Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - May 14, 2025
Nuggets at Thunder
1:30 am • TNTNuggets at Thunder Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Nuggets 3-4 | +10.5 | +10-110 | o221.5-112 | +350 |
![]() Thunder 4-3 | u217.5 | -10-110 | u221.5-109 | -450 |

Paycom CenterOklahoma City
Nuggets vs. Thunder Expert Picks

💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 95-93-5 (+6.5u)
OKC +3.5 (Live)-115
1u
R B
Last 30d: 48-51-0 (+5.5u)
OKC +110 (Live)
1.1u

Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 107-141-3 (-25.9u)
OKC -159 (Live)
0.63u
R B
Last 30d: 48-51-0 (+5.5u)
OKC -5.5 (Live)-115
2u

Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 34-44-0 (-3.4u)
N.Jokic o50.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-105
0.95u
Buying a horse
N.Jokic o27.5 Pts-114
0.88u
Dying with you

Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 55-64-0 (-19.8u)
N.Jokic o27.5 Pts-114
1u
R.Westbrook o10.5 Pts-112
1.12u

Allan Lem
Last 30d: 31-33-0 (-3.8u)
R.Westbrook u3.5 Rebs-125
1u
Tailing @PropBomb

Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 4-7-0 (-4.5u)
R.Westbrook u3.5 Rebs-125
1.25u
Simply not been his objective like we’ve seen in his past roles. This series, Denver’s using Russ as a POA defender and is often glued to SGA on the top of key in zone and other perimeter threats, where he’s away from the paint, not even looking to grab rebounds. Through four games, he’s averaging just 1.8 rebounds despite bringing high energy, while he’s seeing more overlap being on the court with both Aaron Gordon and Nikola Jokic who handle the glass in the frontcourt.
Also worth calling out the “noise” of that 3 rebound game you’ll see in the box score for Game 4. 2 of those 3 game in the same possesion (4:23 in Q1) where he grabbed two offensive boards off his own missed shot that boosted the line. Strip that out, we’re looking at 1 rebound in 26 minutes. With how locked-in defensively and position wise he is, especially with some banked in OKC positive shot regression, this seems line a tough ask unless the role complete changes. #PlayerProps

Brian Condon
Last 30d: 23-21-0 (-1.1u)
C.Holmgren o15.5 Pts-111
1u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 26-26-0 (+1.5u)
A.Gordon o10.5 Rebs+Ast+110
0.5u
#Tailing @TheBMatt & @wheatonbrando

Brian Matthews
Last 30d: 2-3-0 (-0.9u)
A.Gordon o10.5 Rebs+Ast+106
1u

MoneyLineWixted
Last 30d: 31-35-1 (-12.1u)
N.Jokic o41.5 Pts+Rebs-115
1.09u

Steak Friend
Last 30d: 177-197-1 (-30.6u)
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o7.5 Ast-130
1.3u
I.Hartenstein o9.5 Rebs-110
1.1u
I.Hartenstein o10.5 Pts-115
1u

Will Brinson
Last 30d: 4-17-0 (-10.0u)
OKC -10-111
2.22u

💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 95-93-5 (+6.5u)
Over 221.5-105
1.09u

Steak Friend
Last 30d: 177-197-1 (-30.6u)
DEN +275 (1H)
0.99u
DEN +6.5 (1H)-105
1u
DEN +370
0.27u
DEN +10-108
1u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 83-77-2 (-7.2u)
Under 221.5-102
0.98u

Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 103-109-6 (-3.4u)
N.Jokic o27.5 Pts-114
2.5u
🐳

FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 13-9-1 (+3.0u)
DEN +10-107
0.93u

Matt Moore
Last 30d: 72-124-0 (-26.5u)
DEN u104.5 Team Total-105
0.27u

Lock & Cash
Last 30d: 12-15-1 (-6.1u)
DEN +10.5-110
1.36u

Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 54-67-3 (-8.7u)
N.Jokic o27.5 Pts-114
1u
Tailing @sandyplashkes

Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 72-97-6 (-28.3u)
A.Gordon o6.5 Rebs-140
1.4u

Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 92-89-0 (+10.0u)
Under 220.5-105
2.86u

Markus Markets
Last 30d: 29-28-1 (+1.7u)
M.Porter o5.5 Rebs-125
1u

Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 71-101-0 (+6.9u)
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o7.5 Ast+105
0.3u
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o6.5 Ast-155
0.65u

Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 54-67-3 (-8.7u)
A.Gordon o6.5 Rebs-140
1.4u

Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 122-143-0 (+7.0u)
N.Jokic o27.5 Pts-105
0.95u

Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 55-64-0 (-19.8u)
L.Dort o8.5 Pts-104
1u

Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 84-157-0 (+81.8u)
L.Dort To Make 3+ Threes Yes+168
0.84u
The stat going around before last game was that Dort hadn’t hit a road 3 since March 25. Well he also hasn’t had a home game with less than 2 3s since Feb 24!! Crazy home road splits. He’s had at least 2 3s in 33/42 home games this year, a 79% hit rate that would make this base line more -400 than -200. 100% hit rate in playoffs is far too. 3+ makes in 60% of his home games, 4+ in 36% including half of his playoff games and half of his last 10. Don’t go too crazy in case he’s cold and loses minutes again, but he’ll get open looks and chances, so top escalator is series leader since he leads in volume and AG can’t hit over 50% forever.
L.Dort To Make 4+ Threes Yes+450
1.13u
The stat going around before last game was that Dort hadn’t hit a road 3 since March 25. Well he also hasn’t had a home game with less than 2 3s since Feb 24!! Crazy home road splits. He’s had at least 2 3s in 33/42 home games this year, a 79% hit rate that would make this base line more -400 than -200. 100% hit rate in playoffs is far too. 3+ makes in 60% of his home games, 4+ in 36% including half of his playoff games and half of his last 10. Don’t go too crazy in case he’s cold and loses minutes again, but he’ll get open looks and chances, so top escalator is series leader since he leads in volume and AG can’t hit over 50% forever.
L.Dort To Make 2+ Threes Yes-200
0.25u
The stat going around before last game was that Dort hadn’t hit a road 3 since March 25. Well he also hasn’t had a home game with less than 2 3s since Feb 24!! Crazy home road splits. He’s had at least 2 3s in 33/42 home games this year, a 79% hit rate that would make this base line more -400 than -200. 100% hit rate in playoffs is far too. 3+ makes in 60% of his home games, 4+ in 36% including half of his playoff games and half of his last 10. Don’t go too crazy in case he’s cold and loses minutes again, but he’ll get open looks and chances, so top escalator is series leader since he leads in volume and AG can’t hit over 50% forever.
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o6.5 Ast-145
0.69u
You already know we’re gonna keep running back SGA assists. He’s lapping the field in potentials this round with over 20 a game, and even if OKC teammates keep converting at only 36% somehow (he was at 53% in season) this is STILL a bad number with over 7 expected assists. Blowout is the bigger concern but he’d be part of OKC getting there too. We’re just gonna keep playing and trust the numbers.
S.Gilgeous-Alexander To Record 8+ Assists Yes+126
0.5u
You already know we’re gonna keep running back SGA assists. He’s lapping the field in potentials this round with over 20 a game, and even if OKC teammates keep converting at only 36% somehow (he was at 53% in season) this is STILL a bad number with over 7 expected assists. Blowout is the bigger concern but he’d be part of OKC getting there too. We’re just gonna keep playing and trust the numbers.
A.Gordon o10.5 Rebs+Ast+105
1u
Gordon has been awesome this series, especially on the glass and lately assists too. They’re kinda using him in the Draymond role and he’s smashing Oreb too with 5-7-7 games and already 14 and 16 reb games. Averaging double digits on 15 reb chances this round, and he’s also averaging double digit potential assists the last two games with 5 and 6 converted. I like RA better than Reb but both are good. Double double odds worth a play too, though points are not a given for AG.
A.Gordon o6.5 Rebs-110
0.25u
Gordon has been awesome this series, especially on the glass and lately assists too. They’re kinda using him in the Draymond role and he’s smashing Oreb too with 5-7-7 games and already 14 and 16 reb games. Averaging double digits on 15 reb chances this round, and he’s also averaging double digit potential assists the last two games with 5 and 6 converted. I like RA better than Reb but both are good. Double double odds worth a play too, though points are not a given for AG.
A.Gordon Double-Double (Yes)+450
0.25u
Gordon has been awesome this series, especially on the glass and lately assists too. They’re kinda using him in the Draymond role and he’s smashing Oreb too with 5-7-7 games and already 14 and 16 reb games. Averaging double digits on 15 reb chances this round, and he’s also averaging double digit potential assists the last two games with 5 and 6 converted. I like RA better than Reb but both are good. Double double odds worth a play too, though points are not a given for AG. If your book is close to 10+ reb odds, just play that instead.
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 26-26-0 (+1.5u)
C.Wallace o5.5 Pts+100
0.5u
#Tailing @HPBasketball

Matt Moore
Last 30d: 72-124-0 (-26.5u)
OKC -10-108
1.1u
A.Gordon o9.5 Rebs+Ast-135
0.68u
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o7.5 Ast+144
0.55u
C.Wallace o5.5 Pts+100
0.55u
M.Porter u11.5 Pts-110
0.5u

Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 68-89-1 (-2.0u)
C.Wallace o5.5 Pts+100
0.75u
LOVE this look @HPBasketball
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o6.5 Ast-155
0.39u
It’s finally time to join @wheatonbrando

The Propfessor
Last 30d: 29-37-0 (-6.6u)
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o12.5 Rebs+Ast-125
1u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 26-26-0 (+1.5u)
J.Murray o19.5 Pts-125
0.5u
#BUCKETS

Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 129-178-4 (-8.6u)
OKC -10.5-110
1.1u
Bounce back
Overall: 81-43-1,65% (ROI:27%)
Season:3-1-0,75% (ROI:43%)
Nuggets vs. Thunder Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Nuggets vs. Thunder Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Thunder are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Thunder are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Thunder are 25-13 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Thunder' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Thunder' 43 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Nuggets vs. Thunder Injury Updates

Nuggets Injuries
- DaRon HolmesSF
Holmes is out with achilles
Out

Thunder Injuries
- Isaiah JoePG
Joe is questionable with knee
Questionable
- Nikola TopicPG
Topić is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Player Stats
- scoringShai Gilgeous-Alexander31ppg
- reboundingJalen Williams9rpg
- assistsShai Gilgeous-Alexander7apg
- shootingIsaiah Hartenstein70fg%
Team Stats
Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Nuggets at Thunder Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Nuggets 3-4 | o105.5-114 | u105.5-105 |
![]() Thunder 4-3 | o116.5-105 | u116.5-114 |