Falcons vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Predictions - December 30, 2024

Falcons at Commanders

1:20 am • NBC

Atlanta Falcons

0-1

24 - 30

Washington Commanders

0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Falcons 0-1	+4.5	+3.5-115	o46.5-110	+154
Commanders 0-1	u48	-3.5-105	u46.5-110	-185

Monday 1:20 a.m.

December 30, 2024

Northwest StadiumLandover

B.Robinson o53.5 Rush Yds (Live)-120

0.83u

T.McLaurin o38.5 Rec Yds (Live)-120

1.2u

ATL +4.5 (Live)+103

ATL +7.5 (Live)-110

0.91u

Value

D.London Anytime TD Scorer Yes+165

Not on Twitter Card but i did bet this

T.Allgeier o6.5 Rush Att-145

O.Zaccheaus o32.5 Rec Yds-125

0.8u

Fliff

T.McLaurin o66 Rec Yds-115

1.15u

B.Robinson Anytime TD Scorer Yes-118

1.27u

@Angrygwan

J.Daniels u0.5 Int-120

0.8u

D.London Anytime TD Scorer Yes+172

ProphetX Line

J.Daniels 70+ Rushing Yards Yes+222

2.22u

M.Penix o203 Pass Yds-117

D.London o61 Rec Yds-115

T.McLaurin o65.5 Rec Yds-115

1.15u

D.London o5.5 Recs+115

1.15u

J.Daniels o221.5 Pass Yds-116

T.McLaurin o5 Recs-115

1.15u

J.Daniels 250+ Passing Yards Yes+160

Z.Ertz u3.5 Recs+128

0.4u

ATL +178

ProphetX Line

D.London u5.5 Recs-125

D. London ⬇️ 5.5 Receptions (-125 @ BetRivers) THE BLITZ 📽️: 4.44 Recs We got nice line movement on this play, with the prop sitting at 4.5 on multiple books. Firstly, London is banged up with a hamstring injury. He look good to go, but soft tissues injuries can really linger or be re-aggravated. London hasn't cleared this line in the last 3 weeks and has been under in 6 of his last 8 games. With Penix under center, it may help his ability to connect on more downfield throws, but we might see a lower throwing volume and Penix has shown an ability to spread the ball around. Last week he connected with 7 different pass catchers. Finally, Washington has not been a great matchup for WR's this season, allowing the 8th fewest receptions per game.

WAS -3.5-105

3.81u

ATL +3.5-115

0.3u

Small SNF. Good injury news for Atlanta but not sure what we’ll get from Penix in first road start

D.London Anytime TD Scorer Yes+152

1.5u

D.London First Touchdown Scorer Yes+1000

0.5u

D.London o61 Rec Yds-115

2.5u

J.Crowder o2.5 Recs+125

0.63u

T.Allgeier o49.5 Rush Yds+300

0.25u

T.Allgeier Anytime TD Scorer Yes+275

T.Allgeier o39.5 Rush Yds+175

0.5u

Z.Ertz o34.5 Rec Yds-110

0.91u

Incentive boy

ATL +3.5-105

0.4u

Under 46.5-111

1.11u

Z.Ertz Anytime TD Scorer Yes+333

Z.Ertz Anytime TD Scorer Yes+330

1.32u

D.Mooney o3.5 Recs-120

0.25u

Boyd

J.Bates III o5.5 Tackles + Ast-120

WAS -4-108

Z.Ertz Anytime TD Scorer Yes+260

2.6u

J.Daniels o1.5 Pass TDs+117

0.35u

Under 46.5-113

ATL +3.5-115

B.Robinson o103.5 Rush + Rec Yds-114

2.28u

🔬what should you do with a young qb and a good chance of rain with winds 14mph+ in a divisional away game? Lean on your stud rb 🔬Bijan has forced an NFL best 92 missed tackles while Washington has allowed the most yards before contact (2.43) and the most yards per carry 4.82 🔬Bijan could get here on rush yards alone but in close games Washington has allowed added yards rec to rb’s. With penix in this weather they could easily be playing from behind as well- recently saquon has put up 150 & 198 Vs WASH. Dowdle got them for 98 and the Steelers rb’s combined for 148

