Duke vs. Tennessee Odds & Betting Predictions - March 18, 2023
Duke at Tennessee
6:54 pm • CBSDuke at Tennessee Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Duke 31-3 | -3-116 | o126.5-108 | -175 | |
![]() Tennessee 27-7 | +3-105 | u126.5-112 | +145 |

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Duke vs. Tennessee Expert Picks

The Degenerates
746d ago
Last 30d: 78-77-1 (-8.5u)
DUKE -3.5-108
5.4u

Anders
746d ago
Last 30d: 7-10-0 (-6.1u)
DUKE +100 (Live)
1u

Will Brinson
746d ago
Last 30d: 18-38-0 (+61.7u)
Over 126.5 (Live)-115
1.15u
The Great Foosini
746d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
TENN +3.5-110
0.91u
Over 126.5-110
1u

Jeremiah Rose
746d ago
Last 30d: 21-30-1 (-4.0u)
TENN +180
0.36u
Wynn
TENN +4-110
0.73u
Sharp Plays & Late Line Move

Matthew Vincenzi
746d ago
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.0u)
TENN +3.5-110
1u

Greg DiNardo
746d ago
Last 30d: 70-67-0 (+7.1u)
TENN +3.5-110
1u

Capper Central
746d ago
Last 30d: 98-77-4 (+11.2u)
TENN +3.5-110
$90.91

Sean Koerner
746d ago
Last 30d: 28-32-0 (-0.8u)
TENN +3.5-110
1u
Line is a bit inflated after Duke continued their strong play against Oral Roberts and Tennessee looked shaky at times (w/ the loss of Zeigler a factor). It’s still an even matchup and points will be at a premium here in what should be a low scoring game. Projecting this closer to Duke -1.5

Shady Biev
746d ago
Last 30d: 160-167-0 (-19.8u)
TENN +3.5-110
2u
YBK Picks.com
746d ago
Last 30d: 36-46-0 (-18.9u)
TENN +3.5-105
2u

Sandy Plashkes
746d ago
Last 30d: 116-127-5 (-19.1u)
TENN +150
$75.00

Mjaybrod
746d ago
Last 30d: 74-99-0 (-22.5u)
TENN +4-110
0.91u

Big Bets On Campus (CBB)
747d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
DUKE -3.5-110
1u
Calabrese

Sandy Plashkes
747d ago
Last 30d: 116-127-5 (-19.1u)
TENN +3.5-110
$50.00

Greg DiNardo
747d ago
Last 30d: 70-67-0 (+7.1u)
Under 126.5-110
1u

Sean Zerillo
747d ago
Last 30d: 68-107-4 (-14.2u)
TENN +3.5-110
0.5u

Prop Bet Guy
747d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
O.Nkamhoua u17.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120
1.2u
Ok at u16.5 PRA as well. Averaged 14.8 PRA in conference play - his minutes floor is allow as Rick Barnes has three centers he feels comfortable playing playing.
Brutal matchup against the interior defense of Duke, specifically Lively who is on a tear defensively. I’ll take my chances with Nkhamoua as a jump shooter, but I see this as a spot where Barnes might opt to play Aidoo or Plavsic more to match Duke’s height.

Mike Calabrese
747d ago
Last 30d: 48-82-0 (-45.5u)
DUKE -3.5-110
3u

The Degenerate
747d ago
Last 30d: 69-125-1 (-29.9u)
TENN +4-120
0.83u
Under 128.5-110
0.91u

Steak Friend
747d ago
Last 30d: 251-306-8 (-44.6u)
Under 128.5-110
1u
TENN +3.5-112
1u

Shady Biev
747d ago
Last 30d: 160-167-0 (-19.8u)
DUKE -3.5-112
1.12u

Nico Terpak
747d ago
Last 30d: 8-24-0 (-18.7u)
DUKE -3.5-110
$110.00

Matthew Freedman
747d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
K.Filipowski o7.5 Rebs-143
1u
Projection - 10.4: For more, check out BettingPros.

Joe Dellera
747d ago
Last 30d: 61-83-8 (-8.9u)
DUKE -3-108
0.25u

Brandon Anderson
747d ago
Last 30d: 8-33-0 (-7.4u)
DUKE -3-110
0.5u
Obligatory Rick Barnes fade:
7-16 ATS as seed favorite, 2-9 ATS with one day prep incl 1-7 as seed fav, 2-14 ATS since 2009
Beat Tennessee by limiting TOs and keeping them off the glass. Roach needs to be great and Duke is fine on the glass. Teams going in opposite directions.

Matt Moore
748d ago
Last 30d: 42-26-0 (+15.7u)
TENN +3-110
0.5u

Collin Wilson
748d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
DUKE -138
1.38u
Duke vs. Tennessee Previews & Analysis
Duke vs. Tennessee Notes
Bracket Predictions
As of the start of the First Round, the most likely team to make the Sweet 16 from this pod was No. 5 Duke, with 44.6% odds.
Duke was the most popular No. 5 seed pick by the public in this round, and was selected to reach the Sweet Sixteen in 47% of NCAA Tournament brackets nationwide.
Entering the Second Round, Tennessee is the second most likely No. 4 seed to make the Final Four, with 11.7% odds (breakeven moneyline +753).
Tournament Trends
No. 4 seeds have played even against the spread in those March Madness games, going 18-18-1 ATS (50.0% cover rate, average spread -1.6).
No. 4 Tennessee has played in 11 of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 15-11 straight up and 10-13-3 against the spread in 26 total games.
Second Round matchups pitting a No. 4 seed against a No. 5 seed have gone under the full game total 59.5% of the time (21-14-2, average over/under line 138.2).
No. 5 Duke has played in 19 of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 45-17 straight up and 29-33 against the spread in 62 total games.
Since 2002, No. 4 seeds like Tennessee are 18-19 against No. 5 seeds like Duke in the Second Round (48.6% win rate, breakeven moneyline +106).
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Duke vs. Tennessee Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Tennessee are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Tennessee are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Tennessee are 7-7 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Tennessee' 20 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Duke vs. Tennessee Injury Updates

Duke Injuries
- Mason GillisF
Gillis is questionable with illness
Questionable
- Tyrese ProctorG
Proctor is out with knee
Out
- Maliq BrownF
Brown is questionable with shoulder
Questionable

Tennessee Injuries
- Igor MilicicF
Milicic is probable with illness
Probable
- Zakai ZeiglerG
Zeigler is probable with knee
Probable
- Felix OkparaF
Okpara is probable with undisclosed
Probable
- J.P. EstrellaF
Estrella is out for season with foot
Out for Season
Team Stats
Duke vs. Tennessee Odds Comparison
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Duke at Tennessee Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Duke 31-3 | N/A | N/A |
![]() Tennessee 27-7 | N/A | N/A |