Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - May 14, 2025

Nuggets at Thunder

1:30 am • TNT
105 - 112

Nuggets at Thunder Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nuggets
3-4
+10.5
+10-110
o221.5-112
+350
Thunder
4-3
u217.5
-10-110
u221.5-109
-450
location pinWednesday 1:30 a.m.
May 14, 2025
Paycom CenterOklahoma City
Nuggets vs. Thunder Expert Picks
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 95-93-5 (+6.5u)
OKC +3.5 (Live)-115
1u
R B
R B
Last 30d: 48-51-0 (+5.5u)
OKC +110 (Live)
1.1u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 107-141-3 (-25.9u)
OKC -159 (Live)
0.63u
R B
R B
Last 30d: 48-51-0 (+5.5u)
OKC -5.5 (Live)-115
2u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 34-44-0 (-3.4u)
N.Jokic o50.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-105
0.95u
Buying a horse
N.Jokic o27.5 Pts-114
0.88u
Dying with you
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 55-64-0 (-19.8u)
N.Jokic o27.5 Pts-114
1u
R.Westbrook o10.5 Pts-112
1.12u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 31-33-0 (-3.8u)
R.Westbrook u3.5 Rebs-125
1u
Tailing @PropBomb
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 4-7-0 (-4.5u)
R.Westbrook u3.5 Rebs-125
1.25u
Simply not been his objective like we’ve seen in his past roles. This series, Denver’s using Russ as a POA defender and is often glued to SGA on the top of key in zone and other perimeter threats, where he’s away from the paint, not even looking to grab rebounds. Through four games, he’s averaging just 1.8 rebounds despite bringing high energy, while he’s seeing more overlap being on the court with both Aaron Gordon and Nikola Jokic who handle the glass in the frontcourt. Also worth calling out the “noise” of that 3 rebound game you’ll see in the box score for Game 4. 2 of those 3 game in the same possesion (4:23 in Q1) where he grabbed two offensive boards off his own missed shot that boosted the line. Strip that out, we’re looking at 1 rebound in 26 minutes. With how locked-in defensively and position wise he is, especially with some banked in OKC positive shot regression, this seems line a tough ask unless the role complete changes. #PlayerProps
Brian Condon
Brian Condon
Last 30d: 23-21-0 (-1.1u)
C.Holmgren o15.5 Pts-111
1u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 26-26-0 (+1.5u)
A.Gordon o10.5 Rebs+Ast+110
0.5u
#Tailing @TheBMatt & @wheatonbrando
Brian Matthews
Brian Matthews
Last 30d: 2-3-0 (-0.9u)
A.Gordon o10.5 Rebs+Ast+106
1u
MoneyLineWixted
MoneyLineWixted
Last 30d: 31-35-1 (-12.1u)
N.Jokic o41.5 Pts+Rebs-115
1.09u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 177-197-1 (-30.6u)
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o7.5 Ast-130
1.3u
I.Hartenstein o9.5 Rebs-110
1.1u
I.Hartenstein o10.5 Pts-115
1u
Will Brinson
Will Brinson
Last 30d: 4-17-0 (-10.0u)
OKC -10-111
2.22u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 95-93-5 (+6.5u)
Over 221.5-105
1.09u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 177-197-1 (-30.6u)
DEN +275 (1H)
0.99u
DEN +6.5 (1H)-105
1u
DEN +370
0.27u
DEN +10-108
1u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 83-77-2 (-7.2u)
Under 221.5-102
0.98u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 103-109-6 (-3.4u)
N.Jokic o27.5 Pts-114
2.5u
🐳
FTN Fantasy
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 13-9-1 (+3.0u)
DEN +10-107
0.93u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 72-124-0 (-26.5u)
DEN u104.5 Team Total-105
0.27u
Lock & Cash
Lock & Cash
Last 30d: 12-15-1 (-6.1u)
DEN +10.5-110
1.36u
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 54-67-3 (-8.7u)
N.Jokic o27.5 Pts-114
1u
Tailing @sandyplashkes
Lines at Lunch
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 72-97-6 (-28.3u)
A.Gordon o6.5 Rebs-140
1.4u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 92-89-0 (+10.0u)
Under 220.5-105
2.86u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 29-28-1 (+1.7u)
M.Porter o5.5 Rebs-125
1u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 71-101-0 (+6.9u)
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o7.5 Ast+105
0.3u
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o6.5 Ast-155
0.65u
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 54-67-3 (-8.7u)
A.Gordon o6.5 Rebs-140
1.4u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 122-143-0 (+7.0u)
N.Jokic o27.5 Pts-105
0.95u
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 55-64-0 (-19.8u)
L.Dort o8.5 Pts-104
1u
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 84-157-0 (+81.8u)
L.Dort To Make 3+ Threes Yes+168
0.84u
The stat going around before last game was that Dort hadn’t hit a road 3 since March 25. Well he also hasn’t had a home game with less than 2 3s since Feb 24!! Crazy home road splits. He’s had at least 2 3s in 33/42 home games this year, a 79% hit rate that would make this base line more -400 than -200. 100% hit rate in playoffs is far too. 3+ makes in 60% of his home games, 4+ in 36% including half of his playoff games and half of his last 10. Don’t go too crazy in case he’s cold and loses minutes again, but he’ll get open looks and chances, so top escalator is series leader since he leads in volume and AG can’t hit over 50% forever.