M.Penix o1.5 Pass TDs+155

0.4u

B.Robinson u2.5 Recs+133

0.5u

ATL +3.5-110

1.1u

ATL +3.5-116

2.9u

WAS -3.5-105

0.48u

Under 46.5-110

1.1u

T.Allgeier Anytime TD Scorer Yes+320

0.4u

O.Zaccheaus Anytime TD Scorer Yes+370

2.22u

T.Allgeier o29.5 Rush Yds-114

Z.Gonzalez o1.5 FGs Made+105

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-predictions-week-17-expert-data-driven-picks-for-sunday

ATL +5-110

1.1u

ATL +3.5-113

1.13u

ATL +140 (1Q)

0.2u

Under 46.5-105

0.53u

D.Mooney Anytime TD Scorer Yes+230

M.Penix u19.5 Pass Comp-110

0.55u

ATL +3.5-108

1.08u

ATL +4-108

2.16u

ATL +4-110

1.1u

Simon Says

Under 23.5 (1H)+105

0.5u

WAS -4.5-105

0.95u

Have the Commanders favored by 6.5 here. Teams in that range for me have covered at a 59% clip (sample: 84 teams), and I agree with the model that the Commanders are undervalued.

ATL +4.5-115

0.5u

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NFL Public Betting

Commanders are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Commanders are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Commanders are 3-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Commanders' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Commanders' 9 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Commanders	10-6-1	7-2	3-4-1	7-4	3-2-1
Falcons	6-11	3-6	3-5	5-6	1-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Commanders	11-6	6-3	5-3	6-5	5-1
Falcons	7-10	3-6	4-4	5-6	2-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Commanders	12-5	N/A	N/A	9-2	3-3
Falcons	8-9	N/A	N/A	7-4	1-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Dec 22nd	PHI	W 36-33	+4 W	O 47	WAS +180
Dec 15th	@NO	W 20-19	-7.5 L	U 44.5	WAS -395
Dec 1st	TEN	W 42-19	-6 W	O 45.5	WAS -255
Nov 24th	DAL	L 26-34	-10.5 L	O 44.5	DAL -625
Nov 15th	@PHI	L 18-26	+4.5 L	U 49.5	PHI +192

Falcons

Total

Commanders

337

Total Yards

412

Total Plays

5.6

Yards Per Play

5.4

Falcons

Passing

Commanders

223

YDS

227

19/35

Comps/Atts

24/36

5.703

YPA

4.78

1/1

TDs/INTs

3/1

2/12

Sacks/Yards

5/31

Falcons

Rushing

Commanders

126

Rush Yards

216

Attempts

5.478

YPC

TDs

Falcons

Turnovers

Commanders

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Falcons

Efficiency

Commanders

3/3 100%

Redzone

4/6 66.67%

2/10 0%

3rd Down

6/13 0%

2/2 0%

4th Down

3/3 0%

Falcons

First Downs

Commanders

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Falcons

Misc

Commanders

4/25

Penalties/Yards

13/108

25:46

Possession

41:32

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MatchupOverUnder
Falcons 0-1	o21.5-105	u21.5-115
Commanders 0-1	o24.5-108	u24.5-112

Falcons vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Predictions - December 30, 2024

Falcons at Commanders

Atlanta Falcons

Washington Commanders

Falcons at Commanders Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

Falcons vs. Commanders Previews & Analysis

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Falcons vs. Commanders Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Falcons vs. Commanders Public Betting Percentages

Falcons

Public

Commanders

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Falcons vs. Commanders Odds Comparison

Falcons at Commanders Team Totals