Duke vs. Tennessee Odds & Betting Predictions - March 18, 2023

Duke at Tennessee

6:54 pm • CBS

Duke Blue Devils

24-3

52 - 65

Tennessee Volunteers

22-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Duke 24-3	-3-116	o126.5-108	-175
Tennessee 22-5	+3-105	u126.5-112	+145

Saturday 6:54 p.m.

March 18, 2023

Kia CenterOrlando

DUKE -3.5-108

5.4u

DUKE +100 (Live)

Over 126.5 (Live)-115

1.15u

TENN +3.5-110

0.91u

Over 126.5-110

TENN +180

0.36u

Wynn

TENN +4-110

0.73u

Sharp Plays & Late Line Move

TENN +3.5-110

$90.91

TENN +3.5-110

Line is a bit inflated after Duke continued their strong play against Oral Roberts and Tennessee looked shaky at times (w/ the loss of Zeigler a factor). It’s still an even matchup and points will be at a premium here in what should be a low scoring game. Projecting this closer to Duke -1.5

TENN +3.5-110

TENN +3.5-105

TENN +150

$75.00

TENN +4-110

0.91u

DUKE -3.5-110

Calabrese

TENN +3.5-110

$50.00

TENN +3.5-110

0.5u

O.Nkamhoua u17.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

1.2u

Ok at u16.5 PRA as well. Averaged 14.8 PRA in conference play - his minutes floor is allow as Rick Barnes has three centers he feels comfortable playing playing. Brutal matchup against the interior defense of Duke, specifically Lively who is on a tear defensively. I’ll take my chances with Nkhamoua as a jump shooter, but I see this as a spot where Barnes might opt to play Aidoo or Plavsic more to match Duke’s height.

DUKE -3.5-110

TENN +4-120

0.83u

Under 128.5-110

0.91u

Under 128.5-110

TENN +3.5-112

DUKE -3.5-112

1.12u

DUKE -3.5-110

$110.00

K.Filipowski o7.5 Rebs-143

Projection - 10.4: For more, check out BettingPros.

DUKE -3-108

0.25u

DUKE -3-110

0.5u

Obligatory Rick Barnes fade: 7-16 ATS as seed favorite, 2-9 ATS with one day prep incl 1-7 as seed fav, 2-14 ATS since 2009 Beat Tennessee by limiting TOs and keeping them off the glass. Roach needs to be great and Duke is fine on the glass. Teams going in opposite directions.

TENN +3-110

0.5u

DUKE -138

1.38u

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As of the start of the First Round, the most likely team to make the Sweet 16 from this pod was No. 5 Duke, with 44.6% odds.

Duke was the most popular No. 5 seed pick by the public in this round, and was selected to reach the Sweet Sixteen in 47% of NCAA Tournament brackets nationwide.

Entering the Second Round, Tennessee is the second most likely No. 4 seed to make the Final Four, with 11.7% odds (breakeven moneyline +753).

No. 4 seeds have played even against the spread in those March Madness games, going 18-18-1 ATS (50.0% cover rate, average spread -1.6).

No. 4 Tennessee has played in 11 of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 15-11 straight up and 10-13-3 against the spread in 26 total games.

Second Round matchups pitting a No. 4 seed against a No. 5 seed have gone under the full game total 59.5% of the time (21-14-2, average over/under line 138.2).

No. 5 Duke has played in 19 of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 45-17 straight up and 29-33 against the spread in 62 total games.

Since 2002, No. 4 seeds like Tennessee are 18-19 against No. 5 seeds like Duke in the Second Round (48.6% win rate, breakeven moneyline +106).

No props found

NCAAB Public Betting

Tennessee are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Tennessee are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Tennessee are 6-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Tennessee' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Tennessee' 17 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tennessee	16-11	10-7	6-4	14-10	2-1
Duke	17-10	10-7	7-3	16-10	1-0

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Tennessee	11-16	8-9	3-7	10-14	1-2
Duke	13-14	9-8	4-6	13-13	0-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tennessee	22-5	N/A	N/A	21-3	1-2
Duke	24-3	N/A	N/A	23-3	1-0

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 17th	ULL	W 58-55	-11.5 L	U 135.5	TENN -747
Mar 10th	@MIZZ	L 71-79	-5.5 L	O 140.5	MIZZ -225
Mar 9th	MISS	W 70-55	-12 W	U 127.5	TENN -899
Mar 4th	@AUB	L 70-79	+2.5 L	O 130.5	AUB +117
Mar 1st	ARK	W 75-57	-5.5 W	U 134.5	TENN -245

Mason Gillis
F
Gillis is questionable with illness
Questionable
Maliq Brown
F
Brown is questionable with shoulder
Questionable

Igor Milicic
F
Milicic is probable with illness
Probable
Zakai Zeigler
G
Zeigler is probable with knee
Probable
Felix Okpara
F
Okpara is probable with undisclosed
Probable

J.P. Estrella
F
Estrella is out for season with foot
Out for Season

See more NCAAB Injuries

Duke

Tennessee

21-49 (43%)

Field Goals

23-57 (40%)

4-7 (57%)

Free Throws

10-13 (77%)

6-22 (27%)

9-21 (43%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

Could not load odds

See more NCAAB Odds

MatchupOverUnder
Duke 24-3	N/A	N/A
Tennessee 22-5	N/A	N/A

Duke vs. Tennessee Odds & Betting Predictions - March 18, 2023

Duke at Tennessee

Duke Blue Devils

Tennessee Volunteers

Duke at Tennessee Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

Duke vs. Tennessee Previews & Analysis

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Duke-Tennessee Public Splits Reveal Interesting Angle

The Red-Hot NCAA Tournament Trend

Our 3 Best Bets for Saturday's Early NCAA Tournament Games

Bracket Predictions

Tournament Trends

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Duke vs. Tennessee Public Betting Percentages

Duke

Public

Tennessee

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Duke vs. Tennessee Injury Updates

Duke Injuries

Tennessee Injuries

Duke vs. Tennessee Odds Comparison

Duke at Tennessee Team Totals