUnder
Duke 0-0	N/A	N/A
Tennessee 0-0	N/A	N/A

Duke vs. Tennessee Odds & Betting Predictions - March 18, 2023

Duke at Tennessee

Duke Blue Devils

Tennessee Volunteers

Duke at Tennessee Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

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Bracket Predictions

Tournament Trends

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Duke vs. Tennessee Public Betting Percentages

Duke

Public

Tennessee

Bets%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Duke vs. Tennessee Odds Comparison

Duke at Tennessee Team Totals