L.Dort To Make 4+ Threes Yes+450
1.13u
The stat going around before last game was that Dort hadn’t hit a road 3 since March 25. Well he also hasn’t had a home game with less than 2 3s since Feb 24!! Crazy home road splits. He’s had at least 2 3s in 33/42 home games this year, a 79% hit rate that would make this base line more -400 than -200. 100% hit rate in playoffs is far too. 3+ makes in 60% of his home games, 4+ in 36% including half of his playoff games and half of his last 10. Don’t go too crazy in case he’s cold and loses minutes again, but he’ll get open looks and chances, so top escalator is series leader since he leads in volume and AG can’t hit over 50% forever.
L.Dort To Make 2+ Threes Yes-200
0.25u
The stat going around before last game was that Dort hadn’t hit a road 3 since March 25. Well he also hasn’t had a home game with less than 2 3s since Feb 24!! Crazy home road splits. He’s had at least 2 3s in 33/42 home games this year, a 79% hit rate that would make this base line more -400 than -200. 100% hit rate in playoffs is far too. 3+ makes in 60% of his home games, 4+ in 36% including half of his playoff games and half of his last 10. Don’t go too crazy in case he’s cold and loses minutes again, but he’ll get open looks and chances, so top escalator is series leader since he leads in volume and AG can’t hit over 50% forever.
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o6.5 Ast-145
0.69u
You already know we’re gonna keep running back SGA assists. He’s lapping the field in potentials this round with over 20 a game, and even if OKC teammates keep converting at only 36% somehow (he was at 53% in season) this is STILL a bad number with over 7 expected assists. Blowout is the bigger concern but he’d be part of OKC getting there too. We’re just gonna keep playing and trust the numbers.
S.Gilgeous-Alexander To Record 8+ Assists Yes+126
0.5u
You already know we’re gonna keep running back SGA assists. He’s lapping the field in potentials this round with over 20 a game, and even if OKC teammates keep converting at only 36% somehow (he was at 53% in season) this is STILL a bad number with over 7 expected assists. Blowout is the bigger concern but he’d be part of OKC getting there too. We’re just gonna keep playing and trust the numbers.
A.Gordon o10.5 Rebs+Ast+105
1u
Gordon has been awesome this series, especially on the glass and lately assists too. They’re kinda using him in the Draymond role and he’s smashing Oreb too with 5-7-7 games and already 14 and 16 reb games. Averaging double digits on 15 reb chances this round, and he’s also averaging double digit potential assists the last two games with 5 and 6 converted. I like RA better than Reb but both are good. Double double odds worth a play too, though points are not a given for AG.
A.Gordon o6.5 Rebs-110
0.25u
Gordon has been awesome this series, especially on the glass and lately assists too. They’re kinda using him in the Draymond role and he’s smashing Oreb too with 5-7-7 games and already 14 and 16 reb games. Averaging double digits on 15 reb chances this round, and he’s also averaging double digit potential assists the last two games with 5 and 6 converted. I like RA better than Reb but both are good. Double double odds worth a play too, though points are not a given for AG.
A.Gordon Double-Double (Yes)+450
0.25u
Gordon has been awesome this series, especially on the glass and lately assists too. They’re kinda using him in the Draymond role and he’s smashing Oreb too with 5-7-7 games and already 14 and 16 reb games. Averaging double digits on 15 reb chances this round, and he’s also averaging double digit potential assists the last two games with 5 and 6 converted. I like RA better than Reb but both are good. Double double odds worth a play too, though points are not a given for AG. If your book is close to 10+ reb odds, just play that instead.
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 26-26-0 (+1.5u)
C.Wallace o5.5 Pts+100
0.5u
#Tailing @HPBasketball
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 72-124-0 (-26.5u)
OKC -10-108
1.1u
A.Gordon o9.5 Rebs+Ast-135
0.68u
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o7.5 Ast+144
0.55u
C.Wallace o5.5 Pts+100
0.55u
M.Porter u11.5 Pts-110
0.5u
Jim Turvey
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 68-89-1 (-2.0u)
C.Wallace o5.5 Pts+100
0.75u
LOVE this look @HPBasketball
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o6.5 Ast-155
0.39u
It’s finally time to join @wheatonbrando
The Propfessor
The Propfessor
Last 30d: 29-37-0 (-6.6u)
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o12.5 Rebs+Ast-125
1u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 26-26-0 (+1.5u)
J.Murray o19.5 Pts-125
0.5u
#BUCKETS
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 129-178-4 (-8.6u)
OKC -10.5-110
1.1u
Bounce back Overall: 81-43-1,65% (ROI:27%) Season:3-1-0,75% (ROI:43%)

