Dolphins vs. Texans Odds & Betting Predictions - December 15, 2024

Dolphins at Texans

6:00 pm • CBS

Miami Dolphins

8-9

12 - 20

Houston Texans

1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dolphins 8-9	+2.5	+2.5-105	o46.5-108	+130
Texans 1-1	u49.5	-2.5-115	u46.5-112	-154

Sunday 6:00 p.m.

December 15, 2024

NRG StadiumHouston

MIA +3-112

1.12u

C.Stroud o259.5 Pass Yds-110

1.1u

@rsura_ tail

D.Schultz o30.5 Rec Yds-110

Under 46-110

0.91u

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C.Stroud o299.5 Pass Yds+235

0.5u

C.Stroud o1.5 Pass TDs+120

1.2u

C.J. Stroud ⬆️ 1.5 Passing TD's (+120 @ FanDuel) THE BLITZ 📽️: 1.75 Pass TD's Again, as expected we get great CLV from the jump on this play. It's down to +104 on FD and -110 or worse everywhere else. **Betting Pick: C.J. Stroud Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns vs. MIA** C.J. Stroud has been inconsistent this season, staying under 1.5 passing touchdowns in 69% of games while averaging just 1.2 passing TDs per game. However, coming off a bye and playing at home against a high-powered Dolphins offense, this could be the perfect spot for Stroud to bounce back. Stroud’s home/road splits suggest he performs much better in Houston. This season, he’s averaging 283.3 passing yards per game at home with a 91.9 passer rating and a 65.4% completion rate, compared to just 202.4 yards, an 83.8 passer rating, and a 61.0% completion rate on the road. These splits mirror his 2023 season, where he was significantly more productive at home. The Dolphins' offense has been on fire, scoring 30+ points in four straight games. If Miami gets out to an early lead, Houston may need to lean heavily on the passing game to keep up. Even though the Texans’ defense has been solid, Miami’s explosive offense could force a more aggressive game plan from Stroud and the Texans' passing attack. Given Stroud’s improved home performance and the likelihood of a pass-heavy game script, the over on 1.5 passing touchdowns feels like a strong play in a potential shootout at this price.

D.Achane Anytime TD Scorer Yes+105

1.5u

MIA +130

HOU -1.5 (1H)-110

J.Mixon o77.5 Rush Yds-110

1.1u

Under 46.5-109

2.75u

C.Stroud o249.5 Pass Yds-118

1.18u

HOU -2.5-120

MIA +3-115

@gogo_dino Best Bet

MIA +3-115

1.15u

MIA +3-115

0.58u

HOU -2.5-110

0.91u

J.Mixon o20.5 Rec Yds-113

Follow me on X to see the full analysis breakdown of this play!

MIA +3-115

1.15u

HOU -2.5-120

T.Tagovailoa u272.5 Pass Yds-112

T.Tagovailoa o36.5 Pass Att-115

1.5u

K.Fuller o4.5 Tackles + Ast-115

MIA +5-158

1.76% ev

T.Hill o70.5 Rec Yds-120

1.2u

J.Mixon Anytime TD Scorer Yes-196

1.96u

T.Tagovailoa o269.5 Pass Yds-115

1.15u

T.Tagovailoa o2.5 Rush Yds-125

1.25u

D.Achane o49.5 Rush Yds-110

1.1u

J.Mixon o18.5 Rec Yds-115

HOU -3-105

1.05u

HOU -2.5-117

Under 47.5-112

0.89u

Haven't seen enough out of the Texans since Nico Collins' return to think this total should be as high as it is.

HOU -0.5 (1H)-105

1.9u

bonus Hot Read, been waiting for this 1h line to post for a week

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NFL Public Betting

Texans are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Texans are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Texans are 4-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Texans' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Texans' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Texans	7-10	3-5	4-5	4-7	3-3
Dolphins	7-10	3-5	4-5	4-5	3-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Texans	6-11	1-7	5-4	4-7	2-4
Dolphins	8-9	6-2	2-7	5-4	3-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Texans	10-7	N/A	N/A	9-2	1-5
Dolphins	8-9	N/A	N/A	6-3	2-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Dec 1st	@JAC	W 23-20	-3.5 L	U 44.5	HOU -180
Nov 24th	TEN	L 27-32	-8 L	O 41	TEN -440
Nov 19th	@DAL	W 34-10	-7 W	O 41.5	HOU -377
Nov 11th	DET	L 23-26	+4.5 W	U 49.5	DET +195
Nov 1st	@NYJ	L 13-21	+2.5 L	U 43.5	NYJ +124

Sheldon Rankins
DT
Rankins is out with illness
Out

Joe Mixon
RB
Mixon is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Christian Kirk
WR
Kirk is out with collarbone
Out
E.J. Speed
LB
Speed is questionable with knee
Questionable
Azeez Al-Shaair
LB
Al-Shaair is questionable with knee
Questionable
Casey Toohill
DE
Toohill is questionable with ribs
Questionable
John Metchie
WR
Metchie is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Christian Harris
LB
Harris is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Tank Dell
WR
Dell is out with knee
Out
Jamal Hill
LB
Hill is questionable with knee
Questionable

Tyreek Hill
WR
Hill is questionable with wrist
Questionable
Artie Burns
CB
Burns is doubtful with toe
Doubtful
Bradley Chubb
LB
Chubb is questionable with knee
Questionable
Tua Tagovailoa
QB
Tagovailoa is doubtful with hip
Doubtful
Austin Jackson
OL
Jackson is out with knee
Out
Willie Gay
LB
Gay is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Blake Ferguson
LS
Ferguson is out with rest
Out
Jaylen Waddle
WR
Waddle is questionable with knee
Questionable
Dee Eskridge
WR
Eskridge is questionable with knee
Questionable
Ifeatu Melifonwu
S
Melifonwu is questionable with hand
Questionable
K.J. Britt
LB
Britt is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Cameron Goode
LB
Goode is questionable with knee
Questionable
Kader Kohou
CB
Kohou is questionable with back
Questionable

See more NFL Injuries

Dolphins

Total

Texans

224

Total Yards

181

Total Plays

3.6

Yards Per Play

3.6

Dolphins

Passing

Texans

196

YDS

131

29/40

Comps/Atts

18/26

YPA

3.467

1/3

TDs/INTs

2/0

3/24

Sacks/Yards

4/27

Dolphins

Rushing

Texans

Rush Yards

Attempts

2.737

YPC

3.85

TDs

Dolphins

Turnovers

Texans

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Dolphins

Efficiency

Texans

1/2 50%

Redzone

2/3 66.67%

4/13 0%

3rd Down

5/13 0%

2/2 0%

4th Down

1/1 0%

Dolphins

First Downs

Texans

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Dolphins

Misc

Texans

8/64

Penalties/Yards

7/70

33:24

Possession

26:36

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MatchupOverUnder
Dolphins 8-9	o22.5-110	u22.5-110
Texans 1-1	o23.5-118	u23.5-102

Dolphins vs. Texans Odds & Betting Predictions - December 15, 2024

Dolphins at Texans

Miami Dolphins

Houston Texans

Dolphins at Texans Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

Dolphins vs. Texans Previews & Analysis

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Dolphins vs. Texans Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Dolphins vs. Texans Public Betting Percentages

Dolphins

Public

Texans

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Texans vs. Dolphins Injury Updates

Texans Injuries

Dolphins Injuries

Dolphins vs. Texans Odds Comparison

Dolphins at Texans Team Totals