Bonus Exotic: Either team to win by 5 or less (+140 at DK). Zona has won 13 straight, wins over KenPom top 10 (5x by 9 ppg). Harder tourney road USU, Ark, Purdue. Extra scoring opportunities: Arizona 30th +3.4, Michigan 215th -0.6 per game. The three B10 teams that crashed the offensive glass: Illinois, Purdue, Michigan State. Boilermakers knocked them off in the B10 Tournament, Michigan State wasted 15 offensive rebounds in a home loss because they couldn’t knock down shots (4-for-23 3PT), and Illinois similarly couldn’t capitalize, missing 20 triples. Tennessee 19 offensive rebounds…5-for-26. But as we know, Arizona is not three-point dependent, they’re two-point hunters, foul shot merchants and I’m sure they’re going to try to get Yaxel into foul trouble. Wolverines have lost three times all season long, and in two of those games Yaxel was in foul trouble. Burries is the key in my estimation; they can’t win unless he shoots well and helps them space the floor. The three-point market has caught up to Burries, who is averaging over 3 made triples per tournament game. So let’s go over his point total instead, with a ladder: Over 16.5 (-122), Over 19.5 (+172), Over 24.5 (+480). Uptempo opponents for Arizona this year like Alabama, Kansas State, BYU…Burries scored 28, 28, 29. And he nearly crossed 25 points against Arkansas, but didn’t need him to score anymore late. 

Brayden Burries Points 🪜 Burries is the key in my estimation; they can’t win unless he shoots well and helps them space the floor. The three-point market has caught up to Burries, who is averaging over 3 made triples per tournament game. So let’s go over his point total instead, with a ladder: Over 16.5 (-110), Over 19.5 (+185), Over 24.5 (+575) Uptempo opponents for Arizona this year like Alabama, Kansas State, BYU…Burries scored 28, 28, 29. And he nearly crossed 25 points against Arkansas, but didn’t need him to score anymore late.

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