Nuggets vs. Thunder Previews & Analysis

  • Nuggets vs Thunder: Moore's 5 Best Bets for Game 5 Tonight article feature image

    Nuggets vs Thunder: Moore's 5 Best Bets for Game 5 Tonight

    Matt Moore
    May 13, 2025 UTC
  • Tuesday's NBA Best Bets From the Buckets Podcast Crew article feature image

    Tuesday's NBA Best Bets From the Buckets Podcast Crew

    Action Network Staff
    May 13, 2025 UTC
  • Nuggets vs Thunder: +465 Parlay for Game 5 Tonight article feature image

    Nuggets vs Thunder: +465 Parlay for Game 5 Tonight

    Dead President Picks
    May 13, 2025 UTC
  • Nuggets vs Thunder: 3 Player Props for Game 5 Tonight article feature image

    Nuggets vs Thunder: 3 Player Props for Game 5 Tonight

    Alex Hinton
    May 13, 2025 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Nuggets vs. Thunder Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Nuggets

Public

75%

Bets%

25%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Thunder
54-26-329-13-125-13-250-25-33-1
Nuggets
38-43-118-22-120-2127-33-111-10

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Thunder
46-3725-1821-1944-342-2
Nuggets
48-33-126-1522-18-135-25-113-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Thunder
12-4N/AN/A64-143-1
Nuggets
7-7N/AN/A40-2110-11

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 11th@DENW 92-87-7 LU 228OKC -278
May 10th@DENL 104-113-6.5 LU 232DEN -258
May 8thDENW 149-106-10 WO 230OKC -500
May 6thDENL 119-121-10.5 LO 229.5DEN -470
Apr 26th@MEMW 117-115-15.5 LO 224OKC -1200

Nuggets vs. Thunder Injury Updates

Nuggets Injuries

  • DaRon Holmes
    SF

    Holmes is out with achilles

    Out

Thunder Injuries

  • Isaiah Joe
    PG

    Joe is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Nikola Topic
    PG

    Topić is out for season with knee

    Out for Season

Player Stats
  • scoring
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander logo
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
    31
    ppg
  • rebounding
    Jalen Williams logo
    Jalen Williams
    9
    rpg
  • assists
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander logo
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
    7
    apg
  • shooting
    Isaiah Hartenstein logo
    Isaiah Hartenstein
    70
    fg%
Team Stats
40-97 (41%)
Field Goals
41-82 (50%)
12-13 (92%)
Free Throws
18-23 (78%)
13-46 (28%)
3P
12-29 (41%)
49
Rebounds
43
20
Assists
23
Turnovers
10
Steals
7
3
Blocks
6
22
Fouls
16

Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds Comparison

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Nuggets at Thunder Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Nuggets
3-4
o105.5-114
u105.5-105
Thunder
4-3
o116.5-105
u116.5-114